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2001  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Ever thought of doing your thesis on Gambling ? on: May 13, 2022, 08:35:20 PM
It would be quite interesting and I am sure there must be already a number of scientific studies around gambling. I am sure the casinos have requested and financed this type of works, just like McDonalds has perfect knowledge of the views of its clients and has carefully designed all the products. I think the field is certainly still open with the gambling on-line to economic, psicological or other studies.
2002  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: May 13, 2022, 08:31:10 PM
Real Madrid is in the Number 1 position in La Liga.The two teams we saw on the field in yesterday's match The two teams are Real Madrid and Levante.Real Madrid got a big win there. Real Madrid beat Levante 6-0.Real Madrid scored a hat trick. His name is Vinicius.Karim Benzema also scored a goal and has an assist.Modric assisted a hat-trick as one of his midfielders.
Levante were really destroyed by Real Madrid. They ended the match with only one shot on target. Madrid dominated massively and gave their opponent zero chances of scoring. However, is quite obvious that Madrid will eventually be lifting the La Liga trophy this season. With their current performance. I think they should also be able to achieve the Champions League trophy by winning against Liverpool in the finals which will be played few weeks time.

It is just too difficult to deal with Real Madrid, even for teams that one would consider as more powerful or at least with a clear specialty or particular tactics that work well against with strong and quality teams. Levante should probably not even be in the same competition as Real, they are simply way below the weight category and that can only end in the way it did on this occassion.
2003  Economy / Gambling / Re: I miss the old OnChain gambling on: May 13, 2022, 08:26:46 PM
I have encountered that type of casino but I believe, that kind of gambling will not be a hit anymore in today's situation.
For one, because there are so many scammers, we don't know if the operator will be honest with their operations.
Also, if you are not creating your account, it is hard to prove that you are the owner if you happen not to screenshot your games or save your address/keys.
With centralized gambling sites, you have the chance to recover your account if you forgot your password as you can contact their support.
People nowadays prefer centralized as they have more confident that if something goes wrong, they can always contact the site or other people to help them out of the situation.

I can align well with people who liked the online gambling. My personal view, and that is open for discussion, is that some of the games there were not strictly on the bitcoin chain, but rather on the Ethereum platform. I would not exactly class krytokitties as a gambling platform as such, but it does look like an speculation platform and made the network both consolidate and show as well the limits.
2004  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 13, 2022, 08:23:38 PM
...
...

So, why does the media keep repeating the lie that Russia started the war when it is clearly false?

The fact is, Putin sent in the troops to put out a fire not to start one. If ever there was a situation where the Responsibility To Protect (R2P) could be justified, it’s in east Ukraine prior to the invasion. 14,000 ethnic Russians had been killed before the shelling began.
...

Some readers might remember that –before sending in the tanks– Putin invoked United Nations Article 51 which provides a legal justification for military intervention. Here’s an excerpt from an article by former weapons inspector Scott Ritter who defended the Russian action like this:

...


Cool

This has already been discussed over and over on this thread. Putin had effectively an army corps under command of the Russian Army in Donetsk and Luhansk. The fighting in the region was paid for and directed from the Kremlin. Invoking defence on this case is cynical to the max - there was no fight before he decided to.

I can see you are one of those here that just throw shit and see if it sticks. It does not.


Breaking news!  Western media releases footage, provided by high level sources from within Ukraine, from the catacombs of Avozstal showing preparations for stunning breakout and subsequent recapture of Mariupol.



That seem to be the odessa catacombs
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odessa_Catacombs

Tash, I am going to quote you on this one. I just want to make sure this comment is there. In case UKR can go to Mariupol now they are done with Kharkiv. Who would think that Russian population would need to be evacuated from Russia uh?

The best thing Putin could do now is start bringing back all the Ukrainians deported.
2005  Economy / Gambling / Re: How do you advertise your casino? on: May 13, 2022, 08:15:35 PM
<snip>
I am not sure why everyone only speaks about bounty managers and not about other marketing person. There are a lots of forums and website which are good for marketing like insta, fb, youtube, tiktok which are good for marketing as well.. But no-one is mentioning that.
Instagram, Facebook (Meta now), and Tiktok are some social media platforms that really aren't that worth advertising a gambling platform. These websites' market is very general. I mean, the target market over these platforms for gambling is really low. That is why, I see it not worth advertising at when it comes to gambling marketing. Better go on twitter, gambling forum, and crypto forums.

I am not sure all these platforms are actually keen on taking adds from casinos and the like. Facebook is much under fire because the public has lost trust in their methods and their style and the young consider it something that is outdated. Until Facebook reinvents itself, the advertising options for casinos may not be such a good idea. The forum here may be much more interesting and profitable.
2006  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 13, 2022, 03:14:22 PM
...

