coinrifft
Sr. Member
  

Activity: 364
Merit: 255
Rainbet
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October 05, 2026, 05:50:02 AM |
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Yes, I would tend to agree that we might not see a new all time high at the end of the year. But still seeing Bitcoin getting over the hump of $80k this October is already a huge accomplishment to all of us.
Cycle might change, nevertheless we could still be in the bear market and so with that, we shouldn't expect the price to go like a big spike. That's why we should be proud and happy at that least especially last August, we've seen a huge increased. So what ever the price will be at the end of the year, it's already a bonus to all of us.
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Wind_FURY
Legendary

Activity: 3808
Merit: 2239
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October 05, 2026, 11:33:18 AM |
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There's a higher probability that Bitcoin might NOT surge to another All Time High this year, BUT Bitcoin we know a more important part of the Cycle. - Bitcoin has already made its All Time Low of the Cycle, giving everyone another Golden Opportunity to Buy the DIP and HODL.  Congratulations. Right and hard to expect something more bigger than what we experience nowadays, but still its good sight to look at that Bitcoin is testing up the waters to climb back at 6 digits. We might not see a new all time high this year, the current pump happened is good for Bitcoin because it helps many people including those doubters to trust and decide to accumulate again. It's laughable because they still have NOT learned about scarcity, demand, and the Federal Reserve's "addiction" to printing more money. Bitcoin's surge during Cycles of Q.E. is ASSURED. Recent dumps also the recovery situation indicates there's no long dumps happen or Bitcoin is far away to die, if they just accumulate they already made profits when Bitcoin climbs back the same as what we have seen on current price right now.
Especially Bear Cycle DIPS that go near, or below Bitcoins 200-Weekly SMA line. 
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AprilioMP
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October 05, 2026, 01:10:13 PM |
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Yes, I would tend to agree that we might not see a new all time high at the end of the year. But still seeing Bitcoin getting over the hump of $80k this October is already a huge accomplishment to all of us.
Cycle might change, nevertheless we could still be in the bear market and so with that, we shouldn't expect the price to go like a big spike. That's why we should be proud and happy at that least especially last August, we've seen a huge increased. So what ever the price will be at the end of the year, it's already a bonus to all of us.
After closing September at $83,500, Bitcoin rebounded in October, peaking at $86,000 in the first week. Anything can happen with the Bitcoin price market. This statement demonstrates that Bitcoin's performance can change over time. For Bitcoin, historical data shows that October tends to be positive, with strong returns from 2019 to 2025. For six consecutive months, Bitcoin's monthly returns in October from 2019 to 2025 recorded six positive returns, compared to a negative return in October 2025. The cost basis distribution chart and price chart continue to be positive for Bitcoin.
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Swordsoffreedom
Legendary

