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1801  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC prise isnt rising! USD is loosing value, thats all! on: February 08, 2013, 11:17:24 PM
You know, on a semi-related note, the value of one BTC now has almost exceeded the 1913 US dollar. Are we to reach parity?
I'm waiting for the ever-elusive silver parity to be reached..!
1802  Economy / Economics / Re: The Bitcoin Singularity is Near on: February 08, 2013, 10:58:12 PM
What was the actual wording on that Ron/Shamir paper?  I can't remember if they said that 7 million bitcoins had never moved, or that 7 million hadn't moved for a particular time period.

Regardless, I think if the US doesn't change its stance with regards to online gambling, Bitcoin will continue to see exponential growth in that area until it makes up a significant portion of online gambling activities (say, 25%).  Gambling turnover of $21B divided by BTC turnover of Huh multiplied by BTC price multiplied by 25% = new price.  Blockchain.info shows transactions per day of around 250,000 BTC/day.  Some of that (maybe half) is people sending to themselves (I know I do it all the time).  So, 125,000 in legitimate BTC activity daily.  $2.5M/day.  $912.5M/year.

So then, our calculation...

$21B / $912.5M * $22.82 * 25% = $131.29/BTC.

Hmmm... anything I'm missing?
1803  Economy / Economics / Re: Could WoW switch it's currency to just 5 bitcoins per server? on: February 08, 2013, 10:09:27 PM
There probably is a market for a pay-for-play model that utilizes bitcoin as both an in-game currency and the only payment option. If anything, an entreprising small company with programmers who want to make money, yet work outside the fiat system could do this. Here is how I could see it happening and getting people "hooked."

1. Build free-to-play RPG, at least average play, have in-game currency drops equivalent to some low denomination bitcoin (like a satoshi).
2. Balance out the game initially so that the created in-game currency is roughly equal to that which is destroyed from buying in game items. Make the better items much more ridiculously priced. Charge in-game fees for excess play beyond 2 or 3 hours a day. Lots of one-time fees for "unlocking" capabilities, areas, etc.
3. Advertise game with something like, "Make digital money while slaying ogres!*"
* Restrictions apply on withdrawing funds to BTC (No more than once a month, fees (to pay Bitcoin network), etc)
4. Phase 1: Players check out the game, perhaps withdrawal a small amount or two (worth less than 1 cent USD) to verify that it works. Start to get the idea that they will at least "break even" on gameplay
5. Phase 2: Players start paying into the game in order to get access to better items and better areas with slightly more loot. They figure (incorrectly) that they could always grind their way for money to get it back in the game. However, the cost of better items is exponential, and the increase in treasure is more linear.
6. Phase 3: Ramp it up. Build a robust in-game auction system, but take a 5% cut off every transaction. Create in-game gambling. Have lots of optional, addictive activities that take a small cut.
7. Don't worry about growing in-game balances. A fractional reserve banking system has been created. Plan on never having to pay out the vast majority of players. LOL
8. If there's ever a run on the bank, declare yourself bankrupt, close up shop, and go live with Pirate40 on his island. Smiley

I spent way too long thinking about that. But there is way too much potential there. Just need some programmers willing to be paid in BTC.
If there's ever an economy plugin for Minecraft and Bitcoins, I plan on doing something pretty close to this with my server.  People already can gain small amounts of BTC (10 satoshis) per block modified, so it'd be fun to also give them something to spend those micro BTCs on, and trade amongst themselves.
1804  Bitcoin / Hardware / Kano vs Bitsyncom on: February 08, 2013, 09:29:55 PM
Feb-2

Hey Josh,

you got any update on where your guys are at?

I'm certainly not someone to promote your guys unsubstantiated claims coz
of your crap history (even with the ASIC), and you know full well I've never been
a fan of BFL, but the Avalon people are really pissing me off, Tom's gone down
the drain, and I would certainly be happy to be able to run a BFL ASIC on an rpi
and show it leaving Avalon's shit in the dust.

...
...

So ... when is anything happening at BFL?