You miss the point entirely. Anybody can predict this or that about Trump and any future. But since Trump isn't the POTUS, those predictions don't matter one bit.

What matters? The thing that matters is that Biden is POTUS, and all the bad things Trump naysayers predicted about Trump are happening under Biden... and probably worse.

Cool

I can live with Trump politics and I can live with Biden's. The problem is how Trump tends to communicate and respond to criticism by trying to shoot anyone opposing. Seriously, even getting near to supporting a mob assaulting the congress would have been science fiction before him.

No, you have stated that the Russian invasion would have not happened with Trump. That is a quite bold guess. My guess is that it would have happened anyway, but due to his "experience" with Ukraine and his narcissistic personality it would have ended either letting Putin take Ukraine or on a full scale NATO intervention with a clear risk of nuclear war. Your guess, my guess. And now, guess who is going to sleep.  


Congratulations. You are still alive, even though you are living with politics.

Trump's method of communicating isn't a problem for anyone except himself, maybe. Anybody who doesn't like it can stop listening.

Now you are simply lying. Trump didn't shoot or attempt to shoot anyone.

The videos show the Capitol police welcoming everyone in on January 6.

Trump was promoting free trade with Russia and the Ukraine and the US. Putin liked it. No war there.

Biden stopped the free trade with Russia. War is the result.

Putin doesn't want war. How do we know? He hasn't nuked the free world as he could if he were a war monger.

The whole thing is about bringing countries into NATO, countries that are bordering Russia. Quit threatening Russia. If there had been no serious threat to them, there would be no war right now, just like there was no threat to them with Trump.

Canada and Mexico have no strength to oppose Russia. If Russia moved into Canada or Mexico, and had friendly relations with them, wouldn't that irritate the US government?

Stop irritating Russia. Pull the US out of the Ukraine before the war goes worldwide with no chance of stopping it.

Did you have a good sleep?

Cool

Mostly. Unfortunately what Trump does affects the US and the rest of the world and it is not possible to ignore it. A few of the things you mention, like the "police was welcoming people" do not match with the police dead. Perhaps the party got out of control or what's the cover for that?

If Russia wants friendly relations with his neighbours that's what they should be aiming for. They failed and used violence (they did not get the chick and decided to rape).

Anyway, back to Ukraine. I hope you slept well too.

........
 Poland was already claiming that Russia could attack them so they could be sent a peacekeeping force to Ukraine so that war stays on the soil of Ukraine.
Lol clownworld. Did't know there is currently peace in Ukraine to sent "peacekeeping" force. Last i know there was war.
So nowadays if attack is expected you sent the defence far away and let the country exposed?

Soldiers are fighting on the eastern side of Ukraine, and the western side is still under Kyiv's control. My source of information said that Poland would send a force to western Ukraine and defend Russia from there if the Russian attack came that far. I hope you get what I mean. I am not saying this is 100% sure but there are so many things going on so it is hard to differentiate which info is to believe which is not.

...
 May be putin could provoke Belarus to attack Poland.

Unlikely, a 0.0001% chance of that.
2007  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 13, 2022, 10:04:03 AM
False, Russia has no capability to intercept hypersonic missiles.

On the nuclear threat, the existing S-400 missile stands some chance of stopping an small number of warheads if placed in large numbers and very close to the warheads targets. S-500 at most can intercept short range ballistic missiles and there are only very costly few units (I wonder how will they be produced without semiconductors in the future). Russia does not have an advantage on NW delivery platforms by sea or air. The North Pole and the South Pole are there for everyone to use - confers zero advantage. A hypersonic missile, as of now, can deliver one warhead at mid-range only, as opposed to ICBM that can deliver multiple (even 40) warheads both real and decoy.
You know nothing about Russian missiles, but I see no reason to try to convince you - so be it. The main thing is that the Pentagon knows this, whose head Lloyd Austin recently said that in the present and future, the nuclear arsenal that Russia has presents serious difficulties for the United States.

I know nothing about what the US is not saying about their real capabilities (particularly in stealth and interception). The Russ military is so infiltrated that one of these days the specs of the S-500 are going to be published in a Brit tabloid along with the marital affairs of Jonny Deep. If you care to look at these specs you will find out that they are intended to intercept ICBM, not even Russia dares to claim intercepting a hypersonic missile - I mean a serious claim, not blah blah. (e.g. "we can intercept hypersonic cruise missiles because our missiles goes at this much speed" - basically ignoring why is it actually difficult to kill these boys - detecting on time.

