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341  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Africa Football Discussion Thread || Current discussion: World Cup qualifiers.. on: March 23, 2022, 07:35:39 AM
The Goodnews is that we're now on international breaks and the focus for Africans will be qualifying for the world cup. This week we'll see lots of matches been played and the next week we have the final five that'll be representing Africa at Qatar. What's your prediction on the 1st leg for each fixture.


Ghana vs Nigeria: 2.75/2.8/2.7. Odds are completely open! I would guess a draw here.

DR Congo vs Morocco: 3.2/2.95/2.3. Congo did not qualify for the Africa cup. I think Morocco will have the upper hand after both games, but this first game could also end with a draw.

Cameroon vs Algeria: 2.15/2.9/3.5. Cameroon will win this. 1-0 or 2-0

Mali vs Tunisia: 2.2/2.85/3.5. They played in the Africa cup where Mali won 1-0. I think Mali will be able to win their home game as well.

Egypt vs Senegal: 2.75/2.85/2.65. Everybody is waiting for this match as it's the repeat of the Africa cup final! Odds show that it is completely open! I expect a draw here or a lucky strike of either team to win 1-0. Senegal is the favorite to qualify, but Egypt's home game could take a different turn!
342  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: March 23, 2022, 07:12:38 AM
Ui da wollte hab ich mir ein paar vires gekauft heute und jetzt kostet er aufeinmal über 125 dollar  Grin
meine letzten hab ich bei 80 gekauft und dachte des ist schon teuer  Grin
was meint ihr wieviel luft gibts bei  vires noch nach oben. ?

Ich beobachte das auch weiterhin. Es ist schwierig einzuschätzen. Vires ist im stabilen Aufwartstrend, da würde ich mich nicht dagegenstellen zur Zeit:



Ich denke aktuell ist der Preis hauptsächlich durch die APR der Staking-Rewards getrieben. Solange die über 100% liegen kann der Preis noch weiter hochgehen. Aktuell sind diese bei 115%, dass heißt es ist noch ein bisschen Luft nach oben und es könnte durchaus in die $150 Region in den nächsten Tagen gehen. Vielleicht sehen wir im Zuge einer Übertreibung nach oben dann auch noch höhere Preise.

Hier meine aktuelle Rewardrechnung:



Die Tabelle geht bis Oktober, weil dann der Early-Bird Reward komplett ausgeschüttet wurde. Ich rechne damit, dass sich dann vielleicht auch klärt was denn mit den 2Mio Tokens des Teams wird und wie es mit den Vires-Token Ausschüttungen weitergeht. Die Tabelle geht auch davon aus dass der Reward der Platform konstant bleibt (rot) und dass ähnlich viele Tokens gestakt werden wie es aktuell der Fall ist (lila). Wie man sieht bekommt man also bis Oktober knapp $60 je Vires Token als Rewards ausgeschüttet (wenn man seine Tokens staked)

Der Reward der Platform hat in den letzten Wochen stark zugenommen, wodurch sich auch der Vires-Anstieg der letzten Wochen erklärt. Mittelfristig hängt es fast ausschliesslich davon ab wie sich der Reward entwickelt.

Sofern meine Tabelle eine gute Schätzung der Rewards ist (d.h. wenn diese konstant bleiben), würde ich erwarten dass der Virespreis bis Oktober durch die Tokeninflation etwas fällt, vielleicht so in die Region $80-$100. Es gibt dann ca. doppelt so viele Virestoken (ohne Teamtoken!). Sollten die Teamtoken vorher auftauchen könnte der Preis auch einiges Tiefer gehen.

Mein Fazit (keine Anlageberatung Wink): Wenn man jetzt kauft dann entweder A) zum kurzfristigen Spekulieren dass es in die Region $150-$200 geht oder B) zum staken (und man glaubt an die langfristige positive Entwicklung von Vires). Ansonsten halte und stake ich meine paar Early-Bird Vires und ärgere mich dass ich nicht viel mehr viel früher gekauft habe  Wink
343  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: BAPE on: March 22, 2022, 08:14:51 PM
I am sure nobody will fall victim of these kind of shit coins .
There are thousand of coins available in exchanges with Doxxed team and Contract audited by best companies.
If bape is best token and doxxed team why not do some marketing and launch their IDO despite of posting here with Brand New accounts.
Hm I am not so sure about that  Cheesy
Unfortunately if they only find a handful of people investing some money into their shitcoin they already make a profit and can move on to found "ElonApeCoin" and "DogeApeCoin" by copy pasting existing coins Grin Grin
(This reminds me a bit to Nigerian prince spam emails  Roll Eyes)
344  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Bitgert Vs Shiba inu on: March 22, 2022, 08:11:34 PM
I only get to know Bitgert on my news feed, seems they have been heavily paying bloggers for marketing. I doubt we are going to easily get any Meme that will perform the growth and support of Shiba Inu, otherwise the whole system will be filled with shitcoin rise and dominance.
I am also reading about Bitgert here for the first time. It's diluated market cap is already above $1bn and it's traded on quite a few exchanges already! (check https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitrise-token/markets/)

