Bitcoin Forum
May 05, 2024, 12:34:08 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Augur - a decentralized prediction market platform  (Read 114180 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic.
Financisto
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 632
Merit: 768

BTC⇆⚡⇄BTC


View Profile WWW
September 02, 2015, 01:15:07 AM
 #61

OUCH! Augur already exists and it's called groupgnosis.com. Now we learn you lose the stuff you bought if you don't use it! OMG. Augur could go down as the dumbest thing ever to have purchased.

http://groupgnosis.com/
WTF, I've never heard about that GNOSIS project.

Who is behind that project?

I couldn't even find a Github repository about that.

LIST • ESCROW providers • Ranking & Scores available!LIST • FOSS BrainwalletsBTC ⇆⚡⇄ BTCBTC aka BTC: 16MBvhaJoRBxW3Vk6apnvz3UYT9HAgraVS ⚡ PGP: 2680207AA9A1B69FE7A033D80DE0F221074384C4 ⚡ If you think freedom matters, please support the development of these privacy projects→DONATE some sats: TailsQubes OSWhonixVeraCryptPicocryptKryptorSimpleX Chat
1714869248
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714869248

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714869248
Reply with quote  #2

1714869248
Report to moderator
1714869248
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714869248

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714869248
Reply with quote  #2

1714869248
Report to moderator
1714869248
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714869248

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714869248
Reply with quote  #2

1714869248
Report to moderator
The forum was founded in 2009 by Satoshi and Sirius. It replaced a SourceForge forum.
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
1714869248
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714869248

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714869248
Reply with quote  #2

1714869248
Report to moderator
1714869248
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714869248

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714869248
Reply with quote  #2

1714869248
Report to moderator
1714869248
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714869248

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714869248
Reply with quote  #2

1714869248
Report to moderator
Jayjay04
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1364
Merit: 1000



View Profile
September 04, 2015, 02:48:15 PM
Last edit: September 04, 2015, 04:39:19 PM by Jayjay04
 #62

https://sale.augur.net/

Doesn't seem to be working anymore...


Not it's back up

                    ▄▄▄
                   █████
             ▄▄▄    ▀▀▀       ▄▄████╕
            █████          ▄▄███████▌
     ▄▄▄     ▀▀▀        ╓████████▀▀
    █████               ██████▀▀       ▄███▄
     ▀▀▀        ▄███▄    ▀▀▀           ▀███▀
                ▀███▀        ▄▄████╕
       ▁▄▄███▄           ▄▄████████▌
   ▁▄▆████████       ▄▄█████████▀▀       ▄███▄
 ▄█████████▀▔    ▄▄█████████▀▀           ▀███▀
▐██████▀▀▔   ,▄█████████▀▀        ▄▄▄
 ▔▀▀▀▔    ▄▄████████▀▀           █████
      ▄▄████████▀▀       ▄▄██▄    ▀▀▀
   ▄█████████▀       ▄▄███████▌       ▄▄▄
  ▐██████▀▀      ▄▄█████████▀▔       █████
   `▀▀▀      ▂▄█████████▀▀    ,▄▄µ    ▀▀▀
          ▂▆████████▀▀    ,▄██████▌
          ██████▀▀     ▄█████████▀
           ▔▀▀        ███████▀"
                      "▀▀▀╙
Hello!
STAKER
.The Next Proof-of-Stake.
KSmart Contract Tokene.














wearehatetherules
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 195
Merit: 100

★YoBit.Net★ 200+ Coins Exchange & Dice


View Profile
September 04, 2015, 11:05:12 PM
 #63

i ever heard about Augur from forum,and its amazing. great work dude!

mookid
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 446
Merit: 251



View Profile WWW
September 07, 2015, 09:06:35 PM
 #64

When will this coin list on exchange, is there any plan?

REP is not really a coin. But I guess it's gonna be listed in coinmarkecap in the future as some kind of "asset".

I don't  even know if it's gonna work in a (centralized) exchange.

