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2741  Economy / Speculation / Re: [New Service] - Adam's BitMovements on: August 25, 2013, 08:32:47 PM
Newcomers please read carefully

Adam were absolutely bear when market was over bullish in early 2013 and then *poof* became suddenly (and ridiculously) bull post $32 2011 ATH.  

He also predicted that $32 june 2011 peak won't be (ever) reached again in 2013 (Moreover, he lost a bet by the way)

Finally he stayed wrongly bull when the market was bearish, he predicted bubble recovery so many times during april/may/june/july 2013 with false alerts.



So please, be carefull and let him play in the sandbox. Forcasting is a risky business full of wanabee guru.

If You Must Forecast, Forecast Often
2742  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: August 14, 2013, 10:47:08 AM
bitstamp only deals in USD...
and the euro market on Gox is illiquid as hell.

Bistamp convert EUR to USD instantly on deposit/withdraw without almost fees. So EUR or USD it's the same.
2743  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: August 14, 2013, 09:38:38 AM
what did I miss? is this a news based rise?


Are you new here? The only 'news' that causes price to rise is whale buys.

And haters
2744  Economy / Speculation / Re: Goomboo's Journal on: August 14, 2013, 09:29:21 AM
More interesting backtest results. I compared Ichimoku, the 10/21 EMA, and the 15/24 EMA, looking at almost the full history of BTC trading, starting when one bitcoin went for a dollar, and ending today (1 BTC = $108.74). With the EMAs, I traded at the closing price of a candle which indicated a crossover, no threshold. With Ichimoku, I bought BTC when the price was over the Tenkan Sen over the Kijun Sen, and Chikou over price. I sold when the candle closed below the Kijun Sen. Trades were executed at the closing price.

Here are the results:

10/21 EMA P/L = 28,530%
Ichimoku P/L = 46,317%
15/24 EMA P/L = 50,028%

 Shocked

I share all this information gladly because I've learned so much from this forum.

Thanks for sharing !

Which timeframe did you test for these results?
2745  Economy / Goods / Re: [WTS] 3 * 1 BTC Physical Casascius Coin 2011 (3btc) on: August 07, 2013, 09:14:17 PM
Up.
2746  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Trading Software for MtGox - With Neural Networks. on: August 07, 2013, 07:42:51 PM
Is it still under dev? Can the ANN be better detailled?
2747  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: August 02, 2013, 01:43:14 PM
I think that mid-term trend has confirmed its reversal. 2013(/2014) will likely welcome new ATH.


(click to enlarge)



I'm using different methods and indicators, and I don't place much emphasis on support levels, but my overall interpretation is probably quite similar: since early July we are in phase that could potentially reverse the overall downtrend since the April peak.

I'm a bit more cautious than you, perhaps. We've had such potential reversals before, and they didn't last in the end, but for now, I would see the price staying above 100, or even slightly below, as a relatively strong signal that the early July trend persists, that could take us out of the larger downtrend.

I'm using also a different and more accurate method named "ichimoku". But it's less clear to display.

If you know about it, the results are realy goods regarding the daily closes above the clouds (1st time for several month)


(click to enlarge)
2748  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: August 02, 2013, 10:43:02 AM
I think that mid-term trend has confirmed its reversal. 2013(/2014) will likely welcome new ATH.


(click to enlarge)

2749  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 30, 2013, 12:04:53 PM
It's not a grey area in the US, very black and white. If you exchange USD for Virtual Convertible Currency (i.e. Bitcoin) you are obligated to register with the Federal Government (the FinCEN Guideline).

AFAIK, Fincen paper is just a "guidance" at this moment. No Laws for the moment, so no obligation.
2750  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 29, 2013, 09:02:07 AM
Conditions are looking good for a sizable bull trap from here. Let's see if the bulls' wallets are as big as their mouths. Cheesy

Either way... you might want to change your sig! Wink

haha good one Smiley
2751  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 26, 2013, 02:47:16 PM
2752  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 25, 2013, 11:59:52 PM
inspired by adams chartbuddy conglomeration post, I just made a chartbuddy video starting mid-may.

http://youtu.be/ifKS-UebUCI

for some reason the quality currently sucks really bad (doesn't on my end). maybe it'll get better once the youtube re-encoder has finished his duties for higher qualities or something.


Awsome !
2753  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Is MtGox Bankrupt? Not giving access to funds ... says other customers affected on: July 11, 2013, 11:16:03 AM
Waiting 3 weeks for a wire out. Bullshit CS responses. There's clearly an issue
4 weeks for me.
2754  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 05:58:53 PM

Are you drawing lines on a linear graph ? I mean REALLY ?
2755  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 05:54:59 PM
The 'problem' is that the current sell off is happening in slow motion. There is no panic selling going on at all, just a couple dumps over the course of a day and no real buying pressure to bring the price back up. This makes it hard to predict a bottom or a bounce, it could slide down for a while longer until bulls finally wake up.

"Slow motion" it took 2 years for gold to do the same corrections (or what ever we call it).
2756  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 23, 2013, 10:11:17 PM
forbes.com/sites/jonmatonis/2013/06/23/bitcoin-foundation-receives-cease-and-desist-order-from-california/

Bye, BTC Foundation

Did you read the article ?
2757  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 19, 2013, 07:32:46 AM
Back in long sleeves  Grin
2758  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 18, 2013, 09:40:43 PM
Today for a while I started to increase the number of long short term positions.
I except a resistance @110$ and trading range 105/110 (+/- 1).

Sounds right for you?
I stuck to my plans. Sold at 111 from 104 almost allin, then shorted (20%) from 109 to 106. Now I except boring noise and low volumes. Double quick wins today.
2759  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 18, 2013, 12:30:03 PM
am i missing something? i still see him there
Webtracker...
2760  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 18, 2013, 12:06:22 PM
Today for a while I started to increase the number of long short term positions.
I except a resistance @110$ and trading range 105/110 (+/- 1).

Sounds right for you?
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