Came to WO twice to post Michael Saylor’s this stunning bull but got distracted by other things


https://x.com/saylor/status/1716793529895198735

That's not an assumption - it's pure math.

Let's say your coin is biased to 60% heads, 40% tails. The probability of HT is 0.6*0.4 = 0.24. The probability of TH is 0.4*0.6 = 0.24. The probability is identical. This is the whole premise behind von Neumann's algorithm - you know HT and TH are equally probable without the need to perform any statistical testing of your coin.

There are some confusion that might make me a little doubtful about the development of Bitcoin prices and adoption in 2024, which we all know that we will face Halving Bitcoin as well as the ETF agreement which is the most powerful indicator in encouraging Bitcoin prices, so that many people are speculating and accused The nominal is quite fantastic in Bitcoin in the last 2 years of the current cycle.

There is a dilemma that disturbs my mind, about the wider potential of war in the region of Palestine, we witness the reactions of various countries at the end of this week in the area, and show the great power of the eastern and western blocs, which we know that America and Friends said firmly that they became a strong supporter of Israel's annexation to the Palestinian region. Conversely Russia, North Korea and neighboring Palestinians, Turkey, Afghanistan, Iran and others support Palestinian independence and are ready to be behind Palestinian troops, which all makes conflict and political tension of the power of the world's major blocks that might trigger a big war to occur if did not find a meeting point in this conflict.

From various sequences of problems and many aspects that can be associated, I become doubtful with the price development of Bitcoin which in the event of this war is enlarged, so as usual Bitcoin will experience a price decline, even though we know it is not just bitcoin that will be a victim of this conflict happen.

I do not mean to frighten or make FUD, I just want to discuss to share thoughts, but for an bitcoin intelligent investor, how do you respond to conflicts that have probability to suppress Bitcoin prices?

It's one of question which differs from person to person. How do you define richness?

These are the monthly statistics for July 2022 below.