Reason: if you don't use it (report bets) you lose it (to other active users who do).

But sure it could possibly be traded in a decentralized exchange on top of ethereum in the future.

Source: http://www.augur.net/blog/what-is-reputation

I am so upset, I bought many REP but I don't want to do any bet, I just want to sell them in exchange.

REP aren't going to be wagered, i think you didn't read properly. The only way to lose REP is due inactivity, or reporting wrong outcomes on events.
I bout about 8 REP. In the future, you can grow your REP and receive collected fees (based on your % of REP) on the markets that are going to be opened. It is possible to sell REPs when they become a trade-able asset.
Omega.SportSciencie
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 264
Merit: 250


View Profile
September 12, 2015, 02:46:25 PM
 #65

I think it will have a nice profit on launch but not as much as Ethereum had. Gl
TRilon
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 476
Merit: 250



View Profile
September 12, 2015, 08:21:58 PM
 #66

I think it will have a nice profit on launch but not as much as Ethereum had. Gl
Prior to the launch time for many more, we will wait and hope
Blawpaw
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1596
Merit: 1027



View Profile
September 15, 2015, 02:11:00 PM
 #67

Built upon the theoretical framework of Paul Sztorc's "Truthcoin" project, Augur will be a decentralized, open-source prediction market application platform.  Our team has just published the first draft of our whitepaper, which is available at augur.net.  We're also working on an implementation using Serpent contracts, and we have a working prototype written in python available that can be found at https://github.com/scottzer0/Augur-UI.  

In a nutshell, this project will allow individuals to create markets where bets can be made for, or against, predictions using bitcoin (whether sidechained directly or via Counterparty or Ethereum).  We use a logarithmic market scoring rule to increase liquidity and remove the need for a traditional order book. and instead of having an oracle decide the outcome, we have a distributed group of people report on the outcome of an event after it occurs.  If such an individual is dishonest, they are punished, and if they tell the truth, their reputation increases (this is discovered via principal component analysis).

There is a lot to take in, and we fully expect criticism. In fact, we encourage it! So check out the paper, give us your thoughts, and we look forward to building this powerful forecast consensus mechanism!

Whitepaper available at augur.net
Prototype available at https://github.com/scottzer0/Augur-UI.  

The Counterparty Platform already has a betting system implemented. Is your model similar to do one they have on XCP? what are the main differences?
Benjig
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 462
Merit: 250



View Profile
October 03, 2015, 11:41:03 AM
 #68

Well it seems like many people missed this train, let's do math:

The final price was around 400 rep/bitcoin (230 usd)

With 3 bitcoins you own a little more than 1/10,000 of total reps.

Rep will get profit from fees.


In a conservative scenario where each month only 3 billion usd are wagered on this, ( today there are single sport events where more than that is wagered on a single day)

Let's take a 1% fee of that, that is 30 million usd.


Distributed into 10,000 parts the result is 3000 usd.


So with 3 bitcoins (690 usd) you had the opportunity to make at least 3000/month without doing anything.
Zebedee23
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2086
Merit: 1001


View Profile
October 04, 2015, 01:11:05 AM
 #69

Well it seems like many people missed this train, let's do math:

The final price was around 400 rep/bitcoin (230 usd)

With 3 bitcoins you own a little more than 1/10,000 of total reps.

Rep will get profit from fees.


In a conservative scenario where each month only 3 billion usd are wagered on this, ( today there are single sport events where more than that is wagered on a single day)

Let's take a 1% fee of that, that is 30 million usd.


Distributed into 10,000 parts the result is 3000 usd.


So with 3 bitcoins (690 usd) you had the opportunity to make at least 3000/month without doing anything.

I love your optimism but i think your figures are grossly unrealistic. $3 billion a month is not gonna happen.

