Portuguese League - Liga Portugal 2023/24

[joker_josue]

Estoril vs Mafra - 1.60 odds for Estoril to win
Sporting vs Dumiense - Under 5.5 goals paying 1.99 odds

Two expected victories, without a doubt.

Estoril is playing good football, and has all the conditions to beat Mafra with some ease.
Sporting, on the other hand, even if they only play with juniors, they are capable of winning this game, so they will win easily and I won't be surprised if it's a rout.

[1714577219]

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[Slow death]

Sporting, on the other hand, even if they only play with juniors, they are capable of winning this game, so they will win easily and I won't be surprised if it's a rout.

 

Sporting is playing against a very weak team, at the moment I write, Sporting is winning, the game is in the 1 half, I just find it strange that the teams' formations are not appearing on Google, so I can't see who the players are of Sporting that are playing, anyway, I highly doubt that they would play with main players. but I would be cautious about seeing too many ( more than 5 goals ) goals in this game, if Sporting are playing very low ranked players then they would be on the same level as the team that is playing against them. Therefore, both teams would have the same chances of winning, which is why I avoid betting on these cup games, the bookmakers set very low odds but during the game you would realize that things are different


Benfica won, but it was a game in which they were very lucky to win, I say this because they benefited from the fact that the opponent received a red card and also had an own goal, from what I see Benfica was the only big team that failed to score many goals, I say this because Porto won comfortably, something like 4 goals they scored, the same happened with Braga who also managed to score 4 goals, currently Sporting is winning and has already scored 2 goals in the 1 half, and imagine that They will be able to score at least 3 goals. Benfica has had problems in attack, even when rotating players. I don't know what's happening to them

[rdluffy]

Estoril vs Mafra - 1.60 odds for Estoril to win
Sporting vs Dumiense - Under 5.5 goals paying 1.99 odds

Two expected victories, without a doubt.

Estoril is playing good football, and has all the conditions to beat Mafra with some ease.
Sporting, on the other hand, even if they only play with juniors, they are capable of winning this game, so they will win easily and I won't be surprised if it's a rout.

Hehehe, I won the first bet on Estoril, without any problem, but I lost the bet on Sporting -> under 5.5 goals
The match ended Sporting 8 x 0 Dumiense. After 3x0 in the first time I think Sporting would only make 1 or 2 more goals and relax in the game to save efforts to the next game on league, but they made 5 more goals, poor Dumiense 

At least I didn't lose any money since I won the first one 

[joker_josue]

Hehehe, I won the first bet on Estoril, without any problem, but I lost the bet on Sporting -> under 5.5 goals
The match ended Sporting 8 x 0 Dumiense. After 3x0 in the first time I think Sporting would only make 1 or 2 more goals and relax in the game to save efforts to the next game on league, but they made 5 more goals, poor Dumiense 

At least I didn't lose any money since I won the first one 

I had warned that the probability of a defeat was high. 
Sporting is playing very well, and Dumiense's team is very weak. Once they conceded the first goal, they would no longer be able to withstand Sporting's attack.

[rdluffy]

I had warned that the probability of a defeat was high. 

haha you warned me, but at least I didn't lose any money 




Finally I found a good multiple, paying a good amount, total 3.27
Porto, Braga and Benfica wins (thinking about Boavista, but I'm not too confident to bet against Arouca)
Any tip?

I think I'm going to make this bet

[joker_josue]

Here are the games for the 12th round:

MATCH DAY 12:
^{01.12. 20:30} Chaves vs Vizela
^{02.12. 15:30} Farense vs Vit. Guimarães
^{02.12. 15:30} Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora
^{02.12. 18:00} Famalicão vs Porto
^{02.12. 20:30} Casa Pia vs Portimonense
^{03.12. 15:30} Braga vs Estoril
^{03.12. 18:00} Moreirense vs Benfica
^{03.12. 20:30} Boavista vs Arouca
^{04.12. 20:15} Sporting vs Gil Vicente
_{Info: day.month. time (Lisbon time)}

[Slow death]

Finally I found a good multiple, paying a good amount, total 3.27
Porto, Braga and Benfica wins (thinking about Boavista, but I'm not too confident to bet against Arouca)
Any tip?