---

	User name	Received merits	Sent merits	Accumulated sMerits
1)	gmaxwell	154 (in 28 txns from 15 users)	0	77 (max 77)
2)	satoshi	125 (in 13 txns from 8 users)	0	62 (max 62)
3)	DannyHamilton	165 (in 27 txns from 14 users)	21 (in 4 txns to 4 users)	61 (max 61)
4)	Ratimov	197 (in 106 txns from 50 users)	39 (in 1 txn)	59 (max 59)
5)	Agbe	263 (in 80 txns from 59 users)	75 (in 30 txns to 22 users)	56 (max 87)
6)	witcher_sense	179 (in 70 txns from 34 users)	41 (in 24 txns to 16 users)	48 (max 48)
7)	AlexanderCurl	84 (in 11 txns from 10 users)	0	42 (max 42)
	ibminer	78 (in 10 txns from 10 users)	3 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	36 (max 36)
9)	achow101	82 (in 43 txns from 14 users)	5 (in 1 txn)	36 (max 36)
10)	fennec	70 (in 5 txns from 5 users)	0	35 (max 35)
11)	gagux123	84 (in 30 txns from 10 users)	9 (in 9 txns to 5 users)	33 (max 34)
12)	Richy_T	90 (in 22 txns from 13 users)	12 (in 11 txns to 10 users)	33 (max 33)
13)	Gavin Andresen	63 (in 3 txns from 3 users)	0	31 (max 31)
14)	SquirrelJulietGarden	147 (in 70 txns from 33 users)	43 (in 35 txns to 29 users)	30 (max 32)
15)	Rath_	67 (in 27 txns from 15 users)	6 (in 3 txns to 3 users)	27 (max 27)
16)	DooMAD	83 (in 21 txns from 13 users)	14 (in 7 txns to 6 users)	27 (max 30)
17)	ANONSPORTS	50 (in 1 txn)	0	25 (max 25)
18)	0xwork	50 (in 18 txns from 10 users)	0	25 (max 25)
19)	Hal	50 (in 1 txn)	0	25 (max 25)
20)	Little Mouse	81 (in 19 txns from 12 users)	16 (in 15 txns to 13 users)	24 (max 28)
21)	Snork1979	53 (in 15 txns from 4 users)	2 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	24 (max 24)
22)	sportsbet.io	50 (in 3 txns from 2 users)	1	24 (max 24)
23)	naira	63 (in 26 txns from 11 users)	7 (in 7 txns to 6 users)	24 (max 26)
24)	laszlo	49 (in 1 txn)	0	24 (max 24)
25)	Janyiah201	47 (in 19 txns from 11 users)	0	23 (max 23)
26)	hivewallet	46 (in 4 txns from 1 user)	0	23 (max 23)
27)	aysg76	95 (in 46 txns from 16 users)	24 (in 20 txns to 15 users)	23 (max 25)
28)	jim618	44 (in 1 txn)	0	22 (max 22)
29)	Plaguedeath	44 (in 13 txns from 5 users)	0	22 (max 22)
30)	DaveF	154 (in 84 txns from 33 users)	55 (in 21 txns to 17 users)	22 (max 22)
31)	JimboToronto	66 (in 23 txns from 14 users)	11 (in 9 txns to 9 users)	22 (max 25)
32)	BitcoinBunny	66 (in 39 txns from 15 users)	11 (in 6 txns to 6 users)	22 (max 22)
33)	forrestv	45 (in 1 txn)	0	22 (max 22)
34)	newalias	53 (in 16 txns from 10 users)	5 (in 1 txn)	21 (max 21)
35)	Wilhelm	44 (in 24 txns from 16 users)	1	21 (max 21)
36)	_BlackStar	126 (in 44 txns from 21 users)	43 (in 43 txns to 33 users)	20 (max 20)
37)	odolvlobo	45 (in 22 txns from 11 users)	2 (in 2 txns to 1 user)	20 (max 20)
38)	jackg	52 (in 31 txns from 14 users)	6 (in 6 txns to 6 users)	20 (max 20)
39)	ranochigo	40 (in 18 txns from 9 users)	0	20 (max 20)
40)	infofront	41 (in 1 txn)	0	20 (max 20)
41)	btc_enigma	38 (in 11 txns from 7 users)	0	19 (max 19)
42)	BlackBoss_	36 (in 18 txns from 12 users)	0	18 (max 18)
43)	Best_Change	41 (in 12 txns from 7 users)	2 (in 1 txn)	18 (max 18)
44)	mocacinno	48 (in 22 txns from 15 users)	6 (in 6 txns to 6 users)	18 (max 19)
45)	theymos	36 (in 21 txns from 12 users)	0	18 (max 18)
46)	Jossque	64 (in 18 txns from 10 users)	15 (in 14 txns to 13 users)	17 (max 17)
47)	TraderTimm	35 (in 11 txns from 7 users)	0	17 (max 17)
48)	nc50lc	83 (in 54 txns from 20 users)	24 (in 24 txns to 20 users)	17 (max 22)
49)	DarkStar_	70 (in 30 txns from 28 users)	18 (in 3 txns to 2 users)	17 (max 17)
