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1621  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 09, 2022, 08:35:47 AM
I will say a few words about the "barrage of fire" tactics, which the allied forces of Russia and the LDNR used to break into the fortified areas in Avdiivka. This is an old trick from the times of the First World War, which the Russian Army masters to perfection. To use it successfully, you need good logistics, because you will need to spend a huge amount of artillery shells and multiple launch rocket systems. Russia is now spending about 5,000 tons of artillery shells per day in Ukraine on the use of a "barrage of fire" (not counting high-precision missiles). For each unarmored target in the Donbass, 300-500 shells are spent. After such artillery preparation, assault detachments with the support of armored vehicles go into battle, usually formed according to the national principle (Tuvans, Buryats, Chechens, etc.), which use their native language in radio communications, which provides additional protection against radio interception. If the assault squads meet strong resistance, they move back and artillery again works on the identified positions. Such tactics make it possible to successfully advance without numerical superiority and with minimal losses (but with an increased consumption of artillery shells).

That's why 50 or even 100 HIMARS can't turn the tide of this operation. Russia can concentrate 10-15 divisions of howitzers and MLRS on a small sector of the front, and they plow everything with cheap shells and unguided rockets. And Ukraine can oppose only 1-2 divisions, which, moreover, are forced to hide from drones and high-precision missiles. The success of the operation to liberate Donbass is not a matter of strategy or tactics, it is a matter of logistics and timing.

Nothing new. RF shelling with 60's equipment and "conquering" a land of rubble. There are several things that you got wrong:

- HIMARS is precisely there to fuck up those logistics you describe and with just 4 of them, high value targets have been destroyed. It is clear to anyone that the pace of the offensive has slowed.
- RF can concentrate troops... at the cost of leaving other areas dangerously undefended. There are tiny advances from Ukraine in the South. In themselves they do not mean much, but the fact that there's actually any advance should give you food for thought on how strong the grip on the invaded lands is.

But the biggest caveat is that the tactic is slow and costly. RF cannot maintain and army working at that pace for a long period of time under economic sanctions and certainly will need to convince many of joining an army that has a reputation for not giving a F*k for their soldiers and sending then unprepared and untrained.

Regarding "high precision"... nothing to be shown for that. The technical weaponry exists, but is so limited that makes zero effect. Ukraine has always been ready for air raids and missiles and use the right tactics to minimise the effects of these.

Overall, there is nothing like a "winning strategy" going on at all.
1622  Economy / Gambling / Re: around 1.6 billion people worldwide gamble, What about a poker gamefi?? on: August 09, 2022, 08:24:24 AM
There is a whole world of gambling, events and information built around poker, namely texas hold'em being the widely known one. Tournaments of all levels - legal and illegal, formal and informal, serious or for fun are already out there. It is going to be very difficult to find something to add to that ecosystem that creates and attracts the right numbers and quality if you start from scratch.
1623  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Real most rewarding Crypto Casino? on: August 09, 2022, 08:21:07 AM
There cannot be a single answer to this question because each of the casinos, particularly on-line where there is virtually unlimited levels of competence among the platforms, have to specialise in some of the games. Slots casinos have a hard time competing and you cannot just do it by giving away the earnings, so specialisation, change and variety make the concept of "best one" very changing.
1624  Economy / Gambling / Re: A New Era for Betting - (After Corona Circumstances) on: August 09, 2022, 08:18:44 AM
To all those who think online betting will never overshadow the physical ones, worry no more! Things are changing and the trend is showing that all the betting sites now have their own online platforms....

