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981  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Figueroa vs Magsayo WBC Interim Featherweight Title (March 4) on: February 20, 2023, 12:53:41 PM


Odds are already out and as expected, Mark Magsayo was listed as the huge underdog here which for me is a good thing because he is a very live underdog and could upset Figueroa come fight night. For sure i'll be betting for Magsayo here as i love betting on the underdogs but i'll still wait for some options if there are juicy markets offered in the next few days but if there are no better options, this ML is a good one for me.
982  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup on: February 19, 2023, 12:21:52 PM

The spread for the first game is Ginebra -12 against Blackwater, while the spread for the second game is SMB -4 against TNT.

That was an easy one. Ginebra dominated the game and ended up winning by 26 points. It's a huge bounce back after losing previous games, but you know Blackwater is not really a downgrade. They changed their import, but the new import wasn't as good as the old one. Their import only scored 14 points while Brownlee had a double-double with 22 points and 10 rebounds.

Closely monitoring the second game here between the Beermen and Katropa and it's a close one at the moment that i'm tempted to go for TNT with that 2,40 odds at halftime.

At the same time this one is a low scoring ballgame with the import of both teams only scored 11 and 9 points respectively which i think would still be trend going into the second half so i'm betting now under 212.5 @1.96.

Don't attempt to bet on TNT because Mikey Williams did not return due to an ankle sprain he sustained in the first half. It's very risky in my opinion. I suggest taking a bigger odds in favor of SMB, like SMB winning by 11+ points, which is at 9.25 now.  Smiley

Thanks for the tip mate, you are right, Mikey Williams will not be returning to this game plus TNT don't have Roger Pogoy so they are the underdog now but looking at the plays of TNT, they are just so lucky that they are not leading by 6 points at the end of the third quarter. I won't be betting anymore on this game, just monitoring now my under 212.5 bet that is in the risk of losing as shots from both teams were falling in the third quarter that they scored 63 points in that quarter alone.

edit:
Sorry about that, mate. I shouldn't have warned you because TNT won the game. Oftana was able to make the follow-up shot. What a game! I thought SMB was going to win easily since there was no Williams and Pogoy, but TNT's good ball movement really gave them the win. Sorry again.

It's okay mate, at least i won on my other bet on the under 212.5. I'm an SMB fan, just tempted to bet on the Katropa because of the close scores but when i knew that Williams and Pogoy were not there, i will not bet for them because too risky, they are just lucky that the breaks of the game fell into them. If Junemar was there, Oftana could have not gotten the offensive rebound and the putback.
983  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup on: February 19, 2023, 11:47:41 AM

The spread for the first game is Ginebra -12 against Blackwater, while the spread for the second game is SMB -4 against TNT.

That was an easy one. Ginebra dominated the game and ended up winning by 26 points. It's a huge bounce back after losing previous games, but you know Blackwater is not really a downgrade. They changed their import, but the new import wasn't as good as the old one. Their import only scored 14 points while Brownlee had a double-double with 22 points and 10 rebounds.

Closely monitoring the second game here between the Beermen and Katropa and it's a close one at the moment that i'm tempted to go for TNT with that 2,40 odds at halftime.

At the same time this one is a low scoring ballgame with the import of both teams only scored 11 and 9 points respectively which i think would still be trend going into the second half so i'm betting now under 212.5 @1.96.
984  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🏀 2023 NBA All-Star Game 🏀 (Sunday) on: February 18, 2023, 12:45:36 PM
A) No
B) Over
C) No
Tiebreaker: 351 points
985  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup on: February 18, 2023, 12:07:10 PM
2nd game now between Converge and NLEX seems that in this early quarter Converge driving the game, still have lots of time
for bettors who love to place bets during live games! Good Luck Kabayan!

It's a close game now with Converge still leading by 4 points but i do think the latter will win this one as NLEX is really struggling to make a bucket in this game though i hope that they will win this one or make it close as possible as i bet for them (NLEX +7.5 @1.95) but really not expecting that because of the way they play now.