I think I'm going to make this bet

In recent times, Benfica has been a team that doesn't do well in European competitions, but is managing to have an acceptable performance in the Portuguese league, after the draw against Inter in the European Champions League game and disappointing their fans, I I think Benfica's players will come to this game with high expectations of achieving victory, they need victory in this game to strengthen the fans' confidence in the team. but the opponent is not a very weak team, despite having lost against Porto, Sporting and Braga I still see Moreirense as a team that could get a draw, that's why based on the value of the odds in favor of Benfica, I see the value of this odd being too low for the risk of betting on Benfica to win. In the last 4 games, Moreirense did not concede a goal

and this could be a warning, although Benfica managed to win in the last few games, these victories had a lot of luck involved. For example, in Benfica's last game the opponent received a red card and scored an own goal, before that game Benfica played against Sporting which won thanks to luck, this is because Sporting had 10 players in the first minutes of the 2nd half, before the game against Sporting, they played against Chaves, in that game Benfica scored 2 goals, but one goal was thanks to a penalty. In other words, in the last few games, Benfica won thanks to luck and if they play against an opponent who doesn't make the same mistakes, then a draw or defeat for Benfica will be the most likely scenario to happen.

[rdluffy]

In recent times, Benfica has been a team that doesn't do well in European competitions, but is managing to have an acceptable performance in the Portuguese league, after the draw against Inter in the European Champions League game and disappointing their fans, I I think Benfica's players will come to this game with high expectations of achieving victory, they need victory in this game to strengthen the fans' confidence in the team. but the opponent is not a very weak team, despite having lost against Porto, Sporting and Braga I still see Moreirense as a team that could get a draw, that's why based on the value of the odds in favor of Benfica, I see the value of this odd being too low for the risk of betting on Benfica to win. In the last 4 games, Moreirense did not concede a goal

Yes, you're right in your analysis, but I've already placed the bet so I don't forget later hehe 

A draw in the Benfica vs Moreirense game is a very possible result to imagine, but I still believe in a win, since benfica needs to recover from another bad result in the champions league, even the draw against Inter was pretty bad, after all 1 point in 5 games doesn't even look like the Benfica of last season

If you're still betting on the Portuguese league, share your bets with us here (if you can, of course), sometimes I'm missing good tips of good odds 

[Slow death]

If you're still betting on the Portuguese league, share your bets with us here (if you can, of course), sometimes I'm missing good tips of good odds 

In the past, when I made multibet bets, I bet on Portuguese league games, but I stopped making multibet bets because the risk is much higher, for example the Porto game against Farmalicao will be held today, but if I made a mutibet bet now and put Porto, Benfica, Braga, Sporting, I would be taking the risk of betting on a team that I haven't seen yet which players will play. because Benfica, Porto, Sporting and Braga are only strong because they have players with better skills compared to players from other teams, but if these good skilled players from the big teams are not playing, then the chances of the big team winning are low and in the betting Multibet is enough to lose just 1 game for the person to lose on every bet

That's why I prefer to make a simple bet with odds of 2.00 and above, anything lower than that, I haven't bet and I wait to see which players will be on the field so I can bet later, I analyze the teams I intend to bet on and wait for the day of the game for me. see the squad that will play on the side of the team I want to bet on and on the opponent's side. This makes it much easier for me to see how the defense and attack of both teams will be during the game and see if the odds have increased or decreased, when I see that the team I want to bet on has their best squad that brought them good results in the last home games. And outside, I can see that the opponent has the same defenders who have conceded many goals in the last few games

and they continue with the same attackers who haven't scored many goals in the last few games, so I see a good opportunity to bet, of course there are many times when the teams' formations and squads are changed a little, but in these scenarios I see if the best players are on the field and I look at the performance that both teams had at home and away from home. Now in these Portuguese league games it is much more complicated to find good odds to bet on. for example:

FC Famalicao - FC Porto

odd for Porto to win is @1.56, Porto has done very well in away games and Farmalicao has had an average performance when playing at home and in the last game in which these two played against each other, Porto did much better, winning and scoring 4 goals. but they conceded 2 goals and Porto has not been very reliable in recent months, betting on the over 2.5 goals market has an odds of 1.83 but I see it being risky, betting on under 2.5 goals would be even more risky. Betting on both teams scoring would be an option that I could even consider because it has odds of 1.92, but that would depend on seeing the squad that will play.