They US guy is absolutely right - it does present difficulties as does the real threat: China. It is simply that you are claiming capabilities from the Russ systems that are simply not there (e.g. interception of hypersonic missiles) and then saying that "you do not need to convince" - AKA providing false information. I know you are trying to assure Russian people that they are safe on the basis of "superior weapons", but anyone with a VPN knows better. I really hope that people in Belgorod, now in artillery range from Ukraine, are not the first ones to find.

Indeed, hypersonic missiles are a serious problem, even with a limited "hypersonic" capability. Very difficult to detect and very difficult to stop, perfect for carrier killing. The US military is very open about it for one reason: they want funds to deal with this threat and they will get them.

Will Russia keep up the spending pace under sanctions that include electronic components and a GDP that is more than 10 times less than US? Not to mention NATO's full budget which ranges in the 20 times more? Who do you think is going to get to the NW and hypersonic interception capability before? And now the US citizens are even more keen into chipping in the coin to do it - thanks to who?... you know.

Quote
While the U.S. ranks as the world's largest economy with a GDP of $21 trillion,2 Russia's nominal GDP comes in at $1.48 trillion. 1 In terms of GDP, Russia trails much smaller countries, such as the United Kingdom, Italy, and France.

@be.open, before denying the below, why don't you travel  to Kharkiv and send us a picture of you posing. That would convince anyone that this is not true. Oh... I forgot, you do not feel the need to convince and you know more than anyone here.

...
Moscow is withdrawing forces from around Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second-largest city, where it has been losing ground, Ukrainian and Western officials say, in one of Russia’s biggest setbacks since its retreat from Kyiv last month.

...



2008  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 13, 2022, 08:20:29 AM
I am not sure it is a lie TBH, it is probably the only "reason" that may have, from Putin's view, at least some coherence. However it is mostly a flawed argument, since NATO has not invaded any country. In fact, many countries did not support US stance on Iraq other than US a a few lightweights.

I am still wondering if there is out there a system of early nuclear interception that works in a 300 or so km range from the launch point. That could explain all the fuss about security.

Fair enough, it may be not a lie in the sense that Putin et al may honestly believe it, but the fact is that no one wants to fight Russia. A resource-rich country with nuclear weapons... it's in everyone's best interest for it to be stable and friendly, so much so that even in the face of aggression (like 2008 in Georgia and 2014 in Ukraine) the rest of the world was like "nah, Putin's actually a good guy and if we buy enough gas from him, everything will be fine".

As for interception... considering that NATO deployed Patriots only in Romania (AFAIK) in the 20+ years since the expansion eastward began, and it was Romanians buying it, not NATO "donating" it, doesn't seem like it was a huge concern, at least not geographically. Now probably NATO will stack missile defence three rows deep along the entire border, again a great victory for the geopolitical genius Vladimir Vladimirovich.
NATO's strategy is to get closer to Russia and thus reduce the reaction time for the Russian missile defense system. Russia's strategy is to have a significant advantage in the means of delivering nuclear weapons, by increasing the range and speed of missiles. NATO and Russia are both quite successful in their strategies, but whose strategy is more effective I hope I will never know in practice.

In simple words, Russian missiles are now so fast and long-range that NATO does not have adequate countermeasures. They can fly over the North Pole, bypassing NATO missile defense systems, they can even fly over the South Pole. This is if we are talking about land-based missiles, and Russia's nuclear triad also includes sea- and air-based missiles, which are on constant combat duty....And Russia has missiles two to three times faster than Kinzhal, as well as the S-500 missile defense system, capable of intercepting hypersonic missiles...

You seem to be a sane person, but you eat all sorts of shit and don’t even wince. Tank special forces on a minibus lol. Grin

Of course, Russian soldiers on a minu-bus, ridiculous lol... what is going to be next? Them trying to scape a drone in a Lada ... that cannot be!

If NATO wanted to have nukes at less than 500 miles from Moscow, it would be perfectly possible already. Vilnus is quite close....

False, Russia has no capability to intercept hypersonic missiles.

On the nuclear threat, the existing S-400 missile stands some chance of stopping an small number of warheads if placed in large numbers and very close to the warheads targets. S-500 at most can intercept short range ballistic missiles and there are only very costly few units (I wonder how will they be produced without semiconductors in the future). Russia does not have an advantage on NW delivery platforms by sea or air. The North Pole and the South Pole are there for everyone to use - confers zero advantage. A hypersonic missile, as of now, can deliver one warhead at mid-range only, as opposed to ICBM that can deliver multiple (even 40) warheads both real and decoy.

EDITED TO CORRECT: S-400 can at most intercept short range ballistic missiles, other than re-entry stage ICMB warheads with low certainty.

In sum, there is no Russian weapon that can protect a large city from a determined attack. I am not aware of US having one either, I am just suspecting that THAAD is not all there is.

