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Author Topic: Portuguese League - Liga Portugal 2025/26  (Read 4946 times)
rdluffy
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January 13, 2026, 06:19:23 PM
 #621

...
Well, a good league to bet on but most of this team matches come with small odds because bookmakers are certain that this team has high chance of winning their matches. Portuguese league isn't competitive compare to premiership, serie A and others. Here, Porto, Sporting and Benfica dominate the league and have been rotating the league title for years.

Exactly  Smiley
That's why I do a lot of parlays, because a few years ago I saw this pattern and decided to bet (literally) that the top 3 teams win the vast majority of games
It doesn't make much sense to bet on a simple 1 x 2 win, but parlays are a good deal here

Some matches are good for betting on +3 goals, but I'm still not very good at making those kinds of bets

 
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Pumared
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January 14, 2026, 02:35:17 PM
 #622

...
Well, a good league to bet on but most of this team matches come with small odds because bookmakers are certain that this team has high chance of winning their matches. Portuguese league isn't competitive compare to premiership, serie A and others. Here, Porto, Sporting and Benfica dominate the league and have been rotating the league title for years.

Exactly  Smiley
That's why I do a lot of parlays, because a few years ago I saw this pattern and decided to bet (literally) that the top 3 teams win the vast majority of games
It doesn't make much sense to bet on a simple 1 x 2 win, but parlays are a good deal here

Some matches are good for betting on +3 goals, but I'm still not very good at making those kinds of bets

In some Portuguese league games, it's quite difficult to bet on multiple selections. I'll cite the case of Braga and Guimarães, who went to the semi-finals with Sporting, Benfica, etc., competing for the title. So it's something very specific to bet on multiples.

 
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snipie
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January 14, 2026, 05:17:38 PM
 #623

In some Portuguese league games, it's quite difficult to bet on multiple selections. I'll cite the case of Braga and Guimarães, who went to the semi-finals with Sporting, Benfica, etc., competing for the title. So it's something very specific to bet on multiples.

Keep the bet in the league and within trusted teams because you never know the outcome of fluctuating teams like Braga and Gil Vicente.

Interestingly there will be a game today between Benfica and Porto in the cup. Both these teams didn't lose any match in the league so today, after 3 hours and a half, one of them have to lose the game. Most likely it will be Mourinho and his boys.

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ajanwalker
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January 15, 2026, 10:55:51 AM
 #624

Jose Mourinho has failed to win any of the 5 big matches he's managed since taking charge of Benfica. Benfica has been eliminated from two cup competitions during this period.

Yesterday, they lost 1-0 to Porto in the quarter-finals and were knocked out of the cup.

Benfica are also 10 points behind league leaders Porto.

I don't think Jose will stay at Benfica at the end of the season. Benfica made a big mistake by dismissing Bruno Lage. Perhaps Amorim could be Benfica's new manager next year. Because I don't think they will start next season with Jose Mourinho.


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Lannakosa
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January 15, 2026, 12:08:30 PM
 #625

Jose Mourinho has failed to win any of the 5 big matches he's managed since taking charge of Benfica. Benfica has been eliminated from two cup competitions during this period.

Yesterday, they lost 1-0 to Porto in the quarter-finals and were knocked out of the cup.

Benfica are also 10 points behind league leaders Porto.

I don't think Jose will stay at Benfica at the end of the season. Benfica made a big mistake by dismissing Bruno Lage. Perhaps Amorim could be Benfica's new manager next year. Because I don't think they will start next season with Jose Mourinho.
Benfica needed a change of coach, but I also agree that Mourinho turned out to be far from the best choice for Benfica. For them it was in some way a risk as well, because in all his previous clubs Mourinho showed that he is no longer as good as he used to be. Therefore the decision of Benfica to appoint Mourinho as their head coach was a risky step, but they wanted to try, maybe he would be able to work well with a Portuguese club. Now I also think that the Benfica management is already considering how to replace Mourinho, and most likely they are looking for a substitute for him.

