2023 Oscar Awards betting and discussions

[KTChampions]

The only thing that interests me about the Oscars is whether public interest in this ceremony will hit a new bottom. As far as I understand, last year the interest was at historically low levels. In fact, I poorly understand the meaning of this prize, since on the one hand it is subjective, and on the other hand it is determined by a cabal, let's say people whose opinion I don't give a damn about.

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[Cryptock]

The only thing that interests me about the Oscars is whether public interest in this ceremony will hit a new bottom. As far as I understand, last year the interest was at historically low levels. In fact, I poorly understand the meaning of this prize, since on the one hand it is subjective, and on the other hand it is determined by a cabal, let's say people whose opinion I don't give a damn about.

last time oscar was a pure drama  -- i hope this time they would not do the kind of slapping drama again
among the list of movies I haven't watched even the single one- I am going to watch all of them and will bring forth my suggestions

[bbc.reporter]

so I believe he should be well nominated and who knows, maybe even take the statuette in 2023, we'll see!

I'm also betting big on Colin Farrell's feature film, he received the longest applause of the event so far: there were 13 uninterrupted minutes of applause, if I were there my hands would be red

Changing gender a bit, I also believe that Cate Blanchett is the main bet for the 2023 Oscar.

Fraser is popular man of the moment, just a nomination would be a big come back from the abyss and a nomination is a kind of win; they advertise nominations during film promotions so its a win for both company and actor really.   However I dont actually believe he will win, I remain unconvinced so far but we got time to decide yet.

Of the three I'd expect Cate Blanchett is with the best chance I've been a fan for 25 years or so shes done the legwork for sure & I need to watch Farrell's film.

Brendan Fraser might presently be the most popular choice for best actor, however, after the Golden Globe awards and Screen Actors Guild awards this might change. This is where you should be fast on moving before the odds have changed hehe.

According to this news, Everything, Everywhere All at Once has dethroned the Fablemans as favorite for the best movie. But did sportsbooks change their odds quickly? You will find 4.20 if you know were to go hehehehhe.



This is one universe “Everything Everywhere All at Once” definitely wants to stay in. The genre-bending dramedy has dethroned “The Fabelmans” to take over the top spot in the Best Picture Oscar odds.

Source https://www.goldderby.com/article/2022/everything-everywhere-all-at-once-oscar-predictions-best-picture/

[yazher]

last time oscar was a pure drama  -- i hope this time they would not do the kind of slapping drama again
among the list of movies I haven't watched even the single one- I am going to watch all of them and will bring forth my suggestions

I never thought they gonna make some bet out of the result of this award and the drama was all stage because seriously man, these people are actors and they have been doing these things for years now and they have all the necessary tools to make it looks real. We don't want it to happen again because it's not really worth it you know?

They did it for this year because they might gonna make him the host again and talk about last year's drama to extract a joke out of it again.

[Rikafip]

According to this news, Everything, Everywhere All at Once has dethroned the Fablemans as favorite for the best movie. But did sportsbooks change their odds quickly? You will find 4.20 if you know were to go hehehehhe.

This is one universe “Everything Everywhere All at Once” definitely wants to stay in. The genre-bending dramedy has dethroned “The Fabelmans” to take over the top spot in the Best Picture Oscar odds.

Source https://www.goldderby.com/article/2022/everything-everywhere-all-at-once-oscar-predictions-best-picture/

Completely crazy, to have that movie as a favorite. I personally disliked it so much that I simply can't bet on it, even if odd is pretty decent (4.20 one). From what I've seen so far, my money will be on The Banshees of Inisherin.

I never thought they gonna make some bet out of the result of this award and the drama was all stage because seriously man, these people are actors and they have been doing these things for years now and they have all the necessary tools to make it looks real. We don't want it to happen again because it's not really worth it you know?

They did it for this year because they might gonna make him the host again and talk about last year's drama to extract a joke out of it again.

You are very wrong if you think that what happened between Chris Rock and Will Smith was faked. Public physical violence is not something that Academy will joke about, and for what he did Will Smith has been banned from Oscar ceremony for the next 10 years. On top of that, he may have ruined his film career and as he is receiving a lot of hate.

[bbc.reporter]

According to this news, Everything, Everywhere All at Once has dethroned the Fablemans as favorite for the best movie. But did sportsbooks change their odds quickly? You will find 4.20 if you know were to go hehehehhe.

This is one universe “Everything Everywhere All at Once” definitely wants to stay in. The genre-bending dramedy has dethroned “The Fabelmans” to take over the top spot in the Best Picture Oscar odds.

