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1661  Economy / Economics / More investment in Tokamaks and hot fusion is required on: July 26, 2022, 01:02:08 PM
The most promising future energy, cheap, abundant and that may eventually be easy to produce is hot fusion energy.  https://www.iter.org

Quote
Fusion, the nuclear reaction that powers the Sun and the stars, is a potential source of safe, non-carbon emitting and virtually limitless energy.

This is not science fiction or, for that matter, a scam token. There are a number of projects around the world delivering quite promising results and all the citizens that have a say on how the money of their governments is spent should be demanding more funds to free humanity from fossil fuels and all the wars and climate problems that it brings.

A year ago:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jul/28/worlds-largest-nuclear-fusion-project-under-assembly-in-france
Quote
World’s largest nuclear fusion project begins assembly in France
Project aims to show clean fusion power can be generated at commercial scale

An now another opportunity to make this happen
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2327239-design-work-starts-on-european-commercial-fusion-power-station/
Quote
Design work starts on European commercial fusion power station
The EuroFusion consortium hopes its DEMOnstration Power Plant will take fusion power from the lab to commercial electricity supply by 2054

This is what we should be talking about and demanding from our leaders, instead of fighting over dinosaur juices - making 2054 be 2034.

1662  Other / Politics & Society / Re: European Union looks to Nigeria for Gas to replace Russian supplies on: July 26, 2022, 12:51:07 PM
Although this move would be quit expensive for European nations but they are desperate to gain energy freedom form Russia. This is because there are no guarantees that Russian invasion would end with Ukraine. Hence, there is an urgent need to secure the oil and gas future of Europe. Nigeria is a good alternative because the country possess enough natural and human resources but the only issue that would mar the smooth take-off and implementation of this trade partnership is corruption. Funds that would be budgeted to improve infrastructure to ensure the success of the project might end up in private accounts. EU most ensure that they carryout proper monitoring and auditing of this project if they want to get the best out of it.

The main problem is not finding a supplier and the EU trades well with many countries corrupt, despotic and anything else. Argelia has gas, the US has gas, Oman has gas...

The problem is that Germany's supply lines are built around getting a cheap supply by pipelines from Siberia. Bringing gas from overseas requires regasification facilities that take a few years to be built.

Whatever ministers from RF say, it is meaningless.

Since when did Peskov become a minister?

Officials.

...

Stupidity from EU guys has no limit. A school going kid would tell you that pipeline gas can never be replaced with LNG. On top of that they are talking about unreliable suppliers such as Nigeria. One thing is sure. After this war, the EU will be broke and it's industry will be completely destroyed. In a few years, Russia will divert their gas to China and other Asian countries and EU will still struggle to find enough supplies to keep it's industrial units running. Inflation and unemployment will reach sky high levels, and the stupid residents will still support warmongers like Green party.

You went to the wrong school. It can be replaced, it just takes time. But EU should not just do that, it should implement the true energy transition to a high level of renewables.
1663  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Finland and Sweden join NATO - Putin's plan backfiring on: July 26, 2022, 12:45:14 PM
BTW, the UK has signed a treaty with Sweden and Finland of regards to defence. RF would be silly to think EU, UK and US will just stay put.
Don't talk about Sweden and Finland joining NATO as a fait accompli. Ratification in the Turkish Parliament could be a difficult quest, given the reluctance of Finland and Sweden to comply with Turkey's demands for the extradition of the Kurds.

Yes, Turkiye's demands... yet here we are with both countries in the path to NATO and Putin deep into the mud of a war that does not seem to have an end and unable to "properly threat" after the disastrous "performance" of the RF army. A CIA agent would not have dreamed of a better scenario and better occasion for these countries to request membership.

...
NATO acceptance doesn't mean there will be any defensive help coming for some time. It could take a year for NATO activities to actually enter Sweden and Finland.

Cool

It could take a lifetime for Putin to be able to do anything about it.
1664  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 26, 2022, 12:40:08 PM
Probably this whole war is really only a method for getting rid of Nazi's in both, Russia and the Ukraine.

