Chrome Browser extension: MtGox trading bot

[wamatt]

The "Crazy Ivan" bot strategy is used in some FOREX bots, namely Fapturbo.

"Fapturbo" http://www.fapturbo.com/

good lord.... that's looks totally legit bro

It appears, you have mistaken what I wrote with me giving some sort celebrity endorsement to fapturbo.  I implore you to reread what I previously wrote or quit reading into what is written into a post, since clearly I did not endorse fapturbo nor did i use any of my celebrity to imply anything about fapturbo.  

Pot meet kettle. Didn't assume you endorsed it. Just made a light hearted jest, at a rather out of place example being used. Sensitive much?

[1715049318]

1715049318

[TobbeLino]

Hi all!
I've been working on a new version of the bot for a while, now including MACD indicator/strategy!!
It's not totally finished (mostly help/info-functions that needs to be fixed), but I have been running it in MACD mode for about a week, and I think the logic, the charts and the trading all work as it should!

As I think we will get our second baby today(!), I'm publishing it for you to play with, even if it's a bit rough.
I have changed it's name and put it in a new repository:
https://github.com/TobbeLino/TobliBot
(when it's finished I'll publish it in the Chrome Store)

A few notes regarding the MACD-strategy:
- The standard EMA-values for the MACD-calculation is a bit different from Goomboo's simple EMA-strategy.
It's normally 12/26 (instead of 10/21 for Goomboo's). And the MACD-indicator also has a signal line that is per default a EMA(9) of the MACD-line. Clicking the link "strategy defaults" after changing bot-strategy loads the default parameters for each strategy.

- The EMA-thresholds should be a lot lower than for Goomboo's simple EMA-strategy.
I have made the MACD-diff values (that are used as the indicator) relative rather than absolute by dividing with the long EMA (according to how PPO is calculated: http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:price_oscillators_pp but this bot does not multiply it by 100 as the PPO) so the thresholds should be constant regardless of the current price range.
I have empirically chosen 0.05% as the default values for buy/sell thresholds in MACD-mode, but feel free to experiment!

And (as also written on the new options page):
If my bot makes you rich, please consider donating a fraction of your profit!
...or, of course, also if you appreciate my work for other reasons...
Bitcoin: 1LUqdAXvH9gbYemZKeiMrVJ5njhm6ZvKmF



Cheers!
/Tobbe

[whydifficult]

Awesome work! Will look at your MACD implementation when I have some time.

[rikigst]

Bravo! I just installed it, seems working. Maybe a 0.1% buy threshold is safer for 1 hour intervals.. Keep up the good work Tobli!

[sukiho]

thanks for your work on this. I just had an idea about how The Crazy Ivan could be used. does it use whichever settings you have set in the trade settings but just sells on the buy and vice versa?

[TobbeLino]

thanks for your work on this. I just had an idea about how The Crazy Ivan could be used. does it use whichever settings you have set in the trade settings but just sells on the buy and vice versa?

Yes, "Crazy Ivan" just calls the sell-function in MtGox instead of the buy-function and vice versa. So if you tweak the "buy-settings", they will be used to trigger a sale and vice versa. And it works for MACD as well...

[Lucko]

I must say I'm impressed... Will take me some time to figure out good settings but it looks good. I'm making second account on my girlfriends name for MACD strategy bot... Thanks!

And if you have time for a baby number 3. This looks interesting...
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=209149.msg2330792#msg2330792
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=209149.msg2340317#msg2340317
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=209149.msg2341374#msg2341374

Good idea rikigst...

EDIT: Would it be possible to run multiple strategy from a single bot to multiple accounts?

[Skami]

Check out new version v0.2.2.0!