50)	Pieter Wuille	33 (in 9 txns from 4 users)	0	16 (max 16)
51)	Arriemoller	48 (in 12 txns from 9 users)	8 (in 7 txns to 6 users)	16 (max 19)
52)	hilariousandco	35 (in 18 txns from 13 users)	1	16 (max 17)
53)	d_eddie	32 (in 5 txns from 3 users)	0	16 (max 16)
54)	famososMuertos	66 (in 48 txns from 13 users)	18 (in 15 txns to 13 users)	15 (max 18)
55)	shasan	33 (in 14 txns from 11 users)	1	15 (max 15)
56)	batesresearch	30 (in 13 txns from 9 users)	0	15 (max 15)
57)	BrutalBear	28 (in 12 txns from 10 users)	0	14 (max 14)
58)	light_warrior	28 (in 13 txns from 8 users)	0	14 (max 14)
59)	ImThour	99 (in 44 txns from 26 users)	35 (in 29 txns to 18 users)	14 (max 21)
60)	Bitcasino.io Support	62 (in 17 txns from 6 users)	17 (in 16 txns to 9 users)	14 (max 14)
61)	igor72	34 (in 13 txns from 5 users)	3 (in 3 txns to 2 users)	14 (max 14)
62)	tromp	34 (in 17 txns from 7 users)	3 (in 3 txns to 2 users)	14 (max 14)
63)	Paolo.Demidov	69 (in 23 txns from 5 users)	20 (in 10 txns to 6 users)	14 (max 19)
64)	buwaytress	109 (in 47 txns from 25 users)	40 (in 37 txns to 25 users)	14 (max 15)
65)	SparrowOnTheMoon	46 (in 25 txns from 7 users)	10 (in 8 txns to 7 users)	13 (max 13)
66)	tread93	35 (in 13 txns from 13 users)	4 (in 3 txns to 3 users)	13 (max 13)
67)	PrimeNumber7	46 (in 25 txns from 16 users)	10 (in 9 txns to 9 users)	13 (max 13)
68)	xzone	59 (in 12 txns from 7 users)	16 (in 14 txns to 10 users)	13 (max 15)
69)	Paashaas	42 (in 22 txns from 13 users)	8 (in 8 txns to 8 users)	13 (max 13)
70)	Numeral	25 (in 7 txns from 2 users)	0	12 (max 12)
71)	Hold-n-play	24 (in 7 txns from 3 users)	0	12 (max 12)
72)	nullama	26 (in 14 txns from 6 users)	1	12 (max 12)
73)	igehhh	114 (in 51 txns from 27 users)	45 (in 32 txns to 21 users)	12 (max 12)
74)	Rikafip	137 (in 69 txns from 29 users)	56 (in 55 txns to 32 users)	12 (max 12)
75)	Gianluca95	38 (in 25 txns from 22 users)	7 (in 5 txns to 5 users)	12 (max 14)
76)	Daltonik	42 (in 23 txns from 10 users)	9 (in 5 txns to 5 users)	12 (max 13)
77)	TheBeardedBaby	29 (in 10 txns from 8 users)	2 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	12 (max 13)
78)	Gachapin	74 (in 35 txns from 16 users)	26 (in 25 txns to 19 users)	11 (max 20)
79)	mv1986	61 (in 20 txns from 6 users)	19 (in 16 txns to 12 users)	11 (max 24)
80)	aoluain	34 (in 14 txns from 13 users)	6 (in 6 txns to 6 users)	11 (max 11)
81)	HI-TEC99	36 (in 19 txns from 8 users)	7 (in 7 txns to 7 users)	11 (max 13)
82)	Lucasgabd	32 (in 25 txns from 7 users)	5 (in 5 txns to 3 users)	11 (max 11)
83)	Betwrong	39 (in 21 txns from 10 users)	8 (in 7 txns to 7 users)	11 (max 14)
84)	dragospirvu75x	21 (in 12 txns from 6 users)	0	10 (max 10)
85)	Cricktor	24 (in 11 txns from 8 users)	2 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	10 (max 10)
86)	danadc	20 (in 15 txns from 4 users)	0	10 (max 10)
87)	GazetaBitcoin	105 (in 41 txns from 17 users)	42 (in 21 txns to 9 users)	10 (max 10)
88)	Discounted	21 (in 9 txns from 6 users)	0	10 (max 10)
89)	jokers10	34 (in 11 txns from 4 users)	7 (in 7 txns to 5 users)	10 (max 11)
90)	j2002ba2	41 (in 6 txns from 4 users)	10 (in 1 txn)	10 (max 10)
91)	Mahdirakib	71 (in 45 txns from 24 users)	25 (in 23 txns to 19 users)	10 (max 15)
92)	DeathAndTaxes	21 (in 6 txns from 1 user)	0	10 (max 10)
93)	LoyceMobile	32 (in 22 txns from 13 users)	6 (in 1 txn)	10 (max 10)
94)	tranthidung	188 (in 99 txns from 46 users)	84 (in 63 txns to 38 users)	10 (max 10)
