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1821  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⭐⚽⭐ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk Sports Fanatics League (BSFL) – 5000+$ rewards ⭐⚽⭐ on: April 14, 2023, 09:30:43 AM
Wow. Maguire did us all a favour (who went with NO), didn't he? He is truly the gift that keeps on giving.

I did think we'd get some dropouts also in ATP but I was banking on Tsitsi to capitulate early... now I have to hope he makes it past Fritz, and also Rune to not play well. Matches start over the next few hours so I might actually get some eyes on them!

Medvedev's the slight underdog though...


I'm not doing well this round, I feel unlucky especially after my winning ticket was suspended, damn it.

That was some bet, I'd have taken it too if I were live and not already on losing tickets (Sevilla ML). Juventus was also on my acca though so I got past that risk. How did you get suspended though? Seems a legit bet... or you mean you couldn't place a bet as markets were suspended?
1822  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Last 16 on: April 13, 2023, 05:59:31 PM
I have to say it's plenty of big games here tonight, almost worthy of UCL fixtures all of them!

Not many games left to the end, and I think Feyenoord would very much like to put one leg in the door tonight, but Roma will feel equally certain about their abilities to make a statement away from home. Still scoreless as it stands... Roma disallowed goal, heh.

@LTU_btc Sporting's prize for knocking the favourite out is an Italian affair but I'll be watching Sevilla to see if they still call Europa their plaything. GL with over 2.5, I think it's a cool bet, I'm on Sevilla ML...
1823  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +87282 units on: April 13, 2023, 04:14:34 PM
Pretty cool that I avoided betting on Champions League so far (for this thread anyway, heh), as favourites have generally smacked down.

But I cannot possibly ignore Sevilla, kings of Europa, can I? Rashford out injured is a blow, and he was honestly the only thing holding that team together. Only problem is Sevilla are at the lowest they've been for a while. So.

100 units at Sportsbet on Sevilla to WIN vs United @9.36. Other odds: 8.80
Units advantage: 56
Bet ID: 6437fd71edad45000164fc1a

Running advantage after 49 bets: +4505 (+56)
All-time cumulative: +87,585
Running units after 48 bets (8W|40L): +2628 (-200)
1824  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⭐⚽⭐ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk Sports Fanatics League (BSFL) – 5000+$ rewards ⭐⚽⭐ on: April 13, 2023, 02:15:52 PM
Yeah as Trofo says, I just couldn't bear choosing Milan or even a draw (and somehow I'm lucky they didn't equalise or casper would already be ahead).

NBA draw also has him in the lead, so I hope for 2 miracles now: Wolves to get knocked out, and Bulls to win their next game. Any other combination means I lose that point.

Picked the wrong underdog I did... but if Bulls pull through and Wolves don't, I'm a genius...
1825  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Conference League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Round of 16 on: April 13, 2023, 12:15:13 PM
I think if West Ham take tonight with at least 2 goal margin, they will be the firm favourite to win this cup, no matter the results elsewhere. As said before, I think Basel are solid, Nice too, even if they're a shadow of themselves 2 seasons ago, Fiorentina... It's almost fitting they're all here tonight, midtable mediocrity in leagues, and it doesn't match up to Hammers closer to relegation than to halfway point, but I'm taking into account the EPL is a pretty tough league.

Hammers, Nice, Fiorentina acca?
1826  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | Champions League Pool ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: April 12, 2023, 09:08:22 PM
Man, Napoli. So much more interesting to watch even without their main man, I think the only thing they'll regret is trying too many times from way outside the box in first half (but apparently that's served them well all season so I shouldn't complain).

It's 1-0, it's nothing, they can turn this around easily if they just keep playing the way they do, and Milan too, honestly.