[rdluffy]

In the past, when I made multibet bets, I bet on Portuguese league games, but I stopped making multibet bets because the risk is much higher

I'm still doing the multiple hehehe

That's why I prefer to make a simple bet with odds of 2.00 and above,

So please share with us when you find a good opportunity 

FC Famalicao - FC Porto

odd for Porto to win is @1.56, Porto has done very well in away games and Farmalicao has had an average performance when playing at home and in the last game in which these two played against each other, Porto did much better, winning and scoring 4 goals. but they conceded 2 goals and Porto has not been very reliable in recent months, betting on the over 2.5 goals market has an odds of 1.83 but I see it being risky, betting on under 2.5 goals would be even more risky. Betting on both teams scoring would be an option that I could even consider because it has odds of 1.92, but that would depend on seeing the squad that will play.

This match ended with a victory for Porto 3 x 0 
Now I need Braga and Benfica wins

Thanks for your post 

[Slow death]

This match ended with a victory for Porto 3 x 0 
Now I need Braga and Benfica wins

Thanks for your post 

Braga played a good game against Estoril and managed to win the game, it was a game in which they scored 3 goals and conceded 1 goal, but it was predictable that Braga would be able to win that game, Estoril in the last 4 games didn't do much Well, they had 2 wins and 2 losses, so I'm not surprised by the number of goals, although the third goal was an own goal. With this result, Braga is in position number 4 and is closer to Benfica, Porto and Sporting. And talking about Benfica, they drew in their game against Moreirense, in a game in which there were no goals. This just showed how fragile Benfica's attack is, although Moreirense has done well when playing at home, Benfica was already showing many signs that they have a lot of problems in attack.

and with this result, it is enough for sporting to be able to win in their game against gil vicente, which is a team that is very bad in terms of performance, in the last 4 games they have not managed to obtain many victories, they only had one victory, so I see this This was a good opportunity for Sporting to win the game and be 2 points ahead of Benfica. Honestly, I see that Benfica could still get worse and fall in position in the table, I say this because I don't see any big changes to solve the current problems, in the European competitions they were a shame, in the last league games, they counted on luck to win , and you shouldn't always count on luck.

In the Portuguese league, games involving the favorites when they have odds above 1.25 already ring a bell in my head that the opponent has a chance of drawing or winning, I just need to do more research to come to the same conclusion, in the past these types of games have ruined many of my multibet bets and I preferred to stop betting like this, I see that Porto, despite being a team with a terrible squad when I compare it to Porto from other years ago, it still seems to me that they can be champions, they can count on the referees when they want or find necessary. The Portuguese league is very funny, so if Sporting wins today they will be at the top but then they will do something bad to give way to Porto or Benfica, they are the type of team that people can only believe are champions after the league ends, In other words, even if Sporting were 30 points ahead in the league, I wouldn't celebrate, I would wait for the league to end, same thing with Benfica. but in the case of Porto, if they are 9 or more points ahead, then they are already champions.

[Essential10]

sporting Clube de Portugal Vs Gil Vicente

Today Sporting Portugal invites Jose Alvalade Stadium to Gil Vicente in the Portuguese Primeria League. Sporting Portugal is second behind Benfica with 28 points, Gil Vicente are twelfth with 11 points. Sporting Portugal suffered a 2-1 defeat  to Benfica in their only league defeat. Gil Vicente has lost some momentum as they have gone winless from their last four league matches. As Sporting have a strong home record and are desperate to bounce back from their recent defeat, they will be clear favorites in this match. On the other hand, Gil Vicente will have to fight hard to break their curse of away games and try to secure points. I think Sporting Portugal will beat Gil Vicente 2-0 to top the points table.

[joker_josue]

This match ended with a victory for Porto 3 x 0 
Now I need Braga and Benfica wins

Thanks for your post 

Well, only Benfica didn't do what they should have done, win their game!
Benfica played one of the worst games of the season, and the coach was unable to make the best decisions to reverse the final result - a draw.