Cool


If I'd have to guess, I'd blame this more as actual cause of war:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hsuMW4yQT64

I love googling the guys you post youtube clips of explaining 'whats really happening'.

This guy apparently fled the country after finding himself buried in lawsuits from people he got to invest in his real estate ponzi scheme.

We can all play that game

https://www.occrp.org/en/the-pandora-papers/pandora-papers-reveal-offshore-holdings-of-ukrainian-president-and-his-inner-circle



For what I read in your "source", it says that Zelensky had his benefits from TV parked off-shore? Hardly an accusation to be honest. But yes, Ukraine is not free from corruption, but my point is that Putin is not acting against it and that has to be for a reason.

In my view, he cannot. He is not in full control of the army.
1665  Other / Politics & Society / Re: European Union looks to Nigeria for Gas to replace Russian supplies on: July 25, 2022, 10:16:08 PM
At the same time, the EU, in addition to finding new suppliers, including Nigeria, adopts a resolution on a 15% reduction in the consumption of Russian gas. For review link: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/IP_22_4608
Shame on Robert Habek: no one wants to help him save energy

Quote
The EU Commission's plan to force member states to save energy turns out to be unrealistic just hours after the announcement. A number of EU countries are categorically against the idea put forward by Germany: Greece, Portugal, Poland, Cyprus, Hungary and Spain categorically reject the plan to collectively reduce energy consumption by 15 percent.

You have forgotten to say why, but I will do it for you: All the south of Europe is absolutely independent from RF gas exports. Portugal, Spain and Italy have liquefaction capability for 100% of their own demand. Why would these countries have to save gas? They are not getting it from Putin.

In fact Italy and to a point Spain will be supplying central Europe with Algerian gas.

Where you are trying to imply dissent, there is only but caveats on Putin's plans.

Russia is not interested in stopping the export of fuel to Europe and will always be a reliable supplier, which guarantees the energy security of the EU countries "not declaratively, but de facto."
Peskov

https://ria.ru/20220725/turbina-1804747038.html

Whatever ministers from RF say, it is meaningless. They are not in control of the country and have very limited information about what is going on.
1666  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Finland and Sweden join NATO - Putin's plan backfiring on: July 25, 2022, 10:02:09 PM
Putin has threatened to take action against Finland and Sweden if they were planning to enter NATO, mentioning that there will be serious political and military consequences. Despite the entry to NATO now being official, after signatures were signed, there's a catch;

"The protocol means Helsinki and Stockholm can participate in NATO meetings and have greater access to intelligence but will not be protected by the NATO defence clause - that an attack on one ally is an attack against all - until ratification. That is likely to take up to a year."

Meaning that Sweden and Finland are still susceptible of a possible Russian attack and NATO won't interfere, since the ratification process may take up to a year to be completed. Let me also point out NATO's claims against Russia when the Ukrainian invasion started, but took no direct involvement in the war after Russia's threats. That's what also going to happen if any of these countries are attacked now.

In practice, it is nearly impossible for the RF to open a second front and much less in a year. Those "consequences" would be more credible if the RF army had demonstrated strong military capabilities or at least some degree of efficacy in the field. As of now, the strength of the RF army seems to be based in fighting close to their bases and having a huge arsenal of very old artillery and leftover munitions from the Soviet era. The more advanced weaponry and the air force are notoriously absent from the front (in a degree that would make a difference).

Any "consequence" can pretty much be matched and exceeded in retaliation.

BTW, the UK has signed a treaty with Sweden and Finland of regards to defence. RF would be silly to think EU, UK and US will just stay put.
1667  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 25, 2022, 09:53:30 PM
...
As for logistics, I think that if the Ukrainians were figuring out how to exterminate 1,400,000 excess souls in the Donbas, they out to be able to figure out how to truck some wheat a few hundred clicks to a safer port for export.  Or, as you say, just send it up to Poland and hand it over to the West if that works out better.
...

That reminds me of a funny joke I heard from my Eastern European friends when I was working in Si Valley:

  Q:    Why do Russians steal two cars when they go to Germany?

  A:    Because they have to go back through Poland.