I don't think they will beat Shiba Inu, actually I don't see how they compete with Shiba Inu at all. Bitgert doesn't look like a memecoin. They rather seem to create another blockchain ecosystem. From browsing their website I don't see how they are different than other existing projects already. If you have more information, please share!
345  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: March 22, 2022, 01:27:49 PM
Look at what the English teams are doing. Liverpool, Manchester City, and Chelsea are all in the champions league and at the same time are topping the English premier league. English clubs are showing a lot of promise in the Uefa champions league.
Well, this is not exactly news. English teams are dominating already for quite some time. 2 out of the last 3 years they even won the Champions League. This year the title will go with a pretty high probability to England again. I only see Bayern Munich with a chance to beat them. A final between Bayern and nay of the English teams is probably the best we can hope for this year  Wink
346  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 21, 2022, 05:40:52 PM
Leipzig against Franfurt and Wolfsburg against leverkusen will play today as the closing of the week.
today is a very meaningful match for Leipzig and Leverkusen...

Leipzig will definitely play with full strength to be able to shift the 3rd position currently occupied by Leverkusen, Leipzig are trying to get a ticket to the UCL, while Leverkusen will also be chasing UCL tickets too and they will not let Wolfburg win. in these two matches, I choose Leipzig and Leverkusen who will win.
It's a shame for Leipzig because indeed when they were quite seeded but really can't expect much when faced with Frankfurt yesterday.
I really hope they win but it's a shame they couldn't perform to their full potential here on the other hand Leverkusen managed to get away with their win and Leipzig now have to still compete with Freiburg because their points are still the same at the moment
Leipzig will play Leverkusen directly in a couple of weeks. I have the feeling that this match could decide who will come out 3rd. Besides, Leverkusen still will have to play Hoffenheim and Freiburg, whereas Leipzig has games against Dortmund and Hoffenheim. Those are the important matches that will make the difference in the end.

Next week's top game is Dortmund vs Leipzig. Odds are at 2.45/3.5/2.75, almost perfectly balanced! I am sceptical that Dortmund will be able to win this game and might bet on Leipzig.
347  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Suggest best 5 exchanges that you experienced on: March 21, 2022, 05:36:30 PM
It did become more and more difficult registering with centralized exchanges due to KYC and regulations. I use Binance and Kucoin but have not registered in any new exchange recently. Besides, I do prefer de-centralized exchanges such as Pancakeswap or the Waves.Exchange.
I feel that with the emergence on DeFi and decentralized exchanges there is no real need to register at a high number of different centralized exchanges anymore.
348  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: SHIBA INU - The Next gem in Altcoin industry on: March 21, 2022, 05:33:55 PM
Hm I am not convinced that it will move up based on that chart alone. It could go very well down another 50%. Shiba Inu's marketcap is quite high, so it would need a solid reason and a lot of new money flowing in for a significant pump. Also now there is also APE around, so more competition on the Memecoin front. In the long run I don't think we will see a high number of Memecoins in the Top50
349  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: March 21, 2022, 12:53:09 PM
Dem oben genannten ist nicht viel hinzuzufügen!  Smiley