 
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Pumared
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January 15, 2026, 04:27:12 PM
 #626

In some Portuguese league games, it's quite difficult to bet on multiple selections. I'll cite the case of Braga and Guimarães, who went to the semi-finals with Sporting, Benfica, etc., competing for the title. So it's something very specific to bet on multiples.

Keep the bet in the league and within trusted teams because you never know the outcome of fluctuating teams like Braga and Gil Vicente.

Interestingly there will be a game today between Benfica and Porto in the cup. Both these teams didn't lose any match in the league so today, after 3 hours and a half, one of them have to lose the game. Most likely it will be Mourinho and his boys.

Benfica has already suffered two consecutive defeats, and I hope they can improve their performance because they're not doing very well this way. They lost to Porto yesterday, but they're doing well in the league. They need to be careful; losing or drawing at this stage will be costly later on.

 
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nikola22
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January 15, 2026, 06:42:10 PM
 #627

Benfica has already suffered two consecutive defeats, and I hope they can improve their performance because they're not doing very well this way. They lost to Porto yesterday, but they're doing well in the league. They need to be careful; losing or drawing at this stage will be costly later on.

it's unlikely they will improve performace with Mourinho as head coach. Porto and Sporting look much better than Benfica. only weakness of other teams in Liga Portugal prevents Benfica from dropping below third place.

in my opinion, probably third place is Benfica's best result this season. it seems that Gil Vicente, Braga, Moreirense, Vitoria Guimaraes and others don't have quality players to compete even with such Benfica.

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January 15, 2026, 07:42:43 PM
 #628

I don't think that Benfica is doing badly in the league they are third on the league but ten points behind Porto the league leaders. The coach is trying his best to make sure that the team gets back to form building a team and getting results is not something that is done in a day but is actually a gradually process which takes time. Mourinho should just concentrate on the league because it's obvious that the league is were they have much hope on so maintaining a consistent performance in the league so that they can put more pressure on Porto that is on top the league.

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January 16, 2026, 07:27:25 AM
 #629

After a tough week for Benfica, where they lost against Porto in the Portuguese Cup, we return to the league and the start of the second half of the season.

Porto has a good advantage to win the championship, Sporting still believes they can catch Porto, and Benfica can perhaps only think about trying to secure second place.

Let's see how the second half of the championship will begin:


MATCH DAY 18:
16.01 20:15 Sporting CP vs Casa Pia
17.01 15:30 Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional
17.01 18:00 AVS vs Arouca
17.01 18:00 Alverca vs Moreirense
17.01 20:30 Rio Ave vs SL Benfica
18.01 15:30 Santa Clara vs Famalicão
18.01 18:00 Tondela vs Braga
18.01 20:30 Vitória SC vs Porto
19.01 20:15 Amadora vs Estoril Praia
Info: day.month. time (UTC)

 
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January 16, 2026, 08:08:34 AM
 #630

I don't think that Benfica is doing badly in the league they are third on the league but ten points behind Porto the league leaders. The coach is trying his best to make sure that the team gets back to form building a team and getting results is not something that is done in a day but is actually a gradually process which takes time. Mourinho should just concentrate on the league because it's obvious that the league is were they have much hope on so maintaining a consistent performance in the league so that they can put more pressure on Porto that is on top the league.
I gree with your points, because a team that is sitting in third place in the Portuguese league table is not doing badly at all. Beside there are still more matches to be played which am sure 17 matches are remaining to be play. So benfica still have the chance of getting to the top, if only they can be consistent in wining their matches this time around. And there's no doubt that Benfica has lost form, because their platforms has dropped currently making the team to inconsistent. And  I believe their coach is working on that to bring the Benfica team back to it normal state. So Fan's has to be patient with him, because it's not easy to bring a team back on form it takes time.

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January 16, 2026, 04:33:01 PM
 #631

Benfica has already suffered two consecutive defeats, and I hope they can improve their performance because they're not doing very well this way. They lost to Porto yesterday, but they're doing well in the league. They need to be careful; losing or drawing at this stage will be costly later on.

it's unlikely they will improve performace with Mourinho as head coach. Porto and Sporting look much better than Benfica. only weakness of other teams in Liga Portugal prevents Benfica from dropping below third place.

in my opinion, probably third place is Benfica's best result this season. it seems that Gil Vicente, Braga, Moreirense, Vitoria Guimaraes and others don't have quality players to compete even with such Benfica.