This time of year, things are more complicated for everyone. Sporting seems to be the most regular team.

[Slow death]

Sporting, who played against Gil Vicente, went through a very complicated moment, they managed to score a goal in the 8th minute but the referee invalidated the goal, and then they conceded a goal, because Gil Vicente managed to score a goal in the 33rd minute, I confess that they didn't I watched the game but I was following every minute what was happening, and when Sporting conceded a goal, I thought it would be very difficult for them to reverse that result, but even in the 1 half Sporting managed to score a goal and the game ended in a draw. This made me think that in the 2nd half Sporting could score more goals and win the game and when the 2nd half started Sporting managed to score the second goal

and it was already clear who would be the winner of this game, Sporting was already winning so all they needed was to strengthen their defense, but Sporting soon after scoring the second goal, they scored the third goal, it was already clear that Sporting would win the game, and today when I watched the highlights of the game I could see how Sporting dominated the game and how they could have scored much more than 3 goals in this game, they had 2 goals disallowed. With this victory Sporting is at the top of the table and this season if they continue like this, then they can become champions of the Portuguese league

the games of the next round, all the big teams will have easy games, probably Benfica may be the only team that will have a somewhat strong opponent, but I see Porto, Sporting and Braga getting a draw or victory, while in the case of Benfica They will need to be more effective in attack if they want to come out of this game with victory, and honestly Benfica are not doing well this season, which is why I wouldn't be surprised if they drop points in the next game.

[joker_josue]

the games of the next round, all the big teams will have easy games, probably Benfica may be the only team that will have a somewhat strong opponent, but I see Porto, Sporting and Braga getting a draw or victory, while in the case of Benfica They will need to be more effective in attack if they want to come out of this game with victory, and honestly Benfica are not doing well this season, which is why I wouldn't be surprised if they drop points in the next game.

It is clearly expected that Benfica will improve a lot in the second phase of the competition, otherwise they will have a season to forget.




Here are the data after the 12th round:

MATCH DAY 12 - RESULTS:
Sporting 3-1 Gil Vicente
Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Moreirense 0-0 Benfica
Braga 3-1 Estoril
Casa Pia 1-0 Portimonense
Famalicão 0-3 Porto
Farense 1-2 Vit. Guimarães
Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Chaves 2-1 Vizela


FEATURED MATCH - STATISTICS:

	Boavista 0-4 Arouca
60%	Ball possession	40%
10	Goal attempts	11
2	Goal kick	6
4	Kick out	4
13	Free kick	15
8	Corner kick	1
3	Offside	3
32	Touch line	20
3	Goalkeeper defenses	2
13	Fouls	10
1	Red cards	1
6	Yellow cards	4
121	Attacks	63
49	Dangerous Attacks	27

LEADERBOARD:

POS	Team	PLD	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Sporting	12	10	1	1	26	12	14	31
2	Benfica	12	9	2	1	23	9	14	29
3	Porto	12	9	1	2	18	8	10	28
4	Braga	12	8	2	2	33	19	14	26
5	Vit. Guimarães	12	7	1	4	20	14	6	22
6	Moreirense	12	6	3	3	14	10	4	21
7	Famalicão	12	4	4	4	11	13	-2	16
8	Farense	12	5	1	6	21	17	4	16
9	Boavista	12	4	3	5	19	24	-5	15
10	Portimonense	12	4	2	6	13	26	-13	14
11	Casa Pia	12	3	4	5	9	13	-4	13
12	Estrela Amadora	12	3	3	6	12	17	-5	12
13	Gil Vicente	12	3	2	7	24	25	-1	11
14	Estoril	12	3	1	8	20	23	-3	10
15	Rio Ave	12	2	4	6	13	20	-7	10
16	Chaves	12	3	1	8	15	31	-16	10
17	Vizela	12	2	4	6	12	18	-6	10
18	Arouca	12	2	3	7	13	17	-4	9

___
POS - League Position, PLD - Games Played, PTS - Points Earned
W - Games Won, L - Games Lost, D - Games Drawn
GD - Goal Difference, GF - Goal For, GA - Goal Against

[rdluffy]

Well, only Benfica didn't do what they should have done, win their game!
Benfica played one of the worst games of the season, and the coach was unable to make the best decisions to reverse the final result - a draw.