95)	mr.relax	23 (in 20 txns from 13 users)	1	10 (max 10)
96)	PX-Z	34 (in 21 txns from 13 users)	7 (in 7 txns to 4 users)	10 (max 13)
97)	lassdas	21 (in 15 txns from 6 users)	0	10 (max 10)
98)	jack0m	29 (in 10 txns from 3 users)	4 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	10 (max 13)
99)	348Judah	18 (in 14 txns from 8 users)	0	9 (max 9)
100)	vjudeu	39 (in 10 txns from 5 users)	10 (in 5 txns to 3 users)	9 (max 15)
101)	BusinessChain	18 (in 8 txns from 7 users)	0	9 (max 9)
102)	darkv0rt3x	69 (in 42 txns from 19 users)	25 (in 20 txns to 11 users)	9 (max 9)
103)	Darker45	28 (in 16 txns from 10 users)	5 (in 5 txns to 5 users)	9 (max 10)
104)	Bitstar_coin	18 (in 12 txns from 11 users)	0	9 (max 9)
105)	lordbelford	16 (in 6 txns from 6 users)	0	8 (max
106)	RequestPrivacy	16 (in 5 txns from 5 users)	0	8 (max
107)	Davidvictorson	130 (in 55 txns from 30 users)	57 (in 27 txns to 21 users)	8 (max 12)
108)	DesktopCommando	17 (in 3 txns from 1 user)	0	8 (max
109)	Apocollapse	19 (in 16 txns from 10 users)	1	8 (max
110)	stwenhao	16 (in 9 txns from 5 users)	0	8 (max
111)	giszmo	17 (in 3 txns from 3 users)	0	8 (max
112)	yhiaali3	35 (in 15 txns from 12 users)	9 (in 7 txns to 4 users)	8 (max 10)
113)	Krubster	16 (in 14 txns from 8 users)	0	8 (max
114)	Artemis3	16 (in 10 txns from 4 users)	0	8 (max
115)	DaRude	23 (in 5 txns from 3 users)	3 (in 3 txns to 3 users)	8 (max 9)
116)	bakasabo	17 (in 6 txns from 5 users)	0	8 (max
117)	Phil_S	17 (in 5 txns from 4 users)	0	8 (max
118)	romero121	26 (in 9 txns from 5 users)	5 (in 3 txns to 3 users)	8 (max 10)
119)	Lucius	109 (in 64 txns from 32 users)	46 (in 46 txns to 40 users)	8 (max 11)
120)	Majestic-milf	34 (in 15 txns from 12 users)	10 (in 5 txns to 4 users)	7 (max
121)	_act_	49 (in 32 txns from 15 users)	17 (in 12 txns to 9 users)	7 (max 9)
122)	pbies	21 (in 8 txns from 5 users)	3 (in 3 txns to 3 users)	7 (max 7)
123)	larry_vw_1955	14 (in 6 txns from 5 users)	0	7 (max 7)
124)	Dave1	16 (in 10 txns from 10 users)	1	7 (max 7)
125)	meser#	32 (in 24 txns from 18 users)	9 (in 9 txns to 7 users)	7 (max 13)
126)	PawGo	51 (in 27 txns from 17 users)	18 (in 11 txns to 9 users)	7 (max 14)
127)	Altryist	39 (in 13 txns from 4 users)	12 (in 9 txns to 2 users)	7 (max 7)
128)	5Ksana_HandMade	15 (in 6 txns from 5 users)	0	7 (max 7)
129)	BitDane	14 (in 6 txns from 5 users)	0	7 (max 7)
130)	blackjack.fun	15 (in 11 txns from 11 users)	0	7 (max 7)
131)	markm	14 (in 3 txns from 2 users)	0	7 (max 7)
132)	Bitcoin_Arena	39 (in 23 txns from 17 users)	12 (in 12 txns to 12 users)	7 (max 9)
133)	TopTort777	29 (in 14 txns from 6 users)	7 (in 7 txns to 5 users)	7 (max 7)
134)	GreatArkansas	15 (in 8 txns from 7 users)	0	7 (max 7)
135)	andy_pelevin	36 (in 13 txns from 5 users)	11 (in 6 txns to 5 users)	7 (max 9)
136)	cr1776	19 (in 9 txns from 6 users)	2 (in 2 txns to 1 user)	7 (max 7)
137)	qwk	19 (in 13 txns from 9 users)	2 (in 1 txn)	7 (max 7)
138)	Kakmakr	14 (in 8 txns from 8 users)	0	7 (max 7)
139)	boosblock	12 (in 4 txns from 4 users)	0	6 (max 6)
140)	tiltedIceCream	13 (in 6 txns from 6 users)	0	6 (max 6)
141)	drbitcoinpod	12 (in 3 txns from 3 users)	0	6 (max 6)
142)	Zaguru12	13 (in 7 txns from 6 users)	0	6 (max 6)
143)	foggoat	12 (in 3 txns from 3 users)	0	6 (max 6)
144)	LegendaryK	13 (in 6 txns from 2 users)	0	6 (max 6)
145)	Sandra_hakeem	18 (in 10 txns from 9 users)	3 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	6 (max 6)