Does it say where they get the fuel? Most likely from the Russian army "excedents"

The point is that once they get to Germany, they're sorry they ever left Russia... so they go back.

Cool

Yes, it seems that stealing and buying fuel from the army is more difficult in Germany. I am sure Germans will miss such a great people.
1668  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 25, 2022, 09:18:48 PM
...
As for logistics, I think that if the Ukrainians were figuring out how to exterminate 1,400,000 excess souls in the Donbas, they out to be able to figure out how to truck some wheat a few hundred clicks to a safer port for export.  Or, as you say, just send it up to Poland and hand it over to the West if that works out better.
...

That reminds me of a funny joke I heard from my Eastern European friends when I was working in Si Valley:

  Q:    Why do Russians steal two cars when they go to Germany?

  A:    Because they have to go back through Poland.



Does it say where they get the fuel? Most likely from the Russian army "excedents"
1669  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 25, 2022, 08:50:40 AM

On the grain export thing, I cannot understand why Putin wouldn't have said something like "Oh, Odessa has some security issues at the moment, but we've got Mariupol port all fixed up and safe.  Just truck the product up there if you like and there should be no problems.  The choice is yours."

In point of actual fact, it probably is more safe and convenient to use the diverse road systems going into the (formerly Ukrainian) Donbas which is now pretty safe and stable.  The South part around Odessa is congested and contested.  Forcing the product over the bridges which are under attack might at least calm some of the strife along at least some of the potential routes which makes (almost) everyone a winner.



It does not work like that at all. The transport infrastructure is what it is. If not, all those Mtons of grain would have simply been sent to Poland or even Romania. The problem is that everything is designed to export through the Caspian.

Why the RF decided to attack Odessa right after the agreement? My take is that somehow the people that are sent to negotiate are pretty much ignored by the military. It seems to me that the Russian Federation does not at this moment have a single unified government, but rather an army and then some ministers and foreign affairs officials that are clueless and wield not say, no information and no power whatsoever.

Putin seems to attack mostly where his intel guys think there are Western weapons systems being transported since these threaten Russian goals and Russian people.  It would be surprising to _not_ see that happening at the port(s) in Odessa.

As for logistics, I think that if the Ukrainians were figuring out how to exterminate 1,400,000 excess souls in the Donbas, they out to be able to figure out how to truck some wheat a few hundred clicks to a safer port for export.  Or, as you say, just send up up to Poland and hand it over to the West if that works out better.

I personally suspect that Russia is planning (or following orders) to cede Odessa to the 'New Pale of Settlement' which will stretch from the Baltic to the Mediterranean (Poland+Ukraine) whether he eventually takes the city or not.  In either case, having the port be used makes it more likely that it remains serviceable and thus more valuable.  In the interim, however, it's not desirable to have a lot of Western weapons transit through.



Keep dreaming, keep mobilising inexistent armies, keep annexing fantasyland territories...

This points out at the RF army doing whatever they please with absolute disregard for whatever the diplomatic branch of the government is doing. This is starting to look like Adolf Putin is loosing the grip on Shoigu - who was BTW the one that went to Turkiye for the agreements. He did not want to miss-out uh?

The problem with feeding the dogs is that they may become very hungry when grown. Or would you say that Adolf Putin, at this point, could even think of demoting Shoigu without getting himself killed? Nah, the Chief Psycho of the army wields the decision wand today.

If Adolf Putin had these psychos under his leash this would not be possible.

https://twitter.com/liveuamap/status/658972724845518849

Quote
Shoigu's 25 yo daughter bought this house in 2009, when she was 18. Only land costs $9M
1670  Other / Politics & Society / Re: World is mess becouse 2 good people are out on: July 25, 2022, 08:28:21 AM
Would the OP care to give some non brain-dead arguments instead of just click baiting arguments? It may actually become a decent discussion instead of a few disconnected "views" about a couple of populists that ended up their careers as the moral-less clowns they are.
1671  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 25, 2022, 08:02:47 AM

Quote
"We call on Russia to live up to its international obligations to treat all individuals captured fighting with Ukraine's armed forces as prisoners of war," they [State Department spokesperson] said.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/23/politics/americans-killed-ukraine-donbas/index.html
So they gave up trying to justify exceptions by claims of dual citizenship or whatever and now straight up saying that there are no more mercs at all? Does that mean that everyone will now have to treat all Iran's mercs in other conflicts as prisoners of war? Or it's another double standard that somehow only applies to Ukraine?


