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Author Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis  (Read 177358 times)
Bowjob
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January 25, 2013, 10:50:12 PM
 #741

Unbelievable.. and to think S.Dice shares sunk to 0.0018 a couple days ago. Havelock's sank to 0.44 too, I messed up and didn't have an order then.

It seemed like a good idea at the time.
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dooglus
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January 25, 2013, 10:58:16 PM
 #742

Here's a type of bet I've not seen before:

tx=b5fe3811c540f70

(I know it's new because it triggered a bug in the SD analysis script).

Someone's taking advantage of the Jan 3rd rule change that allows them to place multiple independent bets on a single target in one transaction.

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January 26, 2013, 02:06:40 PM
 #743

SD seems to be offline and refunding every bet placed.
totaleclipseofthebank
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January 26, 2013, 06:19:14 PM
 #744

SD seems to be offline and refunding every bet placed.

got ddosed apparently. fixed now

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=77870.msg1481347#msg1481347
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January 26, 2013, 08:07:09 PM
 #745

SD seems to be offline and refunding every bet placed.

Lot of double spends against them today:
http://blockchain.info/double-spends

And I guess that the ones that were against other address were "failed" ones. Been none this year then 36 today..
Someone is trying...

Maybe that was why they were returning bets?
Wonder if DDOS was a cover story?
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January 26, 2013, 09:43:45 PM
 #746

Another good day for SatoshiDice!

Quote
Total of 38 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jan-26 01:20pm (up to block 218185)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    75888 |       0 (0.00000) |   74603 |    1285 |     762.65 |       0.01 |   103.62 |    762.63 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3737 |       0 (0.00000) |    3242 |     495 |      59.33 |       0.00 |    17.03 |     59.32 |   0.016
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5841 |       1 (0.00018) |    5420 |     420 |      82.29 |     159.97 |     8.46 |    -77.68 | 194.395
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8561 |       3 (0.00037) |    8133 |     425 |     126.87 |     176.01 |    10.03 |    -49.13 | 138.731
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10389 |       1 (0.00010) |    9976 |     412 |     301.89 |       4.54 |    18.66 |    297.35 |   1.506
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    11448 |       3 (0.00027) |   11053 |     392 |     598.74 |     303.55 |     1.36 |    295.19 |  50.698
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    13777 |      14 (0.00105) |   13346 |     417 |     873.38 |     230.70 |    55.72 |    642.67 |  26.415
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    16070 |      31 (0.00198) |   15607 |     432 |    1929.66 |    1379.09 |    48.32 |    550.57 |  71.468
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17792 |      76 (0.00436) |   17339 |     377 |    2219.90 |    3537.65 |    13.17 |  -1317.75 | 159.361
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    26550 |     199 (0.00769) |   25669 |     682 |    4399.10 |    4119.39 |     9.97 |    279.70 |  93.642
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    84005 |    1279 (0.01531) |   82279 |     447 |   21454.30 |   18396.40 |     1.94 |   3057.90 |  85.747
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20237 |     474 (0.02383) |   19414 |     349 |    6482.27 |    6564.61 |    15.07 |    -82.34 | 101.270
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    49795 |    1537 (0.03111) |   47876 |     382 |   23627.08 |   21112.14 |     9.31 |   2514.93 |  89.356
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23459 |    1072 (0.04652) |   21971 |     416 |    8551.95 |    9762.47 |    25.10 |  -1210.52 | 114.155
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    29159 |    1766 (0.06134) |   27023 |     370 |    6633.72 |    6185.87 |    31.28 |    447.84 |  93.249
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    34435 |    3200 (0.09401) |   30838 |     397 |   13999.64 |   15698.09 |     7.14 |  -1698.45 | 112.132
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   142747 |   17530 (0.12319) |  124770 |     447 |   65831.26 |   65237.54 |   100.21 |    593.71 |  99.098
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    56976 |   10423 (0.18434) |   46118 |     435 |  124883.36 |  127533.44 |  3314.66 |  -2650.08 | 102.122
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   172225 |   41822 (0.24350) |  129930 |     473 |  270798.40 |  259536.18 |  2056.06 |  11262.21 |  95.841
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   165505 |   60683 (0.36780) |  104306 |     516 |  328081.07 |  322032.73 |  1012.95 |   6048.33 |  98.156
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   907753 |  442529 (0.48826) |  463817 |    1407 |  646055.19 |  630666.89 |  2924.12 |  15388.29 |  97.618
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   413694 |  206182 (0.49943) |  206651 |     861 |  473771.04 |  462864.70 |  5720.35 |  10906.33 |  97.698
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   265797 |  195165 (0.73573) |   70102 |     530 |  259376.95 |  253724.32 |  5454.87 |   5652.63 |  97.821
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    50234 |   39552 (0.79406) |   10258 |     424 |   53686.12 |   52577.46 |  1187.18 |   1108.66 |  97.935
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    38689 |   32723 (0.85604) |    5503 |     463 |   54381.26 |   53888.75 |   400.21 |    492.50 |  99.094
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    51166 |   46472 (0.91607) |    4258 |     436 |   54557.03 |   54147.38 |     0.18 |    409.64 |  99.249
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12760 |   11788 (0.98094) |     229 |     743 |   22308.99 |   21925.34 |   239.65 |    383.64 |  98.280
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2619108 | 1071640           | 1533324 |   14144 |  598697.80 |  586046.43 |   224.06 |  12651.36 |  97.887
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    89581 |   42885           |   46407 |     289 | 1847135.74 | 1805718.96 | 22562.70 |  41416.78 |  97.758
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2708689 | 1114525           | 1579731 |   14433 | 2445833.55 | 2391765.39 | 22786.76 |  54068.15 |  97.789
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      54068.15809887 BTC (2.211%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1905.69987500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       52162.45822387 BTC (2.133%)
Pending Liabilities:           -0.22252016 BTC
Final SD Profit:            52162.68074403 BTC (2.133%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8855804  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  4987472  (56.3%)
Blockchain MB:   3775.6  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2046.8  (54.2%)





