Bitcoin Forum
May 26, 2024, 10:10:43 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 [197] 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 »
3921  Economy / Economics / Re: A funky idea for giving BTC tangible backing to start on: October 15, 2011, 06:45:22 PM
Ever since 1973, none of the worlds currencies are backed by anything other than a consensus.
The consensus is about the capacity of the currency-issuing State to tax the economy under its rule.
When the State debt is increasing and the tax rate reaches the peak of the Laffer curve, the consensus starts to become shaky.

So why on earth would you want BTCs to be backed by SOMETHING other than the consensus of the miners ?

The point I was suggesting was that backing currency to something that wasn't integral to it has failed.

BTC will always need computers.  After all, the computers are what are doing the work, so why not give linkage between that work and BTC value?  Besides, it's really the consensus of computers that confirms BTC value anyway.  Without computers running the client, you cant confirm transactions, and so BTC instantly lose value without computers.

So, it seems fine to link the value of BTC to computers or GPUs because BTC can't even exist without them.  If we were to lose all computers, BTC value would go with it.  It's not like we're just gonna lose computers all of a sudden, and if we do, oh well, BTC wouldnt've worked anyway.
3922  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What does the Bitcoin need the most now? on: October 15, 2011, 01:25:53 PM
introduce new people to the concept that is Bitcoin?

Yes.
Big people.
And big companies.

But it mightn't be easy.

Actually,  I think too big of a company right now would be horrible for Bitcoin.  Watch them adopt it and eat up 50% of the market.

I think #1 issue is insurance.
3923  Economy / Economics / Re: A funky idea for giving BTC tangible backing to start on: October 15, 2011, 01:24:28 PM
Problem with the idea is that in lots of jurisdiction, depreciation of computers and parts are nearly 100% amortized over say 5 years.  There won't be any tangibles left.

But that's why there's manufacturing/selling/buying/donating cycle.  It's not like they'd have the same old crappy rigs and gpus for 5 years.
3924  Economy / Speculation / Re: The manipulator is back!!! on: October 15, 2011, 01:07:15 PM
In retrospect, the name "Manipulator" was probably a poor choice. Should have been more verbose, like "A guy like me except has more money in the game", but, in Edward's defense, that doesn't flow nearly as easily Wink

If guys with money = manipulator, there's no reason truth cant = jesus

Edit:  Ahhhhh!!!! Maybe you guys are right!   It's almost winter but Mt Gox Live looks exactly like the top of an upside-down snowcone!!  This guy's an asshole!!
3925  Economy / Economics / A funky idea for giving BTC tangible backing to start on: October 15, 2011, 01:01:29 PM
So, here's a whimsical thought I had.

When the dollar was backed by gold, there was an inherent separation between the two.  Gold was still gold and paper was still paper.  How many of these currencies are still backed by gold?

Well, my idea involves the idea that you can back BTC with something tangible and integral to bitcoin itself while also recognizing that BTC is too young to be independent of the dollar.

The idea is to start a company that will sort of be like the BTC reserve (a fort knox of BTC?).  How many GPUs have fallen victim to mining?  How many NVIDIA cards are used that are worth far more in value than the hash rate they produce?  How many cheaper-model ATI cards are used that achieve few mining results at current difficulty?

People will be able to donate their used rigs or used/burnt out GPUs to this company.  Thus, the value of the total sum of material donated will play the largest role in backing BTC.  

I was also thinking this company can serve a triple role as a mining rig and GPU manufacturing company AND a mining pool in addition to being a reserve.  Here's what the model would look like:

1)  People donate rigs and GPUs to company
2)  Company either uses working parts or refabricates broken parts to create it's own massive mining rig
3)  Those who donate rigs and and gpus will be given a share in the pool
4)  As the company mines, those who donated will be given a proportional distribution of mined BTC
5)  The company can qualify legally as a business because they will also be manufacturing and selling gpus and rigs.  This creates a cycle      wherein consumers can continue purchasing new gpus/rigs and then donate them again for additional shares.
6)  As a business, the company will have a company value in USD.  This value is really what would determine BTC value.

