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Author Topic: 2014 USD/mBTC Price Prediction Contest  (Read 21846 times)
Foxpup
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June 30, 2014, 01:40:49 PM
 #221

I wait until the bidders in the USMS auction know the result. I'm guessing that price will go up at 9 PM GMT, but want to see it first before I submit Wink
I submitted my prediction without waiting. I like to live dangerously. Cool

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sgbett
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June 30, 2014, 04:06:57 PM
 #222

Yeah I submitted already too. Price has basically gone nowhere so my predictions haven't changed!

"A purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash would allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution" - Satoshi Nakamoto
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bluemoon
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June 30, 2014, 07:09:09 PM
 #223

Well, I've submitted my predictions now.

It certainly helps having fewer months, plus I find I'm fairly constrained by my previous predictions.
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July 01, 2014, 12:00:29 AM
 #224

eventually, I didn't change much in my predictions and kept the "probability fork" rather large because a lot of information will be released in the next weeks and isn't known yet now.

I'm guessing the price for this month is >630 USD? no?  Grin
sgbett
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July 01, 2014, 12:03:51 AM
 #225

i think its a close call as its VWAP. might end up being just below even though it was well over by midnight UTC.

"A purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash would allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution" - Satoshi Nakamoto
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dnaleor
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July 01, 2014, 12:08:07 AM
 #226

i think its a close call as its VWAP. might end up being just below even though it was well over by midnight UTC.

where can we check the "VWAP" (whatever it means) by ourselves? Smiley
wachtwoord
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July 01, 2014, 12:46:02 AM
Last edit: July 01, 2014, 01:54:33 AM by wachtwoord
 #227

And I lost again on the last day. Can we move all final dates back one day please? I'd have a lot more points!

EDIT:

And then I looked up VWAP. Lower than 630 right?  Roll Eyes
Foxpup
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July 01, 2014, 05:51:31 AM
 #228

And then I looked up VWAP. Lower than 630 right?  Roll Eyes
Right. 0.5194+0.6393 points for me, bringing my score to a total of 1.7058. Sorry, bluemoon.

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July 01, 2014, 08:04:46 AM
 #229

And then I looked up VWAP. Lower than 630 right?  Roll Eyes
Right. 0.5194+0.6393 points for me, bringing my score to a total of 1.7058. Sorry, bluemoon.

Congratulations, Foxpup!

I'll be travelling, but I'll try to keep an eye on things.

I'm hoping July proves to be a little more exciting than June ... Smiley
dnaleor
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July 01, 2014, 08:31:02 AM
 #230

Looked it up. VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price Smiley
Seems it was 625.26 USD...

I get only 0.36 points (in stead of 1.28 points in case exchange rate went above 630)
which means a total of 2.45 points
wachtwoord
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July 01, 2014, 11:16:51 AM
 #231

Okay then I get 3.89 points bringing my total to 0.37. 1 slot lower in price (where the price was until a few days ago) I would have made double the points Wink
Foxpup
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July 06, 2014, 07:57:24 AM
 #232

Bumping for leaderboard and orange numbers.

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wachtwoord
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July 06, 2014, 03:40:45 PM
 #233

Bumping for leaderboard and orange numbers.

Haha, I was just thinking of doing the same
rpietila (OP)
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July 06, 2014, 04:02:07 PM
 #234

Bumping for leaderboard and orange numbers.

Haha, I was just thinking of doing the same

I have been promised that all input from you has been timely received, and the orangization will happen as soon as possible.

HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
wachtwoord
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July 10, 2014, 08:29:57 PM
 #235

Bumping for leaderboard and orange numbers.

Haha, I was just thinking of doing the same

I have been promised that all input from you has been timely received, and the orangization will happen as soon as possible.

Getting more curious Smiley
dnaleor
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July 10, 2014, 09:33:40 PM
 #236

Bumping for leaderboard and orange numbers.

Haha, I was just thinking of doing the same

I have been promised that all input from you has been timely received, and the orangization will happen as soon as possible.

Getting more curious Smiley

me 2 Wink

I want to know if I need to pump the exchange rate to 800, 1000 or 2000 to  be able to collect my max ammount of points  Grin
wachtwoord
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July 10, 2014, 09:56:04 PM
 #237

Bumping for leaderboard and orange numbers.

Haha, I was just thinking of doing the same

I have been promised that all input from you has been timely received, and the orangization will happen as soon as possible.

Getting more curious Smiley

me 2 Wink

I want to know if I need to pump the exchange rate to 800, 1000 or 2000 to  be able to collect my max ammount of points  Grin

Definitely 2000. Added bonus: I'll be out of the competition! Smiley

gogogogogo!
dnaleor
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July 15, 2014, 02:18:38 PM
 #238

any update?
wachtwoord
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July 15, 2014, 02:27:02 PM
 #239

any update?

Good question, half of the month is over already.
rpietila (OP)
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July 15, 2014, 03:07:43 PM
 #240

any update?

Good question, half of the month is over already.

All data for this month is safe Smiley Orange numbers coming soon Smiley What did you expect? Smiley

HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
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