P.S. if anything I've said on the forum lately has pissed your guys off - oh well,
damn shame Smiley

You are pissed off because we haven't got around to release source code yet or the fact we did not giving you a free unit?
I'd be pissed off at both.
1805  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Presenting Bitcoin to the company I work for. on: February 08, 2013, 09:28:20 PM
Thank you for the reply SgtSpike, yes I completely agree, either or both supplier/customer would need to also adopt BitCoin in order for this to have any benefit. I also understand that today's BitCoin economy would be unsuited for the company I work for. However I do think as the future of BitCoin and its economy evolve there could be cost saving options for businesses that will be hard to ignore.  I'm personally of the opinion that if businesses as a whole accepts Bitcoin, this could change the way we look at modern payment systems. For example, we receive overseas payments in BitCoin and pay overseas suppliers in BitCoins. Those transactions wouldn't have any fees attached to them, you would only need to convert your nett profit into your local currency to pay, employees and tax ect. I know it is not that simple, there is the issue of trust, fluctuating prices of currency ect. But its certainly food for thought.

I promise you Matthew I am not stalking you :p We will have to put it down to coincidence this time. Smiley Interesting point you make about the market in Asia, what options are available for Asian countries to cash out in there local currency? I would assume not many. But if BitCoin continues to grow, I would assume this gap in the market would be fulfilled.

Here is something I read earlier on BitPay's website:
"Bitcoin will reinvent the way business is conducted around the world.

Paying workers in India, paying suppliers in China, and receiving a payment from Argentina can all be accomplished instantly, with no risk, for very little cost."


That's exactly what my MD will want to hear!

Thank you for the reply Danny, your comment has just come in and echoed what I have just typed "As bitcoin adoption grows, you may find that suppliers or customers begin to express an interest in using bitcoin for payment. As bitcoin adoption grows, you may find that suppliers or customers begin to express an interest in using bitcoin for payment." You made a valid point of being ahead of our competitors, something every business is trying to do.

Thank you MoonShado, I used Intersango to purchase my first BitCoin, so I am familiar with them. I have also herd a few condemning reports of this company as well, but I don't know how much truth there is to that. I think BitPay or a similar service would be better initially, they accept payment in Bitcoin and convert it to GBP and make the payment into your bank on the same day. This way we can accept Bitcoin without having to really do any legwork with currency exchanges. But of course there is a fee to use BitPay's services.

Thank you all so much for your feedback, really pleased that the BitCoin community is so thriving.

The guys involved with Intersango are responsible for losing $500k of Bitcoinica's users' funds.  They refused to issue refunds, used poor security for the funds they held for months in the interim, and finally someone broke through that poor security and took a large portion of the user funds they were holding.  A lawsuit in California is pending against them.  I wouldn't touch them with a 10 foot pole, much less recommend them to anyone else!

That is a good quote from Bitpay indeed..!
1806  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Forget brain wallet...what about a stomach wallet??? on: February 08, 2013, 09:11:00 PM
I'm inventing a device that will encrypt a private key with holder's DNA.
I'm investing a device that will poke people without their knowledge to gather their DNA.
1807  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC prise isnt rising! USD is loosing value, thats all! on: February 08, 2013, 08:59:54 PM
Well seeing that i sold 125k of boat parts last year I dont think that is the problem. Sorry i cant sell weed on the SR. My products are in demand they sell in dollars. The problem is the coin isnt acting like money.
And how many people who have Bitcoins to spend own boats?  Boat parts is a specialized niche of activity.  It doesn't appeal to many people.  When you take a small subset of the entire population of the world and offer a niche product to that subset, you're probably not going to get much in the way of sales unless it's steeply discounted or the products are specific to that subset (i.e., a subset of fishermen, for example).

The subset of Bitcoiners has nothing to do with boating, so you can't expect much in the way of sales until that subset grows much larger.  Instead, work on offering products relevant to that subset (gambling seems to be a big boon, or computer hardware, other electronics, etc).
1808  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Just lost 190 bitcoins through Mt. Gox on: February 08, 2013, 08:54:17 PM
So, I guess we all agree that MtGox is making a half-assed job of their security, can anybody tell us why they aren't upgrading this?

