Latest posts of: jl2012

Quote from: Wekkel on December 07, 2017, 06:26:49 AM

Perhaps also put up an IOTA address for micro donations.

Thanks but I think Litecoin is enough to serve the purpose of micro donations, and I'm not very interested in more altcoins

Quote from: RyNinDaCleM on December 07, 2017, 05:19:45 AM

Quote from: jl2012 on December 07, 2017, 04:44:52 AM

Starting today I will provide a link to the real-time BETI, calculated with the latest BETI regression parameters and real-time bitcoin price

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.0033050068929633++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.108690753180674+)

Please consider to donate if you like this service:

374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY. This is a segwit address)
LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC)

(booking this link is not very useful because the regression parameters change every day)

Is there no way to automate this and serve it up on a site with the real-time chart and all infos you provide?

It'd take hours to do that and I had time I'd rather spending on dev of Bitcoin Core

Starting today I will provide a link to the real-time BETI, calculated with the latest BETI regression parameters and real-time bitcoin price

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.0033050068929633++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.108690753180674+)

Please consider to donate if you like this service:

374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY. This is a segwit address)
LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC)

(bookmarking this link is not very useful because the regression parameters change every day)

Date:   6-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.635
VWAP:   12664.26
x:   2,699
a:   0.003305
b:   -0.108691
Rsq:   0.834423
Expected price:   6711.13
Actual price / expected price:   188.71%
BETI ATL price:   722.53
BETI ATH price:   43446.95
Expected date:   16-Jun-2018
# of days ahead:   192.14
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6733.35




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.0033050068929633++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108690753180674+%29




0.5   11064.79
1.0   18242.75
1.5   30077.20
2.0   49588.93
2.5   81758.32

Date:   5-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.556
VWAP:   11652.19
x:   2,698
a:   0.003304
b:   -0.108219
Rsq:   0.834241
Expected price:   6682.69
Actual price / expected price:   174.36%
BETI ATL price:   719.47
BETI ATH price:   43262.85
Expected date:   22-May-2018
# of days ahead:   168.25
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6704.81




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330448295705589++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108218550451387+%29




0.5   11017.90
1.0   18165.45
1.5   29949.76
2.0   49378.80

Date:   30-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.395
VWAP:   9715.31
x:   2,693
a:   0.003302
b:   -0.106307
Rsq:   0.833345
Expected price:   6548.22
Actual price / expected price:   148.37%
BETI ATL price:   704.99
BETI ATH price:   42392.27
Expected date:   29-Mar-2018
# of days ahead:   119.46
Daily VWAP rank:   3
Next expected price:   6569.88




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330235996048805++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.106307240950967+%29

Date:   29-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.464
VWAP:   10377.66
x:   2,692
a:   0.003302
b:   -0.106013
Rsq:   0.833169
Expected price:   6522.80
Actual price / expected price:   159.10%
BETI ATL price:   702.26
BETI ATH price:   42227.74
Expected date:   18-Apr-2018
# of days ahead:   140.63
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6544.38




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330203301013341++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.106013229445584+%29

Quote from: spiderbrain on November 29, 2017, 06:19:01 AM

Where are we at? BETI = ln(10400/6500) = 0.47 based on the last trend analysis, I think.

yes, more or less

Date:   28-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.416
VWAP:   9852.65
x:   2,691
a:   0.003302
b:   -0.105667
Rsq:   0.832990
Expected price:   6496.82
Actual price / expected price:   151.65%
BETI ATL price:   699.46
BETI ATH price:   42059.50
Expected date:   3-Apr-2018
# of days ahead:   126.13
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6518.30




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330164789282104++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105667039826323+%29

Date:   27-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.387
VWAP:   9527.87
x:   2,690
a:   0.003301
b:   -0.105356
Rsq:   0.832812
Expected price:   6471.39
Actual price / expected price:   147.23%
BETI ATL price:   696.72
BETI ATH price:   41894.92
Expected date:   24-Mar-2018
# of days ahead:   117.17
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6492.79




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330130226501782++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105356463680917+%29

Some BETI value and price:

0.5   10669.52
1.0   17591.07
1.5   29002.77

Date:   26-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.337
VWAP:   9027.85
x:   2,689
a:   0.003301
b:   -0.105068
Rsq:   0.832636
Expected price:   6446.35
Actual price / expected price:   140.05%
BETI ATL price:   694.03
BETI ATH price:   41732.82
Expected date:   8-Mar-2018
# of days ahead:   102.03
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6467.67




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330098096513097++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105067855682939+%29

If you like this thread, please donate to 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (bitcoin ONLY) or LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC)

Date:   25-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.269
VWAP:   8407.83
x:   2,688
a:   0.003301
b:   -0.104816
Rsq:   0.832461
Expected price:   6421.89
Actual price / expected price:   130.92%
BETI ATL price:   691.39
BETI ATH price:   41574.44
Expected date:   14-Feb-2018
# of days ahead:   81.63
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6443.12




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330070101170544++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.104816480800785+%29

Date:   24-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.243
VWAP:   8154.14
x:   2,687
a:   0.003300
b:   -0.104615
Rsq:   0.832290
Expected price:   6398.16
Actual price / expected price:   127.45%
BETI ATL price:   688.84
BETI ATH price:   41420.83
Expected date:   5-Feb-2018
# of days ahead:   73.48
Daily VWAP rank:   2
Next expected price:   6419.31




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.0033004768736274++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.104615298402265+%29

Date:   19-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.225
VWAP:   7863.96
x:   2,682
a:   0.003299
b:   -0.103687
Rsq:   0.831433
Expected price:   6281.82
Actual price / expected price:   125.19%
BETI ATL price:   676.31
BETI ATH price:   40667.67
Expected date:   26-Jan-2018
# of days ahead:   68.08
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6302.58




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00329944182933188++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.103687305344148+%29

Date:   18-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.205
VWAP:   7679.33
x:   2,681
a:   0.003299
b:   -0.103519
Rsq:   0.831263
Expected price:   6259.03
Actual price / expected price:   122.69%
BETI ATL price:   673.86
BETI ATH price:   40520.13
Expected date:   18-Jan-2018
# of days ahead:   61.99
Daily VWAP rank:   2
Next expected price:   6279.72




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00329925413842277++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.103519213839818+%29

Quote from: andpr on November 17, 2017, 03:01:26 PM

Maybe this is already explained somewhere, but how do you obtain "a" and "b" values?

see the first post

If price stays above $7900 today, we will see a new BETI high of 0.237

Date:   16-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.196
VWAP:   7562.03
x:   2,679
a:   0.003299
b:   -0.103199
Rsq:   0.830922
Expected price:   6213.90
Actual price / expected price:   121.70%
BETI ATL price:   669.00
BETI ATH price:   40227.95
Expected date:   14-Jan-2018
# of days ahead:   59.52
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6234.43




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00329889623063994++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.103198862334542+%29

Date:   13-Nov-2017
BETI:   0.039
VWAP:   6395.47
x:   2,676
a:   0.003299
b:   -0.102904
Rsq:   0.830424
Expected price:   6149.09
Actual price / expected price:   104.01%
BETI ATL price:   662.02
BETI ATH price:   39808.40
Expected date:   24-Nov-2017
# of days ahead:   11.91
Daily VWAP rank:   12
Next expected price:   6169.41




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00329856657865302++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.102904038110563+%29

It briefly went below 0 on 12th Nov

The high was made on 5th Nov at 0.219