Quote
A top State Department official said that pressure from the global community and Russia's need for money from its own agricultural exports may have led Moscow to sign an agreement to allow Ukrainian grain to transit through the Black Sea. “This came together because, I think, Russia ultimately felt the hot breath of global opprobrium,” said Victoria Nuland, undersecretary of state for political affairs.
https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-07-22-22/h_d3eaea1b11c234af3193407e2f0f884f
Why why are they allowing Nuland to speak? Hasn't she done enough? The message was always clear Russia applying pressure to Ukraine #5 wheat exporter (8.5%) was the reason for global food shortages U.S. Treasury: Agricultural, Medical Products Not Part of Russia Sanctions Now Nuland goes off yapping her mouth admitting that apparently there was pressure from "global community" to a #1 agricultural exporter? So global shortages in food are because of pressure to a #5 exporter but not to #1 exporter?  Huh someone take her microphone away!

Nobody is stopping Russia from exporting grain...or any agriculture commodities...so...yeah....someone give her microphone back.

Umm you might want to reread this, who said anything about stopping? Strawman much? Nobody is stopping Ukraine from exporting grain either. State Department said that global community applying pressure to Russia's agricultural exports. You know blockading ports, preventing insuring vessels and their refueling...


The "West" has nothing to do with exports critical to agriculture and food supply, that is just RF propaganda.

Agricultural exports including fertilisers are specifically excluded from sanctions. You can use ships under non-RF flags (even UNDER RF flags as well!)and export these insured and freely. Particualrly, fertilisers are massively produced in the RF and it would be crazy to block them.

Quote
In 2020, Russia exported $7.6B in Fertilizers, making it the 1st largest exporter of Fertilizers in the world. At the same year, Fertilizers was the 7th most exported product in Russia. The main destination of Fertilizers exports from Russia are: Brazil ($1.43B), Estonia ($555M), India ($540M), China ($531M), and United States ($442M).

Quote
How much of the worlds Fertiliser comes from Russia?
A top fertilizer producer, Russia accounts for 15% of global trade in nitrogenous fertilizers and 17% of global potash fertilizer exports, according to the Food Policy Research Institute. The country is also responsible for 20% of the global natural gas trade, a key component in manufacturing fertilizers.

https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegations/nigeria/eu-sanctions-do-not-restrict-eu-and-third-countries’-trade-agrifood-products_en?s=114

Quote
EU sanctions cover only bilateral trade between the EU and Russia – not international trade!
EU sanctions have no extra-territorial effect. Third country persons and firms can import agrifood from Russia under EU sanctions if they do that entirely outside the EU.

EU’s sanctions excluded a limited number of Russian banks from the SWIFT network. Banking relations via SWIFT can still continue via the other Russian banks.

Agricultural products in Russia are not targeted by EU sanctions!
EU sanctions do not prohibit EU businesses to purchase, import or pay for Russian agricultural products, provided that sanctioned persons are not involved. The EU has carefully avoided a direct and comprehensive ban on the import of Russian agricultural products.

EU Member States can grant access to EU ports of vessels flying the Russian flag, as well as entry to the EU of Russian road carriers for the purposes of importing or transporting agricultural products, including fertilisers and wheat, that are not subject to prohibitions.

On regards to this declaration:
Quote
A top State Department official said that pressure from the global community and Russia's need for money from its own agricultural exports may have led Moscow to sign an agreement to allow Ukrainian grain to transit through the Black Sea. “This came together because, I think, Russia ultimately felt the hot breath of global opprobrium,” said Victoria Nuland, undersecretary of state for political affairs.

It is much simpler: The RF is quite influential in a number of countries (mainly in Africa) who are the first affected if there are global food shortages and the first that would undergo a "Malthusian Positive Check".