Activity: 3654
Merit: 1236
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
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October 05, 2026, 02:48:52 PM |
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Yes, I would tend to agree that we might not see a new all time high at the end of the year. But still seeing Bitcoin getting over the hump of $80k this October is already a huge accomplishment to all of us.
Cycle might change, nevertheless we could still be in the bear market and so with that, we shouldn't expect the price to go like a big spike. That's why we should be proud and happy at that least especially last August, we've seen a huge increased. So what ever the price will be at the end of the year, it's already a bonus to all of us.
After closing September at $83,500, Bitcoin rebounded in October, peaking at $86,000 in the first week. Anything can happen with the Bitcoin price market. This statement demonstrates that Bitcoin's performance can change over time. For Bitcoin, historical data shows that October tends to be positive, with strong returns from 2019 to 2025. For six consecutive months, Bitcoin's monthly returns in October from 2019 to 2025 recorded six positive returns, compared to a negative return in October 2025. The cost basis distribution chart and price chart continue to be positive for Bitcoin. Earlier this year, it was hard to be bullish on BTC making a new ATH after it dropped below $60k and stayed there for quite a while. But things changed quite a bit after the unexpected moves in August and September. Bitcoin bounced back hard and is now only around 31% below ATH, with still 3 months to go. So it's too early to say BTC definitely won't print a new ATH this year. Nothing's guaranteed, of course, but the last few months at least give us more reason to be bullish.
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Olatundespo
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October 05, 2026, 02:49:33 PM |
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Yes, I would tend to agree that we might not see a new all time high at the end of the year. But still seeing Bitcoin getting over the hump of $80k this October is already a huge accomplishment to all of us.
Cycle might change, nevertheless we could still be in the bear market and so with that, we shouldn't expect the price to go like a big spike. That's why we should be proud and happy at that least especially last August, we've seen a huge increased. So what ever the price will be at the end of the year, it's already a bonus to all of us.
I see the potential for Bitcoin to reach a significant high this month, although some are talking about a price drop. The price is at its current level and could potentially go through a bull run at any time and touch $100k. It is unrealistic to expect last year's price cycle to repeat this year, but it may take a few more months to surpass $126k. The global financial situation is not as expected, with rising oil prices disrupting production and disrupting food security. The IMF says that global inflation will increase further and this rate may exceed 4.5. People's purchasing power will decrease and the poverty rate is likely to increase at the same time. The demand for Bitcoin is still increasing because a significant number of investors are seeking financial freedom rather than saving money and are holding Bitcoin.
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Doan9269
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October 05, 2026, 03:53:11 PM |
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We are still likely to experience more dip this year, there is enough time for investors to come in and invest to hold, bitcoin is taking its time to make it affordable for everyone and that is where we are experiencing both the high and low over the market price.
This is a way of ensuring that everyone is not left out of this opportunity with Bitcoin. This bear season, we are also expecting the altcoin season anytime from now, which finally shows the onset of preparation for the next season ahead for Bitcoin, as we are also moving towards the next halving in 2028.
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AprilioMP
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October 05, 2026, 04:09:39 PM |
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After closing September at $83,500, Bitcoin rebounded in October, peaking at $86,000 in the first week. Anything can happen with the Bitcoin price market. This statement demonstrates that Bitcoin's performance can change over time. For Bitcoin, historical data shows that October tends to be positive, with strong returns from 2019 to 2025. For six consecutive months, Bitcoin's monthly returns in October from 2019 to 2025 recorded six positive returns, compared to a negative return in October 2025. The cost basis distribution chart and price chart continue to be positive for Bitcoin.
Earlier this year, it was hard to be bullish on BTC making a new ATH after it dropped below $60k and stayed there for quite a while. But things changed quite a bit after the unexpected moves in August and September. Bitcoin bounced back hard and is now only around 31% below ATH, with still 3 months to go. So it's too early to say BTC definitely won't print a new ATH this year. Nothing's guaranteed, of course, but the last few months at least give us more reason to be bullish. ATH is just a matter of time because it's something that's certain to happen, but I'm not saying it will happen this year. I'm happy with the current growth because it's beyond many predictions, and while most people are waiting for a bottom, what's happening is an unexpected increase. The current price chart shows clear skies, even though the price chart in the second week of September was squeezed between two walls, between $62k-$65k and $84k-$86k.
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tokeweed (OP)
Legendary

Activity: 4844
Merit: 1645
Life, Love and Laughter...
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October 06, 2026, 12:30:35 PM |
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We are still likely to experience more dip this year, there is enough time for investors to come in and invest to hold, bitcoin is taking its time to make it affordable for everyone and that is where we are experiencing both the high and low over the market price.
This is a way of ensuring that everyone is not left out of this opportunity with Bitcoin. This bear season, we are also expecting the altcoin season anytime from now, which finally shows the onset of preparation for the next season ahead for Bitcoin, as we are also moving towards the next halving in 2028.
By 'dip', what do you mean? A dip that happens then forms a lower high or a dip that forms a higher low? There's a huge difference between the two... Locked the poll. There was more than enough time to vote but dunno what's wrong with BCT these days. Feels like it's dead and people are mostly here for their sig monies.
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nara1892
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October 06, 2026, 10:43:51 PM |
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Wow, what a great start to October! At first, I thought last month would confirm a reversal, similar to what happened in May especially since we’re currently in a prolonged downtrend after hitting a high of $125k. But it turns out the candlestick pattern in September formed a bullish engulfing pattern, which I typically use to confirm a continuation of the uptrend. Based on my knowledge of technical analysis, it looks like this could be the start of a prolonged uptrend (possibly retesting $125k), but given the current situation, I haven’t yet seen any signs of a price correction or the formation of higher lows relative to previous support levels. It seems we’ll have to wait at least until the end of the month.  
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dwyane36
Legendary

Activity: 3752
Merit: 2749
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October 07, 2026, 02:09:32 PM |
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Wow, what a great start to October! At first, I thought last month would confirm a reversal, similar to what happened in May especially since we’re currently in a prolonged downtrend after hitting a high of $125k. But it turns out the candlestick pattern in September formed a bullish engulfing pattern, which I typically use to confirm a continuation of the uptrend. Based on my knowledge of technical analysis, it looks like this could be the start of a prolonged uptrend (possibly retesting $125k), but given the current situation, I haven’t yet seen any signs of a price correction or the formation of higher lows relative to previous support levels. It seems we’ll have to wait at least until the end of the month.   Well, after three consecutive months of green candles, there's a risk that the next candle will be red. To be honest, I'd rather that didn't happen, because if October closes with a red candle, it would mean a break below the support level around $80-82k. That's unlikely to signal a trend reversal, but it would obviously delay the uptrend for a while.
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Wind_FURY
Legendary

