Portuguese League - Liga Portugal 2023/24

[LTU_btc]

Seems that odds for Benfica win is going down, last time when I checked it few days ago they weren't so clearly favoured. Not really sure about it, I don't see them as such big favourites, both teams is doing well so far, though most of their wins against underdogs isn't easy at all. I checked H2H results of these teams and I can't believe what I saw - last time when Benfica won against Porto at home was in 2018 - 5 years ago. Before that they won just in 2014. Unbeleavable. But all series comes to the end sooner or later...
My bet on this game is BTTS @1.71.

[joker_josue]

Seems that odds for Benfica win is going down, last time when I checked it few days ago they weren't so clearly favoured. Not really sure about it, I don't see them as such big favourites, both teams is doing well so far, though most of their wins against underdogs isn't easy at all. I checked H2H results of these teams and I can't believe what I saw - last time when Benfica won against Porto at home was in 2018 - 5 years ago. Before that they won just in 2014. Unbeleavable. But all series comes to the end sooner or later...
My bet on this game is BTTS @1.71.

Statistically, Benfica has lost several games against Porto. So this drop in the odds of victory for Benfica turns out to be normal.
However, both teams are practically at the same competitive level, so I believe it will be a balanced game.

[Silence Scream]

Seems that odds for Benfica win is going down, last time when I checked it few days ago they weren't so clearly favoured. Not really sure about it, I don't see them as such big favourites, both teams is doing well so far, though most of their wins against underdogs isn't easy at all. I checked H2H results of these teams and I can't believe what I saw - last time when Benfica won against Porto at home was in 2018 - 5 years ago. Before that they won just in 2014. Unbeleavable. But all series comes to the end sooner or later...
My bet on this game is BTTS @1.71.

I think this is one of the most important matches in Europe today. If we count this weekend, it will be a pleasure to watch this derby. We can say that both teams have performed as expected in the league so far. They did not encounter any surprise results. However, any score is possible in this derby. I think the match may end in a draw. It will be a match that Sporting Lisbon will follow closely.

[LTU_btc]

Initially I was mad about referee decision to show straight red card to Cardoso. It looked like clean tackle and even yellow card would be too much. But after watching replay few more times, it looks like good call. After initial tackle Cardoso lifted his leg up to make sure that his opponent would fall. So, I changed my mind after this decision:
https://streamin.me/v/ed4902e0
In general, we saw good fight tonight, but probably it's nothing surprising that Benfica managed to score playing 11 vs 10.

[rdluffy]

Initially I was mad about referee decision to show straight red card to Cardoso. It looked like clean tackle and even yellow card would be too much. But after watching replay few more times, it looks like good call. After initial tackle Cardoso lifted his leg up to make sure that his opponent would fall. So, I changed my mind after this decision:
https://streamin.me/v/ed4902e0
In general, we saw good fight tonight, but probably it's nothing surprising that Benfica managed to score playing 11 vs 10.

It was certainly a case of a red card
Fabio Cardoso lifted his leg too much to try and hit David Neres, there was no need to do that and he wasn't focused on the ball, in my opinion the referee got it right
And he also risked seriously injuring the Benfica player

Benfica got a very important win for the whole league, after all they got the 3 points and didn't let Porto score. At the end of the season it could make a huge difference, just as it did last year
A super positive note for Di Maria, who has been playing well and helping Benfica, in 6 games he has scored 5 goals

That's why I don't usually bet on these derbies, anything can happen, the red card at the start of the game really affected Porto, 1 player less for 70 minutes is a lot, hard to hold a draw or even think about a win

[Slow death]

I lost my multibet bet because of napoli or mine because I bet on napoli, I wanted to have placed a draw or napoli.

