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2801  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2022/2023 on: December 20, 2022, 03:07:56 PM
Benzema announced retiring from France national team
We don't know full story between Benzema and France in this WC. Something happened and I feel dirty secrets will get uncovered now that WC is over. I am not buying that injury story especially after Benzema proclaimed he is not interested to play in final. Could be something as simple as he really was injured and wanted to come back for final but Dechamps said no or it could be something totally different.

Hmm! That took me by surprise (him retiring). Didn't even know he said he wasn't interested, honestly just thought it was really bad news for me at first knowing he was out of the whole tourney. Either way, he/Giroud are surely on their last legs, and if there were any more secrets to share, Didier did well to put it all under wraps.

Moot point in the end I guess. They really needed his last-minute magic.
2802  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Few Days To Christmas - How Are You Preparing? on: December 20, 2022, 10:43:34 AM
Don't use your Bitcoin to buy presents? So don't use Bitcoin for an activity it was meant for?

It's Christmas, you scrooge! I gave away Bitcoin to 2 couples already (one a festive gift, one celebrating a newborn) and they think it's really cool, even though it's just a small amount. And no, not bragging, just remembering how I often benefited from Bitcoin generosity in the past.

If price does go up and these guys still hold, they're happy, and I'm happy.

It's bloody Christmas! haha
2803  Economy / Exchanges / Re: STOP THE EXCHANGE FUD; Everyone will suffer the effect. on: December 19, 2022, 08:28:58 PM
I totally agree it can be a really good thing to not just stress test with a bank run (Binance seems to be weathering this well) but also journalist test all its other assurance claims... Like this special report from Reuters just hours ago: https://www.reuters.com/technology/binances-books-are-black-box-filings-show-crypto-giant-tries-rally-confidence-2022-12-19/

CZ has been singing about transparency and an eagerness to be regulated and compliant globally. Time to put that to the test, I guess.

Win-win methinks. They fail and we purge bad behaviour. Take the market hit now but emerge cleaner and better. They succeed and confidence is restored.
2804  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin December price on: December 19, 2022, 08:07:50 PM
Some people well remember 2017, when there was a great rise not only in bitcoin but also in altcoins. To be fair, it was at that time that most users of this forum came to know about cryptocurrency. That's probably why many are expecting the price to rise in December. I was also hoping that December would be green, but judging by recent events this year will be one of the worst years in bitcoin history.

I remember very well. Was on a chat with a bot rattling off ATHs as they came. Surreal if anything to see my ATH cherry getting popped.

Problem with that December is that we were waiting for the top on a year long rally. Very, very different from now where we are, if I may say, waiting for a floor to finally show itself.

Really not the same thing. More like 2018 December, when people were still insisting a new ATH was coming after corrections haha.
2805  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽⚽⚽ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk World Cup 2022 - discussion ⚽⚽⚽ on: December 19, 2022, 04:51:48 PM
Well done again to the confirmed winners!

I got something out of this too, beyond the small prize I snatched ha!

Filled in the response form but it's not much to really change -- only gave 4/5 on a couple as there's always room for improvement. Can't remember a more interactive format on a static forum, I wanted to also suggest a league/seeding aspect but you guys already thought about it -- I'm all in for that sort of thing.

Retention will be awesome after that, and also, we do need more active gamblers willing to put in more.

cryptofrka you mentioned a badge somewhere before, are we thinking blockchain-based?
2806  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: December 19, 2022, 03:17:38 PM
A bit too early to bump thread?

Liverpool play City in the EFL cup in 3 days, so of course I've already thrown down some satoshi on the game heh.

Hard to predict the effect of winning/losing World Cup on returning players -- Fabinho and Alisson in particular, but they hopefully are going to be so hungry to prove themselves even in this Mickey Mouse cup game.

We lost to Lyon but smashed Milan... Nunez a demon, so I can't wait.

2807  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's FIFA World Cup 22 Prediction Pool Discussion thread on: December 19, 2022, 02:06:47 PM
bullrun's got 2-1 and Little Mouse has 3-1 so I'd say they fancy their chances haha. Now you need France to score 2 goals and they're both unable to catch up... pretty damned good final so far.
I thought everyone will pick high score as both team has a lot of good attacking players.

I picked 3-2 myself so you can imagine my joy when Messi actually bundled that ball over in extra time... I wasn't sure but it might JUST have been enough to creep me over the line, we'll never know.

All that said, 3-3 was a fantastic final for the ages. I feel really lucky to have watched the whole thing.

Back to the club grind now people.

2808  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2022/2023 on: December 19, 2022, 11:17:09 AM
The world cup might actually not be an entire bore fest, there should be some fun stuffs to look forward too.

A bore fest was anything but what the World Cup turned out to be, eh? Just deciding to look back at club threads and see if I can pick up the pieces in remaining pools after a rather poor showing in the WC one heh.