Half-assed job of security is kinda strong don't you think? I mean where does security on the consumer side start? 2 factor auth is the saving grace if you don't have that you can kiss your coins goodbye. Then you don't need all those bells and whistles which would probably cause more issues then they are worth. I think as long as Mt Gox isn't getting hack and leaking bitcoins from there wallet, I say security is good then. Take some responsibility, don't make Mt Gox your mom.
People WANT to take some responsibility, they just want more options to do it.  2FA is good for some things, but having some way to delay withdrawals to a new address seems like a sensible option to add.

You guys need to vote with your wallet. Stop using services which don't provide you with the product you desire!
I will as soon as something better comes along.  Wink  In the meantime, I will continue to suggest that they implement measures to satisfy my desires.
1809  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Presenting Bitcoin to the company I work for. on: February 08, 2013, 07:53:30 PM
Hello all,

First of I will start by telling you that I have been an infrequent user of Bitcoin for about 6 months now and I am new to this forum. I do have a OK grasp on the Bitcoin concept and understand how to mine, trade, use Bitcoin.

OK, every month one member of the office has to "present" an idea or a product or anything that they have seen that has some relevance to the company. No prizes for guessing it is my turn and I have chosen Bitcoin as my topic.

I'll give you some background information about the company I work for so you can understand what will be relevant: I work for a relatively small UK based company (about 15 office staff). But we do trade a lot overseas, both import and export and we have a relatively large cash flow. We mostly buy from Asia (paying our suppliers with USD) and selling our products within the UK (selling in GBP) and Europe (selling in either EURO or GBP). So you can see that as a company we are constantly swapping between different currencies to process purchase orders and sales orders.

Multiple overseas ingoing and outgoing payments and exchanging between 3 currencies cant be cheap. But I'll be 100% honest here, I don't work in accounts and I don't know what these fee's are. However if there is someone with more information on this, I would be very grateful for any information shared. My theory that trading through Bitcoin could be more cost effective.

So my question to all of you users with more Bitcoin knowledge than myself is: How would a business like the aforementioned benefit from trading in Bitcoin? What are the cost savings for trading overseas (both importing and exporting) in Bitcoin rather than using more traditional methods (banks)?

Thank you for taking the time to read my post, I will be happy to answer any questions that you might have.

P.S my presentation is only going to be a 10-15min power-point slide show, so I'll just be explaining what Bitcoin is and how it could be relevant to my company.

Lee Wright
I can't really see a way that Bitcoin would benefit such a company unless one of the suppliers or customers was onboard with the idea of paying for items in Bitcoin or receiving Bitcoin as payment.

That said, I am interested to see other replies.
1810  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Just lost 190 bitcoins through Mt. Gox on: February 08, 2013, 07:46:35 PM
So, I guess we all agree that MtGox is making a half-assed job of their security, can anybody tell us why they aren't upgrading this?

Half-assed job of security is kinda strong don't you think? I mean where does security on the consumer side start? 2 factor auth is the saving grace if you don't have that you can kiss your coins goodbye. Then you don't need all those bells and whistles which would probably cause more issues then they are worth. I think as long as Mt Gox isn't getting hack and leaking bitcoins from there wallet, I say security is good then. Take some responsibility, don't make Mt Gox your mom.
People WANT to take some responsibility, they just want more options to do it.  2FA is good for some things, but having some way to delay withdrawals to a new address seems like a sensible option to add.
1811  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Who sells 3D printed stuff for bitcoins? on: February 08, 2013, 07:38:49 PM
I like turtles
1812  Economy / Collectibles / Re: CASASCIUS PHYSICAL BITCOIN - In Stock Now! (pic) on: February 08, 2013, 07:36:17 PM
Casascius - have you ever done any heat-testing with your coins?  I am curious what temperatures they would be able to withstand while still having a legible private key.  In other words, would they be more or less safe than a piece of paper in the average firesafe?