Wow, multiple of 7 
I make mine with 3 bets and I think it's already a lot
The Portuguese league is very good for these multiples, but I don't have the courage to include the other leagues in my bets just yet

How much were the odds on that bet you made? By the way, sorry for your loss 

I moderated a lot on this bet, even though there were 7 games in this multibet bet, the odds weren't great, if my memory serves me correctly the odds were between 7.00 and 10.00, whereas I prefer to place 7 games in a multibet bet with odds of 30.00, that's because I've already realized that if I keep betting on simple bets, despite making some profit, the odds become low and to make matters worse, if I have a losing streak I lose everything, so if that's the case, it's much better to see it as a lottery and keep trying my luck, nothing. to put a lot of money, 5$ at most and with the highest possible odd value, if I get it right then I will already have a profit that would compensate for all my small losses, besides, by doing it this way I don't expect to make a consistent profit because that's my mission. impossible in the long term with gambling. My goal is just to try my luck and win a lot, even if it's only a few times and of course always putting in a maximum of $5 each week

but they win games with difficulty, this means that when they feel like they can lose then they will use their schemes to win the game, this is a strategy (cheating) that guarantees Porto the title this season, but strange that in the league of European champions they played well and without cheating, I don't understand why in the Portuguese league they are struggling to win games, their problem seems to me to be in the attack, which cannot take advantage of any opportunity to score a goal. Benfica won in their game against Portimonense, as expected from Benfica, they manage to win and score a lot of goals and it was a clean victory without cheating

Benfica are doing well in the Portuguese league, but they are doing poorly in the European Champions League, although I believe it was the red card that hurt them in the European Champions League game.

I think next Friday's game will be the litmus test for Porto and Benfica. Whoever wins this game will be the one who marks the position of possible winner of the championship. In recent years, Porto has had an advantage over Benfica in direct confrontations. So, let's expect a very  exciting game.

Regarding Sporting, I think they haven't faced a really difficult opponent yet. Let's see how things go.

Benfica won the game and with that they are in first place, I must say that the red card that the Porto player received in the 19th minute was one of the reasons for Porto's defeat, despite Benfica dominating the game, they had a lot of difficulties When it came to scoring goals, they wasted a lot of opportunities and if Porto had 11 players I believe that in this game we could see at least a draw, I see that Porto this season is much worse than last season, unfortunately it is complicated for Porto. Last month I saw an interview on my country's TV in which Porto's coach complained that the management was not making the necessary investment in the squad, I didn't understand, could it be that Porto is going through some financial crisis that prevents them from making many hires?

I didn't see any big news in terms of Porto's signings, in attack I didn't see any big changes, so this season for me Benfica and Sporting have a better chance of winning the league, but if Porto relies on cheating and Benfica and Sporting lose some game, then the port will be champion. In other words, Porto this season would only be champions if they use cheating, because if they count on winning the games fairly, then they will have many defeats that will not even place them in the top 3 places. About Sporting, I see them beating Farense and with that Sporting will have 19 points and be at the top of the league and Benfica will be in second place

[joker_josue]

Last month I saw an interview on my country's TV in which Porto's coach complained that the management was not making the necessary investment in the squad, I didn't understand, could it be that Porto is going through some financial crisis that prevents them from making many hires?

Yes, Porto is having a lot of financial problems.
They have been under the financial fair-play regime imposed by UEFA, and have been for about 5 years (if I'm not mistaken).

Therefore, they have to sell players for below market prices or even fail to renew some players, who end up leaving at zero cost.

So, yes, Porto has had great financial difficulties in recent years. In the past you spent more money than you should, and now you are suffering because of it.

[joker_josue]

It was another exciting journey, with a classic game between Benfica vs Porto, and Sporting winning the game in the last minute. In nine games, only 3 did not have red cards.

Below are the results after the 7th round:

MATCH DAY  7 - RESULTS:
Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
Rio Ave 0-4 Moreirense
Vit. Guimarães 3-2 Estoril
Arouca 0-2 Chaves
Farense 2-3 Sporting
Boavista 2-2 Famalicão
Vizela 2-3 Portimonense
Benfica 1-0 Porto
Estrela Amadora 2-4 Braga


FEATURED MATCH - STATISTICS:

	Benfica 1-0 Porto
67%	Ball possession	33%
12	Goal attempts	6
2	Goal kick	3
9	Kick out	3
8	Free kick	21
9	Corner kick	5
3	Offside	1
21	Touch line	29
3	Goalkeeper defenses	1
18	Fouls	10
0	Red cards	1
4	Yellow cards	5
121	Attacks	82
78	Dangerous Attacks	31

LEADERBOARD:

POS	Team	PLD	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Sporting	7	6	1	0	15	6	9	19
2	Benfica	7	6	0	1	17	7	10	18
3	Porto	7	5	1	1	10	6	4	16
4	Boavista	7	4	2	1	17	12	5	14
5	Braga	7	4	1	2	18	13	5	13
6	Vit. Guimarães	7	4	1	2	9	9	0	13
7	Famalicão	7	3	3	1	7	5	2	12
8	Moreirense	7	3	1	3	10	9	1	10
9	Gil Vicente	7	3	0	4	16	11	5	9
10	Casa Pia	7	2	3	2	7	6	1	9
11	Portimonense	7	2	2	3	9	17	-8	8
12	Farense	7	2	0	5	11	11	0	6
13	Arouca	7	1	3	3	8	11	-3	6
14	Vizela	7	1	2	4	10	14	-4	5
15	Estrela Amadora	7	1	2	4	7	12	-5	5
16	Rio Ave	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
17	Estoril	7	1	1	5	14	18	-4	4
18	Chaves	7	1	1	5	8	19	-11	4

___
POS - League Position, PLD - Games Played, PTS - Points Earned
W - Games Won, L - Games Lost, D - Games Drawn
GD - Goal Difference, GF - Goal For, GA - Goal Against

[rdluffy]

It was another exciting journey, with a classic game between Benfica vs Porto, and Sporting winning the game in the last minute. In nine games, only 3 did not have red cards.

It looks like Boavista are losing ground after a great start to the championship, the are already five points behind the leader
And the last unbeaten team is Sporting

In the next round I'll get back to betting with the top 3 + Braga, the odds will be 2.38, it's not much but I'll stick to my strategy which has already worked well



I'm only thinking about the Porto game, it doesn't make much sense to place this bet paying 1.12, but the odds are enormous 

[joker_josue]

In the next round I'll get back to betting with the top 3 + Braga, the odds will be 2.38, it's not much but I'll stick to my strategy which has already worked well

Braga should have the most complicated game on this list. Normally, Rio Ave tends to make life difficult for these teams.
Therefore, pay attention to their performance in the Champions League, which may help you understand something more. Although they are very different games, of course.

[joker_josue]

After another not very positive week in European competitions, where only Braga managed to win, the next round of the Portuguese league follows:

MATCH DAY  8:
^{06.10. 20:15} Moreirense vs Boavista
^{07.10. 15:30} Chaves vs Gil Vicente
^{07.10. 15:30} Farense vs Vizela
^{07.10. 18:00} Braga vs Rio Ave
^{07.10. 20:30} Estoril vs Benfica
^{08.10. 15:30} Casa Pia vs Estrela Amadora
^{08.10. 15:30} Famalicão vs Vit. Guimarães
^{08.10. 18:00} Porto vs Portimonense
^{08.10. 20:30} Sporting vs Arouca
_{Info: day.month. time (Lisbon time)}

[rdluffy]

Braga should have the most complicated game on this list. Normally, Rio Ave tends to make life difficult for these teams.
Therefore, pay attention to their performance in the Champions League, which may help you understand something more. Although they are very different games, of course.

I'm very much in doubt now hehehe, but Braga did well in their last UCL match winning against Union Berlin
Here's what I'm going to do, a low bet so as not to take so many risks, and without the Porto match
That leaves Benfica, Braga and Sporting paying 2.21 in total
A maximum of 5 dollars  so as not to lose so much if the Braga match goes wrong

Thanks for the tips, they are always important to make a safer bet

[joker_josue]

Braga should have the most complicated game on this list. Normally, Rio Ave tends to make life difficult for these teams.
Therefore, pay attention to their performance in the Champions League, which may help you understand something more. Although they are very different games, of course.

I'm very much in doubt now hehehe, but Braga did well in their last UCL match winning against Union Berlin
Here's what I'm going to do, a low bet so as not to take so many risks, and without the Porto match
That leaves Benfica, Braga and Sporting paying 2.21 in total
A maximum of 5 dollars  so as not to lose so much if the Braga match goes wrong

Thanks for the tips, they are always important to make a safer bet

The observation I made was before Braga's Champions League game, which ended with a positive result. And this turnaround certainly motivated the team a lot, but it also caused a lot of physical wear and tear.

I think Braga has all the conditions to beat Rio Ave. Although Rio Ave doesn't usually make it easy. But, as they will play at home, perhaps it will be more motivating. We'll see.