▄▄▄███████▄▄▄
▄█████████████████▄
▄█████████████████████▄
█████████████████████████
██████████        ▀████████
█████████    ████▄  █████████
█████████▀▀  ▀▀▀▀   █████████
█████████▄▄  ▄▄   ▄██████████
▀██████████  ███▄  ▀████████▀
▀█████████▄▄█████▄▄███████▀
▀███████████████████████▀
▀███████████████████▀
▀▀█████████████▀▀
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
.Reserve.
▄▄▄███████▄▄▄
▄█████████████████▄
▄█████████████████████▄
████████▀▀▀███▀▀▀████████
█████████   ███   █████████
███████               ███████
██████████   ███   ██████████
██████████   ███   ██████████
▀██████               ██████▀
▀████████   ███   ████████▀
▀███████▄▄▄███▄▄▄███████▀
▀███████████████████▀
▀▀█████████████▀▀
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
▄▄████████▄▄
▄████████████████▄
▄████████████████████▄
███████████████▀▀  █████
████████████▀▀      ██████
▐████████▀▀   ▄▄     ██████▌
▐████▀▀    ▄█▀▀     ███████▌
▐████████ █▀        ███████▌
████████ █ ▄███▄   ███████
████████████████▄▄██████
▀████████████████████▀
▀████████████████▀
▀▀████████▀▀

.Reserve Your Rights.
MrWhiteBites
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 770
Merit: 511


Im the One who Knocks.


View Profile
October 05, 2015, 01:23:34 PM
Last edit: October 05, 2015, 04:08:30 PM by MrWhiteBites
 #70

Mr WHite is not happy!

Can't BElieve i missed out on THis, so what can people like myself do to get involved on this GRavy train?  Who do i have to talk to and make a deal happen?

If you don't know who I am, then maybe your best course would be to tread lightly
Zebedee23
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2086
Merit: 1001


View Profile
October 06, 2015, 11:10:40 AM
 #71

Mr WHite is not happy!

Can't BElieve i missed out on THis, so what can people like myself do to get involved on this GRavy train?  Who do i have to talk to and make a deal happen?

Wait till release in a few months and put some buy orders , thats all you can do at this stage.

▄▄▄███████▄▄▄
▄█████████████████▄
▄█████████████████████▄
█████████████████████████
██████████        ▀████████
█████████    ████▄  █████████
█████████▀▀  ▀▀▀▀   █████████
█████████▄▄  ▄▄   ▄██████████
▀██████████  ███▄  ▀████████▀
▀█████████▄▄█████▄▄███████▀
▀███████████████████████▀
▀███████████████████▀
▀▀█████████████▀▀
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
.Reserve.
▄▄▄███████▄▄▄
▄█████████████████▄
▄█████████████████████▄
████████▀▀▀███▀▀▀████████
█████████   ███   █████████
███████               ███████
██████████   ███   ██████████
██████████   ███   ██████████
▀██████               ██████▀
▀████████   ███   ████████▀
▀███████▄▄▄███▄▄▄███████▀
▀███████████████████▀
▀▀█████████████▀▀
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
▄▄████████▄▄
▄████████████████▄
▄████████████████████▄
███████████████▀▀  █████
████████████▀▀      ██████
▐████████▀▀   ▄▄     ██████▌
▐████▀▀    ▄█▀▀     ███████▌
▐████████ █▀        ███████▌
████████ █ ▄███▄   ███████
████████████████▄▄██████
▀████████████████████▀
▀████████████████▀
▀▀████████▀▀

.Reserve Your Rights.
cryptoadoption15
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 37
Merit: 0


View Profile
October 06, 2015, 02:25:51 PM
 #72

Any predictions for when it will be released?
bitcoinrocks
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000


View Profile
October 06, 2015, 02:35:21 PM
 #73

Any predictions for when it will be released?

12/25/15 I believe.  (Seriously.)
MrWhiteBites
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 770
Merit: 511


Im the One who Knocks.


View Profile
October 06, 2015, 03:40:37 PM
 #74

BUy Orders?

Will Augur be TRadable on a EXchange?

If you don't know who I am, then maybe your best course would be to tread lightly
Zebedee23
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2086
Merit: 1001


View Profile
October 06, 2015, 06:12:08 PM
 #75

BUy Orders?