I'm inclined to disagree with you. If they continue at this pace, Benfica will fall below third place. The other teams are much better than them. In two or three rounds, if they make even one mistake, they'll drop several positions. They need to be much more competitive.

 
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January 16, 2026, 05:13:39 PM
 #632


it's unlikely they will improve performace with Mourinho as head coach. Porto and Sporting look much better than Benfica. only weakness of other teams in Liga Portugal prevents Benfica from dropping below third place.

in my opinion, probably third place is Benfica's best result this season. it seems that Gil Vicente, Braga, Moreirense, Vitoria Guimaraes and others don't have quality players to compete even with such Benfica.

I'm inclined to disagree with you. If they continue at this pace, Benfica will fall below third place. The other teams are much better than them. In two or three rounds, if they make even one mistake, they'll drop several positions. They need to be much more competitive.
The difference between the third position and the fourth position is quite far, namely eleven points, 3 rounds are not enough to catch up because it takes 4 rounds, to produce 12 points in chasing Benfica in 3rd position, the remaining rounds are only 16 rounds, if Benfica does not develop it will be very possible to be chased by other teams but I think it will be very difficult to see Benfica will not stay silent in a situation like this, they can still maintain 3rd position in the standings with their current abilities, I tend to see the potential for Sporting CP to make blunders in several matches and benefit Benfica.

 
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January 16, 2026, 05:43:07 PM
 #633


it's unlikely they will improve performace with Mourinho as head coach. Porto and Sporting look much better than Benfica. only weakness of other teams in Liga Portugal prevents Benfica from dropping below third place.

in my opinion, probably third place is Benfica's best result this season. it seems that Gil Vicente, Braga, Moreirense, Vitoria Guimaraes and others don't have quality players to compete even with such Benfica.

I'm inclined to disagree with you. If they continue at this pace, Benfica will fall below third place. The other teams are much better than them. In two or three rounds, if they make even one mistake, they'll drop several positions. They need to be much more competitive.
The difference between the third position and the fourth position is quite far, namely eleven points, 3 rounds are not enough to catch up because it takes 4 rounds, to produce 12 points in chasing Benfica in 3rd position, the remaining rounds are only 16 rounds, if Benfica does not develop it will be very possible to be chased by other teams but I think it will be very difficult to see Benfica will not stay silent in a situation like this, they can still maintain 3rd position in the standings with their current abilities, I tend to see the potential for Sporting CP to make blunders in several matches and benefit Benfica.
The top three teams are definitely far gone on the table and if they are careful enough, they won't be dropping form that spot by the end of the season. Porto are yet to loose a game this season with only one draw in 17 outings. The team is on fire, 21 points away from the 4th place which will not be easy for Gil Vincente to displace even the 3rd placed Benfica.

This league is one of the few leagues with such gap between the top teams. Porto is now dominating the league ahead of Sporting CP who lifted the title last season with only 2 losses and 7 draws. Sporting CP is now 7 points away from the leaders, can they overtake Porto? Let's watch and see.

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January 16, 2026, 05:49:49 PM
 #634

I'm thinking about placing a parlay bet on these three games.


MATCH DAY 18:
16.01 20:15 Sporting CP vs Casa Pia

17.01 20:30 Rio Ave vs SL Benfica

18.01 20:30 Vitória SC vs Porto


However, I'm not sure if I trust Benfica's current phase, hehehe

 
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khiholangkang
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January 16, 2026, 06:16:54 PM
 #635

The difference between the third position and the fourth position is quite far, namely eleven points, 3 rounds are not enough to catch up because it takes 4 rounds, to produce 12 points in chasing Benfica in 3rd position, the remaining rounds are only 16 rounds, if Benfica does not develop it will be very possible to be chased by other teams but I think it will be very difficult to see Benfica will not stay silent in a situation like this, they can still maintain 3rd position in the standings with their current abilities, I tend to see the potential for Sporting CP to make blunders in several matches and benefit Benfica.
The top three teams are definitely far gone on the table and if they are careful enough, they won't be dropping form that spot by the end of the season. Porto are yet to loose a game this season with only one draw in 17 outings. The team is on fire, 21 points away from the 4th place which will not be easy for Gil Vincente to displace even the 3rd placed Benfica.