Ah well, next time.
1827  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⭐⚽⭐ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk Sports Fanatics League (BSFL) – 5000+$ rewards ⭐⚽⭐ on: April 12, 2023, 06:03:53 PM
it is a proper Merseyside derby
we will try to resemble Ancelotti era in Everton, not Lampard Smiley in this round

answers are in the spreadsheet, and ready to start

Benfica and City tonight, have to say that I am really doubtful in this QF round, still thinking about Superbru picks and not sure what to bet on expect goals between City and Bayern

I'll do my best to at least be King Kenny, Rafa, or even Houllier, then in that case. I don't even dare to say names for fear of invoking spirits of bad juju, but man, I still remember Ancelotti joy when you guys had your best start in a long time.

1-0 to you and I can thank Haaland for keeping me in the game. I have a feeling I've already lost NBA. I went for Bulls... but if they win tonight they still have to beat Heat, heh heh...
1828  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Being Russia and Russian now on: April 12, 2023, 03:54:09 PM
I live in Russia, in a province quite far from Moscow. I can't say that in economic terms nothing has changed over the year - some things got better, some things got worse. In general, people here live an ordinary normal life.

Probably the most significant change after the imposition of sanctions - we had to change the dry food for the cat. Previously, the cat ate Royal Canin food, at some point this food began to rise sharply in price and I had to switch to dry food from a local manufacturer, which is better in composition and cheaper in price. I myself also faced sanctions restrictions when I recently wanted to buy summer sneakers, it turned out that Adidas left Russia and I had to buy local brand sneakers. I can’t say that it upset me a lot, the cat doesn’t complain either.

Do you know if people outside are less open to doing business with you? I know I worked with several freelancers before who had to close their accounts on several platforms. Crypto-accepting people are probably less affected, they still have the means to transact, but I'm understanding from anecdotal evidence that clients are less willing to work with them (without actually saying it's because they're Russian).

If there is an effect, there is an impact on revenue coming from outside.
1829  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Discussion: Who is going to fill the gap of Chipmixer by the end of year 2023? on: April 12, 2023, 02:50:38 PM
Trust, really. It's the only thing. One way you can build with reputation and longevity. CM did perhaps get accelerated recognition -- really smart actually, by simply aligning itself with reputable members and campaign managers.

But I think people overlook that they introduced an innovation that hadn't been thought of in years.

6 years later and no mixer's come up with something new (feel free to prove me wrong, I would love to know).
1830  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: April 12, 2023, 09:15:29 AM
1 more day to the Golden Ticket round draw, I got the single ticket I won from a Wheel of Fortune spin, and that's all I'll have, feel lucky enough to win once every draw, I'm gunning for legendary status if I win it from that Wink

Only just learnt after all these years you get a free WoF in email just for wagering 500 sats a day. I'll probably do that every day I remember now, autobet 500 on 1 sat, why not?
1831  Economy / Gambling / Re: FORTUNEJACK.COM |Deposit 777 play with 1777 mBTC |Live Casino, Slots, Betting on: April 11, 2023, 09:34:15 PM
^  Does getting 5 - 6 picks right don't win free bets anymore?  It's 10k or bust now?

Nah they still win freebets, just in dollar value now. Think it used to be 50 mbtc on 6/7? And 20 on 5/7. Waaay back when. Turned a few into very good accas, and a few into crap, but those were the days.

Happy putting money down on boxing these days, but if they bring back 4+1 promos next season, you'll be seeing me coughing sats back into UCL or Prem!
1832  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: April 11, 2023, 06:46:55 PM
I put my beliefs in last two rounds in West Ham, somehow thought they will rise above relegation fight, but obviously wrong
as with many other predictions, since my teams are fighting for relegation, I am too invested in following all other clubs in that region, thinking they are better than they are, and mistakes are just coming one after another

but there is still time to finish it off in nice fashion, especially if both my teams survive tough seasons

Sometimes I think of teams like West Ham with old lenses. I think I make the same mistake with Leeds. You have some standout players, and they get into the mix every now and then, but not enough to pull the entire team up.

