As I see it AM has three 'weaknesses' that they can't stop but can plan for;
1) China could decide to shut them down. Friedcat has made statements of building more mining locations
2) A disaster could destroy the mining building (think western digital floods) Friedcat has made statements that multiple mining plants will be built outside of China.
3) BFL ,Avalon, unknown ASIC co etc could build more gear faster and cheaper the AM. Friedcat has made statements that new AM chips will come out in OCT.
I bailed at 2.5 btc took profits of 30 btc. I will watch and wait for now. I will also sell off all my pc's from my gpu farms. I still think AM is selling sticks at an insanely high price along with blades. The gear is selling and boosting dividends but I do not see how this can continue. BFL keeps shipping gear out sooner or later people will stop buying AM gear at the prices it sells for.
What is break even for a stick 300 days?
again with this? Do we have to hear about how you think AM can't continue to succeed on a daily basis? Ok, you sold out, great for you! Good luck with your future ventures, and I hope BFL does well for you.
Now, can we keep this discussion for current shareholders, please?
speaking for myself only, I appreciate hearing the other side of the story. Everyone is very happy with their investment in AM
at this time, and that is what we hear a large amount of in this thread... in particular on dividend day.... speculating on what can happen in the future that might change this golden age is a worthwhile pursuit and can be helpful to rationalise the irrational excitement around the companies current success.
posts like philipma's can also help provide an understanding of those who have not bought AM products or shares for various reasons, or have been selling shares for various reasons.
lastly, if you read his points carefully, he countered each point with a note on Friedcat's stated plans to deal with the possible setbacks that could occur to affect AM's current success.
thanks
thank you,
I have more then once AM stated has been very good to me. As has btc in general . I never looked to make Cadillac money Chevy money was fine with me.
Frankly I am not a bfl fan.
As of today I am mining with my gpus still making money. Waiting on BFL gear and I took a flyer on two other things one cloudhashing.com and two a group buy with a bitcoin talk member holding a 110Gh bit fury and paying out to share holders. Why do these higher risk moves.
The bfl gear cost 6.5 coins the group buy cost 3 coins the cloud hashing contract cost 6 coins total of 15.5 coins. My 30 coin profit from Am is now 14.5 coins.
If all my flyers pan out I get 42gh hash power. At a cost of 15.5 coins better yet I do no work for 18Gh just wait for the btc to roll in.
Am if all fails I am 14.5 coins ahed all profit. . if I held my shares of AM purchased low .7 to .9 coins I made about 1.7 btc a share I would be getting about .5 coins a week dividend . with all my money at risk.
now I am getting 0 coins a week with 14.5 profit and 13.6 buy in on the side lines, so I have 28 coins just sitting no risk and I earn 0 if I stayed in I would have about 43 coins on the line earning .5 coins a week.
well my up side is I start earning about 1 coin a week on July 1st from cloud hashing.
on Aug 1 I start to earn 2.8 coins a week from bfl .
and on sept I start to earn .6 coins from the group buy .... all the while I have 28 no risk coins while if I held Am I would have about 42-43 coins at risk.
I do not keep the up down value of coins in the calculation. since in both cases of my guess vs holding AM that is a constant. Here is the best thing if my play pans out I can buy back into AM since my play will out earn AM in the aug- nov time period.
worst case Am whales and my play is bad but guess what I would still have made a profit. that is the difference between gambling and investing.