News/fixes:
- Indicator arrows in graph
- Thinner price line
- Zoomable chart
- Added link to external charts (at bitcoincharts.com)
- Experimental section added
- Experimental feature: Only trade after trend switch (if starting the bot between trend switches, wait until next swicth)
- Experimental feature: "The Crazy Ivan" - reverse the EMA-logic: The bot will sell when it's supposed to buy, and buy when it's supposed to sell!
- Lowered retry-rate when failed to fetch user info (retry after 1 minute instead of 10 seconds) to avoid hammering MtGox
- More robust handling of network problems (updates could stop after a network loss) - bot should now update and resume within a minute
- Better handling when computer resumes from sleep (updates could stop after sleep) - bot should now update and resume within a minute

Download at:
https://github.com/TobbeLino/GoxTradingBotTobli

Awesome stuff man, donation sent

[Gimmoroy]

I like this bot and I like style it made. Thank you.  

But IMHO bot have a fundamental problem.

As soon as Gox eats 0.6% of every trade, bot ( with any settings ) should have trade protector with minimum at 1.2 % of trade price + minimal profit.
Values and Settings of EMA/MACD have nothing with this. Them concerning, say, "integrated fraction" of price curve, and shows mostly a trend strength.

Bot should sell/buy only when the price difference within the last trade cross protection limit. Gox is not a forex, where you can trade on .000.... % and still have a profit.

But bot trade on on basis of current average price, and we newer know what is the real price at the moment we make order or what is the real current price. So, something should be done to know real trading price and to protect next trade on basis of previous. Very first trade, to be done , additionally needs manual trade button or some other solution.  

Resolving this problem is a condition of using any bot with any algorithm. Like a powered computer.


edited::

[piotr_n]

Bot should sell/buy only when the price difference within the last trade cross protection limit. Gox is not a forex, where you can trade on .000.... % and still have a profit.

That is where the "Treshold" parameter was supposed to come handy.

Unless I misunderstood your problem?

[conspirosphere.tk]

strange: why did not buy?



edit: never mind. It was a Gox glitch: for a while the bot reported a "parsement problem", then it bought.  

[Gimmoroy]

Bot should sell/buy only when the price difference within the last trade cross protection limit. Gox is not a forex, where you can trade on .000.... % and still have a profit.

That is where the "Treshold" parameter was supposed to come handy.

Unless I misunderstood your problem?

Threshold have absolutely nothing with this. Threshold defines only relative power of trend.  Weak trend make profit at the end of long period. If you have high threshold, you loose it.
On other side - powerful trend on short interval easy force you to buy, but in the moment you really buy, price is changed because you make decision on basis of average price value .
Imagine letter V on price curve. Average value will be -0.33 , it's value of decision. But value of trade will be at the end of interval / of V - i.e 0. This error is a price of using average values.
You can get big price difference on low threshold, and you can get 0 on high.   

It's a simple math...

Trend threshold say: "there is good conditions for trade, as good as your settings are". It newer say "you will get 1%(2..3..100%) of profit". You easily lost all your money with any bot on any strategy, if you don't use simple loss protection.  

[small502]

So ive been using the default settings, but for what ever reason it has been selling low and buying high  what could the problem be? It's not like crazy ivan is on or anything

[rikigst]

I've simulated the bot's behaviour, backtesting MACD strategy, in order to find the best threshold values for maximizing the profit.
Test goes from May 3rd to June 6th.
Seems like positive results are impossible with sampling times inferior to 1 hour. Additionally, best threshold values in this case are threshold-buy=0.6%, threshold-sell=-0.4% so ca. 10 times the recommended value of 0.05 .
This bot is not suitable for fast trading!

[Gimmoroy]

I've simulated the bot's behaviour, backtesting MACD strategy, in order to find the best threshold values for maximizing the profit.
Test goes from May 3rd to June 6th.
Seems like positive results are impossible with sampling times inferior to 1 hour. Additionally, best threshold values in this case are threshold-buy=0.6%, threshold-sell=-0.4% so ca. 10 times the recommended value of 0.05 .
This bot is not suitable for fast trading!