Source https://www.goldderby.com/article/2022/everything-everywhere-all-at-once-oscar-predictions-best-picture/

Completely crazy, to have that movie as a favorite. I personally disliked it so much that I simply can't bet on it, even if odd is pretty decent (4.20 one). From what I've seen so far, my money will be on The Banshees of Inisherin.

To be honest with you, I cannot argue yet. I have not watched any of the top movies speculated to be nominated in the Oscar awards. However, similar to what I have said before, sportsbooks and oddsmakers list the odds based on what they speculate might win with much of the votes from the academy of motion picture arts and sciences. They also clearly have more information than us. Our task as bettors is to speculate on the changes in odds and take advantage.

In any case, it appears Avatar: Way of water made less in the American box office than what was expected.



The opening weekend box office numbers for Avatar's sequel are in!

Avatar: The Way of Water pulled in $134 million at the domestic box office over the weekend,

Source https://people.com/movies/avatar-the-way-of-water-opening-weekend-box-office/


It was speculated to be over $174.5 million with odds of 1.57.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5419259.msg61409704#msg61409704

It appears that some people are not spending that much this Christmas season. Is this a warning sign that more recession is coming? I reckon if this movie was released during December of 2020, this would make over $200 million in the box office.

[davis196]

I'm sure that the German movie "Nothing new on the Western front" will win for best non-English movie. An antiwar movie winning an Oscar during the war in Ukraine would be a good propaganda move.
Other than that, I couldn't care less about the Oscar awards. They are getting more and more boring and I think that 2022 was a bad year for Hollywood in general(not that the years before 2022 were better). The "superhero/comic book blockbuster" trend is slowly dying and this is the only good thing I can say about Hollywood. I haven't watched any of the nominated actors/actresses.
And nobody asked Cameron to make Avatar 2.

[Cryptock]

I'm sure that the German movie "Nothing new on the Western front" will win for best non-English movie. An antiwar movie winning an Oscar during the war in Ukraine would be a good propaganda move.
Other than that, I couldn't care less about the Oscar awards. They are getting more and more boring and I think that 2022 was a bad year for Hollywood in general(not that the years before 2022 were better). The "superhero/comic book blockbuster" trend is slowly dying and this is the only good thing I can say about Hollywood. I haven't watched any of the nominated actors/actresses.
And nobody asked Cameron to make Avatar 2.

last time they created a big drama so to get more views on the oscar nomination
But I think Oscars are getting more controversial with every passing day.

[RealMalatesta]

To be honest with you, I cannot argue yet. I have not watched any of the top movies speculated to be nominated in the Oscar awards. However, similar to what I have said before, sportsbooks and oddsmakers list the odds based on what they speculate might win with much of the votes from the academy of motion picture arts and sciences. They also clearly have more information than us. Our task as bettors is to speculate on the changes in odds and take advantage.

It is true that people still do go to movies, but after the pandemic there was bound to be some drop, and I doubt it would go back to numbers it reached for a while. Cinema lived a good golden age between 2010 and 2020, but after 2020 there were lockdowns and so forth, and more and more netflix style things became known, disney plus is the most famous one, but even smaller ones like hbo and even to a point amazon prime became more and more used.

That means we are talking about multiple companies giving you a chance to watch things at home, and a lot more things to watch with high quality is now available to you within a click as well. It's harder to convince people to get out of their house and pay a months wort subscription on tickets, and maybe another for pop corn and a soda.

[Rikafip]

They also clearly have more information than us. Our task as bettors is to speculate on the changes in odds and take advantage.

They take into consideration everything; from the awards won on film festivals, nominations for Golden Globe (which were released recently) to the Hollywood rumours. Another thing to keep in mind that film studios are spending millions of dollars lobbying for their movie to get an Oscar nomination so that is a factor as well.

It appears that some people are not spending that much this Christmas season. Is this a warning sign that more recession is coming? I reckon if this movie was released during December of 2020, this would make over $200 million in the box office.

Tbh I don't think that lower Avatar's lower box office number than expected had anything to do with upcoming recession. Personally, I think that Cameron waited a little bit too long for this sequel, 13 years is a very long time and sequels made so many years after the original are rarely successful so I think that even this numbers are pretty good and I do expect it to surpass $1.5 billion in the end.

I haven't watched any of the nominated actors/actresses.

Well nominations are not out yet so even if you wanted, you couldn't. By the way, not all nominated movies are classic Hollywood mainstream crap, there will always some quality stuff among them.

And nobody asked Cameron to make Avatar 2.

Considering the fact that Avatar was the highest grossing movie ever, many asked for sequel since he was talking about it even before first Avatar was released. As I said before, the only mistake he did (from the financial POV) is that he waited for so long for the sequel which will again make shit load of money despite that.