The argument of Putin trying to avoid nukes in close proximity is completely flawed, that ship has already sailed (like the Moskva). Putin psychologically, is a gangster. He understand only the language of threats and intimidation and somehow he is convinced that his intimidation power is reduced if UKR joins NATO. But I am wondering, what is the real underlying strategic issue behind the war. It could be:

- Nuking to close to Russia would backfire. Russia would be affected. Having Ukraine between Russia and NATO makes a nuclear threat more credible.
- There is some interception system in NATO that is not widely known but could potentially work in early launch stages.

An the reason I think is correct, and that battle is lost with Finland joining NATO: Putin's Russia cannot economically defend a very large border with NATO at the same time as with China and control the extremists in Georgia and Syria. Unfortunately, he got most of this wrong.



2009  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 12, 2022, 10:50:56 PM
...

You miss the point entirely. Anybody can predict this or that about Trump and any future. But since Trump isn't the POTUS, those predictions don't matter one bit.

What matters? The thing that matters is that Biden is POTUS, and all the bad things Trump naysayers predicted about Trump are happening under Biden... and probably worse.

Cool

I can live with Trump politics and I can live with Biden's. The problem is how Trump tends to communicate and respond to criticism by trying to shoot anyone opposing. Seriously, even getting near to supporting a mob assaulting the congress would have been science fiction before him.

No, you have stated that the Russian invasion would have not happened with Trump. That is a quite bold guess. My guess is that it would have happened anyway, but due to his "experience" with Ukraine and his narcissistic personality it would have ended either letting Putin take Ukraine or on a full scale NATO intervention with a clear risk of nuclear war. Your guess, my guess. And now, guess who is going to sleep.  
2010  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [report]Rov V Wade overturned on: May 12, 2022, 09:25:35 PM
...

Belgium
Na de termijn van twaalf weken kan de zwangerschap onder de voorwaarden bepaald onder het 1°, b), het 2° en het 3° slechts worden afgebroken, indien het voltooien van de zwangerschap een ernstig gevaar inhoudt voor de gezondheid van de vrouw of indien vaststaat dat het kind dat geboren zal worden, zal lijden aan een uiterst zware kwaal die als ongeneeslijk wordt erkend op het ogenblik van de diagnose. In dat geval moet de arts tot wie de vrouw zich heeft gewend, de medewerking vragen van een tweede arts, wiens advies bij het dossier moet worden gevoegd.

Sweden
Kan det antas att havandeskapet på grund av sjukdom eller kroppsfelhos kvinnan medför allvarlig fara för hennes liv eller hälsa, får Socialstyrel-sen lämna tillstånd till avbrytande av havandeskap efter utgången av artondehavandeskapsveckan och oavsett hur långt havandeskapet framskridit.

...

I could not have said it better. I mean, literally can't.
2011  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 12, 2022, 09:09:42 PM
...

 Russia knows what works in war and what doesn't.
...

I will give you half a point on this one. Russia does know what doesn't - is just that they keep on doing it.

One question is, can you counterfeit Russian Rubles in large scale quantities? Since you can steal a presidential election electronically, can you steal Russian gas with electronically manufactured counterfeit Russian Rubles?

If Trump were in office, there would be no war in the Ukraine. There would be peace, and the US wouldn't be destroying itself and taking much of Europe along in that destruction... as Biden is doing to us right now.


European gas importers quietly surrender to Russia and begin buying gas in RUBLES… while the West’s economic warfare scheme disastrously BACKFIRES


...

The West is quietly surrendering to Russia, as the Kremlin holds oil and fertilizer as leverage over the West. At the same time, the Biden regime is threatening to send more U.S. weapons and military equipment (up to $20 billion worth) to Azov, the Nazi brigades fighting in Ukraine.

...

With Trump we would be now using white suits and gas masks all over the globe.

What the real news is:
Quote
Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi said European companies will be able to pay for gas in rubles without breaching sanctions, apparently dismissing European Union guidance to the contrary.

So the minister of Italy says something, which is "can" and you take it as Europe saying yes? You have open the box, now add 1 +1 here.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/exclusive-eu-considering-curbing-russias-rights-imf-over-invasion-sources-2022-03-04/

Quote
European Union officials are examining curbing Russia's influence and access to finance at the International Monetary Fund following its invasion of Ukraine, six officials told Reuters.

https://www.ft.com/content/2aef066b-3cdb-49c2-9258-38575b4ad799

Quote
The proposals will be published next week, as EU leaders rush to break their dependence on Russian oil and gas following President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. The commission has already said it thought the EU could drive down Russian gas imports by two-thirds this year and has urged member states to replenish their gas storage facilities ahead of next winter.

Keep hold of those Roubles very hard, put them under your blanket. They will go up right? What could go wrong?