Here's a summary of all the bets of 200 BTC or more over the last 24 hours or so (ie. there were 3 bets on lessthan 16k of 200 BTC which lost, losing a total of 597 BTC, and 2 bets on lessthan 16k of 200 BTC which won, winning 1201 BTC, a combined win of 604 BTC.  And so on...):

Quote
      3 <16000 BET   200.00000000 LOSE  -199.00050000
      2 <16000 BET   200.00000000 WIN    600.53870000 (1201.0774     - 597.0015  = 604.0759    )

      6 <24000 BET   200.00000000 LOSE  -199.00050000
      4 <24000 BET   200.00000000 WIN    334.02563333 (1336.10253332 - 1194.003  = 142.09953332)

      6 <32000 BET   200.00000000 LOSE  -199.00050000
      4 <32000 BET   200.00000000 WIN    200.76910000 ( 803.0764     - 1194.003  = -390.9266   )

     11 <32768 BET   200.00000000 LOSE  -199.00050000
      9 <32768 BET   200.00000000 WIN    191.39950000 (1722.5955     - 2189.0055 = -466.41     )

     23 <24000 BET   300.00000000 LOSE  -298.50050000
      7 <24000 BET   300.00000000 WIN    501.03870000 (3507.2709     - 6865.5115 = -3358.2406  )

      4 <32000 BET   300.00000000 LOSE  -298.50050000
      1 <32000 BET   300.00000000 WIN    301.15390000 ( 301.1539     - 1194.002  = -892.8481   )

      2 <32768 BET   300.00000000 LOSE  -298.50050000
      3 <32768 BET   300.00000000 WIN    287.09950000 ( 861.2985     - 597.001   = 264.2975    )

>>> 604.0759 + 142.09953332 + -390.9266 + -466.41 + -3358.2406 + -892.8481 + 264.2975
-4097.95236668