986  Local / Pamilihan / Re: [NEWS] GCrypto is now available to selected users on: February 17, 2023, 11:05:04 PM
I saw the original post na nasa loob ng article complaining na ang taas ng bawas ng gcash sa pag convert ng peso to btc. Madaming speculations about dun like the spread , fees , etc. I don't know if totoo yung 5% fee nila pero if legit man yun ehhh napakalaki nun and marami naman tayong options to use kaya nakapag tataka na bago palang ang crypto feature nila is ganito na agad kalaki yung fee nila. I never see myself using this service even na active gcash user ako. I always prefer my own way of storing and buying btc.

Yong transaction fees talaga yong challenge para sa ating mga Pinoy dahil hindi naman or iilan lang naman yong bumibili ng napakalaking halaga ng crypto na hindi na inaalala yong fees. Yong nga dahilan (para sa akin) na umiiwas ako sa coins.ph dahil ang laki ng kaltas sa value pag na-convert na yong peso into crypto kaya tingin ko option nalang ito ng Gcash pero madalang itong magagamit but when it comes to storage, very reputable naman yong Gcash, safe naman siguro yong nabiling crypto kahit hindi natin i-transfer sa non-custodial wallet natin.
987  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Nonito Donaire vs Alejandro Santiago for WBC bantamweight title on: February 17, 2023, 10:53:03 PM
Yes, this fight is happening, I posted it here first, hehehe.

Anyways, it's good to have a separate thread for this fight, this is for the bantamweight belt so it's deserves one.

And as the majority of you guys see it, we are going to favor our very own Nonito Donaire and his chances are good to win another bantamweight reign. Santiago might be unknown to us, not enough in the top 5, but it doesn't mean that it will be easy for Donaire. Still very hard fight but at the end, the experience of Donaire will be in full display here, how he is going to set up that left hook, coverage of the ring and setting feint and traps to open Santiago and then give us his patented left hook to finish with a knockout.

Yup, no such thing as an easy fight for Donaire now especially at this stage of his career but i could say that this one is very winnable. As usual, Donaire's height or we say, he is the bigger fighter here which could be the biggest advantage of the Filipino Flash. Santiago is 5'2 which i think will give him a hard time to hit Donaire and him vulnerable to that patented counter left hook which could end the fight quickly.

988  Local / Pamilihan / Re: NBA discussion, betting and etc. on: February 17, 2023, 01:10:03 PM
Sa ngayon, oo dalawa na ang bumubuhat sa Dallas Mavericks dahil andun narin naka pwesto si Uncle Drew ngayon pero may nabasa ako kanina lamang na tinitingnan ng Mavs ang bawat performance ni Kyrie kung karapat-dapat ba syang bigyan ng extension at nasabi rin na sa kasalukuyan ay parang sa free agency ang bagsak neto. Pero tingnan natin kung may improvement ba or wala sa mga paparating na mga laro.

Ok naman si Kyrie Irving basta puro "basketball" lang talaga nasa isip at wag iyong mga ibang bagay. Never pa ako nakarinig ng matinding criticism regading sa laro niya or kung mayroon man, napaka dalang makita na off-night si Kyrie. Wag lang talaga mag-aasal Diva out of nowhere at GG talaga ang kalalabasan.

Sa speculation ko, oofferan yan ng extension ng Mavericks pero as usual, pag sinumpong si Kyrie, di niya tatanggapin yan.

Lakers ang preferred team niya pero hinarang ni Tandang Tsai kaya baka sa off-season, targeting ni Kyrie ang Lakers.

Pansin ko rin yan kay Kyrie Irving pero yon nga lang ang problema sa kanya, yong prinsipyo na ipinaglalaban nya kung saan ay naaapektuhan na yong team na nilalaruan nya. Pansin ko rin na kapag siya yong umaarangkada sa kanilang dalawa ni KD ay lamang sila sa panalo.

