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1321  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 02:57:24 PM

It would have been interesting to see if they took BTC as is and only added bigger blocks, but that's not what they did, so here we are and the market has spoken.

Meh, segwit really isn't that interesting. While it's not disastrous, It adds technical debt because it does things in a kludgy way and the things it does bring to the table can be (and have been) implemented in better ways. Now, that typically means hard forks so could they have been implemented on Bitcoin? We'll never know.

It's definitely clear that forks that don't carry the BTC symbol or have the blessing of Core start a long way behind and hash is always going to be hugely important. It's clear to me that, as AlcoHoDL suggests, increasing the block size limit is inevitable at some point so I think it's far from a dead issue. Bitcoin is still permissionless and to act like all those who believe some kind of change is the block size limit is a good idea got exiled to BCH island is asinine.
1322  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 02:45:19 PM
What I mean are Bitcoin mining facilities with their own hydropower (water power) installations using small river as energy source as part of the land they own or lease, like this one:
https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2018/1/17/inside-the-world-of-chinese-bitcoin-mining

No one is stealing energy when they generate their own power (or build mining facility close to existing hydropower plant with contract to mine energy overproduction), and shutting down just means the river continues to flow through the plant without turbine, no environmental gain.

It was my understanding that these hydro-power installations were mostly built in anticipation of needed demand (or arguably misallocated resources - see the ghost cities) and were just being used where they would otherwise be idle rather than built specifically by miners. I could see some idiot bureaucrat making a boneheaded decision in that case.
1323  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 02:41:12 PM

Does this include the big miners using their own hydropower installations? If so, seems like a stupid decision.

Definitely the kind of idiocy that can only come from a command-and-control economy.
1324  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 02:38:57 PM

The guy seems clueless. If a 'price crash' is a reason to forbid it, you should forbid the financial markets  Huh Roll Eyes


But the government can always step in and bail out all those rich people who made stupid high-risk bets with poor peoples' money doncha know?
1325  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 01:19:58 PM
In any case, bitcoin is going the way of an El Salvadorian fisherman with an LN channel on a Pie node transacting his business for fraction of a cent. Surely this is not the end stage and there's plenty that still will need to be improved, but this is a best solution so far, if you think a global currency can keep every transaction on layer one while maintaining decentralization you're delusional.

It's really a false dichotomy. We could have more capacity for on-chain transactions *and* second layer solutions (which I have been an advocate for since the early part of my presence in the Bitcoin realm) which also need more capacity than we currently have. I mean, if LN is all that, we'll be preferring using it over on-chain anyway. The block size limit is just that, a limit, not a requirement.

Like I say, I have no sympathy for the RPis. They're just the wrong hardware for the job. It's cute to have a Bitcoin node running on one but that's all. It has no justification. Show me some hardware actually designed for the job at around $100 and we might be able to talk (probably Intel Atom, PCIE SSD, proper Gigabit ethernet and expandable RAM starting at 16G).
1326  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 12:27:40 PM
I am not moving the goalposts.  Segwit passed and became a part of bitcoin in August 2017.  You are the one who seems to be suggesting that something might need to be done about that or that you are complaining about something that the blocks are not big enough that relate to issues from 2017.. .. so my who fucking cares should suggest to you that you have some kind of burden to show facts and logic for it to be relevant.  

Remember in late 2015, Peter wuille came up with a compromise (which was segwit), and for about 6 months (while segwit was coded and tested), there was a lot of consensus that it was great, but then with the passage of time, the disingenuine BIG blocker fucktwats just started to make up other shit about various disagreements they had with it.. .

You are the one who brought up segwit, Hueristic was asking about raising the block size limit, Marcus cast aspersions in big block advocates as a group. I replied to each of these, I did not bring them up. Until you can keep more than one thing in your li'l head at a time, there's no point continuing.

Yes, nothing can be done about Segwit. That was one of the complaints against it at the time.
1327  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 05:28:12 AM
At this point, who fucking cares?

Quit moving the fucking goalposts*. You ask a question and when answered, you go off on another fucking tangent and act like you've made an excellent counter when you're just being a dick. If you don't care, stop replying. It's really that easy.


(For example, you say:)

So what?  It was passed in August 2017 by more than 95% consensus.  It is now part of bitcoin, and people have been building and developing upon it for nearly 4 years.

But that's irrelevant. You were stating that people were upset that segwit wasn't the block size increase (promised in the Hong Kong agreement, signed by several core devs by the way) they wanted and I explained why. That segwit was passed in 2017? True but totally besides the point.

Your walls of text often have little point but that's doubly so when you fail to maintain a coherent thread of an argument. I won't be doing this for the rest of your dribble (I need to hit the sack in any case).
1328  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 04:42:22 AM
but you can now buy a used small form factor like a dell for 200 bucks.

toss in 32gb ram.

a 2 tb ssd and probably go up to a 4 mb block. as long as you have at least 100mbs internet.

beyond that block size you need more power and faster internet.

but a pc with 128gb ram

 i7 core

4tb ssd and 200mbs internet

starts to become costly.