You are right about the trend, Corona has reconfigured the social relations and the way people do things and now there is a return to the social component and the physical meeting of people vs the virtual enjoyment. However, that reconfiguration has been important in the sense that many of the ones who have tried betting on-line do now have a taste for it.
1625  Economy / Gambling / Re: I want to make a telegram live betting group… on: August 09, 2022, 08:16:29 AM

I kinda like community to share and chat around you know, everyone discuss about their games and what to bet and all. So eitherway, i’ve created a telegram group for sports and casino betting discussion. Give me some advice and opinion to better improve my group… it will be good for you all to be part of it too.  Grin

https://t.me/sportsliveforum

I took a look to your telegram group and I must say it is more inactive than it should be, considering it has about 50 members (I am assuming those are real people). If you want a suggestion, I trink it would be a good idea to find some strategies to make people to engage in conversation/ discussion, maybe have some small events about personal predictions if possible you could even offer a small reward for the user who make a correct prediction; because the inactivity is something every newcomer will notice and could be a reason for them not to join.

Also, no scammer has interacted with me yet so far, so it is good. let us see how long it lasts.

I am not sure of the utility of any telegram group that does not have at least 1000 members. In most groups the percent of active users (and this is not just for telegram, but for many other groups, even not just those over the internet), is 5% on average. Sometimes, for topics that are very hot and generate involvement with rewards and community management activities it can get higher, but you have to account for this when sizing.
1626  Economy / Gambling / Re: The History Of Gambling. on: August 09, 2022, 08:14:00 AM
The history of gambling has been interpreted in many ways. Gambling is said to have originated from ancient times. At that time, the more people got together, the prevalence of gambling increased. At that moment there was no recognized place for gambling where gamblers could come together to play. Venice in Italy fills that gap. The city authorities there opened the world's first casino in 1638 called 'Casino di Venezia'. But this casino was opened only during the festival. could legally gamble there. In this way gambling was spreading ‍at that time.

Gambling in the sense of waging something of value against other stuff considered of value for a result that is uncertain is probably previous to even formal writing. It only requires a very basic communication and it can be done pretty much in with anything... rain, a crop, the fall of a coin or any event out there that has the potential to create a "prediction market". The key is the uncertainty of the result.
1627  Economy / Economics / Re: Can the US become EU's oil supplier?? on: August 09, 2022, 08:10:53 AM
It is already a supplier as far as I know, the problem with US oil is that is not going to be as cheap as other sources that are more readily available and can be extracted at a cheaper cost. The fracking process requires continuous CAPEX investments that are much larger than those required for conventional oil. Despite the major "easy" fields have been used up, there is still much better quality and price outside US.
1628  Economy / Economics / Re: ECB - Towards the holy grail of cross-border payments on: August 07, 2022, 11:48:15 PM
All quite debatable, but I think that they are simply building the argument to create something that is radically different from bitcoin to be used as digital currencies in EU. All arguments are partial and not very well thought. Bitcoin uses plenty of energy to secure the network, true, but no more than centralised payment networks. Overall this is just another opinion.
1629  Economy / Economics / Re: Henan Bank decides to use citizens money for investment on: August 07, 2022, 11:40:04 PM
Imagine a situation where you have worked for your money and put in the bank but at the end of the day can't access them simply because your government decided that it would be the best fund to cater for development of the country!! That's the rude awakening citizens of the Henan village of China got.

This is how most custodians of any assets make their money - they lend out your assets to others.

It's not limited to banking as it's done by most stock exchanges and billions too.



The tanks are probably more unique to China but a lot of countries have militarised police.

Yes and no. After the 2008 crisis, investment banking and commercial banking were separated, so yes, you can lend, but you cannot do whatever you want with it. Also, banks are limited in their lending and they have to pass certain tests (in US and EU) precisely to make sure they do not lend to the point that they cannot honour the deposits.

The situation as described is very clear: A bank has your funds, but you cannot withdraw them - that is in essence the definition of a bank going under (bankrupt). It does not matter if they say that it is going in "investment" or that is being used to save grannies from floods - you are able to get your money whenever you want from a typical account.

Now, the excuse of it being used for "government investment" does not make any sense. If it is used for "investment" then the depositaries should benefit from it. It is not usual to see the Chinese protesting, so there must be something really ugly going on.