[Slow death]

Braga should have the most complicated game on this list. Normally, Rio Ave tends to make life difficult for these teams.
Therefore, pay attention to their performance in the Champions League, which may help you understand something more. Although they are very different games, of course.

I'm very much in doubt now hehehe, but Braga did well in their last UCL match winning against Union Berlin
Here's what I'm going to do, a low bet so as not to take so many risks, and without the Porto match
That leaves Benfica, Braga and Sporting paying 2.21 in total
A maximum of 5 dollars   so as not to lose so much if the Braga match goes wrong

Thanks for the tips, they are always important to make a safer bet

The observation I made was before Braga's Champions League game, which ended with a positive result. And this turnaround certainly motivated the team a lot, but it also caused a lot of physical wear and tear.

I think Braga has all the conditions to beat Rio Ave. Although Rio Ave doesn't usually make it easy. But, as they will play at home, perhaps it will be more motivating. We'll see.

I put Braga in my multibet bet, but I must confess that this was a very difficult game for Braga and that I even saw Braga losing in this game, I even stopped watching the game when it was already 88 minutes in, for me the result The game was already decided and it was a very bad result for me, but to my surprise when I went to see the results of my other bets I saw that Braga won the game, so I was wondering at what time did they score a goal? So I did some research and saw that the first goal was at 90 + 1 and the second goal was at 90 + 6. With this result Braga won the game and kept my multibet bet still active


Estoril Praia 0 - 1 SL Benfica

What seemed to be a very easy game for Benfica turned into a very complicated game in the sense that Benfica were unable to score a goal, it seems that the day was not an easy one for Braga and Benfica. Benfica was also the same as Braga, who only scored goals after 90 minutes. I wanted to watch this game, but I fell asleep and slept, when I woke up I remembered the game and ran to see if they were still playing, but to my surprise the game had already ended, but it was a good thing I didn't watch the game because what I see it wasn't a very pleasant game to watch. I also bet on Benfica and with Benfica's victory my multibet bet will remain active

today we will have more games, the only game today that I added to my multibet bet, was the sporting game against Arouca, who in the last 5 games they have not managed to beat anyone, they are coming from 2 draws, 3 consecutive defeats, while Sporting is in a good moment as they have not lost in the last 5 games and are coming from 3 consecutive victories and a victory in this game against Arouca will make them top of the league. my bet is on Sporting's victory, I preferred not to bet on Porto, which despite being a team that counts on a lot of luck to win games, their opponent has mixed results and could be able to achieve a draw

[joker_josue]

today we will have more games, the only game today that I added to my multibet bet, was the sporting game against Arouca, who in the last 5 games they have not managed to beat anyone, they are coming from 2 draws, 3 consecutive defeats, while Sporting is in a good moment as they have not lost in the last 5 games and are coming from 3 consecutive victories and a victory in this game against Arouca will make them top of the league. my bet is on Sporting's victory, I preferred not to bet on Porto, which despite being a team that counts on a lot of luck to win games, their opponent has mixed results and could be able to achieve a draw

Porto hardly loses the game against Portimonense. In the last 20 games, Porto has won. There may have been one or two more complicated ones, but in the end he won. Portimonense is almost a "b team" of Porto, as they are clubs that have a very close relationship (too close, which sometimes becomes questionable). Therefore, even if they have difficulties, I believe Porto will win.

But, of course, we are in football and surprises happen.

[rdluffy]

The observation I made was before Braga's Champions League game, which ended with a positive result. And this turnaround certainly motivated the team a lot, but it also caused a lot of physical wear and tear.

I think Braga has all the conditions to beat Rio Ave. Although Rio Ave doesn't usually make it easy. But, as they will play at home, perhaps it will be more motivating. We'll see.

Your tip was very good joker_josue, although Braga won the match, it was VERY difficult
Rio Ave practically had the win from the 5th minute, and Braga only managed to secure the win after 90+6 minutes, after made a goal 5 minutes earlier, the win was very hard-fought and I thought they wouldn't be able to win. Rio Ave narrowly missed out on winning the match
So far my bet is working with Benfica + Braga winning, all that's left is for Sporting to confirm their victory, for now it's 1x0
But I bet only a small amount hehehe

[LTU_btc]

That was another interesting round with favorites achieving difficult wins. Benfica scored their only goal against Estoril only on 93rd minute. Didn't watched Porto game after they scored early goal, I expected that they will have no problems against Portimonense. But they didn't managed to score more.
Sporting were leading 1:0 against Arouca when Diomande got second yellow card. Score become 1:1 in 2nd half, but then Sporting managed to score goal playing 10 vs 11.
So, they go into international break as league leaders and only undefeated team, Benfica 1 point and Porto 3 points behind.