For the US or EU citizen the tomato goes from 1.5 USD per kilo to 2.5 USD per kilo. For the struggling countries this simply means death. This means that the RF has very little to gain from constraining food supplies versus the loss of soft diplomacy influence they require.
1672  Other / Politics & Society / Re: World will be not such u mess if we would have donald trump on: July 24, 2022, 10:54:36 PM
Simple solutions for simple minds. Bring back the first guy ever to attempt a coup d'état in the US, the guy that recommended to take chlorine and not to worry about COVID and was name-calling and cancelling anyone who showed dissent, even in his own party.

Trump, BoJo, Bolsonaro, ... all of them live on people looking for simple answers to complex questions. To the topic, I think we would be even in a greater mess or perhaps using nuclear suits to go buy at Walmart.

In any other democracy, Trump would have been accused of sedition or even treason and sent to prison = and he may, because after the hearings about the Capitol riots he can be both sentenced in Georgia (for soliciting changing the electoral records) and at federal level for sedition.
1673  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 24, 2022, 05:30:27 PM

If you did not like BoJo, brace for the replacement.

...
Quote
A top State Department official said that pressure from the global community and Russia's need for money from its own agricultural exports may have led Moscow to sign an agreement to allow Ukrainian grain to transit through the Black Sea. “This came together because, I think, Russia ultimately felt the hot breath of global opprobrium,” said Victoria Nuland, undersecretary of state for political affairs.
https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-07-22-22/h_d3eaea1b11c234af3193407e2f0f884f
Why why are they allowing Nuland to speak? Hasn't she done enough? The message was always clear Russia applying pressure to Ukraine #5 wheat exporter (8.5%) was the reason for global food shortages U.S. Treasury: Agricultural, Medical Products Not Part of Russia Sanctions Now Nuland goes off yapping her mouth admitting that apparently there was pressure from "global community" to a #1 agricultural exporter? So global shortages in food are because of pressure to a #5 exporter but not to #1 exporter?  Huh someone take her microphone away!

On the grain export thing, I cannot understand why Putin wouldn't have said something like "Oh, Odessa has some security issues at the moment, but we've got Mariupol port all fixed up and safe.  Just truck the product up there if you like and there should be no problems.  The choice is yours."

In point of actual fact, it probably is more safe and convenient to use the diverse road systems going into the (formerly Ukrainian) Donbas which is now pretty safe and stable.  The South part around Odessa is congested and contested.  Forcing the product over the bridges which are under attack might at least calm some of the strife along at least some of the potential routes which makes (almost) everyone a winner.



It does not work like that at all. The transport infrastructure is what it is. If not, all those Mtons of grain would have simply been sent to Poland or even Romania. The problem is that everything is designed to export through the Caspian.

Why the RF decided to attack Odessa right after the agreement? My take is that somehow the people that are sent to negotiate are pretty much ignored by the military. It seems to me that the Russian Federation does not at this moment have a single unified government, but rather an army and then some ministers and foreign affairs officials that are clueless and wield not say, no information and no power whatsoever.
1674  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Deep dive intro culture of russia-Ukraine war on: July 23, 2022, 10:51:57 PM
I am one who thinks that this war has a lot to do with resources. Not as much capturing the Ukrainian resources (mineral, oil, gas, food, water,... ) but rather about not allowing those resources to actually being put to use by Europe in collaboration with Ukraine. But there is a lot more about the war:

As i said, can't agree with such point of view. russia has surplus of resources: oil, gas, gold, most of Rare earth metals, food, animals, wood and a lot of other valuable things. So i doubt it would need another bunch of resources in Ukraine.

And Russia (at least didn't) consider Europe as enemy, so again, I don't see any reason to start this war to not allow Europe to get some ukrainian resources. It's pure ideological crusade against "corrupted russians" (ukrainians).

Here interesting moment:

"Бaнкиp Пyгaчёв нe paз гoвopил в интepвью, чтo eщё 10 лeт нaзaд Пyтинa интepecoвaли тoлькo 2 тeмы – Укpaинa и Гaзпpoм. Bcё ocтaльнoe былo eмy нeинтepecнo."
https://t.me/tolk_tolk/12823

Translation: Banker Pugachev told in interview that 10 years ago Putin was interested into two things - Ukraine and Gasprom. Everything else were ignored.