So you think you know what some imaginary future would have been with Trump, right? We're seeing YOUR Trump future being played out by Biden right now. And all the evidences of Trump in the past showed a Peacemaker who made America stronger.

On the other hand, what Putin can do or not do is questionable. Are the reports of his nuclear capabilities in the waters around the world true? If they are, you might destroy Russia, but the cost would be so bad that you might as well simply kill yourself. Trump would never have let the situation go to the point where Putin might get scared enough to use his nukes.

And Russia... Russia only needs one more thing to win everything... PEOPLE. Russia owns Siberia, and Siberia has so much material wealth that they don't need anything from the rest of the world.

Furthermore, Russia has the history of the world just like all the other governments do. Communications around the world have provided this knowledge of the past to everyone. Russia knows what works in war and what doesn't. They know what holds a nation together and what doesn't. They know how to appease their people to get them to willingly work for their homeland (unlike Lenin and Stalin and the Bolsheviks). Biden knows this all, as well. But we don't see Biden endearing any average Americans to his ways.

Russia has everything to gain and nothing to lose in a game of standing up to the rest of the world. If Russia's hand is forced, we all go back to the middle ages, or the stone age.


Well, it certainly seems that YOU can make YOUR bold assumptions, but I am not granted that opportunity. Very typical of a Trump supporter. Anyway, Trump is not the POTUS and there is another thread in politics where you can rant as much as you like.

You may want to read about the scenarios that are built around the possibility of using nuclear weapons. While it is something that I would not like to test, it is not an immediately "all nukes in", there is escalation and chances to stop. Again, there are YOUR bold assumptions, that cannot be wrong because they are inspired by your God (Trump I assume).

Your argument about Russia being a country that could be fully autonomous industrially is right in the principle. The USSR was quite disconnected (apart from the COMECON, which was not of much use). The problem is that the rest of the world is perfectly able to grow faster by commerce, growing on the exchanges of strengths, etc... Which is one of the reasons why the USSR disintegrated, despite having all natural resources at their disposal.

As simple as this, interconnexion creates competitivity and markets, autarky brings corruption, kleptocracy, inefficiency and the inability of keeping up with an adversary. Again, many of those traits exist in Russia and that is why it has been unable to bring more countries into its sphere of influence pacifically and the reason why Ukraine is being invaded.

So now even if Russia is doing steps to protect its national security, you consider it threat?

LOL

I consider the "national security" bullshit a lie.
...

I am not sure it is a lie TBH, it is probably the only "reason" that may have, from Putin's view, at least some coherence. However it is mostly a flawed argument, since NATO has not invaded any country. In fact, many countries did not support US stance on Iraq other than US a a few lightweights.

I am still wondering if there is out there a system of early nuclear interception that works in a 300 or so km range from the launch point. That could explain all the fuss about security.


2012  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 12, 2022, 02:25:41 PM
Gonzalo Lira (independent journalist in the Ukraine) - Poland will invade Western Ukraine
https://www.bitchute.com/video/hKh831Kof9sZ/

...

Suuuure... count on that and repeat with me "I am safe... I am safe..."

As I (and some others) see it, the Jockeying at this point is centered around who gets Odessa.  A land-bridge would be a pretty sweet plumb in the pudding for the Russians since it implies much more defensible gas line routes for their product (and a lot more rubles coming in in exchange for said product.)  OTOH, certain security arrangements with those who end up in control of the re-born 'der tchum-ha-moyshev' could achieve the same effect and their could be a lot of political reasons (e.g., 'technology transfers' and such) to go that way.

...

Yes, there is plenty going on at Odessa. Russ ships sunk, troops unable to even get to Mykolaiv, no way of using Snake Island to launch and attack... If you intend to deviate the attention from Belgorod, you have just chosen the "right spot".

You could as well choosen Findland. Do you think Poland will also invade Finland? Another 1340 km of frontier with NATO coming soon. And people laughed when I said that Putin may be a CIA agent... you cannot do it worse.

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/05/12/europe/finland-leaders-join-nato-intl/index.html

And of course Putin does the only thing he know: Threaten. There is no winner to this war other than US, thank to your chief Psychos and you lame leader.

One question is, can you counterfeit Russian Rubles in large scale quantities? Since you can steal a presidential election electronically, can you steal Russian gas with electronically manufactured counterfeit Russian Rubles?

If Trump were in office, there would be no war in the Ukraine. There would be peace, and the US wouldn't be destroying itself and taking much of Europe along in that destruction... as Biden is doing to us right now.


European gas importers quietly surrender to Russia and begin buying gas in RUBLES… while the West’s economic warfare scheme disastrously BACKFIRES


...

