I was wrong I thought it will not go the distance both fighters are powerful punchers but yet they both have a granite chin, I admire Kingkong for getting up every time he goes down he is still strong and can take the fight to the limit, at 43 and with many fresh faces coming in the heavyweight division his chances to be world champion is slim with this recent loss, he also says that he will still continue to fight maybe until he gets busted, the mind is the last to give up even though the body is still can and that what categorize Kingkong Ortiz.
Who would have thought that this fight would go the distance after that knockdowns in the second round. That Ortiz is one tough old man, he recovered and almost win the fight if not for that three knockdowns he could have that decision win. My gamble paid off as I bet for Ruiz via decision, I reviewed the tape of the previous fights of Ortiz and found out that this is tough though, only lost to Wilder by TKO (Wilder is on another lever compared to Ruiz) so i decided to go for the decision win by Ruiz.  |
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 Congratulations sa lahat ng nanalo at matiyagang sumasali sa prediction contest natin. Medyo marami pang loopholes pero understandable naman siguro ito dahil first ko pang humawak ng ganitong patimpalak, di pala biro to kasi kailangan paglaanan talaga ng oras kaya kodus kay inthelongrun for the NBA prediction contest that started it all. DM nyo lang sa akin yong mga Gcash numbers nyo pero kung gusto nyo ng USDT or BTC pwede na rin. To the rest of the participants na hindi nanalo, kung gusto nyo ng pang-kape ay may 250Php worth of Gcash kayong matatanggap kung mag-DM kayo sa inyong mga Gcash numbers. Nakaka-miss din itong hulalysis natin ahh, sana sa susunod marami na ang sumali at sana malaki-laki na rin yong pa-premyo natin. Daghang salamat and see you next time. |
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Final Ranking
Ito na pala yong final ranking, sorry to Oasisman kasi disqualified due to the number of your prediction is too low, tatlo lang ehh, minimum natin is 5, pasensya na. Sa next post ko nalang siguro ilalagay yong breakdown sa premyo ng mga nanalo.  Makikita nyo rin ang rankings sa pangatlong post sa thread na ito. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5403342.msg60404096#msg60404096
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We are in the middle of the fourth quarter and SMB up by a dozen. Poy Erram was ejected and Mikey Williams is limping towards the bench, CJ Perez firing hot on all cylinders, seems we are heading into a Beermen this early in the fourth.
Though lot of time left but the body language of the TNT players are not looking good.
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Starters / solid 5 from both sides might be Erram, K. Williams, Poguy, Castro and M.Williams, while for SMB, they might start with Perez, Ross, Lassiter, Tau and Fajardo.
TNT can't afford to sit out Castro in this game so i think they will let him play as this will be the last game for this conference. Looks like history repeats itself on TNT on their championship series against Ginebra the last two years where Castro was injure or it was Parks (not sure) and they lost that series so maybe SMB will take the crown tonight. To be sure, i'm taking the ML as they would be a defense-oriented game and a low scoring game so the winning margin for this game might not be wide.  |
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My wife suspected me for almost a year already when I was watching a UFC channel on youtube where they suggest who to bet. Of course, I said No when she asked if I was betting. From then on I just hold my phone whenever she is not around. It's a long argument when your wife suggests buying this or that on amazon yet you gambling your funds. lol
Based on my personal experience, it's very hard to keep this secret from everybody, especially your wife. The more you hide, the more you are prone to lose so better tell her that you are doing this gambling activity and explain that it is for fun and you only gamble extra money that you have, if she listens then good if she insists that you stop it then it is up to you how to convince her that this is just for fun. Bottom line, you should tell to avoid surprises in the future as this will not be a secret all the time. |
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Pick for today's game: SMB Beermen
Parang scripted tong finals series pero palagay ko hindi naman, nagkataon lang siguro na ganoon ang nangyari at umabot sa do-or-die game7. Sana mapuno na nila ang arena this time around. Gaya ng sinasabi ko kung sino yong team na will remain healthy sa series na ito ay may malaking chance na manalo. Jason Castro at Poy Erram ay hindi 100 percent, malaking bawas na yon sa team nila at yong Williams ay inconsistent pa at hindi pa tapos bakasyon ni Troy Rosario, everything sign points to a SMB Beermen championship win but miracle can happen so let's see this evening. Good luck to all of us.
Congrats kabayan kung sisilip si kabayang inthelongrun at hindi magkakapareho ang taya nyo eh or kung hindi man sya pumili ikaw ang nasa do-or-die dito hahaha   ganda ng habol mo akalain mo ang buong akala ko surewin na si kabayang inthelongrun dito un pala ngayon may chance ka pang makasilat, Good Luck na lang kung sino man manalo.. Advance pick ko SMB -4.5 Hindi ko rin inakala na makahabol pa ako rito pero sinuswerte lang kaya nagkaganon. Ganon talaga, habang hindi pa tapos yong laban, may pag-asa hehe. |
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I'm expecting a entertaining fight, both could have their moments. So let's see which one can get it first because I'm not expecting this fight to go to the distance. Someone will have to get knock out here, hehehe.
