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2601  Economy / Economics / Re: Renewable energy transition is expensive, but is resilient on: March 01, 2022, 04:42:50 PM
Upon Putin's invasion of Ukraine and the limited ability to stop the imports of gas and oil from Russia to avoid financing the military aggression. Ursula Von der Leyen today mentioned in the European Parliament that this shows how the strategy to transition to solar and wind is strategic in more than one way and is not only about climate change.

Solar and wind power and by nature quite distributed and avoid the existence of critical and dangerous energy infrastructure (e.g. nuclear centrals)

At last! Not sure how European governments are realizing the importance of green energy only now! The European people are usually known as environmentally educated people to the rest of the world. Just look at Norway how much they have done to contribute to the green energy.

But anyway, realizing is great even if it is late! So I sincerely hope that European governments will start working towards 100% green energy production and try to become self reliant.

Are you aware that the main export of Norway is crude oil an derivates? Norway sovereign fund moves billions... where do you think that came from? Selling codfish? Norway is very keen on green only at home my friend.

...

The cost of renewable energy per watt is generally lower than fossil fuel based energies like oil or coal. State based subsidies are the main market drivers for energy generation with a larger carbon footprint.

...

I would need some source for this.
2602  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: March 01, 2022, 02:53:59 PM
...

Certainly, nobody should blame the Russian people for this. When ancient Romans invaded some innocent place, could you blame the Roman's slaves for making the soldiers' weapons? To a greater or lesser degree, it's the same sort of thing for every government, including the US. If you are compelled by fate to be a citizen of some country, compelled by force to pay taxes to support your country, etc., then you bear no responsibility for what you are compelled to do, and you do not have a responsibility to put yourself at personal risk to make your country less evil. In my view, even "perfect" democracy would not change this. The average Russian bears zero responsibility for this invasion, just as I disclaim any responsibility whatsoever for the various atrocities committed by the US in the middle east and elsewhere.


While I agree that all Russians cannot be blamed for Putin's decisions, as they mostly do not get either a say on it or any means of opposing these without an immense risk to their lives and livelihoods, as a citizen of a Democracy, I do feel I am much more responsible for what my country does than people on authoritarian regimes are. I do feel I need to do something if my government does not have at least a morally acceptable conduct.

In other words, when you live in a Democracy (imperfect or not), you do not get to blame others - such is the burden of freedom and so heavy that many choose to discharge it and accept dictators.
2603  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: March 01, 2022, 02:30:37 PM
Some of the horrific video clips I've seen from this war really illustrates how war has changed.  Seeing tanks runover cars on the freeway like they're playing grand theft auto, or seeing cyclists having bombs dropped on their heads are things that are just unexpected to me and even unfathomable.  I think most people just want to go about their daily lives without fear of some government squabble murdering them while trying to get a workout in, or trying to make it to work.  It's pretty crazy that with all of the advancement of our civilization, war has turned even less personal and the loss of life seems almost expected.  Personally, I would prefer the days of swinging swords to suddenly having your entire family murdered in a second as a jet flies by...  If you haven't seen some of the horrific clips out there from this war, do yourself a favor and don't search for them.  It's absolutely heartbreaking.

War, war is hell. Always was, always will be. That has not changed, if anything it became more humane due to public outcries. There is a lot of misinformation going around, which is understandable when literal lives are at stake, but I have no reason to doubt your sincerity, so giving the benefit of the doubt, your naiveness is frankly, shocking and perhaps telling of your overall selective world view? Unless you're really young, have you considered why you're just finding out that there are atrocities in every "conflict" and all sides? Why haven't you seen horrific video clips from previous conflicts, surely theres abundance of them on the internet? Perhaps they were less brutal? Or there were less civilian casualties? Or perhaps some other reason?
...
Sorry to burst your bubble, but your ignorance to suffering is really telling about you/your upbringing. And no, powerful don't bear the consequences, you can even sanction ICC if you have enough power, that's why everyone wants more power. "US sanctions International Criminal Court officials" https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/02/politics/us-icc-sanctions/index.html

On this I have to agree and add that Europe has risen its voice and started acting on the economic front only when Putin threatened directly everything that is dear to the EU and the US - democracies (even if imperfect), their ability to strengthen their relations to other countries if they wish to do so and to be free to enter into the most beneficial agreements they can choose within their possibilities.

