ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It

[deadweasel]

Hot weather is a good point for decrease of the whole network

Yes!  Because the entire world lies above the equator.

the majority of the hashrate certainly is.

But I still think the diff decrease is because BFL / Avalon unplugging and shipping units.

[SmiGueL]

Latest updates:

Update
The wafer of the first half (100TH/s) of next batch is to be out of fab.

The demand of blades are surprisingly long-lasting and still high.

Please wait till late June to early July for newer blades with improved design and better price.

Why would you sell shares now? The future is looking good!

Okay, maybe the hashrate drop 'll give a bit less income, but that seems to be fixxed now

Selling now probably equals: Miss a few weeks of income AND you probably have to buy it back at a higher price when the new blade sales begin... in just a few weeks... double loss

I'm at least holding them and enjoying my divs every week no matter how low/high

[Transisto]

Yeah, "seems" fixed...

242324    3 minutes    361    5,568.87 BTC    ASICMiner    242.97
242323    12 minutes    693    10,813.03 BTC    BTC Guild    243.37
242322    25 minutes    271    3,705.69 BTC    ASICMiner    101.97
242321    38 minutes    406    3,786.01 BTC    ASICMiner    201.63

[velacreations]

Selling now probably equals: Miss a few weeks of income AND you probably have to buy it back at a higher price when the new blade sales begin... double loss

I'm at least holding them and enjoying my divs every week no matter how low/high

that's actually a very good point.  Sure, selling at 3 and buying at 2.5 is great, but it is only possible in hindsight.  The price is climbing back up, and for those that sold at ~2.6, they probably can't get back in without a loss.

It's always easy to trade in hindsight, but the reality is that no one knows what is going to happen in the future.  We all knew there was going to be a share slump (some people didn't want to admit it), but no one knew how much.

[SOSLOVE868]

Selling now probably equals: Miss a few weeks of income AND you probably have to buy it back at a higher price when the new blade sales begin... double loss

I'm at least holding them and enjoying my divs every week no matter how low/high

that's actually a very good point.  Sure, selling at 3 and buying at 2.5 is great, but it is only possible in hindsight.  The price is climbing back up, and for those that sold at ~2.6, they probably can't get back in without a loss.

It's always easy to trade in hindsight, but the reality is that no one knows what is going to happen in the future.  We all knew there was going to be a share slump (some people didn't want to admit it), but no one knew how much.

I am glad buying a 40 shares average at 2.65 seems a bit higher than other.. but I believe this a good time ..

[ianp]

Yeah, "seems" fixed...

242324    3 minutes    361    5,568.87 BTC    ASICMiner    242.97
242323    12 minutes    693    10,813.03 BTC    BTC Guild    243.37
242322    25 minutes    271    3,705.69 BTC    ASICMiner    101.97
242321    38 minutes    406    3,786.01 BTC    ASICMiner    201.63

Since we're taking stuff and running with it -- we're at 92.29 th/s!

http://www.dpcapital.net/blockchain/?hours=1,2,4,8

[SOSLOVE868]

Yeah, "seems" fixed...

242324    3 minutes    361    5,568.87 BTC    ASICMiner    242.97
242323    12 minutes    693    10,813.03 BTC    BTC Guild    243.37
242322    25 minutes    271    3,705.69 BTC    ASICMiner    101.97
242321    38 minutes    406    3,786.01 BTC    ASICMiner    201.63

Wowing....I feel sad for those selling at 2.6

[conv3rsion]

I feel sad with anyone who is unhappy with a minimum 30% annual return, even with lower dividends than this one. Apparently, they have completely different expectations than I do.

Also, ASICMiner just found 4 of the last 7 blocks. Please sell, I want cheaper shares. 

[kokojie]

Yeah, "seems" fixed...

242324    3 minutes    361    5,568.87 BTC    ASICMiner    242.97
242323    12 minutes    693    10,813.03 BTC    BTC Guild    243.37
242322    25 minutes    271    3,705.69 BTC    ASICMiner    101.97
242321    38 minutes    406    3,786.01 BTC    ASICMiner    201.63

Since we're taking stuff and running with it -- we're at 92.29 th/s!

http://www.dpcapital.net/blockchain/?hours=1,2,4,8

how is 91TH possible? that's just a lucky streak estimate I think. Otherwise it's nearly  70% of the network.