...


I think that the geostrategic implications of having Ukraine between your main export resources (Siberia) and your main client to date (Germany / EU) are well above any cultural consideration on this war. To be honest, I do not believe that any single war in history was based merely on "cultural differences", but all of them can be explained in terms of resources and geostrategic interests.

As said, Putin does not want the EU to be an strategic ally of Ukraine, because in his mind it is his backyard to use at his will, and to the greater profit of "Russia Inc" (yes, mainly Gazprom).

Now, RF does not need further resources, just as Elon Musk does not need more money. But it is there and they are ok taking it. And that is not even accounting for the control of food supplies. The RF as of now exports 18% of the world wheat. Ukraine 9% of wheat and quite a chunk of other food staples. If RF would fully control Ukraine, they would be nearly in control of the world food prices other than in America.

And yes, with EU money and Ukrainian resources, the RF is still a big exports player, but less than without it.

However, I do think that the cultural aspects play a role on HOW the war is waged. Terror tactics, the use of minorities, disregard for soldiers and corruption are quite a trademark of the red RF army.

1675  Other / Politics & Society / Finland and Sweden join NATO - Putin's plan backfiring on: July 23, 2022, 10:32:39 PM
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/finland-sweden-sign-protocol-join-nato-still-need-ratification-2022-07-05/

Quote
BRUSSELS, July 5 (Reuters) - NATO's 30 allies signed an accession protocol for Finland and Sweden on Tuesday, allowing them to join the nuclear-armed alliance once parliaments ratify the decision, the most significant expansion of the alliance since the 1990s.

My reading of this is that the Russian Federation has, by invading Ukraine, achieved what many decades of talks could not: creating a thousands of kilometres long border with NATO, particularly near the Karelia Peninsula, where most of the RF nuclear arsenal sits.

If the war in Ukraine was about RF safety, this does not look like a victory.

BTW the signature has been done on-board of a Polish frigate. Quite symbolic.
https://tvpworld.com/61432874/president-duda-signs-sweden-and-finlands-accession-to-nato
1676  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 23, 2022, 10:21:24 PM
Orban said Ukraine will never win the war this way "quite simply because the Russian army has assymetrical dominance".

Quote
We are sitting in a car that has a puncture in all four tyres: it is absolutely clear that the war cannot be won in this way.

Quote
As Russia wants security guarantees, this war can be ended only with peace talks between Russia and America.

The opinion of Ukraine (and the European Union) on this issue already seems to be of no particular interest to anyone. It looks like Orban is the last public politician in Europe with balls.

Erdo also says that high interest rates are the cause of inflation. Quite a lateral thinking, so I will accept your explanation that he is using his balls for consultancy.


It looks like Orban is the last public politician in Europe with Putins balls in his mouth.
Anyway, there is an honest question: does anyone have an idea how Hungary with their government fits in the Transatlantic security architecture? I mean, I don't follow imaginary countries much but I'm wondering what is the contribution of Hungary, how it makes the Alliance stronger and based on what was accedence at one time?

Even though they have a clown in charge, it's still probably better to have them in NATO/EU than not. Otherwise Orban would be sending troops to Ukraine to help Russia or at least providing airports etc (like Lukashenko).

Turkiye and China would rather maintain an strategic neutrality in all this an simply take as much profit as possible. Erdogan is going to face elections quite soon - not that they are going to be clean and democratic most likely - and is playing a very peculiar economic policy consisting in not raising interest rates despite a triple digit inflation. Four fifths of the population are either plain poor or struggling to pay for basic staples. In a truly democratic country, he would be ousted.

However he is playing "big politics", selling drones, being the guarantor of treaties and being the "neutral" side in negotiations, dressing himself as an statesman while expelling one central bank governor after another. Overall, I do not think that it matters if Turkiye is or not in NATO - it certainly does not seem to matter to them.