In other words, Ukraine does not have less rights to reach agreements with others than Putin or than any other country. Forcing them into neutrality, hindering their rights to associate or extend their diplomacy is something that Western Europe just cannot accept. Putin setting terms on what the NATO can do or not do in terms of accepting members is not acceptable. Putin giving himself the Tzardom or all that surrounds him because "he would not feel safe otherwise" feels too much like the old USSR regime.

And do not get me wrong, I am no happier about the US intervening in Latin America than I am with Putin.
2604  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [POV] War in Ukraine on: March 01, 2022, 02:08:30 PM
...

there was no ukraine invasion the military operation was executed to catch the ukranian regime that violated human rights,

there was an issue like that in georgia where sout ossetians got discriminated,

and there is now an issue, where russians have been discrminated by those that where in charge.
the ukranians invested nothing into the russian speaking regions of ukraine and focused all the investments on ukrainian speaking region, through that they effectively run a genocide.
[/quote]

No invasion, yet Putin's tanks are inside a foreign country. "Just a military operation" to depose a democratically elected government, yet the Ukrainians do not seem to be hailing the "liberators" but rather trying to send them back to their families (live or dead is their choice). Not investing in a region? Even if that was true, which is probably not, that is not genocide under any definition.

You must be fully aware of how your arguments are perceived by now. If you think your are somehow helping Putin's cause by repeating over and over unbelievable arguments just keep on, you are simply showing how cynic, delusional and unbelievable this aggression is.

Seriously, I have never seen Switzerland, Luxembourg, the whole EU, Turkey & Israel to agree on anything at the same time except in condemning Putin's war. That should give you some material for self-reflection.
2605  Economy / Economics / Renewable energy transition is expensive, but is resilient on: March 01, 2022, 12:41:46 PM
Upon Putin's invasion of Ukraine and the limited ability to stop the imports of gas and oil from Russia to avoid financing the military aggression. Ursula Von der Leyen today mentioned in the European Parliament that this shows how the strategy to transition to solar and wind is strategic in more than one way and is not only about climate change.

Solar and wind power and by nature quite distributed and avoid the existence of critical and dangerous energy infrastructure (e.g. nuclear centrals)
2606  Economy / Economics / Re: This shows Putin got the costs of aggression wrong on: March 01, 2022, 12:35:31 PM
China has started to evacuate their people from Ukraine only today.
That may mean that Putin has told China that the war will not take longer than 4-5 days.

I think that Putin also greatly underestimated what Europe will do in the financial vs resources part of the war.
I honestly didn't think that Europe will become this united this fast (and I'm glad that I was wrong).

Unfortunately, my reading of this is that Putin may have told the Chinese that he has failed to secure a quick victory and has now to go into Godzilla mode on Ukrainian cities to seize control, as the Ukrainian army did somehow not bend to his delusion of being hailed as a liberator of shorts. This is very bad news and our leaders should works towards a halt and give a chance to diplomacy.
2607  Economy / Economics / West should start de-coupling from Putin's Russia energy supplies on: March 01, 2022, 09:58:17 AM
At this moment, the West (EU mostly) is facing the fact that their energy is, in a large part, coming from Russia. Perhaps that is the main reason why the ruble is, within reason, holding better than it would be expected against the economic sanctions, with a mere loss of 20% - although short selling is not allowed and that is helping.

chart live

If anything, Putin's war of aggression will change how Europe looks at Russia in the future - from being a dubious partner to an outright danger to all democracies. Energy decoupling should be part of any future EU strategy.
2608  Economy / Economics / Re: This shows Putin got the costs of aggression wrong on: February 28, 2022, 10:30:10 PM
Its quite childlike of us to debate about whether Putin knows the cost of aggression or not. Here's a former KGB agent who has served as the head of state for one of the most powerful and unpredictable states of the world. That too in a time of falling from glory. That man definitely knows what he wants to do. Right now, it was bullying Zelinsky into giving up on his ambitions to make Ukraine join NATO. Who thinks this wouldn't hurt the ego?