Vielleicht noch: Bei Vires gibt es mit den "vTokens" (https://vires.finance/vtokens) auch so etwas ähnliches wie die LP-Token. Die müssten theoretisch auch nach 1 Jahr steuerfrei sein. (Für die gibt es allerdings keine Vires-rewards, die aber eh nur einen kleinen Teil an der APY ausmachen)
350  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 20, 2022, 08:06:23 PM
While Dormund are still drawing against their opponent (Koln). The ball possession are quite balanced, and it seems the game might end in draw. But, is really an important match which Dormund have to win, in order to reduce their points behind Bayern Munich.
20 minutes left in the game and it's still 1-1. At this point I wouldn't even bet on Dortmund anymore, the game is quite balanced, shots are at 6-8. Cologne even has more possession. Current quotes are at 4.5/1.8/3.3. It's gonna be a lucky punch or a draw, I certainly didn't expect Dortmund having such difficulties here, but I guess this is why they aren't any serious competition for Bayern  Embarrassed
351  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 20, 2022, 04:23:01 PM
Leipzig will be playing at home in this match, although both teams are in good form I think Leipzig will be able to win because they are playing in front of their own fans.
The first half has been running for more than 30 minutes but the score so far is still 0-0. leipzig several times made the frankfurt goal threatened but leipzig not yet lucky. while from statistics, frankfurt has not made any threat to the Leipzig goal at all (shot on goal still 0).
The game is in its last minutes and still without any goal. It's looking now like a draw, even though Leipzig dominated most of the game. The draw doesn't help any of the 2 teams. Frankfurt is in the middle of the table, Leipzig fighting for rank 3, but not gaining any advantage with this result. I am optimistic for Leipzig to outrun the opponents though.
352  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 19, 2022, 05:02:04 PM
Today there is lots of movement in the lower ranks.
60minutes into the games we see:
Hertha vs Hoffenheim (1-0) - Hoffenheim could still strike back and shouldn't be underestimated
Stuttgart vs Augsburg (1-2) - A loss would be very bad for Stuttgart
Mainz vs Bielefeld (1-0) - Mainz will likely bring this game home

If the results stay like this then Augsburg and Hertha are scoring big points today whereas Bielefeld and Stuttgart are in big trouble now. The new coach seems to have a positive effect on Hertha!
Stuttgart was able to turn the match around in the last minutes and now has a much more favorable position. It looks like we'll see a close race at the bottom towards the end of the season with only 1 point difference between ranks 14 and 17. The losers of todays games were Augsburg and Bielefeld. Especially Bielefeld lost the last 4 games and needs to turn this around in the next weeks.
353  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 19, 2022, 03:53:58 PM
Today there is lots of movement in the lower ranks.
60minutes into the games we see:
Hertha vs Hoffenheim (1-0) - Hoffenheim could still strike back and shouldn't be underestimated
Stuttgart vs Augsburg (1-2) - A loss would be very bad for Stuttgart
Mainz vs Bielefeld (1-0) - Mainz will likely bring this game home

If the results stay like this then Augsburg and Hertha are scoring big points today whereas Bielefeld and Stuttgart are in big trouble now. The new coach seems to have a positive effect on Hertha!
354  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🔷 Waves Tech - a powerful blockchain-agnostic ecosystem on: March 19, 2022, 03:48:18 PM
Do you still have funds in VIRES right now?  And if so, which coin are you lending there?  Is it usdc?  Again 25% seems just ridiculously high.  Because I always heard once you go higher than say 12% interest, that is where you draw the line.
Yea, I can understand your concern. However in the crypto space you can see much higher interests, but you should also be prepared to lose everything. So only invest what you can afford to lose.

So if for example I want to do that with VIRES right now.  Let say to make it simple try it with 1,000 dollars worth of usd or waves or btc.  I would first convert it to usdc right?  Then I would go to Vires and lend the entire 1,000 usdc?  I always hard usdc is safer than usdt though I don't know why there is concern on usdt since it has been around for so long.  So when you view your balance daily, will that 1,000 usdb go up?  Or you earn usdc every week or how often is that amount deposited?
You get interest every single block, that is every minute! For $1000 & 25% you should get around $0.0005 every minute (or $0.01 every 20 minutes) if I my calculation is correct. Apart from that, this is the way to go: Convert or send 1000 USDC to the Waves blockchain, log into Vires and supply it there.
It is good to quiestion the different stablecoins and I personally also prefer USDC over USDT, but it's impossible to say which is safer.