Have a doubt...

Idea of method is to trade on the end of corresponding trend. Price at the end of trend  is more/less close to extreme. So, the threshold should have value, sufficient to be sure the trend is ended. Absolutely newer about .5-.6%.

Your values suitable for reverse method, where bot try to catch extreme price on trend peak. It's absolutely bad idea.

Indicator is indicator, nothing more. It can be just an adviser for trader. Bot logic should be more complicated then to follow the empiric magic. Suitable conditions not equal the fact. With any threshold value.
  
  

[rikigst]

MACD simulation w/ (buy threshold = 0.48, sell threshold = -0.1) timeframe = 60m

Code:

Time								usd						btc					       diff
2013-05-03T00:00:00						1000.0						0.0						0.0
2013-05-03T00:00:00						1000.0						0.0						0.0
2013-05-03T01:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.07894804296003655
2013-05-03T02:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.1919168100900856
2013-05-03T03:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.45449287871551486
2013-05-03T04:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.9144313378542058
2013-05-03T05:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.0871810377153248
2013-05-03T06:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.1284601500215456
2013-05-03T07:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.17063344253074
2013-05-03T08:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.2625232658389423
2013-05-03T09:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.6251546590215333
2013-05-03T10:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.5000100059268082
2013-05-03T11:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.7448607774316072
2013-05-03T12:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.9976637716832348
2013-05-03T13:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-2.0305163551036283
2013-05-03T14:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.3116823367708959
2013-05-03T15:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.5201589752570923
2013-05-03T16:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.103810458220033
2013-05-03T17:00:00						1000.0						0.0						0.2723329097138169
2013-05-03T18:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.5084281010917773
2013-05-03T19:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.5640251803027593
2013-05-03T20:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.5717219239919622
2013-05-03T21:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.8280745278599106
2013-05-03T22:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.8410224122371647
2013-05-03T23:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.0324788543768326
2013-05-04T00:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.3864464157979828
2013-05-04T01:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1797473714131412
2013-05-04T02:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.195077217301813
2013-05-04T03:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1613427515546366
2013-05-04T04:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1022450060748425
2013-05-04T05:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.0674670248984264
2013-05-04T06:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.0372761658958447
2013-05-04T07:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.2712619040602013
2013-05-04T08:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.4634905779016631
2013-05-04T09:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.5021122487083005
2013-05-04T10:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.3263884710333824
2013-05-04T11:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1303780803948853
2013-05-04T12:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.05816253301648
2013-05-04T13:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.0534099474392844
2013-05-04T14:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1565937844990708
2013-05-04T15:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.2568842430333136
2013-05-04T16:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.3944012739777392
2013-05-04T17:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.5733944121358763
2013-05-04T18:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.467229849107583
2013-05-04T19:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.2863544128953077
2013-05-04T20:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.9757923648710612
2013-05-04T21:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.9155676874536646
2013-05-04T22:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.7515118303639071
2013-05-04T23:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.6018955420125366
2013-05-05T00:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.372703690055516
2013-05-05T01:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.21332490745862728
2013-05-05T02:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.20058612101290738
2013-05-05T03:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.3254629217011728
2013-05-05T04:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.353975066218075
2013-05-05T05:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.28539037396046835
2013-05-05T06:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.10618139577376937
2013-05-05T07:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.1909209037641927
2013-05-05T08:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.7448756704194127
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2013-05-05T11:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.1731128015480183
2013-05-05T12:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.120039570219467
2013-05-05T13:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.056295545568559
2013-05-05T14:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.9112709207706025
2013-05-05T15:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.5828208957530402
2013-05-05T16:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.35808159502500625
2013-05-05T17:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.2117869321415648
2013-05-05T18:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.06449092932531131
2013-05-05T19:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.09377173794993231
2013-05-05T20:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.06689007178064299
2013-05-05T21:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.07946292199234231
2013-05-05T22:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.06647668234336418
2013-05-05T23:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.017210157772281475
2013-05-06T00:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.07901522141356733
2013-05-06T01:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.044814796530148845
2013-05-06T02:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.0705375289415054
2013-05-06T03:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.06511312169337105
2013-05-06T04:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.10705855532496854
2013-05-06T05:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.12278257777177093
2013-05-06T06:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.1542720696764118
2013-05-06T07:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.3138170147136552
2013-05-06T08:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.3250108152612298
2013-05-06T09:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.3514134437157868
2013-05-06T10:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.3361598140253749
2013-05-06T11:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.28123797667134764
2013-05-06T12:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.1952832114321474
2013-05-06T13:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.18392573250879976
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2013-05-06T15:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.2958521805251383