This war is a powerful man's reaction to being miffed by a smaller nation. That too in the belief that they don't want NATO at their doorstep. War is terrible but I do hope that world's people and twitterati would have the same reaction for all the other wars that have been inflicted by the so-called "democracies" for the last over two decades.

Its amazing how the cold war perceptions still live on after three decades.


Your don't need to be an expert to understand that Russia will get zero benefits from this war. Giant economic loss, international isolation, no military benefits even if they succeed. Even domestically it looks bad, as people protest.

That is right, there will be a very high price to pay and achieving the long term strategic target of controlling and avoiding permanent foreign presence in the Black sea is very dubious.

Now, this is not a childish debate, Putin like all leaders know perfectly that you need money and a strong economy to sustain your stance in the world and, to be honest, a blow to Russian economy might make him loose the supports he currently enjoys at home. This is no joke and Putin is not a fool nor a madman - at least in the conventional sense.

On regards to Ukraine joining the NATO (OTAN in Spanish), I personally think there is much work to be done before they can become a member safely. On the end, OTAN has to be about making all members be safer and more influential.

...

This appears to be a good test for the "devaluing currency is good for exports" school of economic thought.

That is not a school of thought properly, but the usual lame excuse of governments that fail to remain competitive.
2609  Economy / Economics / Russian flagship banks at the risk of collapse? on: February 28, 2022, 10:23:17 PM
It is being said in some outlets that some of the banks in Russia are at rick of defaulting. Namely, the giant Sbersbank or some of its subsidiaries may fall. Putin may be too busy with his invasion to dedicate funds to save these banks. How could this affect the average Russian citizen that did not have a say on this whole mess? Are many Russians at risk of loosing their savings? Will the banks close "until further notice" anytime soon?

Quote
The European Central Bank, meanwhile, said Sberbank’s subsidiaries in Austria, Croatia and Slovenia were likely to fail.
2610  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: Donar a Ukrania on: February 28, 2022, 09:46:13 PM
El otro día vi como la cuenta oficial de Ucrania en Twitter publicaba estas direcciones, y estuve unas horas antes de llegar a enviar BTCs a falta de estar más o menos seguro de que eran direcciones verdaderas, y no hackeadas como parecían indicar los primeros aportes en el Twitter, a buen seguro comentarios por parte de la contra-información rusa. Vitalik llégó a poner una alerta que luego retiró, y eso era claramente el objetivo de los comentarios: evitar que la gente contribuyese.

Patéticamente, veo que hay gente que apoya la invasión en este foro (en tu mismo hilo en inglés).


Si, es normal, en el mundo hay aproximadamente mogollon de personas, de las que muchas varias son Rusos. Putin y compañía se gastan (también aproximadamente) un huevo y medio de rublos en convencer a todas esas muchas varias personas humanas que es un tío majo y razonable. Por un mero efecto estadístico tiene que haber alguien que se lo crea y, por lo visto, también escriba en este foro.
2611  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Oscar Awards 2022 betting thread on: February 28, 2022, 09:32:29 PM
This is wishful thinking for me to be honest, but it seems that Dune has some chances, and that is quite amazing taking into account that there are at least a couple of movies about it and at least one extraordinary mini-series. I just love science fiction and I think that an Oscar given to a science fiction classic may result in more interest from the Hollywood producers to engage into further production.
2612  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Slots 101: Basics, Strategies, and Discussion (with poll) on: February 28, 2022, 09:23:50 PM
I feel like I have problems with emotions and control when I lose at gambling, It happens before, when I played dice at Freebit, but at that time I could control it, compared to yesterday when I played starlight, it was really different, I deposited few times in one night.
The dopamine you get from slots cannot be compared with other games. It is called "the crack cocaine of gambling" for that reason. That's why old timers here are very cautious of the negative effect of slots, thus you should do it in moderation.

