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Author Topic: It's called a correction (waveaddict's bitcoin charting subscription thread)  (Read 86806 times)
waveaddict
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June 25, 2012, 06:19:33 AM
 #1041

Just sent out today's email    Cheesy      Trouble   
June 24 update contains charts: 302, 309

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June 25, 2012, 08:28:33 AM
 #1042

Just sent out today's email    Cheesy      Trouble   
June 24 update contains charts: 302, 309

Did the dump (around 8 bitcoincharts time)  happen after this update?
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June 26, 2012, 05:58:10 AM
 #1043

Just sent out today's email  Cheesy      Confirmation
June 25 update contains charts: 312, 313

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June 27, 2012, 06:46:37 AM
 #1044

Just sent out today's email   Cheesy      Crystal Ball Time
June 26 update contains charts: 302, 314

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June 27, 2012, 04:08:42 PM
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July 01, 2012, 07:19:35 AM
 #1046

Just sent out today's email   Cheesy      Volume     
June 30 update contains chart: 319

June 29 update contained chart: 318

June 28 update contained chart: 317

June 27 update contained chart: 315, 316

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July 02, 2012, 06:52:06 AM
 #1047

Just sent out today's email    Cheesy      Odds    
July 1 update contains chart: 320

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July 03, 2012, 04:02:03 AM
 #1048

Just sent out today's email     Cheesy      Review
July 2 update contains charts: 321, 322, 302

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July 04, 2012, 03:53:36 AM
 #1049

Just sent out today's email      Cheesy      According to Plan
July 3 update contains charts: 323

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July 04, 2012, 07:04:10 PM
 #1050

Hello all,  Cheesy

For anyone doubting the practicality of Technical Analysis (TA) and especially Elliott Wave Theory (EWT), I believe the following record of mine on silver will dispel any doubts: http://imageshack.us/f/859/325z.png/ >>> click on the image to enlarge after clicking on the link.

The above image is a collection of my short-term weekly silver charts that I provide for my regular subscribers who pay an extra .5 bitcoins/month on top of their usual 2.5 bitcoins/month for my daily bitcoin analysis. Each simplified chart within this image represents one week's short-term expectation and likely direction(s) (without the analysis and reasoning, because this is solely reserved for my subscribers). Every week I provide the most likely direction(s) (the BLACK and BLUE lines) that the price could take, and this/these projection(s) are derived from my personal experience, talent, and especially knowledge in the art/science of technical analysis; and yes, I always explain my reasoning so that my subscribers can learn why and how I see certain outcomes. Furthermore, on top of this short-term analysis, subscribers are provided with plenty of longer term charts, analysis and projections, along with a subscriber-only chat room for subscribers to discuss TA and EWT among themselves.

So, if anyone would like to learn about the art/science of Technical Analysis/Elliott Wave from my analysis of bitcoin/silver/etc and subsequently start making money from this knowledge, my subscription service is a very cheap and effective way of doing so; and for those wondering, I try to make my service affordable to everyone and that is the only reason why I am charging so little. I love teaching what I know, but I will not share this knowledge for free. The subscription payment is more about the principle than anything else.  

*This is my first attempt at advertising my service after I stopped posting my wave projections on this forum in mid-February when I started my subscription service. I may, during a later date, provide a similar simplified collection of some of my charts relating to bitcoin. If you are interested in subscribing, send me a PM or email me at e73d8e38j4od893k2kd@hushmail.com; I'm always willing to take on new subscribers.

Cheers!
-waveaddict

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July 17, 2012, 02:45:19 PM
 #1051

Just sent out today's email       Cheesy      Volume Shock
July 17 update contains charts: 346 & 347

July 16 update contained charts: 345

July 15 update contained charts: 246, 249, 344

July 14 update contained charts: 343

July 13 update contained charts: 340, 341, 342

July 12 update contained charts: 339

July 11 update contained charts: 338

July 10 update contained charts: 336, 337

July 9 update contained charts: 333, 334, 335

July 8 update contained charts: 332

July 7 update contained charts: 302, 330, 331

July 6 update contained charts: 318, 329

July 5 update contained charts: 328

July 4 update contained charts: 326

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July 25, 2012, 04:19:00 PM
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August 19, 2012, 05:05:58 PM
 #1053

Hello again all,  Cheesy

Okay, it is probably a good idea for me to advertise the bitcoin portion of my service.