Carlos L.
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January 27, 2013, 11:22:31 AM
 #747

It shouldn't take too long to get back to the red line  Wink
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January 27, 2013, 09:35:50 PM
 #748

Quote
Total of 59 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jan-27 01:16pm (up to block 218334)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    76172 |       0 (0.00000) |   74886 |    1286 |     774.49 |       0.01 |   103.63 |    774.47 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3773 |       0 (0.00000) |    3278 |     495 |      61.18 |       0.01 |    17.03 |     61.17 |   0.019
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5890 |       1 (0.00018) |    5469 |     420 |      84.56 |     159.97 |     8.46 |    -75.41 | 189.180
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8600 |       3 (0.00037) |    8172 |     425 |     129.48 |     176.01 |    10.03 |    -46.53 | 135.936
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10444 |       1 (0.00010) |   10031 |     412 |     307.65 |       4.55 |    18.66 |    303.09 |   1.482
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    11488 |       3 (0.00027) |   11092 |     393 |     613.50 |     303.61 |     1.36 |    309.89 |  49.488
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    13824 |      14 (0.00104) |   13392 |     418 |     880.45 |     230.72 |    55.72 |    649.73 |  26.205
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    16120 |      31 (0.00198) |   15657 |     432 |    1946.73 |    1379.16 |    48.32 |    567.57 |  70.845
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17840 |      76 (0.00435) |   17387 |     377 |    2235.51 |    3537.71 |    13.17 |  -1302.19 | 158.250
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    26623 |     199 (0.00767) |   25742 |     682 |    4430.37 |    4119.53 |     9.97 |    310.84 |  92.984
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    84433 |    1284 (0.01529) |   82702 |     447 |   21673.49 |   18545.06 |     1.94 |   3128.42 |  85.566
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20281 |     476 (0.02388) |   19456 |     349 |    6507.23 |    6607.90 |    15.07 |   -100.67 | 101.547
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    50253 |    1557 (0.03122) |   48314 |     382 |   24049.58 |   21826.52 |     9.31 |   2223.06 |  90.756
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23561 |    1076 (0.04649) |   22069 |     416 |    8593.72 |    9767.99 |    25.10 |  -1174.27 | 113.664
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    29212 |    1769 (0.06133) |   27073 |     370 |    6662.48 |    6205.61 |    31.28 |    456.87 |  93.143
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    35283 |    3280 (0.09402) |   31606 |     397 |   14057.27 |   15842.39 |     7.14 |  -1785.12 | 112.699
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   143512 |   17622 (0.12317) |  125443 |     447 |   67027.28 |   66413.97 |   100.21 |    613.30 |  99.085
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    57835 |   10585 (0.18442) |   46811 |     439 |  127136.94 |  130301.77 |  3314.66 |  -3164.83 | 102.489
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   173587 |   42163 (0.24356) |  130947 |     477 |  277400.22 |  265373.56 |  2056.08 |  12026.66 |  95.665
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   167615 |   61449 (0.36774) |  105650 |     516 |  353702.20 |  347680.12 |  1012.95 |   6022.08 |  98.297
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   914578 |  445854 (0.48825) |  467312 |    1412 |  670961.35 |  655793.56 |  2924.13 |  15167.78 |  97.739
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   416521 |  207608 (0.49947) |  208049 |     864 |  494946.39 |  485292.44 |  5720.36 |   9653.94 |  98.049
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   267330 |  196259 (0.73561) |   70538 |     533 |  260105.73 |  254484.14 |  5454.87 |   5621.58 |  97.839
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    50574 |   39818 (0.79399) |   10331 |     425 |   53933.23 |   52772.86 |  1187.18 |   1160.36 |  97.849
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    38968 |   32961 (0.85606) |    5542 |     465 |   54709.23 |   54197.49 |   400.22 |    511.74 |  99.065
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    51937 |   47175 (0.91604) |    4324 |     438 |   55085.22 |   54637.87 |     0.18 |    447.34 |  99.188
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12891 |   11909 (0.98081) |     233 |     749 |   22341.11 |   21957.50 |   239.66 |    383.61 |  98.283
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2638070 | 1079710           | 1544183 |   14177 |  603159.14 |  590540.03 |   224.13 |  12619.11 |  97.908
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    91075 |   43463           |   47323 |     289 | 1927197.59 | 1887072.15 | 22562.70 |  40125.43 |  97.918
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2729145 | 1123173           | 1591506 |   14466 | 2530356.74 | 2477612.19 | 22786.83 |  52744.55 |  97.916
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      52744.55187095 BTC (2.084%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1926.41027500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       50818.14159595 BTC (2.008%)
Pending Liabilities:          192.02495705 BTC
Final SD Profit:            50626.11663890 BTC (2.001%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8909579  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  5025283  (56.4%)
Blockchain MB:   3798.3  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2062.3  (54.3%)