I think you are right, part of the case for having a strategy to play slots includes the psychologic aspects and knowing yourself well enough to enjoy the game fully and get the "up-push" without then getting the hangover if things are going not going well enough. This is also a strategy, but not as much intended to always win but rather to make sure that you always have fun.
2613  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What will be the next big industry move? on: February 28, 2022, 09:14:54 PM
Meta is already here with us, it doesnt have to actually be 3D or virtual world just digital economy items that only exist within the sphere of that game or universe construct that is a real thing now.   I was making sports bets using meta items back in 2014 onwards so its certainly a very in demand thing for similar reasons to why crypto is so in demand globally, we have very weak currencies and its not hard even for a virtual worth Meta item to have the value that can involve gambling on game outcomes of sports or casino etc.
   It will be a thing, Ive done very similar type activities and it was so popular the game maker feared the gambling business was taking over their game, lots of demand for sure.

Meta is likely to unify all these different upcoming trends into what is called a mega-app that is useful for all purposes such as buying, transfering, saving, booking hotels and flights,... and certainly gaming. This is a once in a lifetime bet by Zucky and is putting a shit-ton of money into it, so it may actually succeed and eventually also change the gaming industry itself that would become less "hardware" and more software.
2614  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: February 28, 2022, 09:07:22 PM
Yea Barcelona is truly coming back to form to form,but topping Sevilla in the Spanish league table ranking will be a difficult feat, because Sevilla is doing well too and are already topping Barcelona with more than eight points,In Atletico Madrid case I think they can overtake real betis for the 4th position they have a better manager with good experience and a better squad than real betis
Sevilla are still 9 points ahead of Barcelona. Looking at it in the points table, it may seem almost impossible for Barcelona to move to second place in the table. But I don't think it's impossible. Because Barcelona is in the truck now.
Sevilla have scored 9 points in the last 5 matches, while Barcelona have scored 13 points in the last 5 matches. Sevilla are not a very strong team. They will lose points in the upcomming matches. If Barcelona can maintain the continuity, they will be able to come in second place in the table.

I agree with you somewhat. I don't like Sevilla's gameplay. If they had hoped for a title, their performance would have been more stable and strong. They may have lost just two matches this season. But they have drawn in 9 matches. The match has even drawn with many weaker teams. Moreover, they are having enough problems to score goals. The Barcelona forward, on the other hand, now seems to me to be La Liga's best forward. They are playing great and scoring goals in almost every match.

They are effective that is all. Some of the best known teams a national teams in the world are know to be mostly game destroyers rather than brilliant football making stars. Sevilla is still worth watching, nothing to do with other styles such as the traditional Italian gameplay of freezing the game, delaying tactics and all the usual tactical faults and game control when winning.
2615  Economy / Gambling / Re: Would you support a collective boycott of all Russian gambling platforms? on: February 28, 2022, 09:03:54 PM
Certainly, I think that we cannot help Putin's finances in any possible way. This includes using products that pay tax or benefit the Putin's economy nor allow for the financing of the aggression towards the Ukrainian people. This has gone to far and I appreciate both initiatives that prevent the earnings and those that support the resistance versus an illegal war waged by a despot on a democracy (as imperfect as it may be).
2616  Economy / Economics / Re: UKraine-Russian War is affecting Football Economy. on: February 28, 2022, 08:58:55 PM
I would like to correct the wording -this is not an Ukraine -Russia war, this is an aggressive invasion of Ukraine by order of Vladimir Putin. Most Russians did not get a say on this.

Now, the football is linked to the global economy and it is a leisure activity, which traditionally suffers when practically anything out of the ordinary happens: terrorist attacks, wars, natural catastrophes,... that is how it works so no surprise.

2617  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia - Ukraine war - Exchanges needed for sanctioning on: February 28, 2022, 01:59:22 PM
My take is that US or EU could potentially activate that measure. In that case, the exchanges would need to either comply fully or decide to opt out of the regulations. In the later case, they will be banned from operating in US and EU plus many other countries.

It is no joke to face the consequences of an US ban or sanction, thus exchanges may be forced to decide which side is best. Hint: the level of business in the West is higher in general.
2618  Economy / Economics / Re: This shows Putin got the costs of aggression wrong on: February 28, 2022, 01:48:01 PM
Russian government will face a heavy consequence for the war. EU has already announced to cut Russia off from the Swify network, crase all assets of Russian central bank that is help with ECB, ban Russia Oligarchs from carrying out businesses in EU.