This would be an entertaining fight indeed. Seems like Ruiz really trains hard for this as he looks trimmed or he put more muscles unlike in his previous fights (just my observation on the weigh-in). As i have said in my previous post that I have a change of heart regarding this fight as I will be betting for Ruiz on this one because he got more speed than Kingkong. Will be betting for Ruiz via KO but will allocate some for Ruiz via decision as well in case this would go the distance.  |
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Day 37 Matches
Cut off time for these matches will be aproximately 5 minutes before the start of the game.
The plus/minus are intended to make the games more difficult. And of course it include overtimes.
Game1: 6:00 PM PH Time
SMB Beermen -4.5
TNT Tropang Giga +4.5
Important notes:
***no need to quote my posts
***do not edit and delete your predictions, just quote your old prediction/s and post again.
***participants are not required to predict all the games available, remember that this is a right minus wrong (quality over quantity) tournament and it affects your total points
***participants are also not required to have daily picks
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Day 36 Ranking Grabe yong pinakita ng Beermen sa first quarter ng laro kahapon, umiskor ng 40 points na para bang ang laki-laki ng ring na kahit anong ipukol ay pumapasok. Dyan natin makikita ang championship experience ng Beermen pagdating sa mga gnitong sitwasyon dahil kung titingnan natin ay parang walang pressure yong laro nila. Mali ako na okay lang na wala si Castro sa laro dahil may Williams at Montalbo naman na hahalili sa kanya pero iba talaga yong dalang smart sa loob ng court ni Castro kay tingin ko pipilitin nila na paglalaruin si Jason bukas.  Makikita nyo rin ang rankings sa pangatlong post sa thread na ito. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5403342.msg60404096#msg60404096@inthelongrun, tie na pala ng score bai hehe. |
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At ngayon nga, na trade na si Mitchell sa Cavs kapalit ni Lauri Markkanen, Ochair Agbaji, Collin Sexton, three unprotected first-round picks and two pick swaps, ang lupet.
Sugal sa part ng Utah kasi hindi mo naman malalaman talaga ang value ng kapalit ni Mitchell sa mga first round picks an yan, baka may mga busted dyan na makuha sila. So solid ang Cavs ngayong sieason, Allen, Garland, Mobley, tapos si Kevin Love, Rubio at LeVert at si Okoro rin. Sarap tayaan nito pag dehado hehehehe.
At nagkatotoo nga yong nasa isip ko na itong si Mitchell ay ang iti-trade ng Jazz, medyo sugal nga sa part ng Jazz pero may nakita siguro silang dahilan para pakawalan nila ito kasi parang naging young Westbrook lang ito si Mitchell sa kanila, kahit sinong i-partner ay ayaw pa rin mag-champion or kahit man lang sa Western Finals. Tingin ko panalo rito yong Cavs dahil yong Mitchell ay scoring ang dala nito sa Cavs na yon din naman ang kulang sa kanila last season. Sana lalo ng uusbong ang career dito ni Clarkson sa Jazz kung hindi siya i-trade dahil siya na lang yong walang hiya na tira ng tira sa labas ehh hehhe. |
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Pick for today's game:
SMB Beermen
Wala na ibang choice yong manok ko kundi ang manalo ngayon at tingin ko naman ay kakayanin dahil hindi 100 percent sina Jason Castro at Poy Erram. Ang delikado lang dito kung bigla nalang puputok itong si Troy Rosario, siya nalang kasi yong player ng TNT na medyo hindi pa nagpapasiklab sa series na ito.
Good luck to us all.
Malapit na palang matapos tong pa-contest na ahh, ang dali-dali lang talaga ng panahon.
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Without a doubt, Kelly Williams has to prove that he can carry his team even though in his age his speed and accuracy are still their.
Why expect an old guy to carry the team? Kelly Williams is just doing his usual role to help the team. It's just that his shooting is impressive that night and I think he even got surprised. That gives him momentum. He rarely shoots 3s now but last night, he attempted to do it. Another slight disadvantage on the TNT side is that aside from Jayson Castro, Poy Erram is also experiencing a minor injury but he is cleared to play. Other TNT cagers should step up in the absence of their working teammates. Kelly was just having a very good outing last game but it's not every game that he could repeat that kind of performance specially in a tight match and we expect to be a marked man tonight. Troy Rosario should be the one to step up, seems to me that if only he will play well tonight, this might be the last game of the series even if Jason Castro will not play as they have Mikey Williams and Montalbo to man the point for them. |
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You guys expect this fight to end by knockout under 9.5 rounds because bookies think that also as what they put in the odds for that option.
