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Author Topic: Reason why most people under bet and miss out on big wins  (Read 1397 times)
Satofan44
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April 02, 2026, 08:28:05 PM
 #221

You are right mate, there's always a reason why some die-hard gambling will take loan to gamble, it's either they were very confident on the prediction they came up with by themselves of they were confident on the person that gave them a prediction to bet on. There's a saying that "had I know is the last word of a fool, "  It's exactly what some gamblers do but when their bet goes against them, they will start blaming themselves for taking a reckless decision, this is also the reason why some people think of suicide after losing the money they borrow.
It is called being delusional. Conviction should be reserved for reasonable things and where it makes sense, such as your ability to do certain types of skills or sports. People can "convince" themselves anything, such as that they will receive a billion dollars from heaven if they burn up all their money in a pit of fire -- this is the level of delusions that we are talking about here. Such moves, even if they turn out to have favorable results due to statistical variance, should never be praised or even tolerated -- they must be sharply criticized for the foolishness and stupidity that led to it.

~Snip
Of course that is the better option. Many people who are stupid think that they are smart and that by making choices they can make better outcomes with widely familiar and tested strategies. Obviously that is not going to work and if those people were not stupid they would not even try it. Whatever you think of, there's a 99% chance that someone has already done this before or that many other people have tried it before. Don't try to reinvent the wheel, on average nobody here is smart enough to do that. Stick to the well known strategies and betting approaches.
At the end of the day, everyone just needs to find a strategy or structure (fixed or variable bankroll) that gives them an edge and stick with it. The same strategy that works for person A won't work for person B and anyone who tries to force it on themselves will eventually lose because they won't have their own edge even though they another person's strategy. As for me, I still ex experiment with fixed and variable bet sizes. Variable because I want to go big on winners I have good convictions on and fixed on bets with normal gambling levels.
My point is different, I think you misunderstood in the details. Sure, everyone should try some strategies to find one that works for them -- and you are right that one strategy may not work for some people as it does for others and this can happen for many reasons. However, what I am talking about is the difference between these two things: choosing a strategy and creating a strategy. When exploring strategies, one should not be an idiot to believe that you are a genius that will win against the system and create your own bullshit strategy. Instead, when trying out strategies, you should pick from the well-established, tested and reputable strategies. There are many.

When people are stupid but they believe that they are smart, they create stuff like martingale which is not a strategy but a fool's adventure towards bankruptcy.

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April 02, 2026, 09:04:31 PM
 #222


~Snip
Of course that is the better option. Many people who are stupid think that they are smart and that by making choices they can make better outcomes with widely familiar and tested strategies. Obviously that is not going to work and if those people were not stupid they would not even try it. Whatever you think of, there's a 99% chance that someone has already done this before or that many other people have tried it before. Don't try to reinvent the wheel, on average nobody here is smart enough to do that. Stick to the well known strategies and betting approaches.

At the end of the day, everyone just needs to find a strategy or structure (fixed or variable bankroll) that gives them an edge and stick with it. The same strategy that works for person A won't work for person B and anyone who tries to force it on themselves will eventually lose because they won't have their own edge even though they another person's strategy. As for me, I still ex experiment with fixed and variable bet sizes. Variable because I want to go big on winners I have good convictions on and fixed on bets with normal gambling levels.
You are right, a lot of people focus too much on trying to know the winning strategy of other gamblers but they forget that even though those strategies are shared with them they might not even be able to get the same results. How a person applies his gambling strategies is different from how another would think of doing it. Some people follow a plan that involves staking high consistently to achieve it and if you cannot afford such amounts it won't work for you.

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April 02, 2026, 10:38:57 PM
Merited by Satofan44 (1)
 #223

~Snip
You are right, a lot of people focus too much on trying to know the winning strategy of other gamblers but they forget that even though those strategies are shared with them they might not even be able to get the same results. How a person applies his gambling strategies is different from how another would think of doing it. Some people follow a plan that involves staking high consistently to achieve it and if you cannot afford such amounts it won't work for you.

Yes, there's nothing like one-size-fits-all strategy because everyone's style is different so each strategy will differ from person to person. Psychology plays a key role too because even though two people adopt same strategy, they might execute it differently which would lead to completely different results. So everyone just needs to find a proven strategy and execute to the best of their abilities.



~Snip
My point is different, I think you misunderstood in the details. Sure, everyone should try some strategies to find one that works for them -- and you are right that one strategy may not work for some people as it does for others and this can happen for many reasons. However, what I am talking about is the difference between these two things: choosing a strategy and creating a strategy. When exploring strategies, one should not be an idiot to believe that you are a genius that will win against the system and create your own bullshit strategy. Instead, when trying out strategies, you should pick from the well-established, tested and reputable strategies. There are many.

When people are stupid but they believe that they are smart, they create stuff like martingale which is not a strategy but a fool's adventure towards bankruptcy.

You're not wrong. I misunderstood your earlier message but you made total sense. Personally, I'm a fan of not re-inventing the wheels.

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Today at 02:23:52 AM
 #224

Sometimes ago a friend of mine sent me a game to play because his good at prediction, but mind you despite how good he is , we alway lost but just have few wins
On that faithful day , I tried to fund my wallet, but network was terrible, so I had to use the little money in my wallet  to play it , the next morning he called to ask if I played , I said yes but not with reasonable amount because my network was down , so he said it has boom and he didn’t use big amount on that game because he wasn’t sure of his winning ,I was so shocked because winning days are just few ,
Most people have the funds but they like playing with little cash ,, I know it’s okay to bet with what you can afford to lose , but sometimes is better to level up your staking power so that if it is a win, let it be what can help you achieve one or two things , instead winning small always, when the winning comes.
Has anyone experienced such heartbroken situations???
I would like to ask one thing here: Where did you learn that using a larger amount in gambling increases the chances of winning? This mindset is extremely dangerous when it comes to gambling, as this same mindset causes gamblers to gamble beyond their ability to lose and face losses, as well as falling into a lot of debt.

In this case, we first have to see whether any strategy in gambling gives us any guarantee that we will win. In this case, the answer will definitely be that no, in gambling, luck always determines our victory and defeat. In that case, we must keep our limitations in mind and then gamble, even if small amounts are used here, we will call it more responsible gambling.
I didn’t say large amount increase the chances of winning,when I’m aware that winning is mainly on luck , and nothing is guaranteed so far gambling is concerned, I just notice May uses the smallest amount to gamble and when the winning comes is usually a small potential win ,I was curious to know why they under bet and still remain in a same circle , winning comes unexpectedly most times , no matter how good a person is at prediction winning can never be guaranteed most time, so thinking that higher stake increases chances of winning is out of it .

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Today at 02:47:20 AM
 #225

Small funds to start with and then the game goes either good or bad. Funds amount dont really matter your luck matters. You cannot control the game outcome no matter how desperate you are because a lot of factors are involved. The money you put in will eventually be washed away or doubled, if it gets doubled, you dont then you again face the washing or doubling.

Most people dont stop until the wash hits, not the double. Cheesy

With that logic you should be only small unless you get a decent win and then stop. But where is the fun in losing 365$ over a year over winning 200$ in a day?

 
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