rpietila (OP)
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Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
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August 18, 2014, 10:16:46 AM |
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Less economics than speculation, but...
I am calling a bottom on Monero (BTC/XMR rate).
- I already predicted in a certain speculation group about 9 days ago that the bottom would be Sunday, Aug 17.
- Now I am not sure if it will be yesterday or tomorrow, since there is a compelling case for tomorrow also: in 2014-8-19 it will be 37 days from the last bottom, which also was 37 days from the previous one. The lowest prices are aligned at 175005 sat, 231500 sat, and (so far) 290000 sat. The difference between the first ones is 56495 sat and the last ones 58500 sat. There seems to be a cosmic tendency towards symmetry here, so a dip slightly below 290000 may happen tomorrow, but if so, it must be before the market participants start bidding the price up.
- During the dip to sub-3, only 14k moneros have so far been transacted sub-3 (Poloniex). Nobody seems to have much urge of selling them so cheap.
- Of course I know the market dynamics that are causing Monero (which fundamentally is a beneficiary of Bitcoin's troubles) to be double-hammered (in USD/BTC and BTC/XMR both tanking). I just believe that it is over and if not, then it might make sense to buy, if your position is so small that it is possible with the meager depth offered.
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HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
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Okurkabinladin
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August 18, 2014, 10:29:40 AM |
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Less economics than speculation, but...
I am calling a bottom on Monero (BTC/XMR rate).
- I already predicted in a certain speculation group about 9 days ago that the bottom would be Sunday, Aug 17.
- Now I am not sure if it will be yesterday or tomorrow, since there is a compelling case for tomorrow also: in 2014-8-19 it will be 37 days from the last bottom, which also was 37 days from the previous one. The lowest prices are aligned at 175005 sat, 231500 sat, and (so far) 290000 sat. The difference between the first ones is 56495 sat and the last ones 58500 sat. There seems to be a cosmic tendency towards symmetry here, so a dip slightly below 290000 may happen tomorrow, but if so, it must be before the market participants start bidding the price up.
- During the dip to sub-3, only 14k moneros have so far been transacted sub-3 (Poloniex). Nobody seems to have much urge of selling them so cheap.
- Of course I know the market dynamics that are causing Monero (which fundamentally is a beneficiary of Bitcoin's troubles) to be double-hammered (in USD/BTC and BTC/XMR both tanking). I just believe that it is over and if not, then it might make sense to buy, if your position is so small that it is possible with the meager depth offered.
Thank you, sir. Interestingly your prediction coincides with that of Aminorex, who thought, that rally will start around august 20th.
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rpietila (OP)
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Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
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August 18, 2014, 01:26:13 PM |
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Technically, I was not talking about a rally but a bottom. Well, it is kind of same thing. But external events (btc) may postpone the actual rally, or cause volatility.
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HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
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cAPSLOCK
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Activity: 3822
Merit: 5272
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
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August 18, 2014, 10:27:15 PM |
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Chart is poised to repeat the July 13th type of turnaround. More and more, the buzz I am starting to hear is about XMR displacing DRK and even LTC. Even some skeptics seem to be commenting on the fundamentals, and in light of the CN controversy and how that is shaking out I am personally putting a bit of money where my mouth is right now.
I'm not an investment guru, but things just look twitchy right here... in a good way.
Obviously, there is far to go (messy code, database, gui, etc) , and the emission is still aggressive, but I feel like we are at a sort of critical tipping point possibly.
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ArticMine
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Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
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August 18, 2014, 10:49:34 PM |
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Chart is poised to repeat the July 13th type of turnaround. More and more, the buzz I am starting to hear is about XMR displacing DRK and even LTC. Even some skeptics seem to be commenting on the fundamentals, and in light of the CN controversy and how that is shaking out I am personally putting a bit of money where my mouth is right now.
I'm not an investment guru, but things just look twitchy right here... in a good way.
Obviously, there is far to go (messy code, database, gui, etc) , and the emission is still aggressive, but I feel like we are at a sort of critical tipping point possibly.
If DRK/XMR stays below 1, this is going to get very interesting. https://bitcoinwisdom.com/
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Yololintian
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August 19, 2014, 07:18:27 AM |
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Just checking in to say I am very glad monero is holding up so well in this bear market. Gives me confidence in the coin and shows me that the people who have invested are serious about this for the long term. It has some serious potential.
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aminorex
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Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
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August 19, 2014, 12:02:40 PM |
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anyone who deems an altcoin an investment on grounds of its fundamentals and long-term growth prospects is disproportionately likely to have need of a manhattan psychiatrist (and ability to pay). i may go there myself. do they still prescribe quaaludes?