This could be kinda cool since as this company grew, it could get an invitation for the stock market.  Then, everyone might want to come on board, and we might actually have enough interest/capital in the market to build a real economy off of it.

Edit:  This could also provide a way for BTC to be insured indirectly...
3926  Economy / Speculation / Re: The manipulator is back!!! on: October 15, 2011, 12:18:02 PM
I used to laugh off the manipulator hypothesis as well but over time accepted that their is validity to the fact that someone with a lot of money to throw around manipulates the market for shits and giggles.  My personal opinion is that they are doing it to screw miners out of making a large profit to reduce competition in the big money region (north of 50k coins).

I laugh it off because the name completely neglects any rational psychology.

It's not manipulation, it's trading.  I put up and remove bid and sell walls all the time too.  The only difference between me and them is that they have way more capital than I do.  





It is trading if you want to hold some bitcoins and you buy them, or if you have some bitcoins and you sell them at the current market price. Or maybe even throw in a set price for your bitcoins.

It is manipulation when you put up bid walls (as the manipulator does) to try and make other people buy or sell bitcoins. This is manipulation because he is trying to show that there is lots of demand for bitcoins, when in reality he just removes these bitcoins as soon as the price starts dropping.

I am sure you get my idea. He is playing on the psychology of others.

EVERYONE plays on the psychology of others.  I put up buy and sell walls too.  I simply don't have enough capital so the influence of my orders doesn't have nearly as much psychological impact on the market.  

What I'm saying is that the only difference between the guy or group of guys who place large bid/sell orders and everyone else is that they have capital and their bids/sells are noticed.  If you argue frequency, I'll argue back.  I sometimes adjust my bid/sells 10 times in an hour depending on market volatility, but far less (if at all) when volatility is low.  This reflects the movements of large bid/sells on mt. gox -- they are more frequent when volatility is high.

It's also kind of moot to talk about wanting to make people buy or sell bitcoins -- it ends up back at the money differential.  When there is a panic buy or sell, people buy and sell.  Every buy in a panic buy can be seen by others on Mt. Gox Live and it adds to the event psychology.  The only reason it isn't as likely to make the market move is because the majority of people have less money.  

But then again, the sum of all people with less money than the "manipulators" could also said to be manipulating the manipulators!  That's what happens in panic buys and sells.  Everyone buys or sells because they 1) Want to get in on the action and 2) Want the market to move in a certain direction.  This then 'manipulates' what the 'manipulator' does.  And, the reverse is true for the 'manipulators,' too -- 1) They want to get in on the action and 2) Want to make the market move in a certain direction.  And in that order.

It seems manipulators are simply guys with loot.  

Next you know, the 'manipulator' will be statistically random and everyone will panic and cry, "He's so ruthless!  Nobody can figure out what he's doing!  It appears his actions look like everyone else's!  He's a genius!"
3927  Economy / Speculation / Re: The manipulator is back!!! on: October 15, 2011, 02:23:06 AM
I used to laugh off the manipulator hypothesis as well but over time accepted that their is validity to the fact that someone with a lot of money to throw around manipulates the market for shits and giggles.  My personal opinion is that they are doing it to screw miners out of making a large profit to reduce competition in the big money region (north of 50k coins).

I laugh it off because the name completely neglects any rational psychology.

It's not manipulation, it's trading.  I put up and remove bid and sell walls all the time too.  The only difference between me and them is that they have way more capital than I do. 



3928  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Give me unquestionable proof that this world is not run... [100 BTC Reward] on: October 14, 2011, 03:39:33 PM
Still think I win twice.
3929  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Give me unquestionable proof that this world is not run... [100 BTC Reward] on: October 14, 2011, 03:34:13 PM
If you can give me unquestionable and thorough proof that the people of this world are not currently subject to the partial and/or unilateral monetary powers of the central banking system (the IMF and its subsidiaries which includes all national central banks, along with the private shareholders of these respective institutions), I will give you 100 BTC, no questions asked.

This includes disproving the following quote by M.A. Rothschild by proving that the laws of a government are still unilaterally relevant while its respective people and government are completely provided money by a private and sovereign banking entity:

"Give me control of a nation's money and I care not who makes the laws."