The private key is a piece of paper, so it should be roughly similar.
LOL, didn't realize!  I've never torn one apart myself.... thanks.  Wink
1813  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC prise isnt rising! USD is loosing value, thats all! on: February 08, 2013, 07:35:24 PM
I think that the major problems for bitcoin stem mostly from the monopoly status. Markets work because of competition, when btc has a alternative it will start to act right until then it is the gold rush the fools gold rush. 
Anything that has any scarcity will always be speculative in nature.  Gold, silver, oil, food, etc.  People's actions with Bitcoin won't change with alternatives present.  That's like saying oil speculation will stop (which it hasn't) when it has alternatives (which it does - natural gas, biofuels, solar and wind energy, etc).
1814  Economy / Collectibles / Re: CASASCIUS PHYSICAL BITCOIN - In Stock Now! (pic) on: February 08, 2013, 06:56:11 PM
Casascius - have you ever done any heat-testing with your coins?  I am curious what temperatures they would be able to withstand while still having a legible private key.  In other words, would they be more or less safe than a piece of paper in the average firesafe?
1815  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC prise isnt rising! USD is loosing value, thats all! on: February 08, 2013, 06:54:04 PM
The "flaws" you point out (bubbles and busts, full of crooks, etc) are a natural byproduct of the design of Bitcoins.  Complaining about them is annoying, because they cannot be fixed by anything but increased usage of Bitcoin.  In fact, complaining at all is annoying - instead, make specific suggestions to specific people about what they can do to help make Bitcoin better.
I think bubbles are mostly unavoidable right now. The market isn't mature. But that means that if you take a strategy that bets on volatility, you can help stabilize the price and make money at the same time. And the more people making money that way, the more stable the market becomes.

As for crooks... I think the biggest suggestion I have is to rein in the ongoing meme of selling Bitcoin based on its potential for growth. Most of us are bullish here. Some think BTC can take over a significant fraction of the online payment universe, in which case bitcoins will be worth hundreds, maybe even thousands of dollars. Some think BTC might start replacing fiat currency wholesale, in which case you've got an even bigger growth potential.

The problem is that getting new people into Bitcoin via these kinds of arguments is screwing up the community. There's a lot of folks who aren't technically apt but are smart with their money, and if you tell them about Bitcoin's growth potential their HYIP flag will go up and they'll stop caring. But if you talk to someone with a lot of hope but not a lot of hard knocks, it sounds like this huge, awesome idea, and they'll buy in. And that's the kind of person that has attracted conmen to the community ever since things took off in early 2011.

So I guess my specific suggestion is, if you're evangelizing, evangelize about how it's a currency that can be transferred online, without having to trust a third party that (coughpaypalcough) can freeze all your money arbitrarily when you need it most. Evangelize about how you can use this system even if you don't trust the BTC/USD exchange rate, because there's services that'll automatically turn your internet monopoly money into "real" fiat as part of checkout. If you focus on the huge growth potential, no matter how true it might be, you will attract naive fools and conmen, and repel smart money, and that's a great way to turn an economy and a community into a scam-infested byword.

Edit: In response to the original post, I'll just echo what other people have been saying and point out that the price of peanut butter hasn't doubled in the last two months.
Yep, bubbles are unavoidable for now.  As more people begin to use Bitcoin, there will be less and less bubbling.  It will stabilize to gold or silver levels (would be my guess).  Even then, bubbles of some significance might still exist, they will just be slower to act.  Not as much day-to-day volatility.

Also agree with your ideas of evangelizing Bitcoin.  As much as it's fun to talk about the potential for Bitcoin prices to rise, the better benefits to tout would be about how quickly and cheaply money can be sent to anyone, anywhere in the world.  Anyone intimately familiar with wire transfer fees should be interested immediately.
1816  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Just lost 190 bitcoins through Mt. Gox on: February 08, 2013, 06:46:58 PM
I think this is truly sickening, and I am very sorry to hear about it. If normal people make mistakes that end up in financial loss, then there is the suggestion that you need to be "superman" in order to avoid this. Well I for one am not!