Right now, in the league, I find it impossible to name 5 players who are super consistent. Rashford in the form of his life, but he blanked 2 games ago. Saka's probably the only one who's been for the season spending 80% of his game time playing well, but he doesn't score FPL points so regularly.

Haaland? He's like Bitcoin. Can make huge contributions and break records, but will cost you many games and budget gaining no points.

Points-wise, I'm a bit blind in this regard, I feel. It's really not enough to watch games and get the feel for players, you *have* to consider points contribution. That's a whole new aspect I'm still learning about for FPL Smiley
1833  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 - Main sponsor of Southampton FC 👋👋 on: April 11, 2023, 05:27:45 PM
or 5-10% cashback on the house hedge (ie 0.05-0.10% of the 1% house hedge) which is not the same thing at all at the end.

I believe it was this one Smiley cashback on the house edge. So if you wagered 3000, like I'd normally do just for the Easter eggs, then yeah, I'm only looking at $1.50 since Arsenal didn't win.

I generally like taking big hits on these cashbacks though, it's pretty easy to set auto on 100 bets at $20, and then play for the losses regularly. It's all good turnover.

Now the Arsenal/UCL 5 min cashbacks they used to do end of last year during halftime was something special. Not sure if they still do actually, haven't tuned into CHTV for a while. Absolute percentage, win or lose. Easily play 10 rounds and get 10% of total wager back, regardless if you won/loss.

Gee, they must be frustrating to follow sometimes  Huh Huh

Champions League tonight, whats your thoughts on those matches?

To rub salt into the wounds of those taking that special, Barca alone won 12 corners. Funny game, this football.

Bayern today, you know, because Mane needs to draw blood.
1834  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for April on: April 11, 2023, 04:24:26 PM
So we're at the next stop, and it's only Week 2.

Too early to say, (when is it never?) but I do note that price has broken and stayed above 30k, with no signs of let up even as Europe trading closes. Would have expected several retraces but if we stay up a full 24 hours, and then even on Friday, it will be a good breather.

Personally, still waiting for one last big bad event. Don't think people have hurt just as badly as 2020.
1835  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⭐⚽⭐ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk Sports Fanatics League (BSFL) – 5000+$ rewards ⭐⚽⭐ on: April 11, 2023, 02:19:01 PM
@buwaytress
it is that time to have our first h2h match, no matter questions, this will be a hard round, may luck decide who will take three points in the end

looking at NBA, would prefer to see similar question oriented to Euroleague (and there is an almost similar situation, last round, five teams fight for four positions, with a lot of combinations included)
still, NBA it is, and will be answered Smiley

To echo Trofo and every call in the past: May the luckiest bastard win! So yes, in the spirit of luck, I answered every question to the best of my gut knowledge and watching teams play, I doubt injuries affect either team playing too much.

I have to admit I did read the NBA play-in / play-off bits (never heard of play-in before ha) but only just to understand how it all works. Which was good, as without reading I would naturally have gone for all the underdogs Wink

1836  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: EFL English Championship League 2022/2023 on: April 10, 2023, 01:34:32 PM
Goddamn but what's going on with Huddersfield, huh?

Warnock joined and they got their first win in 8 games, great. But then they go the next 3 games scoring zero goals and letting in eight.

Then the point from Canaries, and then boom, blow away Milwall, Boro, Watford... that last game open themselves up an entire 40 minutes, before cranking up the whoopass on them to come from behind and sit 1 point above relegation.

Then today they turn up and give a lesson on clinical finishing, 2 shots in 6 minutes, 2 goals -- Norwich and the 4/5 teams behind playoffs benefit the most!

They'll still most likely end the week in relegation place because of this point, but all it takes is a couple of games and suddenly things look rosy again, huh. This is the form team of the moment... just too bad I couldn't pick them out earlier. Also, winning/drawing all your games with much lower xG? Genius.

Look at this Neil Warnock gem explaining why Huddersfield has become so good!