Yes, I am also talking to you SomethingAwful.

Thanks.



please send 100btc to 19XxndZdM22mhvQeaaXjztHrAFjfv5uq95

lol nice
3930  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Give me unquestionable proof that this world is not run... [100 BTC Reward] on: October 14, 2011, 03:32:12 PM
In the case of my argument, they are assumed to be different.

If you're putting 100btc on the line, you might want to pick your words a bit better.

So far you've denied two people because of your inability to define your proposition.

I presume that you never intended to pay to begin with.
If this world is not subject to the whims of a cartel on money, I don't see a point in Bitcoins. I will give them up readily if the world isn't as corrupt as I believe it to be.

Ok, then I'll test your last sentence.

So, you'll give up the BTC readily if the world isn't as corrupt as you believe it to be?

Ok, well, let's take the concept of Freedom.

I will assume that if the people who you assume are affected by the banks are still free, then the world isn't so corrupt.  After all, if you're free, then you're not bound; not imprisoned by the powers of the banks.

But, the nature of freedom implies that something that is free can also set its own constraints.  If a person is free, they can be free to be not free.  And that may be in fact what is happening with the banks.  People choose to use banks.  Just because you're free doesn't mean you can't also be not free at the same time.

How corrupt can the world be if everyone/everything is free?  Even if it is corrupt, it was freedoms choice to be corrupt.

Look on the bright side...things aren't so bad.
3931  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Give me unquestionable proof that this world is not run... [100 BTC Reward] on: October 14, 2011, 03:25:02 PM
In the case of my argument, they are assumed to be different.

That's great, but you can only assume their difference while simultaneously acknowledging their sameness.

Things can only be identified in contrast to what they are not, but this only implies what something is "not" is a determinant of its identity.  For example, an apple is only an apple because it's not, say, a banana.  Thus, an apple can only exist because bananas exist.  

Philosophy and logic allow for the safe resolution of paradoxes.  Take this example..."A barber posts a sign in front of his shop that states '
I will shave all those, and those who do not shave themselves.'  Does the barber shave himself?"  Most people would have a hard time reconciling this one...either the barber shaves himself or he does not.  But the correct answer is that he does both.

You can assume all you want in your argument, but the only way that you can be "right" is if you're simultaneously wrong.

Bad idea to wager with philosophers on board, in my opinion.

It is for similar reasons that it is very possible (and relatively easy) to prove 1 + 1 = 2 wrong.
3932  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Give me unquestionable proof that this world is not run... [100 BTC Reward] on: October 14, 2011, 03:10:11 PM
If you can give me unquestionable and thorough proof that this world is not subject to the partial and/or unilateral monetary powers of the central banking system (the IMF and its subsidiaries, along with the private shareholders of these respective institutions), I will give you 100 BTC, no questions asked.

Yes, I am also talking to you SomethingAwful.

Thanks.

dictionary.com
world: the earth or globe, considered as a planet.

manipulate: to manage or influence skillfully, especially in an unfair manner

The only way to manipulate the globe would be through some sort of change in its trajectory or makeup.

Whatever humans may do, the world will continue on its course.

QED

You know what I meant. Don't play these games with me because they will not result in a payout.

Dude, sorry, gotta agree with the other guy.

I think he wins the 100 BTC.  It's not his fault you constructed your wager poorly.  He did as you asked.  Pay up.


You will have to kill me first. You can pry it from my dead cold fingers.


Fine.  Here's another one.

Syndiffeonesis (essentially meaning "sameness in difference") = the logical principle that states that any 2 relands 'x' and 'y' must always occupy some type of relational medium.  That is, any 2 relands 'x' and 'y' are fundamentally the same on a syntactic level, and any supposed difference between 'x' and 'y' is only the result of their fundamental sameness (e.g. 'x' and 'y' are the same in that they are absolutely different from each other).

Let's set 'x' = people of the world
Let's set 'y' = central banking system

According to syndiffeonesis, x = y at the syntactic level.

In other words, at a fundamental syntactic level, there is NO difference between the people of the world and the central banking system or the partial/unilateral monetary powers thereof.  Accordingly, one cannot be 'subject' to the other because there is no difference between one and the other....the people = the powers of the central banking system and vice versa.

