Polymarket gets $300M investment from Trump Jr.’s group

[Myleschetty]

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Indeed, it might if there were no laws prohibiting the political leader and any members of their family from engaging in gambling or investing in it. This is because there is no assurance that the political leader's information would not influence any of their family members' decisions, and there's no assurance that it's the political that create or the investment using the family members private

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

Many people are keeping a close eye on the prediction market because of political involvement, and how the majority of the platforms in the industry are already experiencing problems because of the use of events that could result in someone's death or manipulation of an event.

[Outhue]

From what I've observed about Trump and his family, I can say for a fact that they know what they're doing. They won't just shell out $300mif they don't know they'd be getting something heavy in return. Given the fact that they have indulged in all kinds of shady business since he got into power. It's safe to say this is another opportunity for them to max extract before the elections.

Last time I checked, Trump and his family have been involved in pretty much all kind of businesses. Melania has her own brand of luxurious items, like dresses and accessories. Trump also was involved with gambling and casinos in the past, he even had his own brand of Vodka and bottled water.

Keeping in mind how much of a money chaser he is, it makes complete sense he decided to get into the business of Cryptocurrencies and stablecoins, (even having his own meme coin), even though he mentioned in the past how much of a scam Bitcoin was.

He does not have actual principles, he just follows the money.

Your last statement said it all, Trump has no actual principles, he is a money go getter and this is why things can fall apart, maybe not instantly but later on in life, because if anything big happens to prediction market in future they will have to cover it up to keep their reputation clean and doing this can drag them down. If someone can expose polymarket in the future they will drag Trump into the mess and believe me, prediction markets are all hiding alot.

[iv4n]

I don't know. But just maybe Trump jr. Is seeing something that we are not seeing.

Well, Trump Jr. is a partner in 1789 Capital, and he is a member of the Polymarket Advisory Board... So he is going for some huge profits. It's all about the money & making even more money. Is it a safe bet? When your dad is the president, I guess you know where to put your eggs...

If someone can expose polymarket in the future they will drag Trump into the mess and believe me, prediction markets are all hiding alot.

I don't think that will happen. They are way too protected, and they have an army of lawyers that are working on that...

[yhiaali3]

~snip~

With all these bans, why are they not doing anything about it ?
It's very uncommon for an organization who's truly ready for business and intends to stay longer would possibly be seeking ways to clear their names because most of these counties listed to have banned polymarket still allows gambling in their country, so banning polymarket wouldn't be counted as just a coincidence as something sure would have prompted it or don't you think so ? Or don't you think the company need to be bothered with these bans ?

The Polymarket platform is subject to bans and restrictions in several countries, such as France, the Netherlands, and Spain, because these countries consider that contracts for predicting political and sporting events are similar to or fall under the provisions of gambling, which requires local licenses that the platform does not possess.

As for why comprehensive legal action has not been taken or why it has not been shut down permanently everywhere, the platform seeks to operate legally by adapting to or challenging judicial decisions in some countries, and sometimes provides separate versions that are regulatoryly compliant with these countries.

[Pandu Geddon]

Your last statement said it all, Trump has no actual principles, he is a money go getter and this is why things can fall apart, maybe not instantly but later on in life, because if anything big happens to prediction market in future they will have to cover it up to keep their reputation clean and doing this can drag them down. If someone can expose polymarket in the future they will drag Trump into the mess and believe me, prediction markets are all hiding alot.

He is a businessman who gains power. So it's not surprising that what he does is always chasing profit. We will try to see if there will be other dramas emerging from Polymarket after this. Or other dramas like the red card intervention that meant nothing in the World Cup. When politics and money are at play, the game itself is no longer enjoyable.

[Hispo]

...

Your last statement said it all, Trump has no actual principles, he is a money go getter and this is why things can fall apart, maybe not instantly but later on in life, because if anything big happens to prediction market in future they will have to cover it up to keep their reputation clean and doing this can drag them down. If someone can expose polymarket in the future they will drag Trump into the mess and believe me, prediction markets are all hiding alot.

