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4101  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2017-06-12] Two US Army Guardsmen Charged and Convicted for Bitcoin Fraud on: June 13, 2017, 07:35:14 AM
That last paragraph and the title show that the author has no clue and that cointelegraph is just clickbait.
4102  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A short analysis of Bitcoin investment on: June 13, 2017, 07:23:50 AM
If you look closely, you will see that all your moving average graphs are shifted to the right slightly. That is because you assign the average value for a period to the end of the period instead of to the middle of the period. It doesn't make a big difference when looking at the graph all by itself, but it creates false impressions when comparing it directly to other graphs.

Well, moving averages here have not been shifted to the right, but instead they have not been calculated for the initial period of the SMA. Say, we are calculating a 30-day SMA for price - since, for the first 30 days, we don't have 30 points to calculate moving average on, it is difficult to calculate SMA in that period, which is why these periods have been omitted from the graph.

If you look closely, you will see that the ends align for the actual data and their SMA vs a shift.

You are, for example, assigning the average for the first 30 days to the 30th day in the graph. It works better if you assign it to the 15th day instead. Try it and you will see the graphs line up nicely instead of the SMA graph having a 15 day lag.
4103  Economy / Economics / Re: BITCOIN HALVING? on: June 13, 2017, 07:17:02 AM
The next halving is expected to take place by the year 2020, during which the price increase is an assured as the ongoing demand for bitcoin will generate the decreased supply an increase in value. So for the Op I would like to suggest him buy when the price seems low, during halving the price will be increasing same as the recent price wave.

That's a common myth. The halving does not decrease the supply. The supply is always increasing until it reaches 21 million. You assume that the demand will continue to increase, but that is not guaranteed.
4104  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A short analysis of Bitcoin investment on: June 12, 2017, 08:45:16 PM
If you look closely, you will see that all your moving average graphs are shifted to the right slightly. That is because you assign the average value for a period to the end of the period instead of to the middle of the period. It doesn't make a big difference when looking at the graph all by itself, but it creates false impressions when comparing it directly to other graphs.
4105  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Media Article "Experts" trying to get cheap bitcoin on: June 12, 2017, 08:24:14 PM
When people don't want to consider that this ridiculous run-up in price could be a bubble, then it is probably a bubble.

What do people think will happen? Do they think it will continue rising at this pace and then just level off? It doesn't work like that!

It might be a bubble and it might not be a bubble. What if 3 trillion more Euros come into the market next year si it a bubble now, NO. It might be then but not this one.

That's called unrealistic expectations and wishful thinking, which are the primary fuels for a bubble. It's one thing to ask "what if?", but it is a bubble when people start believing it is certain.
4106  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Media Article "Experts" trying to get cheap bitcoin on: June 12, 2017, 07:21:18 PM
When people don't want to consider that this ridiculous run-up in price could be a bubble, then it is probably a bubble.

What do people think will happen? Do they think it will continue rising at this pace and then just level off? It doesn't work like that!
4107  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: How to keep altcoins/crypto alive on: June 12, 2017, 05:20:45 AM
I have my bitcoins since about a year. I fully support the concept of stateless currency, thats why I bought my first bitcoins.

now, I see other coins start growing a lot. My concern is about Bitcoins status as leader. I believe we can have a major crash and developers run away if Bitcoin is not the "gold standard" in crypto. First question I have: would you agree with this concern?

Second question: what needs to happen to make Bitcoin a secure #1? I dont think we even need to do payments in btc, but at least make it relevant.

If you really care about the concept of stateless currency, then what does it matter which currency (or currencies)? Perhaps, you really care mostly about making a profit on your investment in Bitcoin.
4108  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2017-06-08] What Happens to Bitcoin After All 21 Million are Mined? on: June 09, 2017, 06:41:25 PM
Quote
This argument assumes that transaction fees alone will be insufficient to keep Bitcoin miners financially solvent once the mining process has been completed. On the other hand, there are reasons to believe that transaction fees and mining costs will even out in the future. Looking ahead by several decades, it is not difficult to imagine that mining chips will become small and highly efficient. This would reduce the burden placed on miners and would allow mining to become an activity with a lower threshold of initial cost. Further, transaction fees may increase, and this could help to keep miners afloat as well.