This league is one of the few leagues with such gap between the top teams. Porto is now dominating the league ahead of Sporting CP who lifted the title last season with only 2 losses and 7 draws. Sporting CP is now 7 points away from the leaders, can they overtake Porto? Let's watch and see.
I don't know if you misquoted your reply, but we certainly didn't discuss that earlier, even though we were discussing staying in the Portuguese league. We were discussing Benfica's potential going forward, and that's the context. But it doesn't matter, let's move on.

The top teams, especially Porto and Sporting CP, will certainly continue to dominate, given their impressive improvisation in the standings and their continued improvement in their chances of maintaining their position in the standings. Porto, especially, remains unaffected by their consistent performance throughout the league.

 
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January 16, 2026, 07:13:22 PM
 #636

I'm thinking about placing a parlay bet on these three games.


MATCH DAY 18:
16.01 20:15 Sporting CP vs Casa Pia

17.01 20:30 Rio Ave vs SL Benfica

18.01 20:30 Vitória SC vs Porto


However, I'm not sure if I trust Benfica's current phase, hehehe


I have no doubt that Benfica will struggle to win this game against Rio Ave. I understand Benfica's stature, but this is a situation that needs to be seen live. Pre-game betting is very difficult without knowing if Benfica will actually want to play or if there's officially some kind of crisis within the team.

 
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January 16, 2026, 07:57:46 PM
 #637

...
Well, a good league to bet on but most of this team matches come with small odds because bookmakers are certain that this team has high chance of winning their matches. Portuguese league isn't competitive compare to premiership, serie A and others. Here, Porto, Sporting and Benfica dominate the league and have been rotating the league title for years.

Exactly  Smiley
That's why I do a lot of parlays, because a few years ago I saw this pattern and decided to bet (literally) that the top 3 teams win the vast majority of games
It doesn't make much sense to bet on a simple 1 x 2 win, but parlays are a good deal here

Some matches are good for betting on +3 goals, but I'm still not very good at making those kinds of bets
Every game has it's peculiarity just as every league and at such the odds that are accrued to every game is varies based on the rating between the two teams involved in the fixture. For example, if there is a fixture between Real Madrid and Valladolid, the chances of Real Madrid having the smallest odds is high, because they would be considered the favourites in such a fixture.

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January 16, 2026, 08:17:12 PM
 #638

I have no doubt that Benfica will struggle to win this game against Rio Ave. I understand Benfica's stature, but this is a situation that needs to be seen live. Pre-game betting is very difficult without knowing if Benfica will actually want to play or if there's officially some kind of crisis within the team.

Considering that the recent results haven't been positive, being 10 points behind the leader, and having several key players injured... Benfica is clearly in a minor crisis.

Now, they really have to react to this situation and try to turn things around and do everything they can to improve. We'll see if they're able to.

Last time, they drew 1-1 at home, will they be able to win?

 
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January 16, 2026, 08:19:20 PM
 #639

In some Portuguese league games, it's quite difficult to bet on multiple selections. I'll cite the case of Braga and Guimarães, who went to the semi-finals with Sporting, Benfica, etc., competing for the title. So it's something very specific to bet on multiples.

Keep the bet in the league and within trusted teams because you never know the outcome of fluctuating teams like Braga and Gil Vicente.

Interestingly there will be a game today between Benfica and Porto in the cup. Both these teams didn't lose any match in the league so today, after 3 hours and a half, one of them have to lose the game. Most likely it will be Mourinho and his boys.

Mourinho was kicked from the cup as expected by Porto. No shame since Porto is better than them and they were defeated by only a goal. Their performance wasn't that bad after all.
Braga is the other defeated team. They lost with a goal difference against Fafe  a team sitting in the other half of the table. As I mentioned above Braga is fluctuating badly and unpredictable..

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