146)	FXforfun	13 (in 9 txns from 2 users)	0	6 (max 6)
147)	Charles-Tim	68 (in 47 txns from 24 users)	28 (in 26 txns to 20 users)	6 (max 7)
148)	tenant48	13 (in 4 txns from 4 users)	0	6 (max 6)
149)	Rizzrack	45 (in 28 txns from 17 users)	16 (in 10 txns to 9 users)	6 (max 7)
150)	dominguero	18 (in 15 txns from 3 users)	3 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	6 (max 7)
151)	Razmirraz	23 (in 16 txns from 12 users)	5 (in 5 txns to 5 users)	6 (max 6)
152)	Boristhecat	19 (in 11 txns from 7 users)	3 (in 3 txns to 3 users)	6 (max 7)
153)	madmartyk	12 (in 4 txns from 1 user)	0	6 (max 6)
154)	-ck	13 (in 4 txns from 3 users)	0	6 (max 6)
155)	Biodom	40 (in 22 txns from 9 users)	14 (in 13 txns to 12 users)	6 (max 7)
156)	coinlocket$	13 (in 9 txns from 6 users)	0	6 (max 6)
157)	UmerIdrees	17 (in 16 txns from 10 users)	2 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	6 (max 6)
158)	dr.cheema	12 (in 3 txns from 1 user)	0	6 (max 6)
159)	seoincorporation	48 (in 31 txns from 17 users)	18 (in 17 txns to 13 users)	6 (max
160)	Senialayl	10 (in 1 txn)	0	5 (max 5)
161)	GFDhd	10 (in 4 txns from 3 users)	0	5 (max 5)
162)	Ramanspain	11 (in 7 txns from 4 users)	0	5 (max 5)
163)	JaimeAlejandro	11 (in 5 txns from 5 users)	0	5 (max 5)
164)	kudosinitchi	12 (in 8 txns from 6 users)	1	5 (max 5)
165)	ajaxtempest	11 (in 5 txns from 3 users)	0	5 (max 5)
166)	Diplester6666	10 (in 6 txns from 3 users)	0	5 (max 5)
167)	Dunamisx	34 (in 24 txns from 12 users)	12 (in 6 txns to 6 users)	5 (max 5)
168)	stanner.austin	11 (in 5 txns from 5 users)	0	5 (max 5)
169)	BernyJB	11 (in 6 txns from 2 users)	0	5 (max 5)
170)	Bushdark	83 (in 34 txns from 23 users)	36 (in 13 txns to 9 users)	5 (max 19)
171)	Dernoste	12 (in 5 txns from 3 users)	1	5 (max 5)
172)	AFK	10 (in 4 txns from 4 users)	0	5 (max 5)
173)	Spokanistan51	10 (in 6 txns from 5 users)	0	5 (max 5)
174)	JeromeTash	18 (in 14 txns from 9 users)	4 (in 4 txns to 4 users)	5 (max 6)
175)	holydarkness	10 (in 3 txns from 3 users)	0	5 (max 5)
176)	womanderful	15 (in 13 txns from 4 users)	2 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	5 (max 5)
177)	NILIcoin	10 (in 1 txn)	0	5 (max 5)
178)	whitslack	10 (in 1 txn)	0	5 (max 5)
179)	realdantreccia	20 (in 1 txn)	5 (in 3 txns to 3 users)	5 (max 9)
180)	taikuri13	10 (in 1 txn)	0	5 (max 5)
181)	xtraelv	10 (in 3 txns from 3 users)	0	5 (max 5)
182)	fiulpro	16 (in 9 txns from 7 users)	3 (in 3 txns to 3 users)	5 (max 6)
183)	FallingKnife	10 (in 1 txn)	0	5 (max 5)
184)	Zuzma	10 (in 3 txns from 1 user)	0	5 (max 5)
185)	lossnet	12 (in 5 txns from 4 users)	1	5 (max 5)
186)	Coin-1	19 (in 10 txns from 4 users)	4 (in 4 txns to 4 users)	5 (max 7)
187)	tweetious	10 (in 4 txns from 4 users)	0	5 (max 5)
188)	thefiniteidea	10 (in 1 txn)	0	5 (max 5)
189)	bbc.reporter	54 (in 17 txns from 12 users)	22 (in 22 txns to 13 users)	5 (max 6)
190)	slackovic	16 (in 14 txns from 7 users)	3 (in 2 txns to 2 users)	5 (max 7)
191)	samr7	10 (in 1 txn)	0	5 (max 5)
192)	pusur	13 (in 8 txns from 5 users)	1	5 (max 5)
193)	3meek	12 (in 7 txns from 3 users)	1	5 (max 5)
194)	Mitchell	20 (in 1 txn)	5 (in 5 txns to 2 users)	5 (max 6)
195)	yogg	10 (in 5 txns from 5 users)	0	5 (max 5)
196)	mprep	20 (in 8 txns from 6 users)	5 (in 1 txn)	5 (max 5)
197)	frenchboymtl	8 (in 3 txns from 3 users)	0	4 (max 4)
198)	Gginger	8 (in 3 txns from 3 users)	0	4 (max 4)
199)	lucas jeffrey	8 (in 4 txns from 3 users)	0	4 (max 4)
200)	G_Besar	11 (in 2 txns from 2 users)	1	4 (max 4)