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2013-05-06T18:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.4827664477220361
2013-05-06T19:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.4840786074014151
2013-05-06T20:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.7374955111214334
2013-05-06T21:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.9571895244356451
2013-05-06T22:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.1786161012657548
2013-05-06T23:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.3253016889300142
2013-05-07T00:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.3184022607958554
2013-05-07T01:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.2730849284500945
2013-05-07T02:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.251050040017617
2013-05-07T03:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.3619859679018462
2013-05-07T04:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.3620077047735384
2013-05-07T05:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.238931163245598
2013-05-07T06:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.8604758792784866
2013-05-07T07:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.5826836950249272
2013-05-07T08:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.5016017546166871
2013-05-07T09:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.287571022794926
2013-05-07T10:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.0886190920620746
2013-05-07T11:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.08270438355750005
2013-05-07T12:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.05552917669177439
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2013-05-07T14:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.3587901427438638
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2013-05-08T01:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.7564362801024785
2013-05-08T02:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.9458168910842178
2013-05-08T03:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						1.0814614416225712
2013-05-08T04:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						1.0651042842508094
2013-05-08T05:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.9185331918354263
2013-05-08T06:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.6686526370066885
2013-05-08T07:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.5372119129837355
2013-05-08T08:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.6193248533773233
2013-05-08T09:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.5498714218739641
2013-05-08T10:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.3814583829333379
2013-05-08T11:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.27047056670139946
2013-05-08T12:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.21783444776391475
2013-05-08T13:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.11277958265878182
2013-05-08T14:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.060853001198525714
2013-05-08T15:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.077010089873088
2013-05-08T16:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.07875268491285457
2013-05-08T17:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.1276710268102884
2013-05-08T18:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.1419025657760536
2013-05-08T19:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.1493119806348029
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2013-05-25T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.36662384347042587
2013-05-25T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.36489240075354296
2013-05-25T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.32925029294293534
2013-05-25T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.25389612819430835
2013-05-25T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.14149886546500234
2013-05-25T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.105664222597995
2013-05-25T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.17444119206808684
2013-05-25T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.16349284361931202
2013-05-25T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.142467111065356
2013-05-25T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.13294098374835964
2013-05-26T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07423533252557664
2013-05-26T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07300672243300825
2013-05-26T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10009652193651818
2013-05-26T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.052769534725107634
2013-05-26T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.06811925722343037
2013-05-26T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.02256023684654841
2013-05-26T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0056979232155716765
2013-05-26T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.02172400818176924
2013-05-26T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.020457884987895116
2013-05-26T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0365565303449105
2013-05-26T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09877588434454707
2013-05-26T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.1563056278289424
2013-05-26T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.17219620451568435
2013-05-26T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.16108881819042242
2013-05-26T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.22897394587750164
2013-05-26T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.28919569157577807
2013-05-26T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.22636803730749452
2013-05-26T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.1964334562877078
2013-05-26T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.1699764404682102
2013-05-26T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.15818395121620252
2013-05-26T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0936519858985889
2013-05-26T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07486228239053207
2013-05-26T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.05253420219776982
2013-05-26T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.02570997276923209
2013-05-27T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07467968342075204
2013-05-27T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.09744371812137764
2013-05-27T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.13310687916610295
2013-05-27T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.1175845938502313
2013-05-27T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.09367934412673193
2013-05-27T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.09752587321420204
2013-05-27T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.12400572349014556
2013-05-27T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10943666552965994
2013-05-27T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.1091920573918485
2013-05-27T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.13127062674371304
2013-05-27T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10826513981417395
2013-05-27T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07027143685493165
2013-05-27T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.08189962702233962
2013-05-27T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.09907511388174568
2013-05-27T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.20677022422383912
2013-05-27T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.17829556903791577
2013-05-27T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.20387999474521776
2013-05-27T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.24263342650314912
2013-05-27T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2984086868695217
2013-05-27T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.42985971288599734
2013-05-27T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.6349125503685158
2013-05-27T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.6226375567634511