That first PC is already plenty beefy. Pruning can reduce the storage requirements and UTXO checkpoints (if added) even moreso It's pretty much the specs of my VR rig (not including the GPU). If you want a record of every transaction on the chain, even spent ones, you'd need extra storage but that's niche for most people and not horribly expensive if you do.
1329  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 04:31:07 AM
If you cannot meet your burden of  proof (evidence) and burden of persuasion (logic) then the status quo continues.  Big blockers had the same problem in 2015/2016, and then even after a proposal was passed, coded and then tested, they changed their minds and said that they did not like it, but they did not present another proposal that was able to reach consensus... segwit reached consensus and those various block limit increase proposals did not get accepted then, and it seems even more doubtful that they will get accepted now because bitcoin seems to be working even better than it was working in 2015-2017 as far as I can see... -  unless you can provide evidence and logic to convince me otherwise, and actually who gives any shits what I think submit your BIP and go through the official channels so that your dumbass ideas that lack both evidence and logic can get discussed and agreed to.

Yes, one voice going it alone would make all the difference. It's not like they kicked Gavin out of the repository where previously he was previously the head maintainer. Except they did with a bullshit excuse.

Look, there's a discussion to be had and I'm going to say my piece. Just get over it. We can go back to your regularly scheduled walls of nonsense shortly. It only comes up every 2-3 months and doesn't last long.

In other words, why agree to a change that is not agreed to and you are not even going through the proper channels to try to get such a change considered... in other words, no one gives any fucks about your made up claims and  your whining about history in which you supposedly were not heard because that BIP system was there all along, and there was not evidence and logic to persuade.. and then the nonsense did get implemented on those other bullshit bcash chains, and wonder why no one is using those superior BIG block systems?  Surely not superior nor a better mouse trap because if it were true, after nearly 4 years for one of the bcash pieces of crap and nearly 3 years for the other bcash crap, you would think that those  BIG blocker versions of bitcoin would gain some traction besides just being scams?  Go figure why they have never amounted to shit, except means to deceive, confuse and mislead people (especially newbies) about bitcoin?

Why are we talking about "shitcoins"? Are you trying to trap me into talking about them so you can accuse me of shilling for them? Hard fail on that. Not relevant. We are talking about Bitcoin here. The negatives of restricting the block size so small continue to bring about things like high fees and potentially worse, unpredictable fees. The stories of the problems these cause people are real.

You gotta learn to be able to cope with dissenting voices without spinning off into a hissy-fit. Why does it threaten you so much?

[By the way, you do know that BIPs are very centralized, right? This is a major problem I have with the small blocker side, they're quite happy with centralization when it suits them and it tends to only be a concern in hand-wavy ways when it is]

Moreover, I was responding to Hueristic's post https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg57204534#msg57204534 . If you're trying to silence my voice, then fuck you and you have no right to poo-poo my statements about others being silenced with an attitude like that.
1330  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 03:50:25 AM

Remember in late 2015, Peter wuille came up with a compromise (which was segwit), and for about 6 months (while segwit was coded and tested), there was a lot of consensus that it was great, but then with the passage of time, the disingenuine BIG blocker fucktwats just started to make up other shit about various disagreements they had with it.. .


Segwit was presented as something that it wasn't. As people looked more and more into it, the problems became clear. It wasn't on-chain scaling. It increased the size per transaction, it moved certain parts of the transaction off-chain, it messed with the cost model of transactions, it required major changes to nodes and wallets and it didn't provide the increase in capacity promised. Even today, it only adds 30% to the paltry 1MB in actual use because lies and gaslighting. Yes, people weren't happy with this. Though I don't know why I'm having to go over this, you've got perfect memory of it all, right?


You can make up any shit that you want... but you just sound bitter and resentful and crying over spilt milk..   It's already spilt.


Just putting the record straight. But yes, doesn't make much difference now. "Big blockers" just wanted a bit of organic on-chain scaling while Bitcoin is in its growth phase. Though CSW is a tit who should be in jail.
1331  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 03:43:06 AM

*I don't know what "foot-binding" is.

Binding feet when young to restrict the growth in older ages. Some cultures find this attractive but it deforms the feet and is quite grotesque.

Surely NOT a good example when talking about bitcoin development, and consensus kinds of decisions that are reached in bitcoin including open allowances for submitting of BIPs and getting discussion on any proposed changes.  The foot-binding example might well be helpful if you want to exaggerate in order to try to attract emotional attention to matters that should NOT be emotional.

No analogy bears too close a scrutiny.