1630  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Hungarian PM Viktor Orban the hero of US Conservatives on: August 07, 2022, 11:32:36 PM

source

On Thursday during the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Dallas, Texas the US conservatives cheered Hungarian PM Viktor Orban. Orban is a die-hard supporter of Putin and is seen as the black sheep of NATO and the EU because he is always opposing sanctions on Russia. Generally seen as autocrat who has banned the teaching LGBTQ topics in schools and criticised creating peoples of ”mixed-race”.

But among the US conservatives he is seen as a role model and a freedom fighter, fighting for  the future of Western civilisation. Just like Donald Trump's, Orban is their hero regardless of their perceived political and social excesses.


https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/5/us-republicans-cheer-hungarian-pm-viktor-orban-at-conference


Interesting, the conservatives tend to like the one guy that is the closest to a RF infiltrate in the EU, that got its country frequently sanctioned for lack of respect to some basic rights and for going well away from democratic principles. It may be the effect of the Trump sequestration of the US Republican party for his own means that brings this type of "leader" to be a role model.
1631  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 07, 2022, 11:14:02 PM
Ah whataboutism, there's no hypocrisy or double standard that it cannot justify. Weren't you taught that whataboutism cannot apply when creating laws? And is actually called discrimination in law. But i must agree it's a convenient tool to prevent population from questioning any and all laws.

When one country invades and the other says "we don't want your books anymore" it's absurd to claim "discrimination". Come on, master of whataboutism, find us some historic analogy. Like Russian imports of German books during WWII.

If your logic leads you to the following conclusion, think it's safe to say that you're on the wrong side of the argument:
Masha and the Bear = brainwashing children, needs to be censored, require exceptions to import
Mein kampf = totally fine for unlimited circulation without age restriction

That's your conclusion, not sure why you're ascribing that to me. I'm sure there are many bad books issued in countries that Ukraine has good relationships with. I never argued otherwise. It's a tangent that doesn't mean anything in the context of restricting book imports from a country they're at war with.


Certainly the whole argument is ridiculous. Is like asking Israel to make Mein Kampf compulsory reading at school or making Carl Marx a compulsory reading at Texans schools. They somehow keep on insisting that Ukraine should actually be praising and chanting about the main language of the state that is trying to annihilate them. Senseless at all point.
1632  Economy / Economics / Re: Crude Oil drops below $100 on: August 05, 2022, 01:07:41 AM
Interesting thing to see, oil does not have any particular reason other than being summer, so it may be just an seasonal effect that does not matter for the long term forecast. However, it is clear that there are years of underinvestment in oil production ant the ESG tendency is not helping to raise production. We are maybe trying to be green all the sudden.
1633  Economy / Economics / Re: Social media, now looking more for business than for socializing. on: August 05, 2022, 01:06:04 AM
Do you think social media is now becoming more a place for business than socializing, Could it be as a result of digitalization and things moving online or more people now starting business online because of need to somehow generate income or another source of income for self to survive the economic situations which is becoming tougher?



That is what they are trying that is for certain, social selling and using it as a multi-channel that you just cannot do without. For example, can many  afford not to be in the internet ... have no presence? The answer is not really, even those very reluctant. Zuky's dream is to have that same relevance to the people in terms of bein the place to get clients, care for them an sell.
1634  Economy / Economics / Re: Are we hodling BTC or we are hodling Fiat?? on: August 05, 2022, 01:03:56 AM
I am holding both TBH, but bitcoin is jsut a part of it and it is on hold like... forever, for my grandchildren to sell if they need it in 100 years Smiley I am serious about the long term holding and fiat with this rate of inflation across the main economies of the world is like a burning ember that makes you want to get rid of it. |The extreme cases are ilustrative of this: Turkye, Venezuela, ... people buy durable goods.
1635  Economy / Economics / Re: EU countries agree deal to cut use of gas this winter on: August 05, 2022, 01:00:42 AM
BTW, I checked the live gas prices from EU, and right now, they are trading at around $2,000 per thousand cubic meters. Two years ago, natural gas was trading at less than $100 per thousand cubic meters.
Two dollars per cubic meter of gas at the hub is already very expensive. To heat a medium-sized house in winter with a gas boiler, you need to burn about 500 cubic meters of gas per month. I think many households in Europe will need subsidies to cope with heating and electricity bills.