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Give a man a fish and he eats for a day. Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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Anotheranonlol
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August 19, 2014, 04:39:02 PM |
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Shrink finds his perfect demographic. Great news for XMR perma-bulls, they can now get the help they need without being traced through the blockchain
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saddambitcoin
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Activity: 1610
Merit: 1004
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August 19, 2014, 08:25:04 PM |
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anyone who deems an altcoin an investment on grounds of its fundamentals and long-term growth prospects is disproportionately likely to have need of a manhattan psychiatrist (and ability to pay). i may go there myself. do they still prescribe quaaludes? i'm not sure what is the modern-day equivalent to quaaludes, maybe xanax? i don't like either tbh. i'm sure you could get some amphetamines though, for your adult ADD. i enjoyed vyvanse for years but its too habit forming, ahh
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nakaone
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August 22, 2014, 01:49:16 PM |
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Any projections as to when the emission rate will decrease for Monero?
day coins new 18.4.2014 15 580 25 333 19.4.2014 40 891 25 311 20.4.2014 66 168 25 277 21.4.2014 91 410 25 242 22.4.2014 116 617 25 207 23.4.2014 141 790 25 173 24.4.2014 166 928 25 138 25.4.2014 192 031 25 104 26.4.2014 217 100 25 069 27.4.2014 242 135 25 035 28.4.2014 267 135 25 000 29.4.2014 292 101 24 966 30.4.2014 317 033 24 932 1.5.2014 341 930 24 897 2.5.2014 366 793 24 863 3.5.2014 391 622 24 829 4.5.2014 416 417 24 795 5.5.2014 441 178 24 761 6.5.2014 465 905 24 727 7.5.2014 490 598 24 693 8.5.2014 515 257 24 659 9.5.2014 539 882 24 625 10.5.2014 564 473 24 591 11.5.2014 589 031 24 558 12.5.2014 613 555 24 524 13.5.2014 638 045 24 490 14.5.2014 662 501 24 457 15.5.2014 686 924 24 423 16.5.2014 711 314 24 389 17.5.2014 735 670 24 356 18.5.2014 759 992 24 322 19.5.2014 784 281 24 289 20.5.2014 808 537 24 256 21.5.2014 832 759 24 222 22.5.2014 856 948 24 189 23.5.2014 881 104 24 156 24.5.2014 905 227 24 123 25.5.2014 929 317 24 090 26.5.2014 953 373 24 057 27.5.2014 977 397 24 023 28.5.2014 1 001 387 23 990 29.5.2014 1 025 345 23 958 30.5.2014 1 049 269 23 925 31.5.2014 1 073 161 23 892 1.6.2014 1 097 020 23 859 2.6.2014 1 120 846 23 826 3.6.2014 1 144 640 23 793 4.6.2014 1 168 401 23 761 5.6.2014 1 192 129 23 728 6.6.2014 1 215 824 23 696 7.6.2014 1 239 487 23 663 8.6.2014 1 263 118 23 631 9.6.2014 1 286 716 23 598 10.6.2014 1 310 282 23 566 11.6.2014 1 333 815 23 533 12.6.2014 1 357 316 23 501 13.6.2014 1 380 785 23 469 14.6.2014 1 404 222 23 437 15.6.2014 1 427 626 23 404 16.6.2014 1 450 998 23 372 17.6.2014 1 474 338 23 340 18.6.2014 1 497 646 23 308 19.6.2014 1 520 922 23 276 20.6.2014 1 544 166 23 244 21.6.2014 1 567 379 23 212 22.6.2014 1 590 559 23 180 23.6.2014 1 613 707 23 148 24.6.2014 1 636 824 23 117 25.6.2014 1 659 909 23 085 26.6.2014 1 682 962 23 053 27.6.2014 1 705 984 23 022 28.6.2014 1 728 974 22 990 29.6.2014 1 751 932 22 958 30.6.2014 1 774 859 22 927 1.7.2014 1 797 754 22 895 2.7.2014 1 820 618 22 864 3.7.2014 1 843 451 22 833 