@Waradlain
RE imaginary countries, I do not see how Hungary, that has centuries as national identity, is imaginary. The contribution to NATO... probably marginal as of now.

1677  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 23, 2022, 03:22:00 PM
...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/05/11/russia-sanctions-effect-military/
Quote
With Western technology sales banned, Russia is using computer chips meant for household appliances in battlefield gear, Commerce secretary tells a Senate hearing

I didn't read the article due to a pay-wall, but I can guess what it did and didn't say.

FWIW, a microcontroller is a microcontroller.  Most of the time, even on a complex system, it's job is pretty limited.  The failure rate, even in such a device destined for a dishwasher, would be pretty low and the durability acceptable for most things.  But...

If the Russians are using old processors, microcontrollers, FPGAs, etc in certain critical systems, my guess is that it would have more to do with security than with availability.  I myself favor ancient hardware for certain things because with every production run that goes by there is an increasing chance that hardware backdoors will have been inserted (at the behest of the likes of the intelligence apparatuses of various nations and under significant carrot/stick economic pressures associate with international trade, buyouts, etc.)

I have no idea how far down the road things are now, but I do remember industrial process hardware getting pretty badly hacked in Iran (with cooperation between the German manufacturer and certain intelligence agencies) and I know that at the higher end processors (PowerPC iirc) a hardware backdoor was brilliantly discovered by an independent researcher and on a pretty old unit.  I wouldn't rule out that pretty low-end microcontrollers are compromised by this time, and it might be difficult to buy a new one that isn't.


Take a look at Iran's GNP after sanctions - unless you'd rather have some official comfort juice media. You can hack low-end processors, but the access to the technology critical for the electronic warfare is not found in PCs nor washing machines.

Oh, have you brought fresh wet erotic fantasies of Lucy "talking ass" Arestovich? Grin
Actually, Arestovich wasn't prime source of these news. On various telegram channels it started to spread yesterday morning and initially it was written about 2000 troops, later it was confirmed that there is about 1000 troops.
Erotic fantasies of Arestovich or fairy tales of Konashnenkov. I rather pick first one.

Russian porn is considered a cultural thing as well in some circles.. On the topic, I take this possible capture of RF troops will either be confirmed soon or be just another "product" of the war. It will be quite easy to see how it ends and as I said, I take it with a pinch of salt.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/07/23/inch-by-inch-the-ukrainians-appear-to-be-pushing-south-toward-kherson/?sh=21d9d3f27e20

Quote
But the flimsy rumors swirling around the purported pocket of surrounded Russian troops in Vysokopillya belie the real pressure the Russians are under along the southern front of Russia’s five-month-old wider war on Ukraine.

Having expended the last of its prewar combat power capturing the twin cities of Severodonetsk and Lysychansk in eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region, the Russian army has hit pause on major offensive operations.
1678  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 22, 2022, 11:49:07 PM
About 1000 Russian troops were surounded in Vysokopolye by Armed Forces of Ukraine and now asking green corridor:
https://t.me/zsuwar/18321
https://odessa-journal.com/arestovich-confirmed-the-encirclement-of-a-group-of-russians-in-the-kherson-region-and-revealed-the-details/
Ukraine have big temptation to destroy them, but more likely that russians will have to surrender and will be taken as POW's

By trying to implicate Ukraine you're actually attacking Mother Russia because they've committed this act of nuclear terrorism in March 2022.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uP1RUMyzb1Y

Even if this is really a Ukrainian drone attacking, how can you prove the power plant was the target and not the occupants. These drones, regardless of who they belong to, are still doing less damage than Russian tanks did when they first assaulted the power plant and kept shooting at it like it was a military bunker. If somebody is the terrorist here it's Russia.
Attack of kamikaze drones was confirmed on Ukrainian media:
https://t.me/uniannet/65282 As you can see from video, they didn't attacked building of power plant. And I doubt that Ukrainians would be so dumb to do that.
And yeah, what Russia did back in March in Zaporizhia nuclear power plant was act of nuclear terrorism. And now they basically turned Zaporizhia NPP into their military base.