---

In July 2022 total accumulated 3634 sMerits (by 762 users):

• 207 Legendaries accumulated 1677 (46%) sMerits
• 123 Hero Members accumulated 527 (15%) sMerits
• 82 Sr. Members accumulated 356 (10%) sMerits
• 76 Full Members accumulated 262 (7%) sMerits
• 164 Members accumulated 646 (18%) sMerits
• 110 Jr. Members accumulated 166 (5%) sMerits

Till now my parents are bearing the cost of my education, I have recently completed my college education and my parents wish me to complete my graduation by studying in a private university. We have a small cow farm and we have some cows in this farm out of which some months ago my father sold one cow and deposited about one and a half thousand dollars (I said the value in dollars for everyone's understanding) in the bank for my education. It will take about four to five months to get admission in the university. I didn't plan to do anything with the money I saved for my education but recently the price of bitcoin has increased by about 10 thousand dollars and seeing this increase I think that I should invest in bitcoin now instead of leaving the money in the bank for these four to five months. Although I think it's a bit late for me to invest. Maybe I should have invested when Bitcoin was 26 thousand dollars then maybe I could have made a good profit at this point but there is no point in regretting what I didn't do Of course I will think about the present now. I think the price of bitcoin can cross 40 thousand dollars so investing in bitcoin now will not be a wrong decision for me at all.

FYI.. mempool has just quadrupled (4x) in the last 24 hours!

Simply noticing a pattern is insufficient to exclude bias. If you roll your die 60 times and get 15 ones, is that biased, or is that random chance? As I mentioned above, you need to use proper statistical testing, and even then you can only approach a confidence limit and never exclude a bias 100%. I've outlined one possible approach more in this post: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5395587.msg59967945#msg59967945.