Perhaps a better question would be "Assuming that we need a limit, what should that limit be". I would suggest that we should probably be at 16MB currently (which, note, does not mean that we will certainly have 16MB blocks) but I think we should be willing to consider expanding on that as we go.

Going from 1->2MB in 2015 would have allowed us to cautiously observe how such an expansion affected Bitcoin in a fairly controlled way. It would even have been possible to roll things back should it have affected things negatively (actually a soft fork). There's really nothing scary about 12MB/hr other than the n^2 issue with validating transactions with large number of inputs (and that had a work-around and has been solved since).

Marcus is wrong in saying that big blockers have locked Bitcoin in against forks. That was the outcome of Core refusing to take small steps or even entertain the discussion. It has also exposed a very strong centralization issue around Bitcoin's governance (though it's not clear that could have been avoided).
1332  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 03:32:02 AM
... whatever scheme you think you can up with imposing a new limit ( a dynamic limit is the same problem which you seem to have ignored since the dynamic limit also needs to have it's own limit) you'll need a hard fork for that .... and after the bigblockers contaminated all further possibilities of hard-forks with disingenuity, arguing in bad faith and various political machinations that split the development and mining community, I can confidently say bitcoin, as we know it, will never have another hard fork, i.e. any fork will be forked off by opportunists into new coins and the un-hardforked coin will always be known as bitcoin.

The big blockers acted with good faith all along. You need to revisit your history. They tried arguing and had their voices silenced. They tried reaching agreements and had them reneged on. They had their developers excommunicated and slandered and their mods removed or demoted. They've been lied to and gaslighted endlessly by certain Core devs.
1333  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 03:19:58 AM

I have no numbers to present. I am just spitballing and am trying to figure out the root of why this hasn't been fixed as it seems to be a pretty academic problem.

I would think that having an agreed upon median would allow the algo to stabilize itself depending on market forces.

This is the first time I have known that this was the issue and appreciate Marcus boiling it down so nicely.

Oh and obviously a limit is just to stop bloat and spam attacks but a dynamic exponential cost seems to be a effective method of mitigation afa that goes.


Yes. Note that when I wrote "you" I was using the rhetorical "you" and not referring to you specifically.


*I don't know what "foot-binding" is.


Binding feet when young to restrict the growth in older ages. Some cultures find this attractive but it deforms the feet and is quite grotesque.
1334  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2021, 01:13:48 AM

Why not a adjustable limit based on a previous median timeframe?

It depends on what purpose you want the limit for. If it's to protect from unusually high loads as the original limit was for then something along the lines you suggest would work (and I've shown support for similar schemes). If, for some reason I can't fathom, you think 1 million bytes per block is a magically correct number for all time then it's not even open for consideration (and you might also not see a problem with foot-binding).
1335  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 10, 2021, 10:55:06 PM

Do you have a decent link?

No. It was all through the threads on r/btc. Maxwell was the worst for disingenuous arguments and Luke was just insane, as ever but I think people like bluematt (it I remember correctly) gave it a fair shot.
1336  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 10, 2021, 10:47:59 PM
It would be nice if the price could stay up for a bit. It seems the only reason it goes up right now is so that it can slide soul-crushingly back down again.

Beginning to feel like that bear market again.

No offense, but when i read this, i had to almost compulsively think about this song, "There, there" by Radiohead.

Quote from: Radiohead
just cause you feel it, doesn't mean it's there



We'll see. Not that it makes much difference other than me feeling crappy about it Smiley
1337  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 10, 2021, 10:43:57 PM
I just have not found anything that gives a reasonable explanation and the Devs  certainly do not have a blind spot when it comes to this.

The devs are definitely aware of the arguments and, to their credit, some have actually joined in with the discussion (some in more good faith than others).
1338  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 10, 2021, 10:36:26 PM
I just don't see that.  Banks don't need small blocks to remain necessary.

Banks will always exist but the potential in a bitcoin world is that some of their less savory aspects and some of the friction they add could be eliminated. (The defi people would probably argue that they can be done away with entirely but that's a different discussion).
1339  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 10, 2021, 10:30:48 PM
Beginning to feel like that bear market again.

Complete fakeout, anyone that sells now is infected with Mindrust Syndrome.

I have not but I could use some walking-around money so it's a matter of timing.
1340  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 10, 2021, 10:24:50 PM
Regarding ASIC mining, I have fond memories of backing Butterfly labs in 2013 even when most users in this forum had doubts, they eventually pulled through producing the first ASIC ever made after several delays, though the controversy was wild to say the least. I wasn't just a miner back then, had an online shop selling modchips for game consoles  accepting Bitcoin since 2011 (so it wasn't just alpaca socks).

Did they actually ever get that out? I know their FPGA made it but I remember all sorts of drama with fake demos and some fuss with Inaba when it came to the ASIC.
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