Well. I am not sure whether prediction markets are hiding much from the public or not. I am just sure it is quite a shady ecosystem, because the way they try to circumvent laws on gambling in several jurisdictions, and also because of the fact there seems to be a lot of inside trading going on...
Trump and his family seems to be concerned on making money, as much money as possible from this ecosystem and also the ecosystem of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

In order for some reputational downfall to happen, it would take for the government of the USA to uncover Trump and his allies has been actively engaged in inside trading.

[MRY]

...

Your last statement said it all, Trump has no actual principles, he is a money go getter and this is why things can fall apart, maybe not instantly but later on in life, because if anything big happens to prediction market in future they will have to cover it up to keep their reputation clean and doing this can drag them down. If someone can expose polymarket in the future they will drag Trump into the mess and believe me, prediction markets are all hiding alot.

Well. I am not sure whether prediction markets are hiding much from the public or not. I am just sure it is quite a shady ecosystem, because the way they try to circumvent laws on gambling in several jurisdictions, and also because of the fact there seems to be a lot of inside trading going on...
Trump and his family seems to be concerned on making money, as much money as possible from this ecosystem and also the ecosystem of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

In order for some reputational downfall to happen, it would take for the government of the USA to uncover Trump and his allies has been actively engaged in inside trading.

There is still an overall increase of public suspicion of prediction exchange due to the efforts to take advantage of the legal loopholes so that the exchange would not be considered as legal gambling. Such insider forms of transaction undercut the level of fairness of the market which is supposed to be functioning in a transparent and objective way. The susceptibility of online transaction programs adds to the suspicions of the vested interests of platform operators worldwide.

Wealthy political families are using the digital asset industry as a new source of revenues in the uncertainty of new financial laws. The pressure on the government to de-escalate the dealings in an illicit business brings a great challenge to the police in this superpower. Court testament is the only effective tool of crippling the status of political houses among citizens.

[Dogedegen]

He is a businessman who gains power. So it's not surprising that what he does is always chasing profit. We will try to see if there will be other dramas emerging from Polymarket after this. Or other dramas like the red card intervention that meant nothing in the World Cup. When politics and money are at play, the game itself is no longer enjoyable.

That even is nothing special, such actions happen frequently you just don't see them so often so you ignore it and when the media bring to light Trump each time they managed to make you emotional. Influence is not corruption on its own, people do this all the time in their work environment and in their private lives that is why this kind of case touches so close to them and they get upset.

Well. I am not sure whether prediction markets are hiding much from the public or not. I am just sure it is quite a shady ecosystem, because the way they try to circumvent laws on gambling in several jurisdictions, and also because of the fact there seems to be a lot of inside trading going on...

I don't understand why so many users here are against prediction markets and you use the most normal of arguments. Was this not the same case for cryptocurrency exchanges? For the longest amount of time possible they tried to avoid having to deal with regulations, change jurisdictions all the time and such things. And that is just an example that is close to us, the same was happening with AI and any other innovative and emerging products. Every large company that is chasing profit is trying to chase around regulations all the time.

Trump and his family seems to be concerned on making money, as much money as possible from this ecosystem and also the ecosystem of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Most users are doing the same exact thing, remember pump.fun?

In order for some reputational downfall to happen, it would take for the government of the USA to uncover Trump and his allies has been actively engaged in inside trading.

There is no proof of any kind of insider trading related to Trump directly, so this will not happen. We have seen cases of individual staff members and other people that are a bit more distanced, but I have not seen any kind of proof that Trump is involved in any way. They made so much money in recent years, why would they risk it all with some insider trading? That would not be so smart..

[DrBeer]

Polymarket is really growing. In the past few days I have read some topics here about prediction markets being abused through insider information, and now this news came out that 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, reportedly invested another $300 million in Polymarket.