The West is quietly surrendering to Russia, as the Kremlin holds oil and fertilizer as leverage over the West. At the same time, the Biden regime is threatening to send more U.S. weapons and military equipment (up to $20 billion worth) to Azov, the Nazi brigades fighting in Ukraine.

...

With Trump we would be now using white suits and gas masks all over the globe.

What the real news is:
Quote
Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi said European companies will be able to pay for gas in rubles without breaching sanctions, apparently dismissing European Union guidance to the contrary.

So the minister of Italy says something, which is "can" and you take it as Europe saying yes? You have open the box, now add 1 +1 here.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/exclusive-eu-considering-curbing-russias-rights-imf-over-invasion-sources-2022-03-04/

Quote
European Union officials are examining curbing Russia's influence and access to finance at the International Monetary Fund following its invasion of Ukraine, six officials told Reuters.

https://www.ft.com/content/2aef066b-3cdb-49c2-9258-38575b4ad799

Quote
The proposals will be published next week, as EU leaders rush to break their dependence on Russian oil and gas following President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. The commission has already said it thought the EU could drive down Russian gas imports by two-thirds this year and has urged member states to replenish their gas storage facilities ahead of next winter.

Keep hold of those Roubles very hard, put them under your blanket. They will go up right? What could go wrong?
2013  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: El Salvador – Balance actual del contravalor de los BTCs comprados on: May 11, 2022, 11:18:52 PM
Sólo para actualizar el balance de BTC comprados por parte del gobierno de El Salvador: De los 1391 BTCs que teníamos en el balance según un post mío más arriba, cabría añadirle:

410 BTCs comprados en Enero 2022
500 BTCs comprados ayer

Con estas compras, el balance actual es de 2.301 BTCs, aún en pérdidas como es de esperar, y con voces augurando un impago  más pronto que tarde …


Nah... si quiebra quebrara por muchas cosas pero no por algo de fluctuacion del bitcoin. Dicho de otra forma: no tenian nada que perder.
2014  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 11, 2022, 11:02:32 PM
Edited to update: Seems like UKR is obtaining some territorial gains in the northeast near Kharkiv. Not an strategic advance to see, but it shows that Putin's army cannot really hold all the occupied territory without unacceptable loses.

Belgorod is now within artillery range.


Your source.
 
Quote
Russia was our friend and ally in the procurement of weapons in the early 1990s. The Russians supplied us with weapons at the request of France. I am a witness to that - says Marin Tomulić in the conversation we had on Wednesday in Paris. - Now it is considered that the Russians were and remain allies of the Serbs. But during the Homeland War, they armed us, not the Serbs - he adds.

Your source states that Russia sent or sold weapons at the request of France - let's say that is accepted. But, you are ignoring the direct intervention of USA in the conflict in 1999. It was not until this intervention ramped up that the war had a end in sight. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yugoslav_Wars#Timeline

I can see you are looking at only the half of the story - the one that reinforces your views.

What kind of evidence do you need? That Azov militants wear SS chevrons, torture and kill captured Russian soldiers? That the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine use the houses of civilians as ammunition depots and firing points? That the provocation in Bucha was staged, filmed with professional film equipment and sewn with white thread? Are you sure that there is not enough evidence in this topic and are you ready to adequately perceive new ones?

You know perfectly well that Russia does not recognise the Azov troops as soldiers, but has classed them as terrorist. If Putin does not intend to give them the rights of fighting soldiers (not that he seems to care much for these anyway) why all this complaints about them doing this or that?

Either they are soldiers in which case all that tatoo checking, filtration, questioning and torturing by Russia is a crime or they are not soldiers in which case you cannot complain about them theoretically not acting under the rules of war.

Apart from blatant lies, you do not even seem to pretend to have equanimity at all.

2015  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 11, 2022, 09:16:37 PM
he has video evidence

You linked to a youtube video of him talking about it. That's not "video evidence".

He means "that kind of evidence", I think I need to manufacture a word for it ... "notvidence"..."schproof"..."lie-vidence"... "miss-proof".
2016  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 11, 2022, 09:00:09 PM
Us in Croatia have similar problem, WW2 quislings are in power and try to
undermine any traces of antifascism left...we're ashamed of Marshal Tito
been a Croat, imagine that

What kind of nonsense are you talking about, aren't the children of the worst communists in power since the existence of independent Croatia? See who was the fathers of the current prime minister and this communist fool of the president who shames the state with every statement he makes.

Tito is one of the greatest criminals in history and anyone who still considers him a positivist should be ashamed. 400 000 Croats killed after WW2 are no myth, but you obviously studied history in some other schools. I am ashamed that people like you declare themselves Croats, and we know very well who you really are...

@Paxmao

See? Do you need more proof? Same going on in Ukraine
people like Lucius hate Russia because it sold us weapons so we could kick Milosevic ass

Are you sure that it was Russia who helped kicking Milosevic out?

