Bitcoin price with a 4 year cycle?

[piebeyb]

Keeping in mind and resuming for my thread here , I feel that we no longer need to wait up to 4 years to get ATH on bitcoin price as well as next crypto price

this is just my speculation as we saw a few years earlier where bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies didn't have many investors, rich people or big companies put their money into bitcoin

Look at bitcoin today, you know that at this time there are quite a lot of big companies and investors even rich people have invested putting their money into bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies, several heads of state and even famous artists in my country also invest a lot maybe in your country too , so maybe we don't have to worry about the recent bearish news

I'm happy to open this thread to be able to share my thoughts as well as speculation and analysis from the forum community on the price of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

[jackg]

Inevitably, we'll have the break the 4 year cycle at some point. I've seen threads on coins doing well while we were still seemingly in a bear market (such as aave and axs) - not that I consider us to be in a bear year yet - and I think we could also see this quite a bit again too.

I think alt coins have had shorter cycles when compared to btc too (like a <1 year cycle litecoin used to have).

[YOSHIE]

this is just my speculation as we saw a few years earlier where bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies didn't have many investors, rich people or big companies put their money into bitcoin.

From year to year I have noticed a 4 year cycle keeps happening, but my speculation is only on Bitcoin, that doesn't mean other coins don't have an impact, but that only happened 2 or 5 types that had an impact, a big difference compared to the cycle that occurred in 2009 to 2017, then the situation changed completely.

I think waiting for Bitcoin price changes in 4 years is necessary, the problem I see in the analysis that is happening now is the opposite, in the past almost all types of crypto flew, now they don't, My thinking is that investors will only target 1-5 types of Altcoins in a phenomenon that occurs every 4 years, except Bitcoin, the reason is simple: Altcoins are currently listed in the crypto market thousands, compared to 2009 or 2017, most likely investors don't want to take risks, they only focus on certain altcoins plus investors are busy creating their own coins, in the end investors break up, each defending their own home, with events like this that make some Altcoins die, without any other investors coming in, investors who have big vaults, that's the kind of coins that fly.

Bottom line: investors are many, but they are broke and busy defending their own home due to so many reborn cryptos.

[mk4]

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

I wouldn't bet on it, but I think there's a decent chance that we're not.

1. We didn't have a huge blow-off top
2. We already had a big and fast market cleanse (the stock market crash helped significantly imo)
3. The S2F model broke
4. We have far more institutional adoption
5. Fears of a bigger recession/inflation/stagflation

tl;dr we're in an uncharted market situation with all the unconventional things going in, and there's A LOT of market uncertainty.

Breaking the 4 year cycle doesn't necessarily mean that we'll reach ATHs faster though, it could also mean that it'll take longer for us to reach a new ATH.

[sheenshane]

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Though it's unpredictable as what I've seen in my crystal ball, it says negative though I'm still hoping there will be a next ATH soon.

But who knows, every 4 years there's no miss about the All-time high in Bitcoin price, it will usually happen after a year when the next halving will come and the most anticipated moment is that ATH will come.

Just think positive and look around, the awareness of Bitcoin has been kept spreading and the adoption has been still kicking in each country, we saw a lot of news of Bitcoin making legal tender in their country.  Possible that makes Bitcoin will go to the next ATH prior than following the every 4 years cycle.

[Charles-Tim]

Keeping in mind and resuming for my thread here , I feel that we no longer need to wait up to 4 years to get ATH on bitcoin price as well as next crypto price
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Bitcoin price is like repeating what happened in 2016 to 2020 again.

this is just my speculation as we saw a few years earlier where bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies didn't have many investors, rich people or big companies put their money into bitcoin

Because of this, I was confused and thinking it could be different this times too, but it is like what happened in the past want to happen again. Do not be surprised if you see a massive bull market in 2024/2025. With the look of things, it is becoming what would likely happen again.

Look at bitcoin today, you know that at this time there are quite a lot of big companies and investors even rich people have invested putting their money into bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies, several heads of state and even famous artists in my country also invest a lot maybe in your country too , so maybe we don't have to worry about the recent bearish news

Bitcoin all-time-high in 2017 was $19700 or around that price, it decreased to $9000 just like if compared to what happens in the last bull market, bitcoin all-time-high is $69000 and now bitcoin has reduced in price to $30000, while $30000 resistance is very strong.

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Yes.

This can change over time, but not this time.

[btc_angela]

Well we've heard about super cycles, or a new trend that it's going to emerge and not follow the 4 year cycle as bitcoin's narrative has change.