I have read about the RF troops being isolated and near capture. As I mentioned a few posts ago, all to be taking with a pinch of salt, but it seems that the RF cannot really fight in two fronts effectively and the east has been taking all the supplies.

I hope the capture of this group is confirmed and those RF soldiers are treated correctly as well. The RF psychos have managed to create such a destruction and hate...
1679  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 22, 2022, 11:04:19 PM
Meanwhile, today three Ukrainian kamikaze drones attacked the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. An attack on a nuclear facility (such as a nuclear power plant) is nuclear terrorism. Another achievement in the track record of Ukraine.

For clarity, there are reports of the RF storing weapons and other means of war in Zapo. Who is the psycho that decided to use a nuclear plant as shield??.

I doubt that such attack even happened in real life. "Ukrainian drones" is from the words of occupation administration, not from some video fact (unlike famous attack with a drone on oil refinery in Russia)

Looks like a russian provocation
Photo of the wreckage of the drones used by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack Energodar. In fairness, I note that a kilogram of TNT in a kamikaze drone is not capable of causing significant damage to the power units of a nuclear power plant, but this does not negate the fact that an attack on a nuclear facility is an act of nuclear terrorism.

Pulling this tiger's tail is a very bad idea.

You must really think that people a absolutely stupid. You just post in here a few spares and say that is a drone attacking a nuclear plant? Seriously??? Do you think that a loitering UAV looks like that after exploding?? A kilogram of high explosive (not TNT) in the right part of a Nuclear Central can give a good headache BTW.

I am still waiting for you support of the real filmed attack of RF orcs in the Zapo central - please tell me that you support that.

https://www.npr.org/2022/03/03/1084414196/russian-troops-are-attacking-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-power-plant

Quote
March 3, 20228:06 PM ET

Russian troops appear to be at the entrance of Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant and are engaged in active combat. Footage shows what looks like a fire in one of its administrative buildings.

1680  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: July 22, 2022, 10:55:04 PM
Well, thanks for clarifying where Ukraine's failure is. It's like that in the West, as well. The universities are the places that teach a bunch science theory as though it were science fact.

So, now we see why the Ukraine is crashing and Russia is growing. Russia has the engineers that keep proving to the Ukrainian scientists where and how their theories are wrong.

Cool

 Grin Grin Grin Grin

Your comedy show is amazing! The circus is crying for you! Have you thought about changing your keyboard to a big circus stage? Smiley

And I’ll leave the classic Russian primitive denial unnoticed - you can write as much as you like about the rise of Russia, but this will not change reality ... Even the Russian Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Statistics understood how bad everything is inside Russia, and they classified part of the previously open information and economic indicators Smiley But don't stop yelling about the greatness of Russia, it's even more fun Smiley

The RF just cannot import. This means that, despite having still a decent supply of foreign currency, RF cannot buy with it the stuff needed.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/05/25/russias-imports-fall-to-two-decade-low-a77794

Quote
Export data from 20 of Russia’s largest trading partners showed a 50% drop in imports to Russia in April compared to the same month a year ago, according to Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance trade group.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60125659

 You need a chip, go find one in the drawer. You need maintenance for your plane or spares? Go cannibalise other. Do you want to fly to another country? You cannot, your plane has not received the compulsory revisions - and will  not be receiving it. You want to sell Oil? You will sell it at a discount. Would you like to repair that specialised medical machine? You can't.

Let's put some numbers to it:

https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/imports#:~:text=Russia%20main%20imports%20are%3A%20machinery,agricultural%20products%20(14.5%20percent).

Quote
Russia main imports are: machinery, equipment and transport (45 percent of total imports), chemical products (19 percent) and foodstuffs and agricultural products (14.5 percent).

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/05/11/russia-sanctions-effect-military/
Quote
With Western technology sales banned, Russia is using computer chips meant for household appliances in battlefield gear, Commerce secretary tells a Senate hearing

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60125659
Quote
7.8%Official forecast of fall in Russian GDP in 2022. 30%Unofficial forecast of GDP collapse by IIF

Do you RF trolls around know what happens when the GDP of a country falls by 30%? I don't, but you are going to find out.




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