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

A profitable investment, especially with Dad launching his new "business" - the "legal" pre-sale of insider information through his paid channels. Dad generates and sells valuable information, and the kids make money on the betting market. Well, it’s the perfect scheme!  It’s just that they’re young and successful, unlike the rest of us

[r_victory]

He's a businessman, and the prediction market is lucrative and promising. An investment of this magnitude really catches the eye. It's hard to know if there's something more behind it, but, to me, the fact that he's the son of the US president gives the impression that he knows something that's coming.

[Hispo]

He's a businessman, and the prediction market is lucrative and promising. An investment of this magnitude really catches the eye. It's hard to know if there's something more behind it, but, to me, the fact that he's the son of the US president gives the impression that he knows something that's coming.

Probably, he knows there is going to be positive regulation on prediction markets, which will eventually favor those who had invested on prediction markets like Polymarket, Kalshi and other similar ones.

But that is just speculation... It could be he just feels confident enough on the future of prediction markets and the possibility those companies continue to grow as time passes by.

Considering Trump has been getting much into Bitcoin and cryptocurrency and starting his own cryptocurrency company, it makes sense part of his family also does the same with other crypto-related companies.

[retreat]

For that man to put $300M into that platform, I think this is not a ordinary investment but more than that he wants to gain something much bigger from the US prediction market. Especially since he also has a stake in Kalshi, we already know where this is heading. The Trump family seems to want to move into a market with such growth potential. And getting there first, combined with Trump's privilege as US president, could allow them to reap significant benefits from the prediction market.

[lombok]

He's a businessman, and the prediction market is lucrative and promising. An investment of this magnitude really catches the eye. It's hard to know if there's something more behind it, but, to me, the fact that he's the son of the US president gives the impression that he knows something that's coming.

Probably, he knows there is going to be positive regulation on prediction markets, which will eventually favor those who had invested on prediction markets like Polymarket, Kalshi and other similar ones.

But that is just speculation... It could be he just feels confident enough on the future of prediction markets and the possibility those companies continue to grow as time passes by.

Considering Trump has been getting much into Bitcoin and cryptocurrency and starting his own cryptocurrency company, it makes sense part of his family also does the same with other crypto-related companies.

Public endorsement of political leaders on the prediction market sector has generated goodwill that has expedited the establishment of the use of decentralized businesses as legal. The monetarable inclination of making some money has promoted direct family participation in constructing strategic shareholding networks.

Combination of bureaucratic authority and the crypto ecosystem opens the way to regulatory stability to the advantage of the flow of private funds. Risky initial investment gives certainty of a long term business commitment to establish market share before the competition in the industry may heighten.

[Hispo]

Risky initial investment gives certainty of a long term business commitment to establish market share before the competition in the industry may heighten.

It is still a gamble, though.
Because even if his father is in the center of political power in the country, an future democrat administration could come in and undo what Trump and his republican allies has managed to establish in there years.
Basically, this is a 300 Million dollar gamble on a positive future for prediction markets.

If regulation turn negative in the next decade and American bettors are restricted from participating on Polymarket, then this investment could turn into a loss.

[Nwada001]

From what I've observed about Trump and his family, I can say for a fact that they know what they're doing. They won't just shell out $300mif they don't know they'd be getting something heavy in return. Given the fact that they have indulged in all kinds of shady business since he got into power. It's safe to say this is another opportunity for them to max extract before the elections.

This $300m is not the first time they are investing with Polymarket; they have thrown in about $200m before into the market, which this time around for them to also increase their investment with Polymarket, they might have gotten close to the value of their previous investments and sought more.

That's if they are not already co-owing the market, which could define the reason why they are not being banned on a national level, like they are facing challenges in some US states.

[Ishicryptic]

He's a businessman, and the prediction market is lucrative and promising. An investment of this magnitude really catches the eye. It's hard to know if there's something more behind it, but, to me, the fact that he's the son of the US president gives the impression that he knows something that's coming.