Your wager fails to recognize a 3rd option...you can be right and wrong simultaneously.

Pay UP



3933  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Give me unquestionable proof that this world is not run... [100 BTC Reward] on: October 14, 2011, 02:58:55 PM
If you can give me unquestionable and thorough proof that this world is not subject to the partial and/or unilateral monetary powers of the central banking system (the IMF and its subsidiaries, along with the private shareholders of these respective institutions), I will give you 100 BTC, no questions asked.

Yes, I am also talking to you SomethingAwful.

Thanks.

dictionary.com
world: the earth or globe, considered as a planet.

manipulate: to manage or influence skillfully, especially in an unfair manner

The only way to manipulate the globe would be through some sort of change in its trajectory or makeup.

Whatever humans may do, the world will continue on its course.

QED

You know what I meant. Don't play these games with me because they will not result in a payout.

Dude, sorry, gotta agree with the other guy.

I think he wins the 100 BTC.  It's not his fault you constructed your wager poorly.  He did as you asked.  Pay up.
3934  Economy / Speculation / Re: The manipulator is back!!! on: October 14, 2011, 02:19:24 PM
This 'manipulator' talk is hilarious.

There is no "manipulator"  unless manipulator = anyone who wants to make money.

Somehow I think that if I increased my current investment 100-fold that I, too, would be "The Manipulator."

Unless there's some guy in his basement wearing a cape with a huge "M" on the back of it.
3935  Economy / Economics / Why are Bitcoins still uninsured? on: October 14, 2011, 01:18:47 PM
So, I truly don't know much about how obtaining insurance for something like Bitcoin would work, but it seems like having insurance, especially on exchanges/Flexcoin/online wallets is the one thing that we really really REALLY need.

If BTC is insured, it's no longer scary.  No hack worries, no scam worries...nothing. 

Why is this so hard?
3936  Economy / Speculation / Re: Breakout to the Upside Imminent on: October 14, 2011, 12:55:54 AM
This... BTC is plagued by scammers and hackers, who are the main reason why the price is so low.

The question is, is the price "so low"? It seems like it because it shot up to $32 at one point. However, just one year ago, 1 bitcoin was 20 cents US and if you had told me it would hit $1 by this time this year I'm not sure I would have believed you.

That is true.  Bitcoins could be worth $1 each tomorrow and some people could legitimately still claim that bitcoin's value has boomed.  This is assuming they either mined or bought bitcoins when they were worth a handful of cents each.

What we really need to look at is how many people were aware of bitcoin, and had a substantial stake in it when they were worth just a few cents each.  If 100 people bought in at 10c each, yet the vast majority of people interested in bitcoin (let's say, 1000) bought in when popularity boomed in early/mid 2011, the vast majority would be disillusioned with the price hovering around $4.  There are a few winners, but many losers.

Bitcoin's price bubble is still deflating and it's difficult to see what current product or event could see it reach $10+ again.


Another huge wave of interest, with lots of new money coming in. That's why a lot of people are trying to introduce bitcoins to the Occupy movement. The only problem is, those people have no money.

I think those in the Occupy movement DO have money.  They're likely mostly middle class.  The demonstrations are tame, and tame demonstrations are led by people with something to lose.  Why would the middle class be part of the Occupy movement?  Because they don't want to be poor!
3937  Economy / Speculation / Re: Breakout to the Upside Imminent on: October 14, 2011, 12:44:38 AM
Why do we talk about being "saved" by a corporation? That's like waiting around for a "job creator" to rescue you. Bitcoin does not need any help, if it did, it would have no merit.
The price of bitcoins is irrelevant. If they are $100/ or $.01/, they are just value place-markers. Are nickels a failure because they are only worth $.05?    

I actually think Bitcoin adoption by a huge corporation at this point might kill Bitcoin altogether.
3938  Economy / Speculation / Re: Breakout to the Upside Imminent on: October 14, 2011, 12:37:40 AM
Cool so if I create a sockpuppet account today I can increase this "imminent uptrend" by 33%  Roll Eyes

No... I'm not really following you...