smickles
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January 28, 2013, 04:08:23 AM
 #749

wild  Shocked

dooglus
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January 28, 2013, 07:39:50 PM
 #750

Since the big player came back about a week ago, he's barely stopped playing.  Doesn't he need sleep?  Is he a team?  Will we ever find out what's going on with these huge bets?

Quote
Total of 33 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Jan-28 11:36am (up to block 218471)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    76538 |       0 (0.00000) |   75250 |    1288 |     784.60 |       0.01 |   103.64 |    784.58 |   0.003
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     3801 |       0 (0.00000) |    3305 |     496 |      61.94 |       0.01 |    17.03 |     61.93 |   0.019
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     5914 |       1 (0.00018) |    5493 |     420 |      85.25 |     159.97 |     8.46 |    -74.72 | 187.653
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     8629 |       3 (0.00037) |    8201 |     425 |     130.33 |     176.01 |    10.03 |    -45.68 | 135.052
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    10471 |       1 (0.00010) |   10058 |     412 |     310.28 |       4.56 |    18.66 |    305.72 |   1.471
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    11510 |       3 (0.00027) |   11114 |     393 |     618.08 |     303.62 |     1.36 |    314.45 |  49.124
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    13848 |      14 (0.00104) |   13415 |     419 |     884.07 |     230.73 |    55.72 |    653.33 |  26.099
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    16141 |      31 (0.00197) |   15678 |     432 |    1953.43 |    1379.19 |    48.32 |    574.24 |  70.603
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    17863 |      77 (0.00440) |   17409 |     377 |    2244.85 |    3540.25 |    13.17 |  -1295.40 | 157.706
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    26687 |     200 (0.00769) |   25804 |     683 |    4440.23 |    4120.82 |     9.98 |    319.40 |  92.806
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    85176 |    1296 (0.01530) |   83433 |     447 |   22516.00 |   18862.38 |     1.94 |   3653.61 |  83.773
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    20314 |     476 (0.02384) |   19488 |     350 |    6528.94 |    6608.00 |    15.07 |    -79.05 | 101.211
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    50624 |    1563 (0.03111) |   48677 |     384 |   24864.48 |   22566.69 |     9.31 |   2297.78 |  90.759
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    23607 |    1078 (0.04649) |   22112 |     417 |    8613.96 |    9768.52 |    25.11 |  -1154.56 | 113.403
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    29237 |    1771 (0.06135) |   27096 |     370 |    6666.10 |    6223.21 |    31.28 |    442.88 |  93.356
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    35378 |    3290 (0.09405) |   31691 |     397 |   14087.98 |   15846.38 |     7.14 |  -1758.39 | 112.482
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   144221 |   17700 (0.12311) |  126074 |     447 |   68346.19 |   67952.95 |   100.21 |    393.23 |  99.425
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    58855 |   10760 (0.18420) |   47656 |     439 |  129627.86 |  132861.60 |  3314.66 |  -3233.74 | 102.495
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   175872 |   42710 (0.24351) |  132683 |     479 |  286809.02 |  274504.07 |  2056.09 |  12304.95 |  95.710
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   170200 |   62435 (0.36795) |  107248 |     517 |  400219.08 |  395535.38 |  1012.96 |   4683.70 |  98.830
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   917720 |  447337 (0.48820) |  468970 |    1413 |  690491.99 |  674704.72 |  2924.14 |  15787.26 |  97.714
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   418430 |  208549 (0.49944) |  209013 |     868 |  513691.23 |  503747.21 |  5720.37 |   9944.01 |  98.064
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   268310 |  196962 (0.73554) |   70815 |     533 |  260550.74 |  254908.14 |  5454.87 |   5642.59 |  97.834
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    51621 |   40660 (0.79422) |   10535 |     426 |   54115.20 |   52941.79 |  1187.19 |   1173.41 |  97.832
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    39314 |   33257 (0.85617) |    5587 |     470 |   55723.92 |   55246.87 |   400.23 |    477.05 |  99.144
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |    52871 |   48026 (0.91600) |    4404 |     441 |   55588.06 |   55163.61 |     0.19 |    424.45 |  99.236
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    12983 |   11990 (0.98078) |     235 |     758 |   22362.28 |   21978.70 |   239.67 |    383.58 |  98.285
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  2653388 | 1086153           | 1553023 |   14212 |  606462.68 |  593734.12 |   224.22 |  12728.55 |  97.901
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    92747 |   44037           |   48421 |     289 | 2025853.53 | 1985601.41 | 22562.70 |  40252.11 |  98.013
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  2746135 | 1130190           | 1601444 |   14501 | 2632316.21 | 2579335.54 | 22786.92 |  52980.67 |  97.987
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      52980.67147136 BTC (2.013%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        1943.64387500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       51037.02759636 BTC (1.939%)
Pending Liabilities:           -8.09890172 BTC
Final SD Profit:            51045.12649808 BTC (1.939%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  8957278  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  5056187  (56.4%)
Blockchain MB:   3819.6  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2075.2  (54.3%)