For moments in the games you wonder if Messi is a completely different guy from when he was at Barca. Talking loudly to Weghorst, and then cajoling opponents and even singing with his mates.

Counting on Barca to get a kick from their dumped out players -- after all my WC bets settled I saw I had an early season outright on them still pending Wink
2809  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: December 18, 2022, 08:11:37 PM
Man, so hard to sift through the garbage of the last 2 pages, Bayern and Neuer this and that haha.

What I'm interested to know now is how will the German teams emerge out of this tournament? Bayern lose their #1 keeper and Sadio, will they falter with Varane and Koman heartache? I actually feel like they could slip...

Doan whom I was counting on to be his country's best performer should receive a hero's welcome in Freiburg, does he go on to revive their Top 4 ambitions?

Reyna was a huge flop, Guerreiro was awesome, but Bellingham has only increased his price tag -- can he give BVB a nice parting 2nd half Bundesliga performance?

Gvardiol might have taken home an award if he'd played in the final, is Leipzig also going to make the most of him before he (surely) leaves?

Those are my burning questions -- to turn into betting advantages Wink
2810  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽⚽⚽ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk World Cup 2022 - discussion ⚽⚽⚽ on: December 18, 2022, 05:57:56 PM
Giroud seems to have been a popular pick, I also fancied him but his early substitution prevents him from any further contribution... Too lazy to count the lineups or who took shots so not sure of anything there, but it looks tight as always, and tiebreakers again favouring those who went for earlier goals (semi and finals hunger huh!).

I'll just wait and wake up tomorrow to see Cro2's final tallies. Didn't get very much in on Harko in the end, but will be a nice bonus to have to cap off Argentina's win!

Well done Messi and friends deserved it. @darxiaomi, don't get too drunk =)

Final thanks to Sportsbet and all involved. I had a lot of fun, even just following the remaining participants.
2811  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: December 18, 2022, 04:43:34 PM
hearing the news lately there are several french players who will be out due to illness and i think it is argentina's chance to win the final easily if indeed there are some french squad players who cannot play in the final i bet on argentina but i respect the choice you for france, i think argentina will not let france win this world cup in a row even if they play consistently  Cheesy

Fake news as it turns out, and I'm sure even if true none of the affected players would ever have admitted it for fear of omission heh. Was completely unaware of this flu bug going around there until I read about this. Pretty sure it's all climate adjustments playing a part.

Was kind of hoping the score wouldn't be as it stood at HT, worried the French would have given up in the second half and from the first 15 minutes, that does seem apparent with only a Rabiot yellow to show for it, Mbappe was uncharacteristically invisible until the penalty!

2812  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's FIFA World Cup 22 Prediction Pool Discussion thread on: December 18, 2022, 04:05:36 PM
I am also really glad to be in this position as it is pretty unlikely that I don't end up as 1st place but we will see...

Too bad no one tells me who they picked Cheesy

I thought it was weird they took Giroud off -- you always keep your scorer on, not his fault he wasn't getting any service, but Dembele definitely had an off day so maybe we see France take on Argentina in the half. Possession hugely in Argentina's side so they needed to swing that around.

bullrun's got 2-1 and Little Mouse has 3-1 so I'd say they fancy their chances haha. Now you need France to score 2 goals and they're both unable to catch up... pretty damned good final so far.
2813  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: EFL English Championship League 2022/2023 on: December 18, 2022, 03:03:00 PM
My bet today was on Croatia and I think they played better in first half, maybe because of injuries and missing players in Morroco defese.

Morocco lost, so my big acca went to waste, heh. I definitely knew Morocco were handicapped (literally!) but they'd been playing so well despite back line problems because their attack has been so brave.

But luck ran out for them finally, while Croatia's turned.

Anyway, was looking/hoping for a tie today (I would have lost money yesterday on Boro) but Luton/Milwall is postponed, didn't know. So ended up doubling down on Argentina/Liverpool and adding tomorrow's Blades, and an ongoing U21 match in England =)

Again, I'll share that when it settles (entire bet if win, just update if lose). Game's started!
2814  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev on: December 18, 2022, 02:29:18 PM
Just shared the specials on ANN too!

I took the VAR review special @2.7, not that much on it, but sort of a hedge on other bets I've made. Not entirely sure that's great value as didn't really look up statistics, but I got to say, it's a final, I'd be surprised if there's not at least one or two VAR reviews that the ref won't warrant as necessary to see himself. It's a final, a lot will weigh on him to get things right.

Mbappe/Messi... scary to bet on, but the odds are pretty cool. If they both repeat the semi performance, it's Messi (Mbappe didn't even register a shot on goal) but if it's the opposite...
2815  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 - Main sponsor of Southampton FC 👋👋 on: December 18, 2022, 01:54:44 PM
Hope you guys manage to get in your specials on the biggest game of the year! You can see a full description on this thread discussing SB specials or go directly to the SB link here:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/sportsbet-specials/daily-specials/fifa-world-cup/matches

The Messi/Mbappe "score more goals" line is much better odds than direct Golden Boot odds, though of course you lose if they share but I'd put money on that special.