4.7.2014 1 866 252 22 801 5.7.2014 1 889 022 22 770 6.7.2014 1 911 760 22 739 7.7.2014 1 934 467 22 707 8.7.2014 1 957 144 22 676 9.7.2014 1 979 789 22 645 10.7.2014 2 002 403 22 614 11.7.2014 2 024 985 22 583 12.7.2014 2 047 537 22 552 13.7.2014 2 070 058 22 521 14.7.2014 2 092 548 22 490 15.7.2014 2 115 007 22 459 16.7.2014 2 137 435 22 428 17.7.2014 2 159 833 22 397 18.7.2014 2 182 199 22 367 19.7.2014 2 204 535 22 336 20.7.2014 2 226 841 22 305 21.7.2014 2 249 115 22 275 22.7.2014 2 271 359 22 244 23.7.2014 2 293 573 22 214 24.7.2014 2 315 756 22 183 25.7.2014 2 337 908 22 153 26.7.2014 2 368 839 22 122 27.7.2014 2 390 919 22 080 28.7.2014 2 412 968 22 049 29.7.2014 2 434 987 22 019 30.7.2014 2 456 976 21 989 31.7.2014 2 478 934 21 959 1.8.2014 2 500 863 21 928 2.8.2014 2 522 761 21 898 3.8.2014 2 544 629 21 868 4.8.2014 2 566 468 21 838 5.8.2014 2 588 276 21 808 6.8.2014 2 610 054 21 778 7.8.2014 2 631 803 21 748 8.8.2014 2 653 521 21 719 9.8.2014 2 675 210 21 689 10.8.2014 2 696 869 21 659 11.8.2014 2 718 498 21 629 12.8.2014 2 740 097 21 599 13.8.2014 2 761 667 21 570 14.8.2014 2 783 207 21 540 15.8.2014 2 804 718 21 511 16.8.2014 2 826 199 21 481 17.8.2014 2 847 651 21 452 18.8.2014 2 869 073 21 422 19.8.2014 2 890 465 21 393 20.8.2014 2 911 829 21 363 21.8.2014 2 933 163 21 334 22.8.2014 2 954 467 21 305 23.8.2014 2 975 743 21 275 24.8.2014 2 996 989 21 246 25.8.2014 3 018 206 21 217 26.8.2014 3 039 394 21 188 27.8.2014 3 060 552 21 159 28.8.2014 3 081 682 21 130 29.8.2014 3 102 783 21 101 30.8.2014 3 123 855 21 072 31.8.2014 3 144 897 21 043 1.9.2014 3 165 911 21 014 2.9.2014 3 186 896 20 985 3.9.2014 3 207 853 20 956 4.9.2014 3 228 780 20 927 5.9.2014 3 249 679 20 899 6.9.2014 3 270 549 20 870 7.9.2014 3 291 390 20 841 8.9.2014 3 312 203 20 813 9.9.2014 3 332 987 20 784 10.9.2014 3 353 742 20 756 11.9.2014 3 374 469 20 727 12.9.2014 3 395 168 20 699 13.9.2014 3 415 838 20 670 14.9.2014 3 436 480 20 642 15.9.2014 3 457 094 20 613 16.9.2014 3 477 679 20 585 17.9.2014 3 498 236 20 557 18.9.2014 3 518 764 20 529 19.9.2014 3 539 265 20 500 20.9.2014 3 559 737 20 472 21.9.2014 3 580 181 20 444 22.9.2014 3 600 597 20 416 23.9.2014 3 620 985 20 388 24.9.2014 3 641 345 20 360 25.9.2014 3 661 678 20 332 26.9.2014 3 681 982 20 304 27.9.2014 3 702 258 20 276 28.9.2014 3 722 507 20 248 29.9.2014 3 742 727 20 221 30.9.2014 3 762 920 20 193 1.10.2014 3 783 085 20 165 2.10.2014 3 803 223 20 137 3.10.2014 3 823 333 20 110 4.10.2014 3 843 415 20 082 5.10.2014 3 863 469 20 055 6.10.2014 3 883 497 20 027 7.10.2014 3 903 496 20 000 8.10.2014 3 923 468 19 972 9.10.2014 3 943 413 19 945 10.10.2014 3 963 330 19 917 11.10.2014 3 983 220 19 890 12.10.2014 4 003 083 19 863 13.10.2014 4 022 918 19 835 14.10.2014 4 042 726 19 808 15.10.2014 4 062 507 19 781 16.10.2014 4 082 261 19 754 17.10.2014 4 101 987 19 727 18.10.2014 4 121 687 19 700 19.10.2014 4 141 359 19 672 20.10.2014 4 161 005 19 645 21.10.2014 4 180 623 19 618 22.10.2014 4 200 215 19 592 23.10.2014 4 219 780 19 565 24.10.2014 4 239 317 19 538 25.10.2014 4 258 828 19 511 26.10.2014 4 278 312 19 484 27.10.2014 4 297 770 19 457 28.10.2014 4 317 200 19 431 29.10.2014 4 336 604 19 404 30.10.2014 4 355 982 19 377 31.10.2014 4 375 332 19 351 1.11.2014 4 394 657 19 324 2.11.2014 4 413 954 19 298 3.11.2014 4 433 225 19 271 4.11.2014 4 452 470 19 245 5.11.2014 4 471 688 19 218 6.11.2014 4 490 880 19 192 7.11.2014 4 510 045 19 165 8.11.2014 4 529 185 19 139 9.11.2014 4 548 297 19 113 10.11.2014 4 567 384 19 087 11.11.2014 4 586 