Below is the email from August 6:


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers,

(388) is an updated collection of support and resistance trend-lines to keep an eye on. (388)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/545/388j.png/

(390) is an updated look at the usual daily underlying indicators. Many of them are pointing to the same picture--that the price is heading lower or sideways first before heading higher later on. (390)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/546/390k.png/

(389) is an updated short-term Elliott Wave picture. At the moment, both the corrective flat and triangle options are still on the table. (389)>>>http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/821/389r.png/

Enjoy!
-waveaddict

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Below is the August 15 email and charts:


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers,

(411) is an updated collection of support and resistance trend-lines to keep an eye on. The price broke above new upper channel resistance today only to be stopped by the mid-$13s Fibonacci confluence resistance. The question now is whether the price will stay above the upper channel trend-line or fall back within it. Exiting a channel for a brief period of time before re-entering it is known as a throw-over and is typical during reversals. If the price manages to surpass the mid-$13s, it could easily go vertical towards the $16 (2x new channel resistance) and mid-$17 (another key Fibonacci resistance) area before reversing hard back down in what will look like a bubble top. (411)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/502/411e.png/

(412) is an updated view/explanation on the usual basket of daily underlying indicators. Notice how the daily RSI has reached 90 (upper channel resistance). I'm not really sure how much higher the price can head with the RSI, SS, and ADX in dangerously overbought territory. (412)>>>http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/62/412b.png/

(413) is the only way I can make sense out of the short-term Elliott Wave picture...and yes, it's a forced count. (413)>>>http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/840/413lf.png/

Enjoy, and as always, feel free to ask any questions via email or chatzy,
-waveaddict


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Below is the August 16 email and charts:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers,

           Bitcoin is officially in TA bubble mode after breaking the new upper channel resistance from yesterday along with the mid-$13s Fibonacci confluence resistance alongside heavily overbought daily and weekly underlying indicators (RSI, ADX, SS). Bubbles, by nature are irrational and highly unpredictable, so be very careful if you decide to trade it. It will most likely be very fast and highly volatile with the top occurring pretty much anywhere, although one can speculate that it might end at ~mid-$16s (2x upper channel resistance), ~$17 (50% Fibonacci retracement based off the $32 to $2 wave), or ~$20.5 (61.8 Fibonacci retracement based off the $32 to $2 wave). There is a good chance that the top will occur within the next few days after watching the price begin its vertical ascent seen in chart 415 which is typically the last stage of a classic bubble. After the actual top is in, the price will likely plunge 10, 20, 30%+ almost immediately in what will feel unbearable if you are caught long during it. So again, be very careful. Keep a very close eye on the hourly 50sma, and especially the hourly 200sma; once the hourly 200sma falls, the bubble is most likely over.

(415) is an updated collection of support and resistance trend-lines to keep an eye on. (415)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/826/415l.png/

The short-term Elliott Wave picture continues to have the price in a blow-off extended 5th wave as illustrated in yesterday's past chart 413. The daily and weekly ADX, RSI, and SS continue to be in extremely overbought territory, while the daily and weekly MACD continue to brush off these indicators and continue hooking higher adding lone underlying indicator support to this rally as seen in yesterday's past chart 412. At the moment, the daily RSI is at 93.15, the daily SS is at 96.62, the daily ADX is at 73.12, the weekly RSI is at 87.67, the weekly SS is at 96, and the weekly ADX is at 72.31.

**Many of you have recently asked me about changing my 2.5/month subscription cost to compensate for the large price increase that bitcoin has experienced relative to cash. I am still debating how I am going to handle this, but I will definitely come out with revised payment structure tomorrow. For anyone who has already paid me this month, I will immediately refund you the difference if my new payment structure would have allowed you to pay less for this month. Furthermore, this weekend, I am going to be releasing Part II of my Elliott Wave educational series titled, Building Blocks.

Enjoy, and as always, feel free to ask me any questions,
-waveaddict

-----------------------------------Here is a pic of the subscriber chat room during the crash: http://imageshack.us/f/198/422c.png/

Below is the email and charts from August 17:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers, I'm hoping everyone came out of today's dramatic reversal relatively unscathed if not a little bit richer in either dollar or BTC terms.