2013-05-27T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.5638273647255952
2013-05-27T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.44721408950972286
2013-05-28T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.33172287790136973
2013-05-28T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2952686296071805
2013-05-28T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2321620421267497
2013-05-28T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.18058937997298533
2013-05-28T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.19899989145714939
2013-05-28T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2060855017033298
2013-05-28T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.19122732499143105
2013-05-28T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.11397559291353265
2013-05-28T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.043760663890391946
2013-05-28T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09555346038113213
2013-05-28T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.13067588189659923
2013-05-28T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.14900670466239116
2013-05-28T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.18614384226671551
2013-05-28T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21501392529673147
2013-05-28T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.15437633400960993
2013-05-28T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.037693002726450944
2013-05-28T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07390592599890088
2013-05-28T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09540348477637366
2013-05-28T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.1272250301995312
2013-05-28T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.1949913395955354
2013-05-28T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.20753182109693213
2013-05-28T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21082276868868718
2013-05-28T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21608544284893227
2013-05-28T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21723264622162258
2013-05-29T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21124787734742723
2013-05-29T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.2284922834720162
2013-05-29T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.20432674513561422
2013-05-29T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.19424088739405354
2013-05-29T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.16451261213712715
2013-05-29T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.10265486703154256
2013-05-29T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.06563820967084635
2013-05-29T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0687568094999201
2013-05-29T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09077372840901252
2013-05-29T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.10150483389127878
2013-05-29T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09300326454014848
2013-05-29T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08356672383364502
2013-05-29T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0911342825199221
2013-05-29T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0965917299914471
2013-05-29T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07117788828590746
2013-05-29T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08657017226565836
2013-05-29T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07856018108448938
2013-05-29T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08241113651960272
2013-05-29T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07103073389601199
2013-05-29T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.16836597265831282
2013-05-29T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.22066950664725044
2013-05-29T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.25187196495852593
2013-05-29T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.2534422280054621
2013-05-29T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.2588391769542885
2013-05-30T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.22516072903170653
2013-05-30T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.181012128121327
2013-05-30T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.12220930506796893
2013-05-30T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.03559342375853309
2013-05-30T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.022554414942958245
2013-05-30T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.12995731965744048
2013-05-30T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.14555044957655336
2013-05-30T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.13372788629454502
2013-05-30T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10069320320822767
2013-05-30T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.06736419687128559
2013-05-30T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.0946796595907149
2013-05-30T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04846516815289569
2013-05-30T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04656714718991142
2013-05-30T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07365327039899516
2013-05-30T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.08014084316939325
2013-05-30T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.05510152322017284
2013-05-30T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.06014885686935977
2013-05-30T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04574476321645321
2013-05-30T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.03247401913280244
2013-05-30T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07222632307887825
2013-05-30T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.21823372739229385
2013-05-30T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.29911242417359607
2013-05-30T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2711193214250707
2013-05-30T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.29341653700798015
2013-05-31T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.27598118755988826
2013-05-31T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2722045815103462
2013-05-31T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.17524669879306892
2013-05-31T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10061962724694008
2013-05-31T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04064043356385667
2013-05-31T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.006100327888589613
2013-05-31T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.011998915690941928
2013-05-31T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04553028173987432
2013-05-31T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.032303877348469255
2013-05-31T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.023500888047665248
2013-05-31T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.033781557757369796
2013-05-31T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.010389756084071325
2013-05-31T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.043286598105633685
2013-05-31T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0724735031912387
2013-05-31T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08956054490781981
2013-05-31T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.10784362025113858
2013-05-31T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08323264817814556
2013-05-31T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.05148998505602407
2013-05-31T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.048037502972040534
2013-05-31T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.006909029133105183
2013-05-31T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.015490808648944249
2013-05-31T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04656885985966012
2013-05-31T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.029337764486532976
2013-05-31T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.035263547826452565