[LUCKMCFLY]

To be honest with you, I cannot argue yet. I have not watched any of the top movies speculated to be nominated in the Oscar awards. However, similar to what I have said before, sportsbooks and oddsmakers list the odds based on what they speculate might win with much of the votes from the academy of motion picture arts and sciences. They also clearly have more information than us. Our task as bettors is to speculate on the changes in odds and take advantage.

It is true that people still do go to movies, but after the pandemic there was bound to be some drop, and I doubt it would go back to numbers it reached for a while. Cinema lived a good golden age between 2010 and 2020, but after 2020 there were lockdowns and so forth, and more and more netflix style things became known, disney plus is the most famous one, but even smaller ones like hbo and even to a point amazon prime became more and more used.

That means we are talking about multiple companies giving you a chance to watch things at home, and a lot more things to watch with high quality is now available to you within a click as well. It's harder to convince people to get out of their house and pay a months wort subscription on tickets, and maybe another for pop corn and a soda.

Well, you're right about that, I particularly like Marvel movies a lot, but lately they've put a lot of inclusion things into it and that's something I don't like, I respect everything that has to do with inclusion, but It's so much that they highlight it that it's cloying, I had high expectations with the Thor movie, but I didn't like it at all, the movie that I really liked a lot is the one made by Tom Cruise, from Maverick, I don't know if it's nominated , but it is one of the few films that I recommend, it is very good, they follow the same style and it is really nice to see a film of that level.

[Cryptock]

To be honest with you, I cannot argue yet. I have not watched any of the top movies speculated to be nominated in the Oscar awards. However, similar to what I have said before, sportsbooks and oddsmakers list the odds based on what they speculate might win with much of the votes from the academy of motion picture arts and sciences. They also clearly have more information than us. Our task as bettors is to speculate on the changes in odds and take advantage.

It is true that people still do go to movies, but after the pandemic there was bound to be some drop, and I doubt it would go back to numbers it reached for a while. Cinema lived a good golden age between 2010 and 2020, but after 2020 there were lockdowns and so forth, and more and more netflix style things became known, disney plus is the most famous one, but even smaller ones like hbo and even to a point amazon prime became more and more used.

That means we are talking about multiple companies giving you a chance to watch things at home, and a lot more things to watch with high quality is now available to you within a click as well. It's harder to convince people to get out of their house and pay a months wort subscription on tickets, and maybe another for pop corn and a soda.

Well, you're right about that, I particularly like Marvel movies a lot, but lately they've put a lot of inclusion things into it and that's something I don't like, I respect everything that has to do with inclusion, but It's so much that they highlight it that it's cloying, I had high expectations with the Thor movie, but I didn't like it at all, the movie that I really liked a lot is the one made by Tom Cruise, from Maverick, I don't know if it's nominated , but it is one of the few films that I recommend, it is very good, they follow the same style and it is really nice to see a film of that level.

That is correct - the Maverick was very good.
Tom Cruise showed that he is still the greatest actor of all the times.
But that is correct too. People are losing interests in Oscars too. there is so much excitement around and there is so much other stuff to be thought about.

[bitgov]

Well, if you're right, sometimes there are things that children can see at a certain moment and we can't have enough speed to capture them, in fact, in my case I have to be very aware of my son, well With his mother he began to watch things from horror movies and that caused him terrible damage, because he has to sleep accompanied, of course he did that while I was not there, because we are no longer with my child's mother, currently I have another wife and a baby, and to remove that fear from my 7-year-old son is very difficult, it has cost me a lot, so sometimes because of someone's ignorance the children suffer.

Kids of these days are more smarter than the kids of our time - they know movies - songs - season and to my surprise they like Korean, Turkish and other languages series - thanks to the subtitle and other language translation that people get a chance to know about these dramas and plays and movies as well

[Porfirii]

We still have time to speculate about next year's winners, but I predict on beforehand the victory of Steven Spielberg's "The Fabelmans", which has been already awarded in Toronto. About others, it is still too early to comment.

Anyway, I only hope that we don't witness another pathetical situation like the one starring Will Smith last year.

[bittraffic]

We still have time to speculate about next year's winners, but I predict on beforehand the victory of Steven Spielberg's "The Fabelmans", which has been already awarded in Toronto. About others, it is still too early to comment.

Anyway, I only hope that we don't witness another pathetical situation like the one starring Will Smith last year.

Something inspirational for filmmakers, I realized I took boring photos when I learn how important the horizon is in this movie. Spielberg movies always are getting attention since he is already popular in getting the hearts of his audience but with "The Fabelmans" I doubt. But Spielberg I think wanted to convince the audience of this movie to look closely at directors of films. If I have to vote, McDonagh.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that some people are not spending that much this Christmas season. Is this a warning sign that more recession is coming? I reckon if this movie was released during December of 2020, this would make over $200 million in the box office.