444 19 060 12.11.2014 4 605 479 19 034 13.11.2014 4 624 487 19 008 14.11.2014 4 643 469 18 982 15.11.2014 4 662 425 18 956 16.11.2014 4 681 355 18 930 17.11.2014 4 700 258 18 904 18.11.2014 4 719 136 18 878 19.11.2014 4 737 988 18 852 20.11.2014 4 756 814 18 826 21.11.2014 4 775 615 18 800 22.11.2014 4 794 389 18 774 23.11.2014 4 813 138 18 749 24.11.2014 4 831 861 18 723 25.11.2014 4 850 558 18 697 26.11.2014 4 869 229 18 672 27.11.2014 4 887 875 18 646 28.11.2014 4 906 496 18 620 29.11.2014 4 925 090 18 595 30.11.2014 4 943 659 18 569 1.12.2014 4 962 203 18 544 2.12.2014 4 980 721 18 518 3.12.2014 4 999 214 18 493 4.12.2014 5 017 681 18 467 5.12.2014 5 036 123 18 442 6.12.2014 5 054 540 18 417 7.12.2014 5 072 932 18 391 8.12.2014 5 091 298 18 366 9.12.2014 5 109 639 18 341 10.12.2014 5 127 954 18 316 11.12.2014 5 146 245 18 291 12.12.2014 5 164 510 18 265 13.12.2014 5 182 751 18 240 14.12.2014 5 200 966 18 215 15.12.2014 5 219 156 18 190 16.12.2014 5 237 322 18 165 17.12.2014 5 255 462 18 140 18.12.2014 5 273 578 18 115 19.12.2014 5 291 668 18 091 20.12.2014 5 309 734 18 066 21.12.2014 5 327 775 18 041 22.12.2014 5 345 791 18 016 23.12.2014 5 363 782 17 991 24.12.2014 5 381 749 17 967 25.12.2014 5 399 691 17 942 26.12.2014 5 417 609 17 917 27.12.2014 5 435 501 17 893 28.12.2014 5 453 370 17 868 29.12.2014 5 471 213 17 844 30.12.2014 5 489 032 17 819 31.12.2014 5 506 827 17 795 1.1.2015 5 524 597 17 770 2.1.2015 5 542 343 17 746 3.1.2015 5 560 065 17 721 4.1.2015 5 577 762 17 697 5.1.2015 5 595 435 17 673 6.1.2015 5 613 083 17 649 7.1.2015 5 630 708 17 624 8.1.2015 5 648 308 17 600 9.1.2015 5 665 884 17 576 10.1.2015 5 683 436 17 552 11.1.2015 5 700 963 17 528 12.1.2015 5 718 467 17 504 13.1.2015 5 735 947 17 480 14.1.2015 5 753 402 17 456 15.1.2015 5 770 834 17 432 16.1.2015 5 788 242 17 408 17.1.2015 5 805 626 17 384 18.1.2015 5 822 985 17 360 19.1.2015 5 840 322 17 336 20.1.2015 5 857 634 17 312 21.1.2015 5 874 922 17 289 22.1.2015 5 892 187 17 265 23.1.2015 5 909 428 17 241 24.1.2015 5 926 646 17 217 25.1.2015 5 943 839 17 194 26.1.2015 5 961 009 17 170 27.1.2015 5 978 156 17 147 28.1.2015 5 995 279 17 123 29.1.2015 6 012 378 17 099 30.1.2015 6 029 454 17 076 31.1.2015 6 046 507 17 053 1.2.2015 6 063 536 17 029 2.2.2015 6 080 542 17 006 3.2.2015 6 097 524 16 982 4.2.2015 6 114 483 16 959 5.2.2015 6 131 419 16 936 6.2.2015 6 148 332 16 913 7.2.2015 6 165 221 16 889 8.2.2015 6 182 087 16 866 9.2.2015 6 198 930 16 843 10.2.2015 6 215 750 16 820 11.2.2015 6 232 547 16 797 12.2.2015 6 249 320 16 774 13.2.2015 6 266 071 16 751 14.2.2015 6 282 798 16 728 15.2.2015 6 299 503 16 705 16.2.2015 6 316 185 16 682 17.2.2015 6 332 844 16 659 18.2.2015 6 349 479 16 636 19.2.2015 6 366 093 16 613 20.2.2015 6 382 683 16 590 21.2.2015 6 399 250 16 567 22.2.2015 6 415 795 16 545 23.2.2015 6 432 317 16 522 24.2.2015 6 448 816 16 499 25.2.2015 6 465 293 16 477 26.2.2015 6 481 747 16 454 27.2.2015 6 498 178 16 431 28.2.2015 6 514 587 16 409 1.3.2015 6 530 974 16 386 2.3.2015 6 547 337 16 364 3.3.2015 6 563 679 16 341 4.3.2015 6 579 998 16 319 5.3.2015 6 596 294 16 296 6.3.2015 6 612 568 16 274 7.3.2015 6 628 820 16 252 8.3.2015 6 645 049 16 229 9.3.2015 6 661 257 16 207 10.3.2015 6 677 442 16 185 11.3.2015 6 693 604 16 163 12.3.2015 6 709 745 16 140 13.3.2015 6 725 863 16 118 14.3.2015 6 741 959 16 096 15.3.2015 6 758 033 16 074 16.3.2015 6 774 085 16 052 17.3.2015 6 790 115 16 030 18.3.2015 6 806 123 16 008 19.3.2015 6 822 109 15 986 20.3.2015 6 838 073 15 964 21.3.2015 6 854 