In case IHBT congratulations  Undecided

I am afraid you are right. Nothing is moving. It is all pretty much dead.  Undecided

Only thing that could possibly save us right now is a big company getting bitcoin adoption started etc.

What, like Kiva or something?

He said a 'big' company?

630,000 people using Kiva since 2005?   

That would be like getting Bitcoin users to accept Bitcoin.
3939  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Project Mainstream - So we got Bitcoin on Alex Jones. [Link Inside] on: October 11, 2011, 02:10:51 AM
I don't have a single snide remark to make on this thread.

Congratulations, Atlas. Right, wrong, or indifferent on how it went, it was a hell of lot more than I've done to date for Bitcoin (with the exception of help crackin' a couple rouge exchanges). My hat goes off to you. Yes, after listening, I could have easily chime in with the choir, echoing the negatives, but I feel it more important to ignore that sentiment and offer up a thanks from me and any other Bitcoiners too ashame to say so themselves.

I offer no apologies for anything I may have posted against you in the past, or in the future, unless an apology is warranted.

Once again, this is a stand alone post thanking you for your service.

If any others feel the same way, but choose to withhold comment, a simple +1 will suffice.

Sincerely, Bruno





Dude I love your sig pic.
3940  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: At what pricepoint is bitcoin dead? on: October 11, 2011, 02:07:46 AM
1) Mining cost is irrelevant. The purpose of the "difficulty" is a feedback loop to ensure that. We do not value a dollar on how much work people do but on how much the economy grows over time. A failing or failed economy leads to price decline (unless it's propped up by something else as in the USD having utility as a reserve currency). Similarly gold mining companies don't set the price for gold, they react to it, and mine more  or less.

2) Trading does have a purpose - it ensures price discovery and liquidity. Those aren't mumbo jumbo terms. Liquidity means that when I go to buy BTC there is someone ready to sell, and when I want to sell my coin there is someone ready to buy. Without the traders we have no idea what price to assign to BTC. Without them you would be buying/selling BTC on a "black market" as in countries where they try to "fix" the price of a currency, eg. VZ.

3) The fundamental/speculative parts of the value are valid. Most state currencies have a high fundamental part ensured by the states insistence on it's legal use and people actually using it, and then a small speculative component that varies daily as traders get in/out. But Bitcoin is a baby currency and until it matures the speculative part will be higher - it's fundamental value is a measure of how safe people feel holding coins. And for now not too many people feel safe doing that - hence, only speculators do that.

All of this just evolves from human nature. If people were different we would have different economic systems. Surviving a big speculative bubble means we now have to get on with the business of proving BTC has value. If we can't do THAT then it dies, only then.

Mining cost is absolutely not irrelevant.  This is obvious.  Even if the effect is as little as 1-2% (I'd argue it's vastly more at this point) it's not a static 1-2%, it's a variance.  Something else also occurs at a 1-2% variance...trading.

Or, you could look at the difficulty or hash rate relative to value and compare time periods between, say, June, and now.

Why does everyone forget there's a human element involved?  Contrary to nerd belief, there are factors at play that can't be measured numerically. Every miner's (the person-miner pressing 'go,' not your graphics card) perspective varies and the sample size is far too small for the bell curve to apply properly.  Any factor in the Bitcoin economic system is subject to a miner/trader's perception, including difficulty and something else called an electric bill.  The speculative value of Bitcoin plays a big factor in helping a person choose whether to mine or not when the value is low.  Without this speculative value, you'd probably see a current hash rate of...well....me, because I rent with paid-for electricity.

Not to mention that mining gave rise to Bitcoin and Bitcoin only operates with miners (after all, the question of whether miners determine price is a matter of no miners vs. miners period, NOT some number of miners vs. some other number of miners).  It's axiomatic that if you take away all miners, the value will go away too.  Nothing to confirm their value anymore (the program confirms value, but we run the program). 

Also, keep in mind that miners are traders while traders are not necessarily miners.  All miners mine and will eventually trade, and trading influences price.

People need to respect the miners more.  They rule Bitcoin and will always be the most fundamental and necessary element besides the programs and computers themselves.
Pages: « 1 ... 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 [197] 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!