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1601  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 10:46:23 AM

Like the next person to dump or pump will care. Seriously, these lines mean shit. You just draw them where they fit.

Lines are NOT used for forecasting the market. nor is TA. It's all risk management. It does have real significance in identifying where large orders are likely to be, and where they are moving. four points of exact coincidence is not shit.

wedges are of real significance in the market. they represent consolidation and come after volatility.... so no I dont know if the next person will pump or dump, but when liquidity is zero, and the price range is contracting, I can see the next large player enter the market and act accordingly. I dont use the lines myself, but they are useful for illustration.

1602  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 10:11:16 AM

positive test of wedge.

That 465 upper limit seems to be bitstamp-specific to me and non significant.
To me the wedge is located @ 460 and we already broke it

I agree with that. but 465.00 has stood for days now. I would be pleased to see that break before the lower trendline.
1603  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 09:46:40 AM





positive test of wedge.
1604  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 06:46:47 AM


ascending wedge. doesnt have much time left to decide.
1605  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 02:05:30 AM
IMHO, most of the money from btc sales during this bear market has been withdrawn (or lost) and is not sitting on exchanges waiting to rebuy. This is because:
1. The drop has been fueled by a lack of trust in exchanges.
2. Some people have become bearish about the long term future of bitcoin, and not just the short term trend.
3. Some exchanges have shut down and taken their customers' money with them, so the money is not available to reinvest.
4. The remaining exchanges have had functioning withdrawal methods (unlike gox in the summer).

1)trust in an exchange would have equal affect on fiat and bitcoin.

"2. Some people have become bearish about the long term future of bitcoin, and not just the short term trend." - thats just the way I like it.

3) - the bitcoins are gone too! and we know at least 200k are not going to hit the market for a long time = 200k shortage.

4) this is a constant.
1606  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 12:44:19 AM

I just market sold 3 BTC @ $465.  If this shit continues, I'll double that and then double it again. Then I'll leverage short.

I thought you learned your lesson with leverage.

Imagine the possibility that you take another hit while watching your would be investment take a hike.

maybe you need to take a break, you sound angry.
1607  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 12:42:03 AM
Nothing beats the human eye when it comes to lagging indicators. you only have a 50% chance that your macd is in tune with he market forces.
1608  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 12:26:03 AM
This rise with this volume is a joke.

It's called bidding. Thats how all rises start. you wont see the volume until the metaphorical auctioneer says 'sold!'.
That could be soon or not so soon. will see.
1609  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 12:12:07 AM
hmmm where did that spooderman go to? he offered me a game of chess yesterday.

e5 spooderman. your turn.
1610  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 10:49:23 PM
Yeah, hold has it's virtues, but when using leverage the ball game changes completely. It's a full time job managing a position on leverage. you need to be able to change with the market seamlessly, and always one eye on the exit. always have a plan B.
1611  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 10:44:30 PM

I went to bed feeling I'd wake up to this price, starting to feeling safer as does the market. Monday could be make or break, as no bad news = continued recovery

yeah it feels like calm before the storm. although I closed some of my position just so I could get a good sleep.

You sleep better in BTC or in fiat?... need I ask?   Cheesy

No sir. not at 400.... I slept in a bit of fiat at 750.

But I dont like sleeping with a leveraged long. especially in a stagnant market. there's no point in holding leverage when the market is indecisive.
1612  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 10:29:34 PM

I went to bed feeling I'd wake up to this price, starting to feeling safer as does the market. Monday could be make or break, as no bad news = continued recovery

yeah it feels like calm before the storm. although I closed some of my position just so I could get a good sleep.
1613  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 10:16:19 PM

Did you switch to Bitstamp now that your upwards support line on Huobi has been broken?

Funny guy. I am not binary, but this is an important break through.
I was nervous that the wedge was gonna break down, I even stated this in an earlier post, and then everyone said "ooh chessnut's changed his mind again" like tossers.



1614  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 10:08:48 PM


it's sneaking up like nobody noticed.

That trendline formed a lil wedge.
1615  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 10:52:31 AM




watching this carefully.



...... well it's not bearish
1616  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 09:47:42 AM

Yes, this channel looks very vulnerable ATM. Selling pressure slowly rising.

Not sure it means much though.

It doesnt really mean anything until something happens. If it bounces hard (not too likely) it would be an impressive edge.
1617  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 09:29:06 AM




watching this carefully.
1618  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 08:32:48 AM
I appreciate modifying and changing your opinion is not a bad thing but you do seem to have an almost psychotic urge to post every thought that crosses your mind.  The list of quotes above is neither comprehensive nor complete, just a random sample but you do contradict yourself quite often.  I'm not trying to embarrass you but do this in the hope others are not taken in by your apparent 'competency'.  


If you wanted to spend your day arguing with me, you could have at least stayed on subject.
This thread is called the "wall observer - price movement and tracking" not called "long term fundamental out look and off topic arguments thread"
I do make spontaneous posts here. It's the practise of articulation, a very useful tool.
when did I contradict myself? be accurate now. and don't confuse impartiality with contradiction.
I would prefer if people didnt make a scene over what I say, especially when they cant read properly.
1619  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 08:07:06 AM
I think that if the market is oversold (I think so), we will see it on the weekend. Whenever the market is offered a period of low risk it rallies.

Unfortunately the last rally (500) was interrupted by a surprise announcement in the late evening in china, but the weekend will offer better security.

This would only get rolling in about 6 hours though, or perhaps tomorrow morning (china time) in about 16 hours.
1620  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2014, 07:42:13 AM
I am amazed at how 5-6 dollars swings do change the sentiments here.
example?

You

you assume far too much. I can see bullish and bearish things at the same time. Can you? when I note that momentum is stalling on stamp, do you think I just changed my long term view?
This really annoys me. ^^
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