015 15 942 22.3.2015 6 869 935 15 920 23.3.2015 6 885 834 15 898 24.3.2015 6 901 710 15 876 25.3.2015 6 917 565 15 855 26.3.2015 6 933 398 15 833 27.3.2015 6 949 209 15 811 28.3.2015 6 964 998 15 789 29.3.2015 6 980 766 15 768 30.3.2015 6 996 512 15 746 31.3.2015 7 012 237 15 725 1.4.2015 7 027 940 15 703 2.4.2015 7 043 621 15 681 3.4.2015 7 059 281 15 660 4.4.2015 7 074 919 15 638 5.4.2015 7 090 536 15 617 6.4.2015 7 106 131 15 595 7.4.2015 7 121 705 15 574 8.4.2015 7 137 258 15 553 9.4.2015 7 152 789 15 531 10.4.2015 7 168 299 15 510 11.4.2015 7 183 788 15 489 12.4.2015 7 199 255 15 467 13.4.2015 7 214 701 15 446 14.4.2015 7 230 126 15 425 15.4.2015 7 245 530 15 404 16.4.2015 7 260 912 15 383 17.4.2015 7 276 274 15 361 18.4.2015 7 291 614 15 340 19.4.2015 7 306 933 15 319 20.4.2015 7 322 231 15 298 21.4.2015 7 337 508 15 277 22.4.2015 7 352 765 15 256 23.4.2015 7 368 000 15 235 24.4.2015 7 383 214 15 214 25.4.2015 7 398 408 15 193 26.4.2015 7 413 580 15 173 27.4.2015 7 428 732 15 152 28.4.2015 7 443 863 15 131 29.4.2015 7 458 973 15 110 30.4.2015 7 474 063 15 089 1.5.2015 7 489 131 15 069 2.5.2015 7 504 179 15 048 3.5.2015 7 519 207 15 027 4.5.2015 7 534 213 15 007 5.5.2015 7 549 199 14 986 6.5.2015 7 564 165 14 966 7.5.2015 7 579 110 14 945 8.5.2015 7 594 034 14 924 9.5.2015 7 608 938 14 904 10.5.2015 7 623 822 14 883 11.5.2015 7 638 685 14 863 12.5.2015 7 653 527 14 843 13.5.2015 7 668 349 14 822 14.5.2015 7 683 151 14 802 15.5.2015 7 697 933 14 782 16.5.2015 7 712 694 14 761 17.5.2015 7 727 435 14 741 18.5.2015 7 742 156 14 721 19.5.2015 7 756 856 14 701 20.5.2015 7 771 537 14 680 21.5.2015 7 786 197 14 660 22.5.2015 7 800 837 14 640 23.5.2015 7 815 457 14 620 24.5.2015 7 830 057 14 600 25.5.2015 7 844 636 14 580 26.5.2015 7 859 196 14 560 27.5.2015 7 873 736 14 540 28.5.2015 7 888 256 14 520 29.5.2015 7 902 756 14 500 30.5.2015 7 917 236 14 480 31.5.2015 7 931 696 14 460 1.6.2015 7 946 136 14 440 2.6.2015 7 960 556 14 420 3.6.2015 7 974 957 14 401 4.6.2015 7 989 338 14 381 5.6.2015 8 003 699 14 361 6.6.2015 8 018 040 14 341 7.6.2015 8 032 362 14 322 8.6.2015 8 046 664 14 302 9.6.2015 8 060 946 14 282 10.6.2015 8 075 209 14 263 11.6.2015 8 089 452 14 243 12.6.2015 8 103 676 14 224 13.6.2015 8 117 880 14 204 14.6.2015 8 132 064 14 185 15.6.2015 8 146 229 14 165 16.6.2015 8 160 375 14 146 17.6.2015 8 174 501 14 126 18.6.2015 8 188 608 14 107 19.6.2015 8 202 695 14 087 20.6.2015 8 216 763 14 068 21.6.2015 8 230 812 14 049 22.6.2015 8 244 841 14 029 23.6.2015 8 258 852 14 010 24.6.2015 8 272 843 13 991 25.6.2015 8 286 814 13 972 26.6.2015 8 300 767 13 953 27.6.2015 8 314 700 13 933 28.6.2015 8 328 614 13 914 29.6.2015 8 342 510 13 895 30.6.2015 8 356 386 13 876 1.7.2015 8 370 243 13 857 2.7.2015 8 384 081 13 838 3.7.2015 8 397 900 13 819 4.7.2015 8 411 700 13 800 5.7.2015 8 425 481 13 781 6.7.2015 8 439 243 13 762 7.7.2015 8 452 986 13 743 8.7.2015 8 466 710 13 724 9.7.2015 8 480 416 13 705 10.7.2015 8 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8.6.2017 14 638 197 5 237 9.6.2017 14 643 427 5 230 10.6.2017 14 648 650 5 223 11.6.2017 14 653 866 5 216 12.6.2017 14 659 075 5 209 13.6.2017 14 664 276 5 202 14.6.2017 14 669 471 5 194 15.6.2017 14 674 658 5 187 16.6.2017 14 679 838 5 180 17.6.2017 14 685 011 5 173 18.6.2017 14 690 177 5 166 19.6.2017 14 695 336 5 159 20.6.2017 14 700 488 5 152 21.6.2017 14 705 632 5 145 22.6.2017 14 710 770 5 138 23.6.2017 14 715 901 5 131 24.6.2017 14 721 024 5 124 25.6.2017 14 726 141 5 116 26.6.2017 14 731 250 5 109 27.6.2017 