That paragraph is wrong in many ways

The reason for the concern over the value of the block reward as the subsidy goes to 0 is that the security of Bitcoin depends directly on the value of the block reward. The value of the block reward determines the cost of a 51% attack.

Fees alone may not keep all miners today still in the mining business, but it will be enough for the miners that remain. The purpose of the block reward is not to keep miners in business. The efficient ones will remain. The inefficient ones will quit. It is not clear if this will result in more centralization of mining.

Furthermore, the subsidy will not abruptly drop to 0 at any point. It will be 1 satoshi for 4 years before dropping to 0, and it will be 3 satoshis for 4 years prior to that. The subsidy will drop below 1 bitcoin in about 13 years, but it will be another 100 years before it finally reaches 0.

Finally, the size and efficiency of mining chips have no effect on the cost of mining. If chips are cheaper and more efficient, then the difficulty will increase accordingly, making it just as expensive in the end. Overall, the total  cost of mining is primarily determined the value of the block reward and little else.

As an example, look what happened in the switch from GPU mining to ASIC mining. An ASIC device is 10000 times more efficient than a GPU, yet the amount of energy expended and the cost of mining have continued to rise.
4109  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2017-06-09] US Army Guardsmen Convicted for Bitcoin Credit Card Fraud on: June 09, 2017, 06:10:52 PM
The fact that they used Bitcoin to pay for the credit card numbers doesn't make it "Bitcoin Credit Card Fraud". If they used dollars, would it be "Dollar Credit Card Fraud"?
4110  Economy / Economics / Re: Market Cap, newb question on: June 08, 2017, 06:51:24 AM
Market cap is a measure of adoption that is comparable across all currencies.
4111  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Shower thought: bitcoin parliament on: June 08, 2017, 06:40:27 AM
... if the parliament gain enough authority, results from debates in parliament could be actually implemented in the bitcoin code itself. ...

It will never work.

Authority?  That is the problem that Bitcoin solves. Somebody dictating what goes into Bitcoin Core? If I don't like it, I'll just use something else.
4112  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Questions on bitcoin and it's fate on: June 07, 2017, 06:36:24 PM
1.I am currently using CoinHako, I am afraid that while sending bitcoins from my Coinhako wallet to my ledger, that it is lost for some reason. How possible is such a scenario
2.Lets say I successfully transfer the coins to my ledger, I am concerned the same thing will happen if I transfer my BTC to an exchange. Again, how likely are such scenarios
3.In the event where bitcoin does reach 100K, and we intend to sell on an exchange, who can realistically buy these at such exhorbitant prices. No use having 1 million BTC if you can't sell it
4.I've read that transaction fees are going through the roof, could it scale to a level where transferring 1million BTC would result in fees amounting to 500K for example?

1. There is little chance of losing your coins as long as you send them to the correct address provided by the Ledger wallet and you ensure that the Ledger's seed is securely backed up.

There is an extremely small chance (1/4294967296) of losing your coins due to mistyping the address. It is more likely that you might send to the wrong address.

2. Same as #1. Though, there is a chance that the exchange will lose your bitcoins, which is why you have the Ledger.

3. The price cannot reach $100k if nobody is willing to buy at such exorbitant prices. But realistically, you can buy fractions of a bitcoin so the price of a full bitcoin is not a factor.

4. The cost of a transaction is not related to the value of the transaction. It is related to the number of bytes in the transaction. On the other hand, if the price of a bitcoin reaches $100k, then it would indicate that using bitcoin is extremely valuable and that people would be willing to pay a very high fee.



4113  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Do I understand wallets correctly? on: June 06, 2017, 09:44:55 PM
Unfortunately, people mistakenly use "public key" when they mean "Bitcoin address". Here are simple definitions:
  • seed - Used by a wallet to generate private keys. Keep this secret because anyone with this can generate your private keys and spend your bitcoins.
  • private key - Necessary to spend bitcoins. Keep this secret because anyone with your private keys can spend your bitcoins.
  • public key - Derived from a private key.
  • Bitcoin address - Derived from a public key. In very simple terms, bitcoins are sent to a Bitcoin address.
  • wallet - Tracks balances. Creates transactions. A wallet holds typically holds a seed, but may also (or instead) hold private keys.
  • passphrase - used to encrypt a seed, wallet file, or private key. It is not a seed.