However, I will say that this is not the case, we will just as least for me, will still follow the 4 year cycle. We all know that there is halving, the most important event in our history and the future price movement still is based n this process. Of course, we can argue that bitcoin's historical data is fairly young as compare to traditional financial markets so it's hard to identify cycles. But for now, I will have to agree that there is a 4 year cycle.

[ninis45]

as someone who has been here for so long we know the 4 year cycle is the most awaited as the highest profit earning option but this is an option for me personally when buying at high prices while others when the market is greener I will sell it and take profit from the next decrease even though it's only a few percent because until now I prefer to buy in installments up to the lowest price of 70%, only 30% of the funds are devoted to waiting for the next ath

[piebeyb]

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Breaking the 4 year cycle doesn't necessarily mean that we'll reach ATHs faster though, it could also mean that it'll take longer for us to reach a new ATH.

agree with your thinking, but what we see is that the bitcoin price is currently holding near the $30k area and that seems to indicate that the price area is very strong, but i'm speculating that the price will push faster to continue the next ATH

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Though it's unpredictable as what I've seen in my crystal ball, it says negative though I'm still hoping there will be a next ATH soon.

But who knows, every 4 years there's no miss about the All-time high in Bitcoin price, it will usually happen after a year when the next halving will come and the most anticipated moment is that ATH will come.

Just think positive and look around, the awareness of Bitcoin has been kept spreading and the adoption has been still kicking in each country, we saw a lot of news of Bitcoin making legal tender in their country.  Possible that makes Bitcoin will go to the next ATH prior than following the every 4 years cycle.

this is what i said in this thread it doesn't seem to have to wait a long time to get the next ATH let alone have to wait 4 years as happened in 2013, 2017 and 2021 last year, i think positively about this

[serjent05]

Keeping in mind and resuming for my thread here , I feel that we no longer need to wait up to 4 years to get ATH on bitcoin price as well as next crypto price

Or we may possibly wait longer.  In crypto anything is possible.

this is just my speculation as we saw a few years earlier where bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies didn't have many investors, rich people or big companies put their money into bitcoin
Look at bitcoin today, you know that at this time there are quite a lot of big companies and investors even rich people have invested putting their money into bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies, several heads of state and even famous artists in my country also invest a lot maybe in your country too , so maybe we don't have to worry about the recent bearish news

But we can see that every after Bitcoin halving, Bitcoin never fails to reach its new ATH months after the event.  So I think, regardless of the number of people or company adopting Bitcoin, the catalyst for another Bull Trend and triggering a series of ATH is the Bitcoin-halving that happens every 4 years.

I'm happy to open this thread to be able to share my thoughts as well as speculation and analysis from the forum community on the price of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

I think that we will still follow the 4-year cycle.

[el kaka22]

Halving is something that we keep on hoping all the time but to be fair I do not think that we need to wait for the halving for the next ATH. I think the next one is 2024 right? Maybe before that happens we are going to reach 68k+ price and break the ATH price. That would be something we need to work for though, it is not going to be something easy and we are not going to be making a ton of money easily by just waiting.

We need to get in, we need to buy more, if not you then the person next to you, without the market buying more bitcoin then how could it go up? So, in the end, someone needs to buy and we need to convince those people to do it now and not a few months later.

[Hypnosis00]

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

That is our expectation as we also had that experience. People are excited for the next halving to make a huge profit. This couldn't be erased from our minds and I'm going to agree and support it.

https://coinmarketcap.com/halving/bitcoin/
Can't wait to see it. I fill my bag already ready for the next halving, it can such another opportunity and another market experience. And I guess, everyone is also taking their time to accumulate this time looking forward to getting rewards 3-4 years from now.

[lornadane]

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Breaking the 4 year cycle doesn't necessarily mean that we'll reach ATHs faster though, it could also mean that it'll take longer for us to reach a new ATH.

agree with your thinking, but what we see is that the bitcoin price is currently holding near the $30k area and that seems to indicate that the price area is very strong, but i'm speculating that the price will push faster to continue the next ATH

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Though it's unpredictable as what I've seen in my crystal ball, it says negative though I'm still hoping there will be a next ATH soon.

But who knows, every 4 years there's no miss about the All-time high in Bitcoin price, it will usually happen after a year when the next halving will come and the most anticipated moment is that ATH will come.

Just think positive and look around, the awareness of Bitcoin has been kept spreading and the adoption has been still kicking in each country, we saw a lot of news of Bitcoin making legal tender in their country.  Possible that makes Bitcoin will go to the next ATH prior than following the every 4 years cycle.

this is what i said in this thread it doesn't seem to have to wait a long time to get the next ATH let alone have to wait 4 years as happened in 2013, 2017 and 2021 last year, i think positively about this

But with the state of the bitcoin market like this, there is nothing wrong with denying that in the next 4 years, they hope that ATH will happen again because even if they expect it now, it is very unlikely to happen.
Why do you say you don't have to wait four years do you know one thing about the bitcoin market?