14 736 353 5 102 28.6.2017 14 741 448 5 095 29.6.2017 14 746 536 5 088 30.6.2017 14 751 618 5 081 1.7.2017 14 756 692 5 074 2.7.2017 14 761 760 5 068 3.7.2017 14 766 820 5 061 4.7.2017 14 771 874 5 054 5.7.2017 14 776 921 5 047 6.7.2017 14 781 960 5 040 7.7.2017 14 786 993 5 033 8.7.2017 14 792 019 5 026 9.7.2017 14 797 038 5 019 10.7.2017 14 802 050 5 012 11.7.2017 14 807 056 5 005 12.7.2017 14 812 054 4 998 13.7.2017 14 817 045 4 991 14.7.2017 14 822 030 4 985 15.7.2017 14 827 008 4 978 16.7.2017 14 831 979 4 971 17.7.2017 14 836 943 4 964 18.7.2017 14 841 900 4 957 19.7.2017 14 846 851 4 950 20.7.2017 14 851 794 4 944 21.7.2017 14 856 731 4 937 22.7.2017 14 861 661 4 930 23.7.2017 14 866 585 4 923 24.7.2017 14 871 501 4 917 25.7.2017 14 876 411 4 910 26.7.2017 14 881 314 4 903 27.7.2017 14 886 211 4 896 28.7.2017 14 891 100 4 890 29.7.2017 14 895 983 4 883 30.7.2017 14 900 860 4 876 31.7.2017 14 905 729 4 870 1.8.2017 14 910 592 4 863 2.8.2017 14 915 448 4 856 3.8.2017 14 920 298 4 849 4.8.2017 14 925 140 4 843 5.8.2017 14 929 977 4 836 6.8.2017 14 934 806 4 830 7.8.2017 14 939 629 4 823 8.8.2017 14 944 445 4 816 9.8.2017 14 949 255 4 810 10.8.2017 14 954 058 4 803 11.8.2017 14 958 855 4 796 12.8.2017 14 963 644 4 790 13.8.2017 14 968 428 4 783 14.8.2017 14 973 205 4 777 15.8.2017 14 977 975 4 770 16.8.2017 14 982 738 4 764 17.8.2017 14 987 495 4 757 18.8.2017 14 992 246 4 751 19.8.2017 14 996 990 4 744 20.8.2017 15 001 728 4 738 21.8.2017 15 006 459 4 731 22.8.2017 15 011 183 4 725 23.8.2017 15 015 901 4 718 24.8.2017 15 020 613 4 712 25.8.2017 15 025 318 4 705 26.8.2017 15 030 016 4 699 27.8.2017 15 034 708 4 692 28.8.2017 15 039 394 4 686 29.8.2017 15 044 073 4 679 30.8.2017 15 048 746 4 673 31.8.2017 15 053 413 4 666 1.9.2017 15 058 073 4 660 2.9.2017 15 062 726 4 654 3.9.2017 15 067 374 4 647 4.9.2017 15 072 015 4 641 5.9.2017 15 076 649 4 634 6.9.2017 15 081 277 4 628 7.9.2017 15 085 899 4 622 8.9.2017 15 090 514 4 615 9.9.2017 15 095 123 4 609 10.9.2017 15 099 726 4 603 11.9.2017 15 104 323 4 596 12.9.2017 15 108 913 4 590 13.9.2017 15 113 496 4 584 14.9.2017 15 118 074 4 578 15.9.2017 15 122 645 4 571 16.9.2017 15 127 210 4 565 17.9.2017 15 131 769 4 559 18.9.2017 15 136 321 4 552 19.9.2017 15 140 867 4 546 20.9.2017 15 145 407 4 540 21.9.2017 15 149 941 4 534 22.9.2017 15 154 469 4 527 23.9.2017 15 158 990 4 521 24.9.2017 15 163 505 4 515 25.9.2017 15 168 014 4 509 26.9.2017 15 172 516 4 503 27.9.2017 15 177 013 4 496 28.9.2017 15 181 503 4 490 29.9.2017 15 185 987 4 484 30.9.2017 15 190 465 4 478 1.10.2017 15 194 937 4 472 2.10.2017 15 199 403 4 466 3.10.2017 15 203 862 4 460 4.10.2017 15 208 316 4 453 5.10.2017 15 212 763 4 447 6.10.2017 15 217 204 4 441 7.10.2017 15 221 639 4 435 8.10.2017 15 226 068 4 429 9.10.2017 15 230 491 4 423 10.10.2017 15 234 908 4 417 11.10.2017 15 239 319 4 411 12.10.2017 15 243 724 4 405 13.10.2017 15 248 122 4 399 14.10.2017 15 252 515 4 393 15.10.2017 15 256 902 4 387 16.10.2017 15 261 282 4 381 17.10.2017 15 265 657 4 375 18.10.2017 15 270 025 4 369 19.10.2017 15 274 388 4 363 20.10.2017 15 278 744 4 357 21.10.2017 15 283 095 4 351 22.10.2017 15 287 440 4 345 23.10.2017 15 291 778 4 339 24.10.2017 15 296 111 4 333 25.10.2017 15 300 438 4 327 26.10.2017 15 304 758 4 321 27.10.2017 15 309 073 4 315 28.10.2017 15 313 382 4 309 29.10.2017 15 317 685 4 303 30.10.2017 15 321 982 4 297 31.10.2017 15 326 274 4 291 1.11.2017 15 330 559 4 285 2.11.2017 15 334 838 4 279 3.11.2017 15 339 112 4 274 4.11.2017 15 343 380 4 268 