So basically if you put 1,000 usdc in VIRES now, you probably would expect to earn 250 usdc in a year if you just keep it there?  Again this sounds ridiculous because even blockfi/nexo gives at most 12% interest.  So you would be staking or is it lending usdc in VIRES?  The thing that is confusing is how much interest are borrowers even paying for you to get 25% interest?  They are paying much more than that which seem a bit ridiculous? 
So you mean if just one person puts like $10M into VIRES, everyone's APY will drop?  So have you noticed any big drop since you started?
It's good to ask all those questions for sure. I was looking a bit into Nexo, and they also have risks involved:
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4411029-nexo-risk-analysis-and-customers-review
https://www.reddit.com/r/Nexo/comments/cnrr31/earn_8_interest_what_is_the_catch/
To me it's also not clear where their 12% interest comes from. Somebody has to pay for that. It's either coming from the stablecoin (but this is unlikely as other exchanges like Binance or Kucoin pay much lower interests on USDT) or from Nexo themselves. Maybe they are cross-financing this somehow with some other product they are offering (like issueing Nexo tokens or trading profits). Maybe Nexo is putting your money even on different platforms like Vires to earn even higher profits and only pay the customers parts of that.
There are many ways to earn in the DeFi space. Like if you take Pancakeswap for instance. You can put your money in pools or farms there to earn APYs of up to 400%. Of course those are pools of volatile currencies, but this can be very profitable for some time anyway. I find it totally plausbile that there are people borrowing stablecoins on Vires (or other platforms), paying 30% interest for them and investing them into such high yield pools. Of course another question is how long are such high yields sustainable. So far it seems to work, but nobody knows how long this can go on.

Well I want to know the safest investment.  Like if you stake usdc/usdt or gusd on blockfi or nexo or gemini, you going to get that flat stablecoin rate percentage no matter what.  Of course it can drop and you get less percentage but you know what the number will be when it drops to a certain number.  So with the waves exchange, which would that be?  USDN seem to fluctuate always?  Well blockfi pays that interest because borrowers pay more interest.
Nobody wil be able to tell you what is the safest investment between Vires, other Waves products, Nexo or Blockfi. Any of those platforms might or might not exist in a couple of years from now. None of them are "classical" banks with funds protected by goverment regulation.

One advantage of the Waves platform is that creating an account is not subject to any KYC. For instance, I read today that Blockfi apparently had a leak of customer data (https://coingape.com/just-in-blockfi-data-breach/). I don't think something like this is even possible for Waves wallets. You would lose maximum your email address here (but this might also be impossible as the data is likely not stored in a centralized manner).

As you point out, one difference between Nexo/Blockfi and Waves is that Waves updates their APYs constantly (most products for every single block/minute), so the APYs are fluctuating much stronger here. You can check the past APYs on Vires by checking the "Stats" section at the bottom of the coin pages (e.g. https://vires.finance/markets/6XtHjpXbs9RRJP2Sr9GUyVqzACcby9TkThHXnjVC5CDJ).
355  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 19, 2022, 02:11:10 PM
currently playing and 80min into the game are
Dusseldorf vs Hamburg (0-0)
Schalke vs Hannover (2-1)
Sandhausen vs Rostock (0-1)

Hamburg is a bit disappointing, it doesn't look like they'll be able to win. Rather they might even lose the game in the last minutes...
Schalke will close the gap to the 3rd rank. Of course it will depend on the Bremen vs Darmstadt game later how it'll look like
Rostock might win again and is now far away from the bottom and in the safe zone.
356  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 19, 2022, 07:02:40 AM
st.pauli won again yesterday. 1:0 against heidenheim. st.pauli now has 51 points and have really good chances to advance to the 1.bundesliga.
the other game yesterday karlsruhe won 3:0 in aue. today there are 3 super interesting games:
schalke 04 vs. hannover 96
düsseldorf vs. hamburger sv
werder bremen vs darmstadt 98
i think schalke and hsv have to win their games to have a chance to move up to the first league this year.
This was an important win for St.Pauli. I think it's save to say that Heidenheim now is out of the race for the top3
I do expect Schalke, Hamburg and also Nürnberg to win.
Bremen vs Darmstadt is the top game obviously. For both teams very important, it's kind of a "6 points game" as both teams are now with the same number of points and for the sake of not making it too close of a race for advancing to the first league both can't afford to lose here.
357  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: March 18, 2022, 09:45:51 PM
Das mit dem vires wundert mich auch warum bekommt man immer mehr wenn immer mehr vires gestaked sind das müste doch immer weniger rewards sein.
Im Vergleich von vor 9 Tagen gingen die supply/borrows nach oben (und damit auch die Rewards). Die borrow Zinsen sind ja recht hoch, aber trotzdem scheint da eine hohe Nachfrage zu bestehen. Vielleicht setzen ein paar Wale auf steigende BTC/Waves/Crypto Kurse?
358  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: March 18, 2022, 05:55:45 PM
Bei den Liquiditätspools kommen jetzt einige hinzu, einmal sehen wie gut sie gefüllt werden und auch von außerhalb angenommen werden. Wenn ja sollte es Liquidität zu Waves bringen.