Speculations are wild regarding what Trump jr., could really have in mind to dump such a huge amount on a prediction sites, some of us are wondering if he's just investing his money as a business man on a business that is lucrative. Perhaps he is trying to make a statement to countries that are restricting and banning prediction sites that the sites are most welcome in America, and being the president's son that they are untouchable in America, it could be that there is more to it which would unfold in due time. Clearly prediction market is growing stronger despite all the criticisms about insider trading which is making a number of the wins in the sector to be questionable. I wouldn't want to believe that Trump jr., who obviously is privileged to information that can be traded on polymarket would take undue advantage about his privileges to make illegal trades or do it through his associates.

[o48o]

I smell dirty in Polymarket. We all know how Trump and his family has been making profit from market manipulation on crypto and how insiders are getting information from the military operations to manipulate the market. Now Trump Jnr. is supporting Polymarket with funds. It might give him another power to manipulate the market with his friends and make more profit.

Nobody dare challenges the Trump family and I believe regulations will be on a minimal or if possible abandoned for now till Trump steps down from power.

I have a problem to believe that he will step down willingly when it comes to transition of power. But i am fairly sure that i couldn't bet that on polymarket. Or that his health would last to end of the term, which one definitely couldn't bet on.

But when the term is over, his whole posse will be investigated for years and eventually there will be real consequences for them. Now they are just riding the wave and try to make as much money while they can.

[tiCeR]

He's a businessman, and the prediction market is lucrative and promising. An investment of this magnitude really catches the eye. It's hard to know if there's something more behind it, but, to me, the fact that he's the son of the US president gives the impression that he knows something that's coming.

Speculations are wild regarding what Trump jr., could really have in mind to dump such a huge amount on a prediction sites, some of us are wondering if he's just investing his money as a business man on a business that is lucrative. Perhaps he is trying to make a statement to countries that are restricting and banning prediction sites that the sites are most welcome in America, and being the president's son that they are untouchable in America, it could be that there is more to it which would unfold in due time. Clearly prediction market is growing stronger despite all the criticisms about insider trading which is making a number of the wins in the sector to be questionable. I wouldn't want to believe that Trump jr., who obviously is privileged to information that can be traded on polymarket would take undue advantage about his privileges to make illegal trades or do it through his associates.

Congratulations to Polymarket anyway because one thing is sure now, regulation won't be made against them in the near future. I wonder what happens if the democrats were to take over again, I think this is one area that they would want to see regulated much harsher than it is now. Or is it regulated at all? I don't really know what the situation is, but having a person from the Trump clan invested will definitely help them down the road.

As for suspicious markets or exploitation thereof, I think that's going to happen either way. Since you can literally open any market you want, information advantages will play a role forever. I am just surprised that some of these markets accumulate so much volume when actually everybody knows that there is a counterparty with more knowledge than others.

[uneng]

It's obvious Trump clan saw in Polymarket an opportunity to maximize profits. The investment made must represent a marketing boost to Polymarket, as they encourage people to engage with this when seeking for opinions and outcomes for global events. They use the ideological propaganda that Polymarket tells the truth regards the opinion and beliefs of the masses, while the traditional media sells fake news.

However, he doesn't aim reaching truth at all. He just want to engage most people as possible on this activity inside the platforms, what means there will be more people prone to be manipulated by his inside information schemes on the backgrounds. He is taking money from the fools who blindly follow him. That is all.

[nelson4lov]

For that man to put $300M into that platform, I think this is not a ordinary investment but more than that he wants to gain something much bigger from the US prediction market. Especially since he also has a stake in Kalshi, we already know where this is heading. The Trump family seems to want to move into a market with such growth potential. And getting there first, combined with Trump's privilege as US president, could allow them to reap significant benefits from the prediction market.

I don't think they invested in Polymarket only because of the supposed "growth". Imo, there would be much more to that deal because Trump and his boys are known to indulge with all kinds of shady just to max extract so I wouldn't be surprised if they have something up their sleeves with this Polymarket investment. We are talking about same family that profits a lot from insider info and Polymarket is a platform that people trade uncertainty.