5.11.2017 15 347 641 4 262 6.11.2017 15 351 897 4 256 7.11.2017 15 356 147 4 250 8.11.2017 15 360 392 4 244 9.11.2017 15 364 630 4 238 10.11.2017 15 368 863 4 233 11.11.2017 15 373 090 4 227 12.11.2017 15 377 311 4 221 13.11.2017 15 381 526 4 215 14.11.2017 15 385 735 4 209 15.11.2017 15 389 939 4 204 16.11.2017 15 394 137 4 198 17.11.2017 15 398 329 4 192 18.11.2017 15 402 515 4 186 19.11.2017 15 406 696 4 181 20.11.2017 15 410 871 4 175 21.11.2017 15 415 040 4 169 22.11.2017 15 419 203 4 163 23.11.2017 15 423 361 4 158 24.11.2017 15 427 513 4 152 25.11.2017 15 431 659 4 146 26.11.2017 15 435 800 4 141 27.11.2017 15 439 935 4 135 28.11.2017 15 444 064 4 129 29.11.2017 15 448 188 4 124 30.11.2017 15 452 305 4 118 1.12.2017 15 456 418 4 112 2.12.2017 15 460 524 4 107 3.12.2017 15 464 625 4 101 4.12.2017 15 468 721 4 095 5.12.2017 15 472 810 4 090 6.12.2017 15 476 894 4 084 7.12.2017 15 480 973 4 078 8.12.2017 15 485 046 4 073 9.12.2017 15 489 113 4 067 10.12.2017 15 493 175 4 062 11.12.2017 15 497 231 4 056 12.12.2017 15 501 281 4 051 13.12.2017 15 505 326 4 045 14.12.2017 15 509 366 4 039 15.12.2017 15 513 400 4 034 16.12.2017 15 517 428 4 028 17.12.2017 15 521 451 4 023 18.12.2017 15 525 468 4 017 19.12.2017 15 529 480 4 012 20.12.2017 15 533 486 4 006 21.12.2017 15 537 487 4 001 22.12.2017 15 541 482 3 995 23.12.2017 15 545 472 3 990 24.12.2017 15 549 456 3 984 25.12.2017 15 553 435 3 979 26.12.2017 15 557 408 3 973 27.12.2017 15 561 376 3 968 28.12.2017 15 565 339 3 962 29.12.2017 15 569 296 3 957 30.12.2017 15 573 247 3 952 31.12.2017 15 577 193 3 946
I am a long term supporter of xmr and I see the niche for this currency as well as the quality of development but I have concerns that we can keep pace with inflation in terms of 6-12 months at given prices under certain circumstances. At given prices (~0.0035) approximately 21000 BTC or at given dollar prices 10 Million $ have to be invested in xmr over the next 12 months to keep the price stable. My first assumption, and this is debatable is that bitcoins network effect and probably the price behaves exponential over the course of time. My second assumption is that xmr is a far more risky investment than btc, from a) the perspective of network effects and b) the economic circumstances e.g. inflation rate and c) the stage of development. If we compare the inflation rate of xmr to btcs inflation rate we see that the inflation has a factor of 20 compared to btc. What is unclear to me is if there are strong or even overly strong overlapping effects from bitcoins network effects on xmr. Maybe I completely underestimate xmrs' network effects My problem at given prices and given assumption is risk/reward ratio for investors given the alternative to hold btc. I can be horribly wrong with this analysis but that would be good for me
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drawingthesun
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August 22, 2014, 01:53:13 PM |
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At given prices (~0.0035) approximately 21000 BTC or at given dollar prices 10 Million $ have to be invested in xmr over the next 12 months to keep the price stable.
Litecoin will require at least $20,000,000 in the same time period to remain where it currently is, and that is after having a cap of over a hundred million $. If Monero starts getting accepted by the community as the default anonymous coin and as second place to Bitcoin, $10,000,000 to sustain the current price is nothing.