Quote
After the London Conference, NATO planned an aggressive new air campaign against the Bosnian Serbs. On August 28, 1995, Serb forces launched a mortar shell at the Sarajevo marketplace killing 37 people. Admiral Leighton Smith, the NATO commander recommended that NATO launch retaliatory air strikes under Operation Deliberate Force.[12] On August 30, 1995, NATO officially launched Operation Deliberate Force with large-scale bombing of Serb targets. The bombing lasted until September 20, 1995 and involved attacks on 338 individual targets.

On regards to Titus, for me has the same level of respectability as any other despot. In my book that's below zero.
2017  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 11, 2022, 09:17:37 AM
Edited to add: This is described as a T90. One single hit and looks artillery since there is no missile trail and the guys were not in movement? Nothing alive came out - Please, do not die like this for Putin!

https://youtu.be/fPyHkrRDHgg?t=8

Quote
Ukraine will almost certainly get Western precision-guided rounds as part of the package. The American-developed M982 and M982A1 Excalibur artillery shells can home in on a set of GPS coordinates, and unlike artillery of the past, can hit a target with the first round. Excalibur is so precise, the U.S. Army claims, it will hit within two meters of the target “regardless of range.”

However, it is a completely different thing how the tanks react to a hit. At first, they are unlikely to know if it is artillery, a drone, an MANPAD or a Stugna-P or even a land mine. However, no matter what it is, the only thing that is clearly wrong is to sit in there. Tactical Cannon Fodder sent there by a soulless leadership.

These are very expensive. Not sure what the advantage is over e.g. Switchblade (speed?) but I thought it would be rare to see Excaliburs in action, maybe against juicy target like radars.

The switchblade is very cheap true, and you got a point on the Excalibur (still the cost is 1/20 of an average main battle tank and the kill is 99.9% certain in such an open terrain). The 300 cannot deal with a proper tank / APC and I do not know if UKR got the 600's. Even the 600 may not give full certainty of kill when hitting a modern main battletank. Also, their flight time is limited, so they are to be used when there is certainty of finding a target within their range (artillery would normally have more range). Lastly, they are slow.

To be honest, the simplest explanation may be that artillery was there and switchblades were not. I would like to see an weapons analyst take a good look at this video, I guess it will happen at some point.

100 km? Are you sure? Anyway, yes these are modern artillery and there seems to be very good geoloc passed to them. Now that I think of it, they may have used NATO guided shells, specific for this smaller targets. That would explain the amazing precision. They do not look like the shells that can actually kill 2 tanks with one round.

One of my local newspaper portals claims that this is possible with a projectile BAE MS-SGP. Translated with GT.

Quote
...

Moreover, 100 km can be achieved with the new BAE MS-SGP projectile (Multi Service-Standard Guided Projectile). The first version of the M777 howitzer had only an optical, and the M777A1 version a digital fire control system. The latest version of the M777A2 has upgraded software so it can fire Excalibur missiles and has been in constant use since 2007.
...
It may be interesting to note that there is speculation that the total number of howitzers is about 90, with as many as 144 000 missiles/rounds. If each howitzer had only 2 successful hits each week, it's not hard to calculate what that means on a monthly basis.

So in essence the howis can fire guided missiles and reach 100 km.... interesting. By taking a look at the current map, Kherson is 100% in that range from Mykolaiv. In Russian territory Belgorod is fully in range for Kharkiv. Even less sophisticated stuff could reach the 50km between the border and Belgorod. A pity the missile launching positions in Crimea are not in that range.

Quote
Ukraine will almost certainly get Western precision-guided rounds as part of the package. The American-developed M982 and M982A1 Excalibur artillery shells can home in on a set of GPS coordinates, and unlike artillery of the past, can hit a target with the first round. Excalibur is so precise, the U.S. Army claims, it will hit within two meters of the target “regardless of range.”

However, it is a completely different thing how the tanks react to a hit. At first, they are unlikely to know if it is artillery, a drone, an MANPAD or a Stugna-P or even a land mine. However, no matter what it is, the only thing that is clearly wrong is to sit in there. Tactical Cannon Fodder sent there by a soulless leadership.

These are very expensive. Not sure what the advantage is over e.g. Switchblade (speed?) but I thought it would be rare to see Excaliburs in action, maybe against juicy target like radars.

Especially combating T72's, where the crew is practically sitting right on their ammo. These could be fought easily and on the cheap using older, unguided anti-tank-weapons. They need closer distance, though, which is not the most favourite in face of an army that tries to break the world record in war crimes.

The 72's are "easy" to kill compared to others, but they are tanks. If you see them, they see you. There is an interview with the guy that was with Waly the Canadian sniper that speaks about tanks being spotted but out of range of Javs and actually them being spotted by a tank and shot at.

