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2921  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: smart property as an alternative to invoicing on: February 16, 2013, 11:40:16 AM
Bump! Genius and very smart indeed.

I'm following this closely.
2922  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: I want to learn using MPEX, who wants to help? on: February 11, 2013, 07:57:44 PM
Dont forget to use a referral key to save 6 BTC (check my sign.)
2923  Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx on: February 08, 2013, 02:28:05 PM
Yes indeed, any new features or game could be directly a great game changer in the market imo.
2924  Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx on: February 08, 2013, 01:38:56 PM
IPO funds were mostly used to avoid bankrupt if a month or two months are really unlucky for the house. Happily since the IPO, SD runs pretty well and pretends to massive earnings. SD is almost sure to never meet a bankrupt. But back in time of the release of the IPO (in august) this bright present was not known.

This is smart as most of the clones are in highly risks of bankrupt without fresh cash or they have to stick with ridiculous small bet limits.
2925  Economy / Gambling / Re: BitMillions.com - More than ฿ 1,400 in Prizes - Now Play with ONLY ฿ 0.01 !! on: February 06, 2013, 03:45:14 PM
With that discount, you've just "evoorheesed" the game  Grin
2926  Local / Français / Re: File des nouveaux venus français on: February 06, 2013, 03:37:15 PM
Bonjour,

ASR, linuxien, fan de contre-cultures, alternatives, underground, marginales, avant-garde, etc... Je redécouvre Bitcoin. Et c'est décidé, je viens de faire le premier pas en installant Le logiciel officiel.
Une expérience nouvelle à vivre avec probablement son lot de découvertes et questions. Je compte sur vous  Wink

Bienvenue.   Ne sois pas surpris si le logiciel met plus d'une journée pour télécharger et vérifier la base.   C'est en cours d'optimisation mais actuellement c'est très long.   Heureusement ça n'est à faire qu'une fois.


Je dirais même plusieurs jours. Entre temps si besoin est, tu peux toujours utiliser soit des eWallets, soit Electrum.
2927  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: February 05, 2013, 07:52:54 PM
That's a steady good run  Cheesy
2928  Other / Off-topic / Re: How greedy are you? on: February 05, 2013, 06:01:13 PM
I will bet on 2 nd option all day long

If it's a one time play, I still keep betting on the same choice.

It's not about gambling or be greedy, it's about to take the most +EV decision.

You have 3 different results;

Option 1:
+100 BTC (100% probability)

Option 2:
0 BTC (75% probability)
+1000 BTC (25% probability)

It really isn't a EV case since this is a one time play, I think.

EV doesn't take care about the occurences; EV is +250 Btc on the option 2.

May be you ought to propose +250 BTC (100% probability) on option 1 to offer a real deal or decision versus current Option 2.



But anyway, this kind of greedy study and willingness to take risks has been already studied a lot of time.

The conclusions are these:

1) On winning, people react to be more conservative (take the short profit).
2) On losing, people are more about to take risks (prefer to gamble to avoid loses).

too lazy to find publications... but I'm sure there is a ton about that.
2929  Other / Off-topic / Re: How greedy are you? on: February 05, 2013, 12:31:39 PM

Never thought about it like that. Interesting.


Fundamental for gamblers, especialy poker players but also in real life.
2930  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Investing in satoshiDICE on: February 05, 2013, 11:51:55 AM
Still yet effective.
2931  Other / Off-topic / Re: How greedy are you? on: February 05, 2013, 11:31:43 AM
EV+ second option, why bother?
2932  Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx on: February 02, 2013, 10:52:32 PM
Erik,

Fix that cell or I won't sleep  Cheesy

2933  Economy / Speculation / Re: Yet another analyst :) on: February 02, 2013, 09:30:13 PM
haha :lolgraph:
2934  Economy / Speculation / Re: You shall not pass 27 on: February 01, 2013, 03:07:22 PM
2935  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 30, 2013, 09:50:35 PM
No.

I refuse to cover a short at a loss
I will continue to short more as we go up.

You are just selling. Why try to make it sound like something else? Selling != Short Selling. The extra word provides extra meaning!

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortselling.asp#axzz2JUgmjkCF

I refuse your definition

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Short_%28finance%29
Quote
the practice of selling securities or other financial instruments, with the intention of subsequently repurchasing them ("covering") at a lower price. In the event of an interim price decline, the short seller will profit, since the cost of repurchase will be less than the proceeds received upon the initial (short) sale.

Adam, you did also the same mistake on a S.Dice shares thread...
2936  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: January 30, 2013, 05:55:38 PM
...
The high roller uses the following 8 addresses, by the way:

Code:
15HJgkvj6roZQvNRC3pUJNKP2YgfEuD8wo
17sjYPaYJAvtwXM2q5ojzrCiYewnQMBi9y
1A3z7M6GhpUejQ5eqgSyjVWRuezeepdKKV
1B5h9sf6xNLYGa3NBk48hwYbxyNZ22PRJk
1DBH7Xum2re7LXd8YNSe1uRznttsqeMXGK
1Di6ux3CQBNXCZLD76BsnYWDo6XnFGzQah
1EP4rM8hLZCRSWPNZDWJp9zdvmoWYkkgbQ
1MxgyKiKiHEemMUTJuq9NAbjmhKnUL5Ric

You obviously know what you are doing Smiley Can you figure out, how and where did the coin get to those accounts?
I still like my "idea" (more like a speculation) that this mysterious whale is sdice guy(s) himself and he is only trying to make sdice looks stronger and more profitable to possible future investors.
Only problem is, he "fucked up" and sdice "lost" a boat load of coin Smiley


Even if S.DICE was being fluffed, it would come at 10% expense to the "whale" while losing, because 10% of the dividends are public.

Anyone can bet what they want on the site, even majority shareholders with less to lose (because they'll see some of their losses come back thru dividends). This is only a problem if the odds are in the whale's favor, I think...



Actualy long term it's 10% of the house edge (=0.19%) given to stakeholders. So less tah 200$ lost for the whale every 100,000$ bet. That's cheap for a good advertising (even if i don't trust the conspiracy)
2937  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: January 29, 2013, 09:49:41 PM
Thanks for the deep analysis dooglus.

+0.5 tip
2938  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Investing in satoshiDICE on: January 28, 2013, 11:20:54 AM
All about Dividends related:

- Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=80312.740
Every day a graph about the earnings.

Here the last one (thanks & credits to dooglus):

From 33K -> 51K (+18K) this month on all-time earnings.
Yes that's more than 300,000$ expected this month.



Thread about the IPO:

- S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=101902.0
S.Dice is split into 100M shares. A total of 10M shares have been sold during the IPO.



The trading website:

Follow the current share's price.
http://mpex.co/?mpsic=S.DICE


The official public sheet maintained by "the owner" evorhees (he's not exactly the owner, the story said).
Used to update the dividends every month.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aiec3-Eo_yO5dG5SQklHZG4wRm1GMW9DRWpMMW5UQkE#gid=0
(you can see the costs that are VERY low)



Remember I can do the "passtrough" for you with some micro management that grants you to have the better prices for the shares.
This also avoid 30BTC fees for account creation on MPEX.


Just send me a MP
2939  Economy / Gambling / Re: Bitcoin Gem on: January 28, 2013, 10:18:24 AM
Btw in less than "only" 100 rounds the gem will hit 1M (75*1.1^100).

2940  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Is btchyip a scam? on: January 27, 2013, 10:00:43 PM
Where do you think the money comes from ? From air ?

Yes scam 100%.
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