Goldmoney, and most banks banks do offer better security here, and (in my view) the reason this happened is because MtGox is not offering reasonable security here. Other exchanges such as Bitstamp are equally vulnerable.

Goldmoney sends an email pin, and disallows email changes. (Or maybe slows them down, I dont remember.)

I think IP address locking is also very useful. You could also do it based on geo-location based on IP address. Someone in Sweden wants a withdrawal? Well I live in the USA and sometimes fly to London, so do not accept it from anywhere else!!  Challenge response is also useful.

There are lots of ways to do this well it seems to me and it seems to me that many Bitcoin exchanges are not doing it well right now. The non-reversability of Bitcoin means it needs to be done better than the companies doing fiat transactions do!! 



100% agreed  couldn't have said it better. It bugs me when someone has been taken advantage of and there is a huge outcry blaming the victim. Basically the claim goes like this.. It is your fault for not being a big enough tech nerd. It you read wired magazine everyday and spent 90 percent of your time online learning about bitcoin like I do then you wouldnt have gotten scammed. Bitcoin is beyond reproach and the community shares no blame. 
I'll agree with you here!

MtGox needs to implement better security options.  Withdrawal locks based on IP, email, and time should all be available options to users.  I would be so much more comfortable with putting funds on MtGox if I knew they couldn't be withdrawn to a different address other than what I've specified without email confirmation and a 7-day delay.  And I even have a yubikey required for logging in and withdrawal already!
1817  Economy / Collectibles / Re: CASASCIUS PHYSICAL BITCOIN - In Stock Now! (pic) on: February 08, 2013, 06:44:05 PM
Slabbed that myself with a holder from here: http://bcwsupplies.com

The label is a Photoshop .psd file which I'll give to anyone that wants it.

Slab-a-dab-dab:



Did you make this yourself, or was this actually graded by a 3rd party company?
Nice, it looks good!
1818  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC prise isnt rising! USD is loosing value, thats all! on: February 08, 2013, 06:32:31 PM
Specifically people can stop hoarding coins and use them as currency not just a speculative investment. Specifically people can start saying what can I do for bitcoin not what can bitcoin do for me, but that is not going to happen. What is going to happen is another coin will compete with bitcoin driving the price way down and crushing a lot people in the process. Bitcoins are just hot potatoes right now someone is going to get burned. Deals aren't good deals if they aren't good for everyone. What I am complaining about is not "just the way it has to be" it is just the way users have made it. Bitcoin can and will do better it just might have to be forced into doing what is right.
So you expect a crowd that is less into hoarding and more into doing things "for the coin" will join alt-coin projects?  Why couldn't people get burned just as easily on alt coins? (hint: they have already)

Lots of people ARE doing great things on Bitcoin's front.  Not much is being done for other alt-coins.  So why do you say that Bitcoin has failed and alt-coins have not, when it appears to be exactly the opposite?

People will speculate and hoard ANYTHING.  Nothing you can do will stop that.  Learn to live with that aspect of a decentralized currency, because it is here to stay.
1819  Economy / Goods / [WTB] Casascius Coins Original Series (2+ BTC ea) on: February 08, 2013, 05:55:23 PM
I am looking to buy unused (preferably untouched by oily human hands) Casascius Coins from the Original Series (with the Casacius spelling error) for 2 BTC each.
1820  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC prise isnt rising! USD is loosing value, thats all! on: February 08, 2013, 05:51:21 PM
No you dont get it at all. I love bitcoin Kiss. Seriously I think it is the coolest most powerful thing that I have ever seen. I am a true believer in P2P currency. It really think that it is going to radically change the world. I am so crazy that I think it will end war and government and distribute the wealth more evenly. I think individuals being their own bank is awesome I mean truly awesome. What I dont like is how a bunch of assholes are ruining it and driving people away.
The "flaws" you point out (bubbles and busts, full of crooks, etc) are a natural byproduct of the design of Bitcoins.  Complaining about them is annoying, because they cannot be fixed by anything but increased usage of Bitcoin.  In fact, complaining at all is annoying - instead, make specific suggestions to specific people about what they can do to help make Bitcoin better.
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