(417) is an updated collection of support and resistance trend-lines to keep an eye on. The price broke below the hourly 200sma today which ended the bubble. For the time being, the daily 20sma, new lower channel resistance, weekly upper bollinger band, and 2x old channel resistance (now support) are keeping the price from plunging further. Until they fall, the bullish trend is technically still intact from purely a support/resistance viewpoint. (417)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/337/417g.png/

(418) is an updated view on the usual basket of daily underlying indicators. A key event today was the RSI breaking below the lower channel resistance. Within the next few days, we will see whether or not the MACD, SS, and ADX confirm the bearish trend change as indicated by the RSI, volume and today's daily reversal candlestick. (418)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/88/418a.png/

(419) is an updated short-term Elliott Wave picture. As expected, the bubble (expanded 5th) burst today in spectacular fashion and quickly fell 30%+ as I warned in yesterday's email. (419)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/849/419g.png/

Keep in mind that we had enormous bearish volume today (200,000+) which should immediately get you thinking about the premise I presented from past chart 348 which states that 150k+ volume spikes almost always represent important turning points.

**In regards to changing my 2.5BTC/month subscription cost to compensate for the large price increase that bitcoin has recently experienced relative to cash, because of the extremely bearish nature of today's price plunge, I'm keeping the rate at 2.5bitcoin/month. Bitcoin could easily head back to between $6 and $8 (if not much lower) before the end of the year, and I'm not willing to charge less BTC for my service if we get down to that level after I have become accustomed to providing much more subscription content than I used to when the price was between $4 - $7. For the time being, I want to stay away from charging a set dollar amount which would entail a constantly changing monthly BTC subscription rate; however, this will quickly become the only option if bitcoin heads much much higher. Although many have asked me about offering promotional deals, I'm going to have to wave this option since I have a real problem with offering one-time promotional deals (more so out of principle than anything else); I want all my subscribers to know that they paid the same amount of BTCs as everyone else to subscribe. If/when the price surpasses $13.5 again for a sustained period of time, I will revisit the topic. But, as of this moment, I'm pretty confident that the hardened $13.5 resistance area will keep the price of bitcoin in check for the remainder of the year.

-Enjoy!
-waveaddict

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If you would like to subscribe, email me at e73d8e38j4od893k2kd@hushmail.com or PM me here. The cost is 2.5BTC/month or 12.5BTC/6months. If you would like to see how I am trading, you'll have to sign up for premium service which costs 15BTC/6months.

This service is geared towards teaching the art/sciences of TA. Unlike many technical analysts, I teach through example. I let the overwhelming TA evidence dictate my opinion/bias on the bitcoin market instead of justifying my opinion/bias through warped/deceptive TA.

I'm always willing to take on new customers,
-waveaddict

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August 19, 2012, 07:28:24 PM
 #1054

I would have to put my vote in here that my BTC2.5 were well spent and the knowledge that waveaddict provided allowed me to get out at the top and not only saved me money; but potentially allowed me to make much more than the subscription service.


OR:

stay the hell away... I dont want anyone else with WA's knowledge Tongue

░▒▓█ Coinroll.it - 1% House Edge Dice Game █▓▒░ • Coinroll Thread • *FREE* 100 BTC Raffle

Signup for CEX.io BitFury exchange and get GHS Instantly!  Don't wait for shipping, mine NOW!
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August 21, 2012, 04:41:46 PM
 #1055

Hello again all,  Cheesy

Okay, it is probably a good idea for me to advertise the bitcoin portion of my service.

Below is the email from August 6:


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers,

(388) is an updated collection of support and resistance trend-lines to keep an eye on. (388)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/545/388j.png/

(390) is an updated look at the usual daily underlying indicators. Many of them are pointing to the same picture--that the price is heading lower or sideways first before heading higher later on. (390)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/546/390k.png/

(389) is an updated short-term Elliott Wave picture. At the moment, both the corrective flat and triangle options are still on the table. (389)>>>http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/821/389r.png/

Enjoy!
-waveaddict

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Below is the August 15 email and charts:


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers,

(411) is an updated collection of support and resistance trend-lines to keep an eye on. The price broke above new upper channel resistance today only to be stopped by the mid-$13s Fibonacci confluence resistance. The question now is whether the price will stay above the upper channel trend-line or fall back within it. Exiting a channel for a brief period of time before re-entering it is known as a throw-over and is typical during reversals. If the price manages to surpass the mid-$13s, it could easily go vertical towards the $16 (2x new channel resistance) and mid-$17 (another key Fibonacci resistance) area before reversing hard back down in what will look like a bubble top. (411)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/502/411e.png/