You need to decide how much bias is acceptable to you, and how sure you want to be you have excluded it. The number of rolls required exponentially increases as you want to be more certain you have excluded smaller biases.

Maybe. Maybe not. The numbers given so far in this thread discuss the Shannon entropy, but have you calculated the min-entropy you would achieve from doing this? What randomness extractor algorithm are you planning to use to turn those dice rolls in to usable entropy? How are you converting those dice rolls to binary without introducing modulo bias? It's not as simple as just "roll the dice more" - it's a very complex topic which most people do not fully understand (and I do not profess to either), which is why whenever the topic of manually generating entropy comes up, I always suggest von Neumann's coin flips to simply, quickly, and most importantly verifiably generate 128 or 256 bits of provably unbiased entropy.

Hawala is a bit like a rather peaceful 'Mafia' money exchange. What that means is that if anyone in the Hawala network fails in his operation of the Hawala system, he is chastised by family or extended family.

If the Jersey Handshake system doesn't have something like that in place, some of your average honest people will skim a little... and more than a little at times. The system will fail. Of course, success is not what it is used for, anyway.

That is the movement of bitcoin and the market. Do you want the market to always be bearish? The financial market has only two directions: up and down, so you don't need to be surprised when it starts to increase after many days of decline. This is also proof that just by actively accumulating bitcoin, bitcoin will bring you sweet results. I have been accumulating since last year so far and my portfolio has had pretty good returns but I won't be in a rush to sell it all anytime soon as I believe bitcoin will take me to the next level.

Yes, I think the 300-block window is very small, especially if it's during the weekend if the pace is at nearly 100% then we talking 2 full days, pretty easy to miss, I follow difficulty closely every day and I almost missed the contest this time, so I'd imagine someone else who isn't as active in the mining board would most likely miss most of the contests given the short notice.

I think 4 days for the contest would be good, so anything about 600 blocks window would do, those who pick early will have the advantage of larger options, but those who pick later will have the vantage of picking something closer to the current pace, so it isn't all that unfair when you think about it.

Your game, your rules, just chiming in with thoughts to help make this contest more fun.

The price of Bitcoin continued to reach the resistance point and was unable to break it several times, but it succeeded this time because every time the price approached the resistance level, it became weaker. The way is now open to reach $38,000. the more we continue to close at levels higher than $32,000, the more possibility that we would not see $20,000- $30,000  levels soon.

we have until the end of the month. If the price continues above $32,000, we will most likely begin the beginning of the bull market.


I do not think this is true. The price fell after this false news, so its impact now is very limited.

Oh gawd.. that is retarded.


What a coincidence.

They both start with "C".


Weren't you the one ominously predicting the exact opposite?


You frequently tend to sell too much too soon, but hey whatever.. no problem.. if you have extra BTC might as well sell some of them.  You can't take it with you.  Right?

Hopefully, you don't run out of cornz.

First off.. fuck coinbase..


But yet.. still just barely.. staying in the don't wake me up zone, but it is hard to not get stimulated by that kind of sudden craziness.. going from the middle of the don't wake me up zone to the top of it, in just a matter of minutes.. or maybe we could say that the whole last 24 hours had been quite exciting with slow gravitating upwardly and with a BIG climax.. and surely we cannot even have any certainty regarding when the "BIG" purported and "imminently upcoming" $3k correction is going to actually come in reality rather than coming on paper (I mean "in theory").



Yeah.. even though potentially obvious.. not yet struck by such.

Puzzle challenged.  

bitcoin has broken through 33k level many times not long ago and indeed it keeps getting back to 32k level there are indeed huge resistance but it seems bitcoin just gonna go higher than 32 k in the upcoming days.
I wonder if altcoin will also follow after all there are many altcoins that has increased already.
the market is getting lively again and the market seems interesting many green everywhere just because bitcoin is rising.
i'm expecting that if bitcoin could really reach 40k within months then the altcoin will also rise tremendously unlike before in bearish.
even though we are still fraction of all time high, thats already good enough.