Balita nga balak nyang maging free agent at baka nga ay sa Lakers ang bagsak niya at yong kay Kevin Love na nagka-buyout sa contract ay malamang ay magkaroon ng reunion yong tatlo sa Lakers, exciting din yon hehe.

989  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Boxing: Nonito Donaire vs Jason Moloney on: February 16, 2023, 10:08:36 PM
Good news everyone, the waiting time is over for Donaire.

WBC approves Nonito Donaire vs Alejandro Santiago for vacant bantamweight title

In case you missed who Alejandro is or also known as Pique, he was the one who snatched Jerwin Ancajas's IBF belt and the man who defeated Gary Russell in a majority decision.
Here's his record: https://boxrec.com/en/box-pro/637333

Good news indeed for us fans of Donaire.

I think you missed the part that Santiago was the one who snatched Ancajas' IBF belt as it's Martinez who defeated Ancajas twice and dethroned the latter. Though Alejandro and Ancajas fought but it ended in a split draw, correct me if i'm wrong.

@inthelongrun, bai please change the title of this thread as Donaire got a new opponent now in Santiago.
990  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Tank Davis vs. Ryan Garcia betting and discussion (May, 2023) on: February 16, 2023, 09:55:48 PM
This Ryan Garcia fight, if it takes place, will likely be the climax of his story.

Oh wow, this could be another Mike Tyson in the making. Don't know how the judiciary system works in the US but with the things I saw, Davis can face jail time after that May 5 sentencing. I think they should push through with their plan to fight Ryan Garcia on April 15 as jail time could really affect his career. Per report, contract finalization is imminent so we will just wait for it now.
991  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup on: February 16, 2023, 01:16:26 PM
Magnolia is currently playing against NLEX.
It's a close game, just like the first game where ROS won by only 2 points. Honestly, I thought DYIP would beat ROS because they were playing without an import, but it looks like DYIP's import wasn't 100% in that game.

Magnolia vs NLEX was a close game up until the end of the first half but things changed when the Hotshots stepped on that accelerator pedal in the third quarter and fourth as they are now leading by 20 big points with 3 minutes to go.

Didn't know what happened here as i don't watch the game live because Smart Sports no longer stream PBA live games but just lucky to have bet for Magnolia Hotshots +2.5 @1.86 when they are down by 8 points somewhere in the third canto, usually i end up losing with this kind of betting style but i think i would win this one hehe.
992  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Tank Davis vs. Ryan Garcia betting and discussion (May, 2023) on: February 15, 2023, 09:58:33 PM
^^ Tank will have to go to a another court hearing if I'm not mistaken about another case on his, hit and run. And I think this is one issue that both sides have been looking ever since they want to have this fight because it's out of their control. We don't know what will be the judges decision.

The court hearing of that hit and run charges will be today, February 16, 2023, and his destiny fights with Ryan Garcia relies on the outcome of that hearing as he could face a jail term of up to seven years if proven guilty, that would ruin his boxing career not just the Ryan Garcia fight.

Last time I've checked, the contract for this fight is not yet final so maybe next week we could see progress and a definite schedule once Tank Davis will be cleared on the court from these 14 charges of hit and run.
993  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup on: February 15, 2023, 09:40:42 PM
TNT vs Blackwater is a high-scoring game with no defense on either team. They are just exchanging baskets, especially in the third quarter. However, TNT is still in control of the game, and I think it's hard for Blackwater to cover the spread with the way they are playing. Also, maybe this is the first time that the total scores combined will reach over 250.
Indeed, it was a high-scoring game, as the teams surpassed the 250-point mark. And it looks like we will have another high-scoring game, as SMB and Northport are currently shooting well. They have already scored a combined 76 points in the 1st quarter, and if this trend continues, they may reach another 250+ points.

Right now, the over-under is set at 249.50. Should we follow the trend or go the other way?

I did go the other way and lost my bet hehe. Bet under 249.50 at the end of the first half as I think that the trend will change in the second half because they will tighten their defense but i was wrong, the scores in the second half were even bigger than that of the first half.