For Europe this means turning the heat from 23C to 19C, that is a saving of 25% and that is all the "pressure" that the people are going to feel for this matter. It is much worse the effect in industry so EUs mitigations will drive the resources available towards the industry and use other energies to heat homes.

That is only true for a few nations though, UK, Spain, Italy, France... they won't notice much other than price.
1636  Economy / Economics / Re: Where should I invest? on: August 05, 2022, 12:47:54 AM
We have to regulate investments in various sectors including gold investment, so it is not recommended that all funds be invested in cryptocurrencies because market fluctuations are not effective for very high-risk investments. My main strategy is to invest with low risk and allocate crypo investments with the lowest value compared to gold and other investments.

I think it’s wise to always diversify on your investments. You can’t have it all bad with diversification as it involves spreading out your investments into various areas. If you put all your investments into cryptocurrencies and that sector happen to have a loss, then you’ve lost out. On the other hand, if you’re smart enough to invest in other things as well as the cryptocurrencies, then you may certainly get a good return on investment. There are other investment opportunities out there aside cryptocurrencies that would yield interest if wisely invested in. I think it’s never advisable to put all your eggs into one basket.



For crypto right now the market is all linked and it may not offer the chances for diversification as it used to do in the past. Despite bitcin falling strongly during the last few months, it does not seem to be different from other chains, so there is not particular way of divesting smartly in this context. Let's see how the last bit of the year faces, but getting to 40 again... difficult.
1637  Economy / Economics / Re: U.S dollar almost equal to Euro on: August 05, 2022, 12:45:57 AM
Let's see how the USD behaves during next year, but it is very clear that the US economy has come out of the covid with just a bit of a cold meanwhile the EU economy has come out with a full blown flu. The jobs market in the US is extremely strong, and despite a technical recession, there is not a translation into the public confidence... inflation is high because people keep spending like crazyl
1638  Economy / Economics / Re: More investment in Tokamaks and hot fusion is required on: August 05, 2022, 12:25:53 AM
The most promising future energy, cheap, abundant and that may eventually be easy to produce is hot fusion energy.  https://www.iter.org
For reference: the installation is based on the tokamak system developed by Soviet scientists (Toroidal Chamber with Magnetic Coils), developed in the 50s of the last century by academicians I.E. Tamm and A.D. Sakharov.

Russia is the initiator of the ITER project.

Russia has complete design documentation for the ITER reactor.

Russia occupies one of the key positions in the implementation of the international ITER Project.

It looks like your hatred of hydrocarbons is stronger than your Russophobia. Grin

My "russophobia" does not exist other than in your imagination. I am aware that Russian nationals provided part of the theoretical basis for the hot fusion, and Nazis stablished the bases for rocketry and guidance systems but that does not seem to prevent Adolf Putin to use these to kill civilians.

Science belong to humanity, no matter who develops it.
1639  Economy / Gambling / Re: Vulnerabilities in gambling websites in past on: August 05, 2022, 12:08:39 AM
No site is ever free of vulnerabilities. If you think of it, all sites are not built from scratch, they use an OS, drivers, layers of software and millions if not billions of lines of code. And there is nothing there preventing someone from installing a backdoor or creating involuntarily a vulnerability that could potentially end with the system being attacked.
1640  Economy / Gambling / Re: A New Era for Betting - (After Corona Circumstances) on: August 04, 2022, 11:56:29 PM
Yes that is right some areas, mainly sports and prediction markets on live events in general got hit hard, however the general market did grow at a great pace because people were at home without that much to do and would rather have a good time betting than watching yet another Netflix series Smiley.  Now all that people may have liked the betting and are part of the ecosystem.
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