This time of year, things are more complicated for everyone. Sporting seems to be the most regular team.

It's not been easy to get the bets right so far hehehe, there have been a lot of unpredictable results
Although Benfica are still doing well in the league, in second place, they don't look like the same Benfica as last year

Despite losing their penultimate game, Sporting are looking more balanced and have a good chance of staying top.



So, let's risk another multiple 
Let's hope none of the four mess with my bet

[Essential10]

Benafica Vs Farense
The Estadio da Luz is expected to be a fortress for Benfica and they will be keen to maintain their strong home form. With a chance to overtake Sporting at the top of the table, they are desperate to secure a win in this crucial fixture. Meanwhile, Farense struggles will be a concern, especially against the likes of Benfica. Farense may have a solid defence, but Benfica will be keen to bounce back from their disappointing draw and prove themselves to their supporters. Home advantage and Benfica are expected to come out on top in this match. It looks like Benafica will win 3-0.

[joker_josue]

The 13th round of matches, with Benfica trailing at half-time. We'll see how the game ends.

MATCH DAY 13:
^{08.12. 15:30} Vizela vs Braga
^{08.12. 18:00} Benfica vs Farense
^{09.12. 15:30} Portimonense vs Famalicão
^{09.12. 18:00} Vit. Guimarães vs Sporting
^{09.12. 20:30} Porto vs Casa Pia
^{10.12. 15:30} Estrela Amadora vs Boavista
^{10.12. 18:00} Arouca vs Rio Ave
^{10.12. 20:30} Estoril vs Chaves
^{11.12. 20:15} Gil Vicente vs Moreirense
_{Info: day.month. time (Lisbon time)}

[Joca97]

Benafica Vs Farense
The Estadio da Luz is expected to be a fortress for Benfica and they will be keen to maintain their strong home form. With a chance to overtake Sporting at the top of the table, they are desperate to secure a win in this crucial fixture. Meanwhile, Farense struggles will be a concern, especially against the likes of Benfica. Farense may have a solid defence, but Benfica will be keen to bounce back from their disappointing draw and prove themselves to their supporters. Home advantage and Benfica are expected to come out on top in this match. It looks like Benafica will win 3-0.

Dosent look like it so far. Benfica was losing 0-1 and just scored a goal and it is 1-1. It looks had that they can win this match but still 15 minutes to go. This season they arent looking good and cannot win against teams that they should just destroy easily at home.

[Slow death]

vizela 1 - 3 braga

This was a game in which Braga arrived as the favorite to win the game without facing any difficulties, this is because the difference in quality between these two teams is very large, this can be seen by looking at the positions in which these two teams currently occupy in the table and the performance that each of these teams had in the last 5 games. for example,obraga in the last 4 games had 3 wins and 1 draw, they were coming from 3 consecutive victories for this game, while their opponent

Vizela in the last 4 games had 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, and had come from 2 consecutive games without winning. In this game, Braga was the first to score a goal and then they scored the second goal again, which was already clearer that Braga would emerge as the winner of that game, Vizela managed to reduce the disadvantage when they scored, but it was useless because they were unable to reverse the defeat and suffered the third and lost the game. With this victory Braga gets very close to Benfica who have 30 points while Braga have 29 points

benfica 1 - 1 farense

things are not going well for Benfica this season, especially in their attack which is being very inefficient, I had already commented on this, in the last games in which Benfica won, they had to rely on luck, and luck is not always It's something that should be said, I watched this game at stake and I confess that I saw it as a very boring game, Benfica in the 1 half created little danger in the Farense's defense, Di Maria even made some shots but they didn't cause much danger to the goalkeeper from Farense, with this draw Benfica is practically giving a signal that they are not in a position to fight for the title this season, it is enough for Porto and Sporting to win for Sporting to continue in first place but with an advantage of 4 points while Porto I would be in second place with an advantage of 1 point.