[joker_josue]

So, they go into international break as league leaders and only undefeated team, Benfica 1 point and Porto 3 points behind.

Without a doubt, everyone will be grateful for this break. They need to reorganize themselves and try to play more stable and safe games, so they can really achieve good results.

Although the main candidates achieved victories in this round, the games were difficult:

MATCH DAY  8 - RESULTS:
Sporting 2-1 Arouca
Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Famalicão 1-3 Vit. Guimarães
Estoril 0-1 Benfica
Braga 2-1 Rio Ave
Chaves 4-2 Gil Vicente
Farense 0-0 Vizela
Moreirense 1-1 Boavista


FEATURED MATCH - STATISTICS:

	Sporting 2-1 Arouca
57%	Ball possession	43%
12	Goal attempts	11
7	Goal kick	5
5	Kick out	2
18	Free kick	11
5	Corner kick	2
4	Offside	0
29	Touch line	15
4	Goalkeeper defenses	5
7	Fouls	18
1	Red cards	1
4	Yellow cards	7
131	Attacks	70
72	Dangerous Attacks	34

LEADERBOARD:

POS	Team	PLD	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Sporting	8	7	1	0	17	7	10	22
2	Benfica	8	7	0	1	18	7	11	21
3	Porto	8	6	1	1	11	6	5	19
4	Braga	8	5	1	2	20	14	6	16
5	Vit. Guimarães	8	5	1	2	12	10	2	16
6	Boavista	8	4	3	1	18	13	5	15
7	Famalicão	8	3	3	2	8	8	0	12
8	Moreirense	8	3	2	3	11	10	1	11
9	Gil Vicente	8	3	0	5	18	15	3	9
10	Casa Pia	8	2	3	3	7	7	0	9
11	Estrela Amadora	8	2	2	4	8	12	-4	8
12	Portimonense	8	2	2	4	9	18	-9	8
13	Farense	8	2	1	5	11	11	0	7
14	Chaves	8	2	1	5	12	21	-9	7
15	Vizela	8	1	3	4	10	14	-4	6
16	Arouca	8	1	3	4	9	13	-4	6
17	Rio Ave	8	1	2	5	6	14	-8	5
18	Estoril	8	1	1	6	14	19	-5	4

___
POS - League Position, PLD - Games Played, PTS - Points Earned
W - Games Won, L - Games Lost, D - Games Drawn
GD - Goal Difference, GF - Goal For, GA - Goal Against

[rdluffy]

That was another interesting round with favorites achieving difficult wins. Benfica scored their only goal against Estoril only on 93rd minute. Didn't watched Porto game after they scored early goal, I expected that they will have no problems against Portimonense. But they didn't managed to score more.
Sporting were leading 1:0 against Arouca when Diomande got second yellow card. Score become 1:1 in 2nd half, but then Sporting managed to score goal playing 10 vs 11.
So, they go into international break as league leaders and only undefeated team, Benfica 1 point and Porto 3 points behind.

This is a pattern I've been observing in the Portuguese league
As I've said a few times, I started betting and watching more games last year, before that I only watched a few league games, only Porto or Benfica
And many matches end up being decided in the last few minutes, as was the case in Braga's last match, with goals in the 90+1 and 90+6 minutes
Benfica also beat Estoril in the 90+3 minutes

And if you look, you'll find many matches with this pattern
Many bettors are likely to lose their bets with this
Most of my bets are on wins, it doesn't usually affect me, but I've seen some users lose bets on these final minutes

[joker_josue]

Most of my bets are on wins, it doesn't usually affect me, but I've seen some users lose bets on these final minutes

This happens a lot, especially in big team games, because small teams play a lot defensively. So big teams have to fight hard to overcome this barrier, which is not always easy. Thus, goals usually come in the last minutes, because small teams are already physically exhausted and are no longer able to defend as well.