[bitfair]

Yeah, "seems" fixed...

242324    3 minutes    361    5,568.87 BTC    ASICMiner    242.97
242323    12 minutes    693    10,813.03 BTC    BTC Guild    243.37
242322    25 minutes    271    3,705.69 BTC    ASICMiner    101.97
242321    38 minutes    406    3,786.01 BTC    ASICMiner    201.63

Since we're taking stuff and running with it -- we're at 92.29 th/s!

http://www.dpcapital.net/blockchain/?hours=1,2,4,8

Come again?

Quick, somebody with a calculator please calculate the probability of this happening!

Either a lucky streak, or new equipment arrived?

[conv3rsion]

how is 91TH possible? that's just a lucky streak estimate I think. Otherwise it's nearly  70% of the network.

Its a lucky streak. And its awesome.

[ianp]

Anybody with a calculator, please calculate the probability of this happening!

The probability of this happening at the time I posted is exactly 100%

Ian

[ianp]

Down to 69.22 th/s in the last hour. PANIC SELL

[binaryFate]

It's just luck, but it shows things are going back to normal.

It's just luck you said it yourself, and therefore doesn't show anything. You could as well make calculations on the last block only and say that AM has 100% of the hash rate?

I encourage people without any idea about probabilities and statistics to NOT tell us in the name of probabilities and statistics what are only their "feelings". Many thanks!

[Streets 2.0]

Down to 69.22 th/s in the last hour. PANIC SELL

LOL I love reading this thread each day and refreshing throughout, it is like a cutout from the funnies section! 

[ianp]

Down to 69.22 th/s in the last hour. PANIC SELL

LOL I love reading this thread each day and refreshing throughout, it is like a cutout from the funnies section! 

I'm a businessman by day (and night,) but my personal opinion is that jokes keep things light hearted. Nobody should take this too seriously. After all is said and done, we still have families, friends, etc.

I can see how this would be viewed as spam'ish, or rhetoric by someone who doesn't feel the same way, though

Ian

[statdude]

Down to 69.22 th/s in the last hour. PANIC SELL

LOL I love reading this thread each day and refreshing throughout, it is like a cutout from the funnies section! 

I'm a businessman by day (and night,) but my personal opinion is that jokes keep things light hearted. Nobody should take this too seriously. After all is said and done, we still have families, friends, etc.

I can see how this would be viewed as spam'ish, or rhetoric by someone who doesn't feel the same way, though

Ian

Anyone got #'s for the margin of errors for the variance in looking at 1-4 hours of blocks? Lol.

[ianp]

Down to 69.22 th/s in the last hour. PANIC SELL

LOL I love reading this thread each day and refreshing throughout, it is like a cutout from the funnies section!  

I'm a businessman by day (and night,) but my personal opinion is that jokes keep things light hearted. Nobody should take this too seriously. After all is said and done, we still have families, friends, etc.

I can see how this would be viewed as spam'ish, or rhetoric by someone who doesn't feel the same way, though

Ian

Anyone got #'s for the margin of errors for the variance in looking at 1-4 hours of blocks? Lol.

I'll tell you my personal take -- when you see a streak of 2 or 2, skip one, and 2 more.. Anything after that is typically not margin of error/luck/fluke. For example, 2-x-2-x-1 would probably be due to a lot of hashing power. If you see a 2 or 2-x-2 streak, then it's likely luck. With that said, I would speculate that the recent 2-x-2 finds are likely luck. I would attribute possibly 1 of those to the hashrate, and 3 of them to luck.

Just an observation that I can't quantify.

Margin of error in 24 hours is fairly low, while 48 hours is half of 48 hours. Each one of the sites that shows you a graph takes an hourly hashrate and projects from there. 24 hours has 24 separate samples, 48 hours has 48, etc.

[binaryFate]

I encourage people without any idea about probabilities and statistics to NOT tell us in the name of probabilities and statistics what are only their "feelings". Many thanks!

I'll tell you my personal take -- when you see a streak of 2 or 2, skip one, and 2 more.. Anything after that is typically not margin of error/luck/fluke. If you see a 2 or 2-x-2 streak, then it's likely luck.

Just an observation that I can't quantify.

Thanks for the example! 

[statdude]

Someone should start a site where you can bet on who gets the net block. Or probably exists, huh?