[Fundamentals Of]

Despite the worse bear market that we are in right now, I'm still confident that we won't have to wait for up to four years to reach a new ATH. Bitcoin has proven a number of times that it can surprise everybody and that it can deliver what others may think is impossible.

It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.

[pooya87]

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Some new form of a cycle will emerge because I don't think bitcoin is done having cycles but it will not be like the previous ones simply because the past 5+ months proved that the previous cycle where price goes up tens of thousands of percentage and dumps 80% are done. We may start seeing smaller rises followed by smaller corrections instead of the 4-year bubble bust duo.

[piebeyb]

Despite the worse bear market that we are in right now, I'm still confident that we won't have to wait for up to four years to reach a new ATH. Bitcoin has proven a number of times that it can surprise everybody and that it can deliver what others may think is impossible.

It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.

I always think positively about that where now many people have put money in bitcoin and other crypto, I also feel a very different atmosphere from before, bitcoin always has surprises

Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?

Some new form of a cycle will emerge because I don't think bitcoin is done having cycles but it will not be like the previous ones simply because the past 5+ months proved that the previous cycle where price goes up tens of thousands of percentage and dumps 80% are done. We may start seeing smaller rises followed by smaller corrections instead of the 4-year bubble bust duo.

The price dump took place in May of last year as well as May of this year, bitcoin should have really earned $100k last year like a lot of speculation and predictions that we have probably all seen on the internet or this forum, but apart from that things are different. this year it looks like bitcoin will continue to hit another new ATH after weak hands dumped it at its current low price

Why do you say you don't have to wait four years do you know one thing about the bitcoin market?

2013 and 2017 we didn't see a lot of famous people or artists or rich people buying bitcoin and crypto, but after 2021 we saw a lot of famous people buying it and still holding it I don't need to mention but maybe you can find it on the internet, the atmosphere is different from before

[fzkto]

I think the 4-year cycle could be broken now. Bitcoin has only gone up throughout history, we all know that very well and you can see it in the annual price chart. But in the history of bitcoin, it has never experienced a global world crisis, which is where we are now. No one knows what will happen to the price when the crisis really happens. But even at $1k, the blockchain will work just as well as at $30k.

[OgNasty]

I think the 4-year cycle could be broken now. Bitcoin has only gone up throughout history, we all know that very well and you can see it in the annual price chart. But in the history of bitcoin, it has never experienced a global world crisis, which is where we are now. No one knows what will happen to the price when the crisis really happens. But even at $1k, the blockchain will work just as well as at $30k.

I don’t know if I’d say the 4-year cycle is broken, but with the introduction of options and derivatives it has definitely been muted. I still expect we’ll see upward pressure after halvings as a result of the four year cycle, just no massive bubbles (only regular bubbles). I think a $120K price target in 2025 is a reasonable one given the recent market behavior. Might seem underwhelming, but it’s still a x4 from here in 3 years.

[Yaunfitda]

Despite the worse bear market that we are in right now, I'm still confident that we won't have to wait for up to four years to reach a new ATH. Bitcoin has proven a number of times that it can surprise everybody and that it can deliver what others may think is impossible.

I don't think that we have seen the worst of the bear market yet, if we follow this 4 year cycle, then we still have 2 years (2022-2024) of downturn.

It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.

Again, ATH can be reached after the process of block halving, and if I'm not mistaken, it will be in 2024.so it's going to be more than 2 years before we can see that supposedly 6 digit price prediction.

[24Kt]

Despite the worse bear market that we are in right now, I'm still confident that we won't have to wait for up to four years to reach a new ATH. Bitcoin has proven a number of times that it can surprise everybody and that it can deliver what others may think is impossible.

I don't think that we have seen the worst of the bear market yet, if we follow this 4 year cycle, then we still have 2 years (2022-2024) of downturn.

It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.

Again, ATH can be reached after the process of block halving, and if I'm not mistaken, it will be in 2024.so it's going to be more than 2 years before we can see that supposedly 6 digit price prediction.

The truth is, we can't really exactly predict the bitcoin price but sure, we can speculate what may possibly happen based from the previous history, like after halving. But with all the other factors in play today, the trend may change or may not. We can just observe and watch what will happen when this scenario comes up. But before this event happens, you should have your own contingencies to take whatever the opportunity is presented to you.