edit: I just noticed the overall graph has been cutting off at 50k BTC, so the line was going off the top!




ThickAsThieves
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January 28, 2013, 07:42:25 PM
 #751

I just want to thank you for doing these stats daily  Cheesy
dooglus
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January 28, 2013, 07:44:22 PM
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I just want to thank you for doing these stats daily  Cheesy

You're welcome.  There's a link in my signature for that...  Wink

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January 28, 2013, 08:20:35 PM
 #753

I just want to thank you for doing these stats daily  Cheesy

You're welcome.  There's a link in my signature for that...  Wink
Obligatory (on bitcointalk) conspiracy theory:

So how much did you (doglus & ethoteipi) managed to squeeze out of Erik Voorhees for keeping this topic on the first page of the Development and Technical Discussion forum?

Is he at least covering your paid account at imgur?

Or are you guys doing just for the cachet and a status symbol?

Without the conspiracy theory:

Can you guys move this thread to the Economy->Marketplace->Gambling where it belongs?

Please comment, critique, criticize or ridicule BIP 2112: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=54382.0
Long-term mining prognosis: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91101.0
ThickAsThieves
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January 28, 2013, 08:39:15 PM
 #754

I just want to thank you for doing these stats daily  Cheesy

You're welcome.  There's a link in my signature for that...  Wink

Just waiting to move some funds around Wink

2112 is correct, this thread probably is probably better off in another forum category.
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January 28, 2013, 08:53:32 PM
 #755

Obligatory (on bitcointalk) conspiracy theory:

So how much did you (doglus & ethoteipi) managed to squeeze out of Erik Voorhees for keeping this topic on the first page of the Development and Technical Discussion forum?

Is he at least covering your paid account at imgur?

Or are you guys doing just for the cachet and a status symbol?

Without the conspiracy theory:

Can you guys move this thread to the Economy->Marketplace->Gambling where it belongs?