Looking at the stats, both teams were shooting at more than 50 percent accuracy with NorthPort at 56% in the 2P FG and 73% for SMB, seldom we can see high-scoring games like that in the PBA.

With that, we should watch out or be aware that PBA is not a low-scoring game anymore, and if you can see an opportunity to bet at pre-game where the market at over/under is low, take the over hehe.
994  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Chasing losses - Double down bet or Bet twice? on: February 15, 2023, 11:55:12 AM
I always have a dilemma when it comes to chasing losses in gambling. When I’m in the good mood, I preferred betting using the same amount multiple times until I hit a winning streak to recover my lose but when I’m in bad mood, I usually increase my bet size equals to my total lose so that I can recover quickly.

What do you typically do when you are on chasing loss situation?

Can relate much on your situation mate. Chasing losses is a big problem for me as i intend to double my bet after a lose to recover quickly but turns out that most of the time losing more. I could say that "patience" really plays a big role in gambling so if we want to stay longer in this game we should be disciplined and patient enough and not hurry on recovering our losses.

If I'm on a losing streak I usually take a break then bet again and if lose again then that's it for me on that day and come back tomorrow hoping that I would be lucky this time and recover my losses yesterday.
995  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Boxing: Nonito Donaire vs Jason Moloney on: February 15, 2023, 11:12:42 AM
yes , Donaire seems like limiting his fight with 1 fight a year , maybe extending the fighting will improve his ranking and also His dedication , because Even Manny Pacquiao in his prime are having 2 fights a year and yes he maintain his speed and his momentum.
hope that Donaire's side will consider this as well.

I think he should do the opposite. Why would he limit his fights to once a year? He's already old, and the longer he stays in boxing, the higher the risk he will lose due to his age. I think he should have more fights so that he can accumulate more money once he retires

At 40 years, Donaire has got a year or two in boxing so I think they will fight whatever is thrown on the table as long as it is manageable and that fight doesn't poses danger to his health. With regards to his ranking, that is not a problem for his promoter if they want him to fight as he is a popular boxer for now and they know that they will have decent sales whenever Donaire is on the card.

Hope that they will announce soon enough who will fight for the WBC vacant bantamweight title.
996  Local / Pamilihan / Re: NBA discussion, betting and etc. on: February 14, 2023, 09:51:10 PM
Alat yung Mavs kahit nagsabay na ulit sa game si Luka at Kyrie, medyo hindi pa rin maganda naging resulta sa pangalawang pagkakataon, mukhang kulang pa yung bonding nung dalawa medyo siguro sa palagay ko lang eh nagkakailangan pa silang dalawa, baka lang naiilang pa si Kyrie or Luka dahil alam naman nating parehong scorer itong dalawang to'

Oo nga, hindi magandang senyales to kung sakaling man ay madadagdagan yong talo nila sa susunod pang mga araw. Kahit gaano pa kagandang panoorin yong laro ng bawat isa sa kanila (Luka and Kyriee) pero kung talo naman ay wala ring silbi. Maaga pa naman baka kulang pa sa adjustment at nagkaka-ilangan pa yong dalawa pero ang di maganda ay yong tayo talo palagi na sumusunod sa kanila hehe.

Warriors +7.5 @1.95 vs Clippers

Apat lang yong laro ngayon, dito nalang muna ako sa Warriors kahit dehado sila baka naman puputok tong si Poole at Thompson mamaya, tatapunan ko na rin ng kaunti yong ML @3.45 baka magkaroon ng upset.

@mirakal, bawi tayo ngayon kabayan.
997  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup on: February 14, 2023, 09:37:19 PM
The Tropang Giga will be bringing in a new import in former NBA player Rondae Hollis-Jefferson to take the place of the high-scoring Jalen Hudson.

I mean TNT is performing very good with him as an import, but it has stated in the article that they need an import that can also play at the paint and bigger than him. Hudson is a scorer and his frame is a bit small compare to others, thus they needed to change their import.