Team to kickoff is strangely leaning heavily towards France (1.45 vs 2.75). Thought it was all coin toss, and winner usually chooses the goal to attack then loser picks who kicks off first. Suppose it's tradition to let the holders defend? Anyone can shed light on this?
2816  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ World Cup Final ⚽ Argentina vs. France ⚽ (Sunday) 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 on: December 18, 2022, 01:39:12 PM
1)  Argentina
2)  Over
3)  Over
4)  Under
5)  Over
6)  Under       
7)  Yes
8 )  2nd
   

9)  Yes
10)  Yes

11)  No
12)  No

13)  Yes
14)  No

15)  Yes
16)  No

17)  29'
2817  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's FIFA World Cup 22 Prediction Pool Discussion thread on: December 18, 2022, 01:36:55 PM
For this to happen, I have to pick the wrong team so I get 0 points and both of them would have to predict the exact outcome, which is somewhat unlikely but still possible.

Once I see their picks tomorrow I might know that I will win from the start of the game (if we pick the same team or all of us pick 0-0, 1-1 etc.)

I am really not sure who to pick though as both teams are really strong and I am a total football noob Cheesy

Yup! That's why I offered you congratulations. Not so much that it hinges on you getting the wrong score, but that they each have to get exact scores -- far unlikelier IMO.

Still, anyone would kill to be in your position, and this is such a tight final (odds are deadlocked) it's an amazing run from you, typical a football n00b wins it! As casperBGD notes, it really hurts you when you have bias -- I know this bias ruined me in many seasons of Premier League/Serie A/La Liga pools!
2818  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance's proof of reserves raises red flags: Report on: December 18, 2022, 01:14:31 PM
... but we should see better proof of reserves in future, that's the good thing to come out of it.
There is no such thing as better proof of reserves. As I've said over and over and over, proof of reserves with proof of liabilities is utterly meaningless.

Do agree it's pointless without knowing liabities is meaningless because they'll always cook the books to fit their needs -- all banks do this, and that's fractional (or in the case of US, zero) reserves -- but I do think they can be better version of proof of reserves -- if everything is real time, on chain (including liabilities!).

That said, it's a business model that needs to make profit, therefore, needs to take on risks. And that risk behaviour of banking systems that CEXs follow will always mean customers are the ones bearing ALL the risk.

Quote
Specifically, the procedures detailed herein, and Armanino’s findings, are intended to demonstrate that, at the time the procedures were performed, Nexo assets consisting of fiat (USD, GBP, and EUR), digital assets (self-custodied, third-party custodied, derivatives, and lending positions), and an outstanding customer loan book (collectively, “Nexo Assets”) were greater than or equal to customer deposits (“Customer Liabilities”).
So they include coins which Nexo has handed out to third parties, gambled on derivatives, and future loan repayments in what they class as assets. This is exactly the position that the likes of Celsius and Voyager were in when they went bankrupt - holding a tiny portion of deposits themselves, with the rest being handed out to variety of shady third parties in order to try to make themselves more profits.

No doubt will fail at some point, a point probably closer than anyone including Nexo themselves will think ever predict. Only reason I brought up Nexo is they seem to have escaped scrutiny despite making large moves this year. They're not considered a big player but are under the radar for their exposure in EU and rest of the world, while also owning a controlling stake in a small US bank. I suspect it'll take someone like them to fail to produce the next domino fall.
2819  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance's proof of reserves raises red flags: Report on: December 17, 2022, 08:50:47 PM
This Binance thing, Mazar, etc. made me smile, and I do feel bad about it, because I shouldn't take joy from other people all loving on BNB and Binance et al, and having known personally some people fked thanks to FTX, there are bound to be many more innocents who'll be victims if the #1 exchange folds...

... but we should see better proof of reserves in future, that's the good thing to come out of it.

Wonder when anyone's going to try and find the chinks in NEXO's version of that. It's been over a year since they introduced it: https://real-time-attest.trustexplorer.io/nexo
2820  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Education programs should cover Bitcoin and Blockchain technology. on: December 17, 2022, 06:45:37 PM
I think the chance for the crypto to become a global currency is slim because there will always be government who are not going to allow them in their country but it does not mean that we will stop spreading the word crypto.

Then you seem to have just missed the whole point of Bitcoin (not crypto, really). It was precisely because there will always be governments to dictate what you do with your money and what you will be able to count as money that Bitcoin was and is perfect as a global currency.

And it already is, in a sense. Name one other currency you could carry with you to ANY country and sell/exchange for local currency. Even those states banning Bitcoin can't ban p2p.
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