... and it doesn't buy on june 1st-8th either

[sukiho]

you can set some good settings with crazy ivan, but if the trend doesnt change you are doomed

the market cannot be predicted, all you can do is follow

[conspirosphere.tk]

the market cannot be predicted, all you can do is follow

How about making some educated guesses?

[Lucko]

CRAZY IVAN MACD simulation w/ (buy threshold = 0.21, sell threshold = -1.17, or the other way round, since it's crazy ivan) timeframe = 60m

Code:

time						usd			btc			diff
2013-05-03T00:00:00.000+02:00			1000.0			0.0			0.0
2013-05-03T00:00:00.000+02:00			1000.0			0.0			0.0
2013-05-03T01:00:00.000+02:00			1000.0			0.0			-0.07894804296003655
2013-05-03T02:00:00.000+02:00			1000.0			0.0			-0.1919168100900856
2013-05-03T03:00:00.000+02:00			1000.0			0.0			-0.45449287871551486
2013-05-03T04:00:00.000+02:00			1000.0			0.0			-0.9144313378542058
2013-05-03T05:00:00.000+02:00			1000.0			0.0			-1.0871810377153248
2013-05-03T06:00:00.000+02:00			1000.0			0.0			-1.1284601500215456
2013-05-03T07:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-1.17063344253074
2013-05-03T08:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-1.2625232658389423
2013-05-03T09:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-1.6251546590215333
2013-05-03T10:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-1.5000100059268082
2013-05-03T11:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-1.7448607774316072
2013-05-03T12:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-1.9976637716832348
2013-05-03T13:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-2.0305163551036283
2013-05-03T14:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-1.3116823367708959
2013-05-03T15:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-0.5201589752570923
2013-05-03T16:00:00.000+02:00			0.0			10.38901314826815			-0.103810458220033
2013-05-03T17:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			0.2723329097138169
2013-05-03T18:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			0.5084281010917773
2013-05-03T19:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			0.5640251803027593
2013-05-03T20:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			0.5717219239919622
2013-05-03T21:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			0.8280745278599106
2013-05-03T22:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			0.8410224122371647
2013-05-03T23:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.0324788543768326
2013-05-04T00:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.3864464157979828
2013-05-04T01:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.1797473714131412
2013-05-04T02:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.195077217301813
2013-05-04T03:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.1613427515546366
2013-05-04T04:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.1022450060748425
2013-05-04T05:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.0674670248984264
2013-05-04T06:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.0372761658958447
2013-05-04T07:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.2712619040602013
2013-05-04T08:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.4634905779016631
2013-05-04T09:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.5021122487083005
2013-05-04T10:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.3263884710333824
2013-05-04T11:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.1303780803948853
2013-05-04T12:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.05816253301648
2013-05-04T13:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.0534099474392844
2013-05-04T14:00:00.000+02:00			960.4844202428982			0.0			1.1565937844990708
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How are you doing this?

[rikigst]

How are you doing this?

I wrote a small script, getting data from bitcoincharts.com