I would say that it's a good move for TNT if they want to match up with the big guns of SMB teams like Fajardo. As we have seen with Hudson, though he is a good import but not that good compared to Brownlee that can score whenever he wants, he can score but can be defended/contained by a local player like Chris Ross and when that happened who can they go to if they want a point in a crucial period.

Speaking of TNT, they have a game tomorrow against Blackwater Bossing with a very high spread which i think they will have a hard time covering so with that i'm going to bet for Blackwater +11.5 @2.0.

TNT's new import will be test against the import of Blackwater who already shows his capabilities, this bet is quite interesting knowing that adjustments can happen with the new import, though in terms of the locals if TNT's new import manage to help in stopping Blackwater's import the battle between the locals will favor TNT.

Let see if how things will come up tomorrow, If I have some spare I will tail your pick here.

That's what also what i'm thinking before pushing the bet button on this one, adjustment period. Have not seen him play yet but i'm assuming that he is a good import considering that he was a first round pick in the NBA but PBA's style of play is a little different than that of Korea so he might adjust though thought they might win but covering the spread might be a challenge here.
998  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup on: February 14, 2023, 11:35:22 AM
The Tropang Giga will be bringing in a new import in former NBA player Rondae Hollis-Jefferson to take the place of the high-scoring Jalen Hudson.

I mean TNT is performing very good with him as an import, but it has stated in the article that they need an import that can also play at the paint and bigger than him. Hudson is a scorer and his frame is a bit small compare to others, thus they needed to change their import.

I would say that it's a good move for TNT if they want to match up with the big guns of SMB teams like Fajardo. As we have seen with Hudson, though he is a good import but not that good compared to Brownlee that can score whenever he wants, he can score but can be defended/contained by a local player like Chris Ross and when that happened who can they go to if they want a point in a crucial period.

Speaking of TNT, they have a game tomorrow against Blackwater Bossing with a very high spread which i think they will have a hard time covering so with that i'm going to bet for Blackwater +11.5 @2.0.
999  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] FigFueroa vs Magsayo WBC Interim Featherweight Title (March 4) on: February 13, 2023, 09:57:12 PM
I'm surprised on the Vargas - Foster match the shorter Foster uses the distance to connect and find the angles when it should be the tall Vargas doing this stuff if Magsayo wins against Figueroa, he'll have to watch the Foster - Vargas match he'll have insight and develop a good method to beat Vargas this time.
I'm pretty sure Magsayo will be motivated as he can now exact his revenge against Vargas but Figueroa is a tall order, he has two mountains to conquer to win the title again.

Motivated indeed as he has now some sort of a template on how to beat Vargas if the rematch would happen and not just rely on that one-punch knockout but first he should first concentrate on the Figueroa fight and not to be too confident on this upcoming fight as we all knew that Figueroa is also a hungry fighter for that title.

It's just unfortunate for Magsayo to win two fights (Figueroa and Vargas) to have that regular title belt but on the positive side, he could gain experience on how to technically beat boxers who are taller than him.
1000  Local / Pamilihan / Re: NBA discussion, betting and etc. on: February 13, 2023, 09:35:32 PM
Panalo tayo sa Boston pero talo naman sa Raptors. Mukhang hindi maganda ang gising ko, akala ko easy win na yun kasi alam naman natin na hindi magaling ang Pistons, lalo na sa road games. 1-1, lugi konte kaya bawi na naman tayo bukas.

1) Heat -1.5
2) Nets +2.5
3) Magic +5
4) Dallas -7
5) Wizards +3.5

Sayang nga kabayan ehh, lumamang na sana ang Raptors ng double digits sa third or fourth quarter ba yon pero humabol pa rin yong Detroit at hindi na cover yong spread, bawi na lang ngayon.

Dallas -7.5 @1.97 vs Wolves

Yan lang ang sasabayan ko kabayan kasi first home game ni Kyrie at sigurado akong magpapasiklab yon at medyo taligis pa ngayon yong roster ng Wolves, malamang tambakan ang mangyayari ngayon.
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