Will Augur be TRadable on a EXchange?

yes it will be

▄▄▄███████▄▄▄
▄█████████████████▄
▄█████████████████████▄
█████████████████████████
██████████        ▀████████
█████████    ████▄  █████████
█████████▀▀  ▀▀▀▀   █████████
█████████▄▄  ▄▄   ▄██████████
▀██████████  ███▄  ▀████████▀
▀█████████▄▄█████▄▄███████▀
▀███████████████████████▀
▀███████████████████▀
▀▀█████████████▀▀
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
.Reserve.
▄▄▄███████▄▄▄
▄█████████████████▄
▄█████████████████████▄
████████▀▀▀███▀▀▀████████
█████████   ███   █████████
███████               ███████
██████████   ███   ██████████
██████████   ███   ██████████
▀██████               ██████▀
▀████████   ███   ████████▀
▀███████▄▄▄███▄▄▄███████▀
▀███████████████████▀
▀▀█████████████▀▀
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
▄▄████████▄▄
▄████████████████▄
▄████████████████████▄
███████████████▀▀  █████
████████████▀▀      ██████
▐████████▀▀   ▄▄     ██████▌
▐████▀▀    ▄█▀▀     ███████▌
▐████████ █▀        ███████▌
████████ █ ▄███▄   ███████
████████████████▄▄██████
▀████████████████████▀
▀████████████████▀
▀▀████████▀▀

.Reserve Your Rights.
MrWhiteBites
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 770
Merit: 511


Im the One who Knocks.


View Profile
October 07, 2015, 09:38:05 AM
Last edit: October 07, 2015, 10:01:41 AM by MrWhiteBites
 #76

BUy Orders?

Will Augur be TRadable on a EXchange?

yes it will be

HOw much (after THe final sale) is 1 Augur  to BTC ratio?


1 Augur = % BTC = $  ?

I work it out around 395 Augur per 1 BTC = 395 / $250 = $1.58 per 1 Augur?

If you don't know who I am, then maybe your best course would be to tread lightly
-Greed-
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 910
Merit: 1000


Decentralized Jihad


View Profile
October 08, 2015, 03:02:25 PM
 #77

BUy Orders?

Will Augur be TRadable on a EXchange?

yes it will be

HOw much (after THe final sale) is 1 Augur  to BTC ratio?


1 Augur = % BTC = $  ?

I work it out around 395 Augur per 1 BTC = 395 / $250 = $1.58 per 1 Augur?

Code:
(total_raised_usd/btc_price_usd)/total_tokens_issued = X REP/BTC

So price per Augur REP token is about 0.002 BTC. But after release of the platform 0.02 BTC per REP will be a resonable price.

MrWhiteBites
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 770
Merit: 511


Im the One who Knocks.


View Profile
October 08, 2015, 03:50:01 PM
 #78

I will be over the moon buying a lamboghini if i can Get a x10 return on my original investment into Augur. Eth served me very well, i think Augur will do even better.

Plus the way it is SEt Up, moRE people will hold it and want a nice slice of the % of revenue it will make.  I can see Augur being a brute Force in the global online betting world.

If you don't know who I am, then maybe your best course would be to tread lightly
-Greed-
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 910
Merit: 1000


Decentralized Jihad


View Profile
October 15, 2015, 09:40:33 AM
 #79

Since devs don't post updates out here I'll post them.

The Crowdsale, What's New and What's Next: http://www.augur.net/blog/the-crowdsale-what-s-new-and-what-s-next

MrWhiteBites
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 770
Merit: 511


Im the One who Knocks.


View Profile
October 15, 2015, 11:22:02 AM
 #80

Since devs don't post updates out here I'll post them.

The Crowdsale, What's New and What's Next: http://www.augur.net/blog/the-crowdsale-what-s-new-and-what-s-next

Thank you Greed!

If you don't know who I am, then maybe your best course would be to tread lightly
Pages: « 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!