Looking at the knockout rate of both fighters which for me are high, i also that either fighter would sleep in the canvass and i'm thinking that it would be Andy Ruiz. Twice Ortiz lost to Wilder and that was expected as Wilder was is far superior than Ortiz but against the smaller Ruiz, i guess the latter would struggle just like on his rematch with Joshua.
Still good odds mate for this fight, yeah, everyone is expecting that this fight will not last that long, or you are the just the one expecting a decision win here here by Luis Ortiz hehehe. But yes, I'm on the bandwagon, if Ortiz is going to win, he should do it very fast and early and not allow the fight to go to distance because in his last couple of fights, he always gasses out and that's why he gets KO late like in the Wilder fight. TBH, i have not watch a single fight involving Ortiz so thanks for this info mate, with this i'm now inclined to a win by Ruiz via knockout because judging from his Johua fight, he is aggressive and relentless so if Ortiz gasses out in the middle rounds then i think it would be over for him under the ninth round. Ruiz by KO @1.78 is not bad at all, much way better than the ML. |
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Day 36 Matches
Cut off time for these matches will be aproximately 5 minutes before the start of the game.
The plus/minus are intended to make the games more difficult. And of course it include overtimes.
Game1: 5:45 PM PH Time
SMB Beermen -5.5
TNT Tropang Giga +5.5
Important notes:
***no need to quote my posts
***do not edit and delete your predictions, just quote your old prediction/s and post again.
***participants are not required to predict all the games available, remember that this is a right minus wrong (quality over quantity) tournament and it affects your total points
***participants are also not required to have daily picks
To all,
pasensya na at medyo na-late itong post na to kasi medyo busy tayo ngayon at nakalimot ko na ngayon na pala ang laro.
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Day 35 Ranking
Medyo tagilid na yong SMB Beermen sa series na to ahh, isang panalo nalang kulang at magtsa-champion na namang muli ang TNT sa tulong ni coach Chot Reyes. Siguro motivated yong mga bata nya na ipakita na hindi lang siya ang dahilan ng pagkatalo ng Gilas sa Lebanon kaya ipinakita nila na kaya nilang manalo dito sa PBA under his mentorship hehe.  Makikita nyo rin ang rankings sa pangatlong post sa thread na ito. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5403342.msg60404096#msg60404096
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You guys expect this fight to end by knockout under 9.5 rounds because bookies think that also as what they put in the odds for that option. Looking at the knockout rate of both fighters which for me are high, i also that either fighter would sleep in the canvass and i'm thinking that it would be Andy Ruiz. Twice Ortiz lost to Wilder and that was expected as Wilder was is far superior than Ortiz but against the smaller Ruiz, i guess the latter would struggle just like on his rematch with Joshua.  |
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Another close game, this time TNT takes the lead in the 1st half so that +3.5 takers should be calm now.  Let's see if SMB will be able to bounce back in the 2nd half, but I think TNT is taking control here, they have the better ball movement compared to the SMB. SMB Beermen up by two points as of this writing, oh boy what a close game. This is not good for those bettors that bet big while they have a medical condition, and could have a heart attack if they watch the game. This is what I like about this series, hard to predict on who will win. I like SMB to win this game 5 but it is interesting to note that coach Chot has not lost yet a game in this series hehe, he might not have a stroke of good luck on his Gilas team but he might be lucky on his TNT team. |
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I still cannot find the betting odds in this fight. But I'm expecting Ramirez as the underdog at around 2.5 to 3.0. I will be surprised if Ramirez's odds reach as high as 3.5 or even more at 4.0.
Bivol is clearly the favorite here as a technical fighter and he just beat the pound-for-pound king. The excellent news for Bivol is that this fight is happening in UAE so maybe we can avoid biased judges and referees here. Because if this fight happens in the US then it will be nearly the same as the Canelo fight when it comes to judging knowing Ramirez as a cash cow of Golden Boy Promotions and he is also undefeated and popular.
Good point there mate. Have read on the news that Canelo wanted to fight Bivol in a rematch in case the latter wins so this will be an added motivation for Bivol to beat Ramirez because that would be a huge payday if Canelo will be true to his words on having a rematch with Bivol. I'm having a second thought at first on whom to bet for because for me this fight is a bit complicated to predict but with Bivol having a rematch with Canelo after this one, I will be backing the Russian as I also want him to fight Canelo next and see it that win last May was a fluke or not. |
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1. Luis Ortiz
2. Over 9.5 Rounds
3. decision
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