Putin has gone mad and Russian common people will pay the price  a lot of foreign companies will leave Russia for good. The consequence will be severe for Russia.

But on the other hand, Russian elites laugh at the sanctions, which can actually make it easier for them to move freely using cryptocurrencies. they were cut off from Swify and other sanctions followed for Russia actions. However, there are positive points for Russia to use Cryptocurrencies as a means of payment and transactions without the need for capitalist intervention, both Russian banks blocked by Francis, UK, and several local banks which are currently closed after the Russian invasion.

Here too, the digital yuan is ready to be a back-up for Russia in carrying out future economic movements and is ready to encourage Russia to continue fighting NATO countries that try to criticize Russia's actions. For one thing, the mainstream media can distort the facts, because we don't really know what's really going on between Russia and Ukraine. There is even video footage engineered by the President of Ukraine and the BBC to carry out propaganda.

Russian media is also closed by Facebook, as a sanction, criticism of NATO countries also does not stop in the name of humanity. I wonder if this context extends to Palestine, where Israel is still allowed by the UN to carry out its heinous acts. If it is true that NATO and UN members want to stop the invasion, they should apologize to the 2x24 media that the US foster child, Israel, should take precedence over criticizing Russia's actions. Where does the actual reaction take place? Or just the politics of diversion of issues? fry Russia, then put humanity first in Palestine just sinking?

So, the Oligarchs are laughing at having to buy the marvellous rubles with their weak and poor USD and Euros? R u sure?
So Putin and friends are just going to use bitcoin and bypass all the modern world banking system?
An lastly, he and his friends are counting on China helping them... for free? Have you seen China do any favours to anyone for free?

Nope, propaganda and social media can say whatever, but the markets put their money only where there's something to win and that is not the ruble.
2619  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Follow Putin´s war of aggression live information and PUBINT on: February 28, 2022, 01:23:02 PM
the leftist media we are used in the west never neutrally explaind how financially discriminated the russians ind the russian east where in ukraine.
Grin

Does it mean that next time you feel discriminated in public you will take out your gun and start shooting people?

Let's say the world functions like your tiny brain and we live in your utopia. I can make you a list of all the people that feel discriminated. For instance, BLM in USA, Native Americans, the Roma, LGBT, I'm sure in their minds pedophiles also feel discriminated... We'd be facing armed combat every day going to a store, driving to work, getting our kids to school. Literally you wouldn't be able to take a shit without worrying that you might end up being shot. Is that how the world should look like?

I feel like you're offending me. Tell me where you live I'll come with some friends and we'll burn your place.


I understand you are just being sarcastic, but formally, you cannot threaten physical violence in the forum. Tongue
2620  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Follow Putin´s war of aggression live information and PUBINT on: February 28, 2022, 12:38:51 PM
completely one sided nonsense, putin never was aggressive against ukranians he is a human rights warrior, zelinski is the criminal

He killed more than 14,000 since 2014.

He is responsible for firing rockets at Ukrainian apartment buildings right now.

Are you in denial?  Just use the search bar on youtube.

He will be arrested and be brought to Hague unless Russians execute him first.

the war escalated and became bloody the moment ukranians defended Zelinski.

the russian occupation force never where prepared for that much resistance the leftist media we are used in the west never neutrally explaind how financially discriminated the russians ind the russian east where in ukraine.

if you are not part of the inner circle of the Illuminati that installed Putin, you will always have doubts, the woke left maniacs now go insane.

Ok, let me see if I can make you see it in a different way: Let's say that Ukraine is not happy with Putin because they consider him a despot, nearly a Tzar, that imprisons political enemies, is threatening with a nuclear response, and bullying democracies such as Finland and Sweden into not choosing their own paths.

Now, Ukraine sends troops to Moscow and they expect the Russians to accept them as saviours and expects them to get rid of Putin and de-militarise as soon as they see an Ukrainian soldier waving their hand at them.

 Would you then consider that Ukraine is being aggressive and delusional??

And by the way, how attacking Kyev is helping the people in Donbas? If that were the objective a limited offensive (much less costly to the Russian people) would have been simpler, more effective and perhaps with a chance of success?
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