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nakaone
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August 22, 2014, 02:02:05 PM |
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At given prices (~0.0035) approximately 21000 BTC or at given dollar prices 10 Million $ have to be invested in xmr over the next 12 months to keep the price stable.
Litecoin will require at least $20,000,000 in the same time period to remain where it currently is, and that is after having a cap of over a hundred million $. If Monero starts getting accepted by the community as the default anonymous coin and as second place to Bitcoin, $10,000,000 to sustain the current price is nothing. litecoin is out of debate (for me it is overvalued crap, which at best solves the function to be an insurance for a 51% attack on btc or something similiar). it is just the comparison of xmr and btc.
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drawingthesun
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August 22, 2014, 02:14:11 PM |
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At given prices (~0.0035) approximately 21000 BTC or at given dollar prices 10 Million $ have to be invested in xmr over the next 12 months to keep the price stable.
Litecoin will require at least $20,000,000 in the same time period to remain where it currently is, and that is after having a cap of over a hundred million $. If Monero starts getting accepted by the community as the default anonymous coin and as second place to Bitcoin, $10,000,000 to sustain the current price is nothing. litecoin is out of debate (for me it is overvalued crap, which at best solves the function to be an insurance for a 51% attack on btc or something similiar). it is just the comparison of xmr and btc. That makes things more interesting! Bitcoin requires about $1.8 million per day to sustain its price, If Monero attracted x% of that investment as being the only true alternative to Bitcoin because of its completely different purpose and design, then we could sustain a price of y. x = 1%, y = 0.0021 x = 5%, y = 0.01 I might have messed up my math { - sustain bitcoin @ $500 for a year = $650mil - xmr coins now 2.9 mil - xmr coins in a year 9 mil = 6.1 mil xmr coins. - get percent of bitcoin investment per year. so 5% = $32mil - amount @ 5% = $32mil / price of bitcoin @ $500 / amount of XMR coins = y } But it seems to work out that if Monero captures 1% of Bitcoin investment, then we are looking at 0.002 which is a disaster, but 5% would be very high at 0.01 I honestly believe that capturing 3% - 5% of the money going into Bitcoin is certainly possible.
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rpietila (OP)
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August 22, 2014, 02:17:29 PM |
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At given prices (~0.0035) approximately 21000 BTC or at given dollar prices 10 Million $ have to be invested in xmr over the next 12 months to keep the price stable.
Oh you of little math & logic! What you are saying, essentially, is that in the course of 12 months, Monero the currency, can only accommodate new buyers by $10 million without the price increasing, potentially a lot. The inflation has been decreasing from the day 1, the adoption has been increasing, and the price is roughly 15 times higher than in the inception, and about 3 times higher than the Cryptonote Exchange era.
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HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
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nakaone
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August 22, 2014, 02:44:03 PM |
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At given prices (~0.0035) approximately 21000 BTC or at given dollar prices 10 Million $ have to be invested in xmr over the next 12 months to keep the price stable.
Oh you of little math & logic! you have to put in the context to the other assumptions What you are saying, essentially, is that in the course of 12 months, Monero the currency, can only accommodate new buyers by $10 million without the price increasing, potentially a lot.
well glass is half full or half empty - but yes one can see it from this perspective The inflation has been decreasing from the day 1, the adoption has been increasing, and the price is roughly 15 times higher than in the inception, and about 3 times higher than the Cryptonote Exchange era.
the price development is quite irrelevant, especially from inception. nxt has a price of 3 million times the cap of the inception, obv. there are not as many users compared to the price delopment. given altcoins nature xmrs price devlopment until now is even moderate (which is good) adoption is what matters - if and really IF this is increasing at a good pace, CONSTANTLY (do you have assumptions how important a constant new influx of users is?) we can take your assumption. I think the user base is already, compared to other coins quite big. Every rational investors, given inflation design, buys monero as early as possible. For several natural reasons the development of user base is non-constant over time and there is obviously a lot of space for new maybe little less tech savyy user to join us at a later point of time. I think drawingthesun offered a good mathematical analysis.
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dEBRUYNE
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August 22, 2014, 04:25:36 PM |
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Since the speculation thread is closed, can we discuss some of it here?
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rpietila (OP)
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August 22, 2014, 04:33:55 PM |
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Since the speculation thread is closed, can we discuss some of it here?
Oh no. Perhaps you can, but only quality comments please.
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HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
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dEBRUYNE
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August 22, 2014, 04:42:55 PM |
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Since the speculation thread is closed, can we discuss some of it here?
Oh no. Perhaps you can, but only quality comments please. Haha oke! It was not my intention to troll here :p But on topic: strong resistance @ 0.004 zone, need to break that first. I think we will see some panic buying if we break that zone. EDIT: Aminorex also said that 0.004 was a potential buy zone, because if it would reach there the cup and handle formation would be complete
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dEBRUYNE
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August 22, 2014, 06:05:40 PM |
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Posted in another topic, also relates to monero:
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