Activity: 3808
Merit: 2239
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October 07, 2026, 02:17:30 PM |
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We are still likely to experience more dip this year, there is enough time for investors to come in and invest to hold, bitcoin is taking its time to make it affordable for everyone and that is where we are experiencing both the high and low over the market price.
Although, what sort of DIP should we expect NEXT? Because the market has gave an indication that the Four-Year-Cycle low was already front-ran by the WHALECUMULATORS, we probably shouldn't expect another DIP near or below Bitcoin's 200-Weekly SMA line, no? If you missed a Golden Opportunity to Buy the DIP, then DCA is your next investment option. This is a way of ensuring that everyone is not left out of this opportunity with Bitcoin. This bear season, we are also expecting the altcoin season anytime from now, which finally shows the onset of preparation for the next season ahead for Bitcoin, as we are also moving towards the next halving in 2028.
But if that Golden Opportunity comes, many people wouldn't believe that it's a Golden Opportunity. 
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STT
Legendary

Activity: 4802
Merit: 1533
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October 07, 2026, 10:57:13 PM |
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The fallback here is to be expected, the ceiling of prices goes back to last year where quite a bit of volume must still exist. We've lost the October positive start and the weekly moving average for now. The current lows reflect 82850 as support and thats probably more important for maintaining the idea of a bullish trend just now. Monthly average is 82k and 50 day average not far off that above 80k, I think so long as we're above the 50 day I expect bullish price action to continue after this sell is sated.
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PERtua
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October 08, 2026, 03:29:22 AM |
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The fact that this poll isn't really about the price that most people get right is what interests me more about it. As it is about how sentiment regarding the price changes throughout the year. The prediction at the start of the year was based on a limited set of data. And by early in the year, people will have new data on liquidity. Regulation, ETF flows and the economy. A comparison between the original votes and the subsequent monthly polls may then provide clues as to the pace of sentiment changes following significant events. From that point of view. The poll might be even more helpful as a snapshot of investor mood than as a forecast of the actual price.
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LuckyCrypto777
Member


Activity: 95
Merit: 249
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October 08, 2026, 05:36:01 AM |
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Statistics from previous years point to a possible upcoming bullish move for Bitcoin. This is confirmed by charts tracking price behavior in cycles. As for the local situation on the one-month timeframe, Bitcoin has landed on support:  I consider this positive news because it's a small confirmation that the price is likely to go up now, not down. It has something to rely on. However, if we hit resistance, it would most likely lead to a decline. Let's see what happens with the daily candlestick.
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coinrifft
Sr. Member
  

Activity: 364
Merit: 255
Rainbet
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October 08, 2026, 06:36:52 AM |
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Yes, I would tend to agree that we might not see a new all time high at the end of the year. But still seeing Bitcoin getting over the hump of $80k this October is already a huge accomplishment to all of us.
Cycle might change, nevertheless we could still be in the bear market and so with that, we shouldn't expect the price to go like a big spike. That's why we should be proud and happy at that least especially last August, we've seen a huge increased. So what ever the price will be at the end of the year, it's already a bonus to all of us.
After closing September at $83,500, Bitcoin rebounded in October, peaking at $86,000 in the first week. Anything can happen with the Bitcoin price market. This statement demonstrates that Bitcoin's performance can change over time. For Bitcoin, historical data shows that October tends to be positive, with strong returns from 2019 to 2025. For six consecutive months, Bitcoin's monthly returns in October from 2019 to 2025 recorded six positive returns, compared to a negative return in October 2025. The cost basis distribution chart and price chart continue to be positive for Bitcoin. Earlier this year, it was hard to be bullish on BTC making a new ATH after it dropped below $60k and stayed there for quite a while. But things changed quite a bit after the unexpected moves in August and September. Bitcoin bounced back hard and is now only around 31% below ATH, with still 3 months to go. So it's too early to say BTC definitely won't print a new ATH this year. Nothing's guaranteed, of course, but the last few months at least give us more reason to be bullish. Yes, nothing is guaranteed, as I have said, we're technically call this a bear market as we have seen the market goes to below $60k and there could be some of us who might lose hope during that time. But then again, the market shifts specially in August as we have a big spike in the price. So in the last few months, the sentiments might still be positive that we can still some growth to even $90k or even higher. If that happens, then it will be a good ending year for us specially those who still holds as of this time.
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laspol65
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October 08, 2026, 11:37:43 AM |
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The price of Bitcoin had a sharp decline at the beginning of the year, but by the end of the year it had reversed and the price of Bitcoin had proven to be bullish. However, Bitcoin will increase in value even more in the future, because I can clearly say that if you look at the Bitcoin chart from now until now and from now until the future, you will definitely find evidence of this. In this current situation, Bitcoin will continue to trend higher in price and it will be quite comfortable, where I see investor sentiment becoming stronger. Investors can take the opportunity to buy more Bitcoin and hold for the future.
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drangos
Full Member
 