"It's about having a good manager, innit?"
1837  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | FPL Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: April 10, 2023, 11:51:03 AM
No one did shittier than me, and I'm rage-matching by keeping my entire team and just switching from the bench. If we don't smash Leeds next game, then I'm rage-transferring after this GW. Does prove that you can't really leave a team alone though -- 22 points for me as a punishment for not doing a single transfer. Super ouch.

At this point, I prefer Nunez to blank the entire rest of season so he can come back and Haaland next... Guy can dream can't he?
1838  Economy / Speculation / Re: MicroStrategy Buys Another 1,045 bitcoins for $29.3m on: April 10, 2023, 11:08:23 AM
Nope, currently their net book value is negative. It doesn't look like they bought bitcoins with the excess cash, but rather went into debt to buy it. Unless they're able to turn things around quickly, looks like their only bet is on BTC going up in the near future.

What's more, if nothing changes, this means they will likely be dumping large amounts whether BTC goes up or down:
- if it goes down, they will be facing liquidity problems and will be forced to sell.
- if it goes up, shareholders will want to realise their profits at what they'd consider a top, rather than seeing their long-awaited gains being eaten up by unprofitable operations or risking going through another dump.

So what actually makes you feel secure here?

Yeah, this whole thing doesn't sit well with me -- I was actually pretty chuffed at the initial MS news before, not that I follow much or care much for institutionals, but the move itself, and then Saylor's interviews after, made me think he was pretty damned progressive.

But what happened last year and now this, feels like he's regressing more into gambler mentality more than anything else. Hard to see how they had excess cash in the first place, especially if he had to survive sub-20k levels. Getting into debt then actually would have settled nerves but now when there's still uncertainty in whether the economy's done purging?
1839  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⭐⚽⭐ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk Sports Fanatics League (BSFL) – 5000+$ rewards ⭐⚽⭐ on: April 09, 2023, 05:59:29 PM
-- buwaytress became the only player saying goodbye to the tournament by answering 3 questions correctly.

Thank you for the dubious honour my friend. I note that I crash out of this round, as usual, on Liverpool failing to win. It's my Achilles heel and I need them to turn their games around because I can't help but pick them!

Not taking away anything from BigSlam, he hit so many spot on.

As Klopp said: "...fail in the most beautiful way."

Great game, one of the best draws in football, full of passion and dangerous attacks, and then we have the bum Nunez. Liverpool were the dominant team in the second half and could have won the game if Nunez had converted those chances. Man is consistently bad. Manchester City now control their destiny; win your remaining 10 games and you will be crowned league champions. Not a difficult task if they are knocked out of the Champions League early. I feel for Arsenal

Yeah, I don't say this other games we lost but we should have won this one. Arsenal almost spilled back into old discipline-problem Gunners, but I will feel for them if they don't make it...
1840  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: EFL English Championship League 2022/2023 on: April 09, 2023, 02:42:29 PM
This HT cost me big... Huddersfield was 24/1 around 35th minute to win. But I HAD to wait till HT, and they equalised on the 44th. Went on to win the game, even led 3-1 at some point before letting in another goal.
Losing bet in last minutes is worst feeling but I dont know why you went with Huddersfield match bet, I gave much better options above and they all went great.

You misunderstood me haha. I didn't place any bet, because I was waiting for Half Time.

Had I placed live bet on Huddersfield when they were 1-0 down to Watford, the odds would have been 24/1 (24x!).

Unfortunately they equalised at 44th minute... so the odds no longer looked value to me (back down to 5/1).

I actually really like longshot odd bets like these, as you might have heard me explain many times. Because it's high value for me (I put it very simple. 24/1 means bookies say the outcome only happens 1 in 24 games, but we all know Championship and that kind of comeback is much, much more likely than 1 in 24 times.

Oh and yeah, Kompany's back! So pleased for the bastard whose last goal in one season lost us the league =(
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