(412) is an updated view/explanation on the usual basket of daily underlying indicators. Notice how the daily RSI has reached 90 (upper channel resistance). I'm not really sure how much higher the price can head with the RSI, SS, and ADX in dangerously overbought territory. (412)>>>http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/62/412b.png/

(413) is the only way I can make sense out of the short-term Elliott Wave picture...and yes, it's a forced count. (413)>>>http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/840/413lf.png/

Enjoy, and as always, feel free to ask any questions via email or chatzy,
-waveaddict


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Below is the August 16 email and charts:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers,

           Bitcoin is officially in TA bubble mode after breaking the new upper channel resistance from yesterday along with the mid-$13s Fibonacci confluence resistance alongside heavily overbought daily and weekly underlying indicators (RSI, ADX, SS). Bubbles, by nature are irrational and highly unpredictable, so be very careful if you decide to trade it. It will most likely be very fast and highly volatile with the top occurring pretty much anywhere, although one can speculate that it might end at ~mid-$16s (2x upper channel resistance), ~$17 (50% Fibonacci retracement based off the $32 to $2 wave), or ~$20.5 (61.8 Fibonacci retracement based off the $32 to $2 wave). There is a good chance that the top will occur within the next few days after watching the price begin its vertical ascent seen in chart 415 which is typically the last stage of a classic bubble. After the actual top is in, the price will likely plunge 10, 20, 30%+ almost immediately in what will feel unbearable if you are caught long during it. So again, be very careful. Keep a very close eye on the hourly 50sma, and especially the hourly 200sma; once the hourly 200sma falls, the bubble is most likely over.

(415) is an updated collection of support and resistance trend-lines to keep an eye on. (415)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/826/415l.png/

The short-term Elliott Wave picture continues to have the price in a blow-off extended 5th wave as illustrated in yesterday's past chart 413. The daily and weekly ADX, RSI, and SS continue to be in extremely overbought territory, while the daily and weekly MACD continue to brush off these indicators and continue hooking higher adding lone underlying indicator support to this rally as seen in yesterday's past chart 412. At the moment, the daily RSI is at 93.15, the daily SS is at 96.62, the daily ADX is at 73.12, the weekly RSI is at 87.67, the weekly SS is at 96, and the weekly ADX is at 72.31.

**Many of you have recently asked me about changing my 2.5/month subscription cost to compensate for the large price increase that bitcoin has experienced relative to cash. I am still debating how I am going to handle this, but I will definitely come out with revised payment structure tomorrow. For anyone who has already paid me this month, I will immediately refund you the difference if my new payment structure would have allowed you to pay less for this month. Furthermore, this weekend, I am going to be releasing Part II of my Elliott Wave educational series titled, Building Blocks.

Enjoy, and as always, feel free to ask me any questions,
-waveaddict

-----------------------------------Here is a pic of the subscriber chat room during the crash: http://imageshack.us/f/198/422c.png/

Below is the email and charts from August 17:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers, I'm hoping everyone came out of today's dramatic reversal relatively unscathed if not a little bit richer in either dollar or BTC terms.

(417) is an updated collection of support and resistance trend-lines to keep an eye on. The price broke below the hourly 200sma today which ended the bubble. For the time being, the daily 20sma, new lower channel resistance, weekly upper bollinger band, and 2x old channel resistance (now support) are keeping the price from plunging further. Until they fall, the bullish trend is technically still intact from purely a support/resistance viewpoint. (417)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/337/417g.png/

(418) is an updated view on the usual basket of daily underlying indicators. A key event today was the RSI breaking below the lower channel resistance. Within the next few days, we will see whether or not the MACD, SS, and ADX confirm the bearish trend change as indicated by the RSI, volume and today's daily reversal candlestick. (418)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/88/418a.png/

(419) is an updated short-term Elliott Wave picture. As expected, the bubble (expanded 5th) burst today in spectacular fashion and quickly fell 30%+ as I warned in yesterday's email. (419)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/849/419g.png/

Keep in mind that we had enormous bearish volume today (200,000+) which should immediately get you thinking about the premise I presented from past chart 348 which states that 150k+ volume spikes almost always represent important turning points.