Activity: 650
Merit: 105
SIG-A043B59AE2
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October 08, 2026, 12:32:53 PM |
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^ Here's the funny part tho and we've seen it happen again and again. The minute it goes to 70k - 72k, assuming that it goes there, some of the guys who bought around that range would prolly sell if the price doesn't move above that. And remember, we're in a bear market... There's a thing people like to say during bear markets and that's the opposite of 'buy the dip'... Sell the rips.  Bear market is just started and btc can make a new bottom arround $40k to $45k in the comming month. Last fed meeting remained unchanged the rate and also clarity act Bill is not pass. I think btc can do a consolidation zone between $55k to $58k and then break it to make a new Bottom in 2026. After making the bottom you Can "Buy The Dip" there Huh. But it's just my predictions I don't know anyone can predict the perfect Bottom of btc. Clarity Act Bill will be pass in August and Hope at that's time Fed can do some changes in Rate Cut So if all the things goes Correctly then Btc can Break this long resistance and going towards a new all time high but not this year. The chances to make a new all time high are very much possible in the 2027 Call me crazy, but I believe the hard thing about calling a bottom is that multiple variables may all be in motion at once. Nothing can buttress sentiment: if it gets better because of a Fed cut or some other development, BTC's likely to notch a new bottom or break resistance at once. Market participants can also price expected news before it actually has occurred. I feel it's better to monitor if there is any selling pressure being reduced and if buyers are able to hold up any higher lows than to just monitor one predicted level. The numbers of 40k or 45k may be achievable, but putting too much faith in any one number would not be helpful for the analysis.
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pooya87
Legendary

Activity: 4256
Merit: 12669
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October 08, 2026, 01:40:23 PM |
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I consider this positive news because it's a small confirmation that the price is likely to go up now, not down. It has something to rely on. However, if we hit resistance, it would most likely lead to a decline.
Let's see what happens with the daily candlestick.
Mid August we entered a new range for the sideways market. It is between $75k and $85k approximately (the two white horizontal lines in the chart below). It went above it for a little while but wasn't able to gain a momentum to turn into a bigger rise so now we are coming back down to the bottom level of that range. 
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LuckyCrypto777
Member


Activity: 95
Merit: 249
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October 08, 2026, 01:55:17 PM Last edit: October 08, 2026, 06:48:56 PM by LuckyCrypto777 |
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I consider this positive news because it's a small confirmation that the price is likely to go up now, not down. It has something to rely on. However, if we hit resistance, it would most likely lead to a decline.
Let's see what happens with the daily candlestick.
Mid August we entered a new range for the sideways market. It is between $75k and $85k approximately (the two white horizontal lines in the chart below). It went above it for a little while but wasn't able to gain a momentum to turn into a bigger rise so now we are coming back down to the bottom level of that range.  1) Your chart is correct, though it differs from mine. I see that you don't consider a price breakout of a resistance level until the candlestick fully closes above it, and that's correct. Your timeframe is longer, and it shows a more distant target - I mean the support level. Generally, I'm a proponent of not setting a strict resistance or support price line, it might even be better to plot the price range where the price was. This entire zone will then be considered resistance or support. It would look like this:  Do you think this view of technical analysis has any validity? 2) In general, I don't see any negative events that could lead to dumping a price of BTC in October, unless it occurs as a correction for organic growth in the future. But in terms of fundamental analysis, the US midterm elections aren't until November, and that's was an event when the decline began in all previous cycles (four years). The second negative event is Anthropic's IPO, also in November, which will lead to a loss of liquidity for Bitcoin. But October seems to be empty for such events.
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dwyane36
Legendary

Activity: 3752
Merit: 2749
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October 08, 2026, 06:18:42 PM |
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2) In general, I don't see any negative events that could lead to dumping a price of BTC in October, unless it occurs as a correction for organic growth in the future. But in terms of fundamental analysis, the US midterm elections aren't until November, and that's was an event when the decline began in all previous cycles (four years).
The second negative event is Anthropic's IPO, also in November, which will lead to a loss of liquidity for Bitcoin.
But October seems to be empty for such events.
Well, there are still some negative points this month, considering BTC has already fallen below $81k today, which is a bad sign. Judging by the chart, the uptrend line that began back in mid-August has been broken to the downside. Although there's still a long way to go until the end of October, it looks like we may see another "Downtober" instead of the much-anticipated "Uptober."
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