Transactions are not encrypted. The private key is used to sign a transaction. The signature and public key (which are included in the transaction) prove that you have the private key that corresponds to the bitcoin address of the bitcoins being spent and that the transaction has not been tampered with.

Your description of an online wallet is not quite accurate. The reality is that the site (Coinbase, for example) has a wallet. You do not have a wallet, you have an account. If bitcoins are sent to your deposit address (in their wallet), your account is credited. If you want to spend bitcoins, they send bitcoins from their wallet to the address you specify and debit your account. Also, if you send bitcoins to someone else on the site, the proper accounts are credited and debited and there is no transaction on the block chain.

Bitcoin has wallets that don't require you to download the entire block chain. Most currencies don't, so you will have to download the block chain or store your coins in somebody else's wallet.
4114  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin as a Computer on: June 06, 2017, 09:09:28 PM
Inspired by a book "The Datacenter as a Computer: an Introduction to the Design of Warehouse-scale Machines Synthesis Lectures on Computer Architecture" (isbn 9781598295566).

I wonder if you fellows see bitcoin ecosystem as ...

BTC is a huge computer ...  Cool

Not Bitcoin. You are referring to Ethereum.
4115  Economy / Collectibles / Re: 1BTC Casascius bitcoin sells for $7100 on: June 06, 2017, 09:03:27 PM
It is a sad fact that people have bought physical bitcoins in order to redeem them.
4116  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What's going on? Bitcoin for the rich only? on: June 06, 2017, 08:39:01 PM
However, the entities that are spamming the network with nonsense transactions are heavily contributing towards mempools more and more filling up, and from there drive up the fees. It's a dirty game that is being played here.

That seems like a crazy conspiracy theory to me. Do you have information on who is "spamming the network", and why they are willing to pay so much money to increase fees for everyone else?
4117  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What's going on? Bitcoin for the rich only? on: June 06, 2017, 06:25:44 PM
Even just a year ago bitcoin was useable... now the fees are about 10x what the banks charge. Seems like its changing from a peer-to-peer money system for everyone into yet another convenient way for rich people to exchange funds!

What went wrong> And more to the point, who is responsible? What can be done to fix it?

The fees are high because so many people are willing to pay a lot to make a bitcoin transaction. It is not a matter of rich or poor. It is a matter of what the transaction is worth to you.

The solutions are to make transactions smaller, enable off-chain transaction layers, and make room for more transactions, or perhaps to make Bitcoin less useful.

They could adjust the miner fees. But why? They're making more with higher fees. It's like 15BTC per block.

The fee is not set by anyone. "They" cannot adjust the fee. If you want your transaction to go through, you will have to push out another transaction by paying a higher fee than it. It is that simple.

How is bitcoin not peer to peer even if the fees are higher? it's peer to peer, just rich peer to rich peer.
If we want to solve this situation, we need segwit, then lightning networks.
Onchain transactions will always be expensive for small transactions. If we want to get everyone on board, again, segwit + lightning network is the way to go.

The problem with the Lightning Network solution is that it is another payment system that people will have to adopt. It has taken Bitcoin 8 years to get this far, so we should expect adoption of LN to take just as long. A bigger block solution is necessary in the meantime.
4118  Economy / Collectibles / Re: 1BTC Casascius bitcoin sells for $7100 on: June 06, 2017, 06:08:54 PM
I believe its because the type of metal is a valuable one which makes it much more valuable than its face value which I dont have any issue against in which the same thing would go for if some one could have a raw gold 1btc. For me personally I dont see any prudency in buying such commodity as the case maybe where I would pay more than enough for the face value.

The metal is brass. The value is in the desire to own one of the first physical bitcoins ever made. If you aren't a collector, then there wouldn't be much value in that for you.
4119  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Million Dollar Bitcoin (article, not speculation) on: June 05, 2017, 08:49:02 PM
Sarcasm at its most extreme, for sure. But this will be prophetic:

Quote
We can then simply repeat the history of a gold-backed, commodity-based currency and create a global fiat currency that remains in the right hands.
4120  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: June 2017 Best choice for mining coins - Buy, lease, contract or trade on: June 05, 2017, 12:21:57 AM
I would stay away from the contract option. Most sites are scams, and the ones that are not will not make you a profit. I don't know much about the lease option, but like cloud mining, it makes little business sense, so I would not expect it to be profitable.
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