**In regards to changing my 2.5BTC/month subscription cost to compensate for the large price increase that bitcoin has recently experienced relative to cash, because of the extremely bearish nature of today's price plunge, I'm keeping the rate at 2.5bitcoin/month. Bitcoin could easily head back to between $6 and $8 (if not much lower) before the end of the year, and I'm not willing to charge less BTC for my service if we get down to that level after I have become accustomed to providing much more subscription content than I used to when the price was between $4 - $7. For the time being, I want to stay away from charging a set dollar amount which would entail a constantly changing monthly BTC subscription rate; however, this will quickly become the only option if bitcoin heads much much higher. Although many have asked me about offering promotional deals, I'm going to have to wave this option since I have a real problem with offering one-time promotional deals (more so out of principle than anything else); I want all my subscribers to know that they paid the same amount of BTCs as everyone else to subscribe. If/when the price surpasses $13.5 again for a sustained period of time, I will revisit the topic. But, as of this moment, I'm pretty confident that the hardened $13.5 resistance area will keep the price of bitcoin in check for the remainder of the year.

-Enjoy!
-waveaddict

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If you would like to subscribe, email me at e73d8e38j4od893k2kd@hushmail.com or PM me here. The cost is 2.5BTC/month or 12.5BTC/6months. If you would like to see how I am trading, you'll have to sign up for premium service which costs 15BTC/6months.

This service is geared towards teaching the art/sciences of TA. Unlike many technical analysts, I teach through example. I let the overwhelming TA evidence dictate my opinion/bias on the bitcoin market instead of justifying my opinion/bias through warped/deceptive TA.

I'm always willing to take on new customers,
-waveaddict


Oh, and here is one more from May 30:

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hello subscribers,

(258) is a chart that contains four of the most likely longer term Elliott Wave counts after taking into account that this corrective wave since $7.2 is a B-wave of some degree. In short, all of them take us to $14-$16 within the next couple of months, but, from there, they begin to diverge dramatically. (258)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/832/258q.png/

Keep in mind, these wave counts represent my longer term projection after this correction since $7.2 ends. In the short term, the price may still fall dramatically from here but must stay above $2 as long as we do not make a higher high than $7.2 first.

Enjoy,
-waveaddict

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

This should conclude my advertizing for the next couple of months/years. Keep in mind that I recently updated the list of longer term counts for subscribers. I'll try and update this thread every once and a while with a past list of email titles and chart numbers similar to before but less frequent so that you guys don't forget about me Wink after I stopped posting regularly on this speculative forum

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August 22, 2012, 01:35:30 AM
 #1056

Hello subscribers,

(258) is a chart that contains four of the most likely longer term Elliott Wave counts after taking into account that this corrective wave since $7.2 is a B-wave of some degree. In short, all of them take us to $14-$16 within the next couple of months, but, from there, they begin to diverge dramatically. (258)>>>http://imageshack.us/f/832/258q.png/



Keep in mind, these wave counts represent my longer term projection after this correction since $7.2 ends. In the short term, the price may still fall dramatically from here but must stay above $2 as long as we do not make a higher high than $7.2 first.

Enjoy,
-waveaddict

I'm not a subscriber, but thanks a lot for the public release.

To pick from your wave counts, my wild guess (for the record) is orange. I think we might consolidate around $10 for a while, though not for as long as we saw around $5, while the market decides where to go next.

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August 25, 2012, 11:29:08 PM
 #1057

WA is way to modest and he is awesome
http://anonymouse.org/cgi-bin/anon-www.cgi/http://img585.imageshack.us/img585/9176/406t.png

edit 1
in the email send on may 9 WA did teach us some candlestick pattens using this i did call a top on 10,6
http://i.imgur.com/CPClG.png

10.6 right now, free beer if your right.
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September 26, 2012, 10:13:23 PM
 #1058

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October 02, 2012, 04:54:58 PM
 #1059

Grin
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October 25, 2012, 11:00:34 PM
 #1060

I'm back!

A change has been made to the main post.

-----------------------------------------------

EDIT (October 25): Instead of daily updates for bitcoin alone, this service now provides the following: bi-weekly (Wednesday & Sunday) newsletters that include analysis on bitcoin, stocks, commodities, currencies, bonds, etc. If needed, I'll provide an update between newsletters. The cost remains the same as before.
-----------------------------------------------

For anyone wondering, the structure off the $15.4 top has been pretty straightforward for the past couple of months. What is to come may surprise many of you Smiley


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