I've never received anything from Erik for this thread.  He's tipped me in the past for some private analysis he asked me to do, but nothing for this thread.  I forget what the imgur account cost, but it's probably not covered by the tips I've received from readers of this thread.

I started posting because I thought it was cool how you could find out SD's bottom line from the publicly available blockchain.  I don't really know why I keep posting.  Partly it's a silly obsession, and partly people seem to appreciate it.  It's certainly not a good use of my time.

I don't think I can move the thread, but wouldn't have any objection to it being moved.  It does belong in the gambling section, I agree.

Edit: I just tried to find out who moderates this section, but don't see anyone listed.  Who should I contact about getting the thread moved to 'gambling'?

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January 28, 2013, 09:03:52 PM
 #756

Edit: I just tried to find out who moderates this section, but don't see anyone listed.  Who should I contact about getting the thread moved to 'gambling'?

I'd suggest posting on the "Meta" board and asking for it to be moved. Though I don't know if this is "Gambling" or "Service Discussion". (This thread isn't exactly a solicitation to gamble, after all…)

And thanks for the analysis. I don't know why I keep reading, either, but it is amazing to watch.
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January 28, 2013, 09:16:39 PM
 #757

Though I don't know if this is "Gambling" or "Service Discussion". (This thread isn't exactly a solicitation to gamble, after all...)

Or maybe even Securities as it is about the financials of SatoshiDice.
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January 28, 2013, 09:19:16 PM
 #758

Quote
I started posting because I thought it was cool how you could find out SD's bottom line from the publicly available blockchain.  I don't really know why I keep posting.  Partly it's a silly obsession, and partly people seem to appreciate it.  It's certainly not a good use of my time.

Thanks for all this job !!

Set your price for make it accessible 24/7 with graphs etc.. !
I'm sure all the S.DICE holders we'll be happy to contribute.

Lost coins only make everyone else's coins worth slightly more. Think of it as a donation to everyone.
it has lots of buttery taste..
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January 28, 2013, 09:39:40 PM
 #759

I've never received anything from Erik for this thread.  He's tipped me in the past for some private analysis he asked me to do, but nothing for this thread.  I forget what the imgur account cost, but it's probably not covered by the tips I've received from readers of this thread.

I started posting because I thought it was cool how you could find out SD's bottom line from the publicly available blockchain.  I don't really know why I keep posting.  Partly it's a silly obsession, and partly people seem to appreciate it.  It's certainly not a good use of my time.

I don't think I can move the thread, but wouldn't have any objection to it being moved.  It does belong in the gambling section, I agree.

Edit: I just tried to find out who moderates this section, but don't see anyone listed.  Who should I contact about getting the thread moved to 'gambling'?
Obligatory conspiracy mode: If you didn't get any money directly from Erik then etotheipi simply robbed you from your rightfully gained income. Ask him for a proof that he didn't get any money from Erik! etotheipi will be probably ashamed to admit that he neglected to squeeze any funds from Erik or at least have a cross-promotion deal with him regarding Armory.

Boring mode: I have nothing against your posts. The thread just drifted quite far. The original posts had some data about what percentage of transactions and what percentage of blockchain space is caused by Satoshi Dice. Now it is more about the financial aspect.

etotheipi can move this thread: there should be "move topic" and "lock topic" available to him. It just remains to choose which area to move to.

Please comment, critique, criticize or ridicule BIP 2112: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=54382.0
Long-term mining prognosis: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91101.0
ThickAsThieves
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January 28, 2013, 09:48:30 PM
 #760

It just remains to choose which area to move to.

Definitely "Securities".

Like FTWbitcoinFTW suggests, it could even include other useful data for quick reference, like daily profit/loss, projected monthly dividend per share, or whichever stats make the most sense.

I could also see MPEx or Havelock building these reports into their system for shareholders. The S.DICE business model does provide a unique opportunity to pinpoint the current value per share pretty closely... barring unexpected expense claims from the company, and "bad" months I guess...
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