Javs are great for intimidation (keeping Russ tank officers inside their turrets and thus less "aware"), for urban warfare and to provide infantry with some means of defence against armour. Older AT's... that is a bit of a last resource in open field.
2018  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 11, 2022, 12:11:15 AM
Interesting stuff about Chief of the General Staff of Russian ARmy Vladimir Gerasimov. He wasn't seen on 9th May parade yesterday:
https://www.newsweek.com/valery-gerasimov-russian-general-victory-day-parade-missing-1704798
There is one possibilty that when he visited Izyum in Ukraine, he was wounded and now in hospital. But there is another prediction that Putin removed him from this position.

A single remote message with information that has not been confirmed does not make the entire channel an unreliable source. With this approach, you will not have any sources at all.
It's not just single message, it's regular thing. There is even rumour that some Russian media isn't allowed to quote Kadyrov without permission from above:
https://rus.ozodi.org/a/31835983.html

Ooops... I took me a while to realise. Snake Island will be used as the bait for the Russian navy in the B.S. There is no intention to "re -capture" in the short term, just to make it look like it could actually be captured and destroy anything getting near by. Quite strategic giving it's proximity to Romania and other countries in the Balcans. Short of a Cuba.
Something like Chornobaivka, right? But in general, I don't think that strategically Snake Island is most imporant object for both sides.

Not the most, that would be Odessa and the south coast. However, this island is very close to NATO. I admit that is nightmare to defend so what I am saying may just not be realistic.
2019  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2000 Mules on: May 10, 2022, 09:19:25 PM
You could have a judge rule that Biden lost the election and democrats would still claim it wasn’t true.

Except "a judge" didn't rule so. If there was such a ruling, like e.g. in 2000 - Trump would be president and it wouldn't matter what "democrats" or "media" are saying.

Luckily elections aren't decided by movies.

The size of a conspiracy that would fake results country-wide, make all judges silent, all media silent... You know, it would take so many people and so much support that it would actually mean that more of half of the US supported Biden.  Grin
2020  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 10, 2022, 08:48:50 PM
Ooops... I took me a while to realise. Snake Island will be used as the bait for the Russian navy in the B.S. There is no intention to "re -capture" in the short term, just to make it look like it could actually be captured and destroy anything getting near by. Quite strategic giving it's proximity to Romania and other countries in the Balcans. Short of a Cuba.

Income potential for the Ukrainian postal service too.

The island is quite small though. I wonder what happens when it's all covered in imaginary downed Bayraktars. I hope it warps through a wormhole into the Red Square.


Is the perfect size for an early alert radar, six to eight S-400 batteries and, given the need, a few nuclear silos.

It is also the perfect size for an early alert radar, a couple of Patriot batteries and, given the need, a THAAD or some form of earlier interceptor.

Now that we are talking about it... Putin may not be as worried about having nukes near his territory, but rather having a possible current secret or future system of early interception of Nukes. Nukes are very difficult to intercept, in the late stage we are talking objects of 1m diameter going a several times the speed of sound and accelerating at several G's. In the early stage this may actually be possible. I am guessing a lot here but... could be the case.

There seems to be much doubt on the tank group on what to do, something like "hey looks like Boris's been hit. Let's stop right here, to present a better target ourselves".

These howitzers have a range of 24 km up to 100 km depending on the charge they use. You can hardly escape being hit in the open, and since there are mostly inexperienced soldiers in armored vehicles/tanks, they are very easy targets. If you watched the video then you can see that some tanks are trying to go forward, but one was destroyed in motion (2:50), while only a few were saved by returning to the shelter of the settlements they passed through before.

With the fact that more and more smart weapons are coming into the hands of Ukrainians and that they are being trained to use them, Russia's losses will be greater than before.

100 km? Are you sure? Anyway, yes these are modern artillery and there seems to be very good geoloc passed to them. Now that I think of it, they may have used NATO guided shells, specific for this smaller targets. That would explain the amazing precision. They do not look like the shells that can actually kill 2 tanks with one round.

Quote
Ukraine will almost certainly get Western precision-guided rounds as part of the package. The American-developed M982 and M982A1 Excalibur artillery shells can home in on a set of GPS coordinates, and unlike artillery of the past, can hit a target with the first round. Excalibur is so precise, the U.S. Army claims, it will hit within two meters of the target “regardless of range.”

However, it is a completely different thing how the tanks react to a hit. At first, they are unlikely to know if it is artillery, a drone, an MANPAD or a Stugna-P or even a land mine. However, no matter what it is, the only thing that is clearly wrong is to sit in there. Tactical Cannon Fodder sent there by a soulless leadership.
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