Das bei Waves nichts gemacht wird kann man nicht behaupten, ob es immer in die richtige Richtung geht ist was anderes.
Wow, sehr schön! Es scheint jetzt doch mit größeren Schritten voran zu gehen auf der Waves.Exchange (nachdem Tokenmässig ja die letzten Jahre nicht viel passiert ist)
Persönlich finde ich es gut mehr Auswahl bei den Stablecoins zu haben. Jetzt müssen sie nur noch alle bei Vires hinzugefügt werden Smiley

Bei Vires läuft es anscheinend auch hervorragend. Im Vergleich zu meiner Rechnung von vor 9 Tagen (siehe unten):
Hat der Preis 20% zugelegt auf $97 und die Rewards haben über 50% zugelegt auf jetzt $11.7 pro Monat und gestakten Token  Shocked

Solten dort jetzt die anderen Stablecoins (BUSD & DAI) kommen und ähnlich populär werden wie USDT und USDC dann könnte der Preis durchaus noch ein gutes Stück nach oben gehen

Vires steht jetzt bei $79
Ich bin ein wenig überrascht, dass sich die APY für das Vires-Staking so hoch hält. Aktuell sind 117k von 310k der Token im Staking (https://wavescap.com/asset/VIRES/info) und je Monat gibt es fast $7 je token. Bis Oktober sollte die Gesamtzahl der Token auf ca 650k anwachsen (Early-Bird + Bonus).
Sollten die Rewards konstant bleiben und von den neuen Token ein ähnlicher Anteil ins Staking fließen, dann beträgt die Ausschüttung bis Ende Oktober ca $32 je Vires Token.

Ich habe immer noch nichts vom Verbleib der Team Tokens gehört oder gelesen. Laut https://medium.com/vires-finance/vires-token-early-bird-campaign-ed3835be3ad6 gibt es davon 2 Mio bis Ende Oktober. Sollten die jetzt "über Nacht" auftauchen und komplett gestakt werden, dann würden die Rewards auf ca $8 je Vires (bis Ende Oktober) sinken. Ich denke nicht dass das Team sowas macht, da dadurch auch der Virespreis heftig einbrechen würde, aber langfristig sollte man das im Auge behalten.

Viel Preisfantasie vom aktuellen Preis ($79) nach oben sehe ich nicht, aber wer weiss, vielleicht zieht Vires in den nächsten Monaten ja tatsächlich verstärkt Nutzer an oder überrascht mit Updates. Stell doch ein paar gestaffelte Kauforders rein, der Markt ist ja nicht so liquide. Falls es einen dump gibt kannst du so ein paar aufsammlen.
359  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: The new star of the stock market is APE COIN!! on: March 18, 2022, 05:44:53 PM
I bought it for $7.35 and sold it for $18 a day later. It's currently $13. 1 billion units of this coin were offered for sale. At the moment, it is 20% of its capacity and when it reaches 40%, my expectation is 45 dollars.
Why do you think it can rise that much with such high token inflation? The Fully diluted MC is at $13bn which would place it above SHIB. I currently see them as very similar coins, based entirely on the web3/meme hype. I don't see any real purpose in them other then creating an artifical hype and I don't think I will invest in any of them in the short term.
360  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Prediction for March!! on: March 18, 2022, 12:57:05 PM
I think technical charts and Technical indicators don't help much in decision making when Financial markets are in panic due to war in Ukraine and expected increase in Interest rates are the major cause of selling in crypto and stock market. The next move of Bitcoin will unfolds in Ukraine and what announcement comes from FED about interest rate.
I agree completely. When things are this weird, it is not really that simple to get things going, you have to actually pull something off to make sure that you could make a profit that nobody else can think of. If you just check the current markets and think that charts could give you an idea of what will happen, or think that indicators will help you then you have to realize that everyone else can do that.

If it was as simple as reading charts, even if people can't read it, there will be ones who can and tell others and we all would know what bitcoin will do. This proves that we are in a situation where crypto can't be known by looking at some charts at all times.
The war will definitely affect the markets in the short term, but whether it will have a long lasting effect on the crypto markets in the long run is a different story. Of course an escalation with NATO or other countries involved would be very bad, but I don't see significant long term effects based on the ongoing war.
(I am talking about BTC/crypto only. Stocks, bonds or commodities might be affected in a completely different way and I don't think we are even seeing the beginning of the longer running effects here)
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