Tbh I don't think that lower Avatar's lower box office number than expected had anything to do with upcoming recession. Personally, I think that Cameron waited a little bit too long for this sequel, 13 years is a very long time and sequels made so many years after the original are rarely successful so I think that even this numbers are pretty good and I do expect it to surpass $1.5 billion in the end.

Agreed, part of it might be James Cameron's long wait for the technology to create the sequel. According to some friends who watched it, it was something similar to being in a theme park but the story of the movie itself was not very captivating.

In any case, I watched The Fabelmans, Banshees of Inisherin and Everything Everywhere all at Once.

The Fabelmans. It was boring only in the first 15 minutes. This is my favorite of the 3. Good story, funny movie that is based on Steven Spielberg's life before becoming a movie director.

Banshees of Inisherin. Funny dialogue, however, it is dragging and it appears the writer does not know how to end the story.

Everything Everywhere all at Once. It was not very good, I reckon. I am not quite certain why this movie is being pushed as an Oscar favorite for best picture. The sportsbooks do not believe it and they did not adjust the odds that much hehehehe.

[Sithara007]

We still have time to speculate about next year's winners, but I predict on beforehand the victory of Steven Spielberg's "The Fabelmans", which has been already awarded in Toronto. About others, it is still too early to comment.

Anyway, I only hope that we don't witness another pathetical situation like the one starring Will Smith last year.

The Fabelmans has the best chance. Steven Spielberg is a big name and it will be difficult for the jury members to ignore his film. But the film was a box office disappointment, and despite a budget of close to $40 million it could only gross around $10 million. Now I want to see whether the jury has courage to select a film, that has been rejected by the audience. Fabelmans happens to be the lowest-grossing film ever directed by Steven Spielberg, despite it's generally positive reviews from the critics.

[bitgolden]

We still have time to speculate about next year's winners, but I predict on beforehand the victory of Steven Spielberg's "The Fabelmans", which has been already awarded in Toronto. About others, it is still too early to comment.

Anyway, I only hope that we don't witness another pathetical situation like the one starring Will Smith last year.

The Fabelmans has the best chance. Steven Spielberg is a big name and it will be difficult for the jury members to ignore his film. But the film was a box office disappointment, and despite a budget of close to $40 million it could only gross around $10 million. Now I want to see whether the jury has courage to select a film, that has been rejected by the audience. Fabelmans happens to be the lowest-grossing film ever directed by Steven Spielberg, despite it's generally positive reviews from the critics.

That's not the point of an "oscar movie", there is this genre where you just shoot a movie for awards, the cannes, the toronto, the oscars etc etc all because you want to make sure that you are in convention for those, and rewards for either winning or even being nominated for it is fine.

Additionally, you may think that 40 million was spent straight up and the box office 10 million is the only income, but they already get investors just to invest without any expectations in return, meaning they could turn a profit even before the shooting starts. All in all I am sure this was done intentionally, wasn't a box office or profit in general aimed movie, they wanted to win the oscars and they probably will.

[Sithara007]

That's not the point of an "oscar movie", there is this genre where you just shoot a movie for awards, the cannes, the toronto, the oscars etc etc all because you want to make sure that you are in convention for those, and rewards for either winning or even being nominated for it is fine.

Additionally, you may think that 40 million was spent straight up and the box office 10 million is the only income, but they already get investors just to invest without any expectations in return, meaning they could turn a profit even before the shooting starts. All in all I am sure this was done intentionally, wasn't a box office or profit in general aimed movie, they wanted to win the oscars and they probably will.

Even in that case, something doesn't seems right. You are saying that Oscar movies doesn't need to be accepted by the general audience. So someone can win Oscar, if his movie pleases the jurors. In this case, the jury opinion is much different from that of the general audience. In such circumstances, Oscars should not be taken as a metric to gauge the quality of a movie. I am yet to see this movie (The Fabelmans), so I don't want to make a judgement at this point. But giving award to a movie that is rejected by the general audience doesn't sound right for me.

[joeperry]

Brendan Fraser is the favorite over everyone for best actor? I am shocked hehehe.

Wouldn't be surprised with that, only few people can receive a 5-minute standing ovation in the movie screening. I haven't watched the movie yet but I watched the trailer and I really think he deserve the Oscar I am sure that I will be placing a bet on that one. Thanks for putting link directly to the betting site it would be easier to place bet with that than manually browsing the market.

Assuming that he won the Oscar, wouldn't that be awesome as it's been around 20 years when he do his last movie and I really admire his movie when I was a little bit young.