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521  Economy / Lending / Re: Looking for a large-ish loan. on: July 10, 2012, 09:45:29 PM
I had suspicion and didn't like this guy the first time I seen his posts, another thing that rotted me, I had got three loans, and it was very difficult to find two 5850's because the bastard kept buying them up, every card known to man here at bitcointalk.org, and I swear, he was buying them up left and right non stop, ugh that pissed me off. I had that feeling, something was just not right. If admins, mods and or staff want to put something here, post it up. That's all I've got to say in this post.

The information I have is a bit different to what has been posted here - some aligns, other bits do not.  Some of the issues around the account have been reported to the admins, but the more recent events are not bitcoin related.
522  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Starfish BCB - Loans and Deposits (deposit rate 1.0%/week from 1 August) on: July 10, 2012, 09:42:00 PM

btw Patrick I PM'D you earlier today when you get a mo, no rush

pm received - return of deposit made

Just as a notification, having cleared my over-night pm's, I do sometimes hit the 10 messages an hour limit and that can slow down responses. 
523  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: SETI and Bitcoin on: July 10, 2012, 08:48:06 AM
Seti is one of the worst boinc projects, that's why I don't run it much.  I have 600M+ in boinc (places me in the top 200), so I posted into the seti thread.  I don't expect it to do anything.  I'd be better to get my boinc team to bring all their ati cards across, but that's not he point.  Ignore the ignorant.
524  Other / Meta / Re: Independent scam investigations on: July 10, 2012, 08:38:14 AM
(swear word)

Ignoring all the bullshit above, I have been helped by a couple of forum members chasing scammers and otherwise non-paying assholes (and I've making payment where it's due).  A couple of those people would be useful to employ more regularly.  From a lender's perspective, having better access to enforcement and follow up would be useful.
525  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why bitcoin is in big trouble and is ultimately doomed! on: July 10, 2012, 08:23:28 AM
If you are not going to contribute anything useful, please do not post to this topic! Thank you...

I will give your post a think and come up with a reply later...

I'm only posting because I have nothing better to do right now (thanks Jack #7).  Better names than I have already clearly labelled this thread repetitive and irrelevant.

However, as someone working with a modest business in BTC (exceeding 10k deposits and 10k in lending), and having seen posts like this over the last year, I wonder why mystery2048 has not bothered to do any reading on the forum.  It's dull finding this crap again and again.

Even if BTC is doomed (1960's Hammer Horror voice - DOOOMED - or maybe a Simpsons version), it has a long way to go before people stop using it.  In the last week I have escrowed a fx deal and two equipment deals (and I don't even offer that as a regular service).  I lose count of the deposit accounts I run, and have an extensive range of loans and investments helping to provide actual assistance to people doing real things.
526  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Who Pays What? on: July 09, 2012, 08:35:08 PM
Added Brendio's 32-day deposits

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91536.0
527  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Starfish BCB - Loans and Deposits (deposit rate 1.0%/week from 1 August) on: July 09, 2012, 08:29:06 PM
Patrick, is this escrow a one time thing or are you going to open an escrow service?

It's for if I see someone asking who does escrows.

I do the occasional escrow for people, holding coins while deals go through.  I did one for Gigavps a while ago for around 600 coins and another one last weekend for 200.  It's not something I charge for as holding coins on behalf of someone else isn't much work for me. 

A variation on this theme is I have done loans where the coins are paid direct to a third party.  Say you managed wrestle some equipment out of Giga but wanted to debt fund it.  Giga sends you the xyz gizmo, I pay Giga and you repay the loan.  Variations on a theme.
528  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Pirate Pass Through Bonds! on: July 09, 2012, 08:22:40 PM
While not a good result for anyone, a BS&T default pays the same to bond holders irrespective of how far through the cycle they are.

If you buy on day one and the default is on day two, you get 0.32.
If you buy on day one and the default is on day twenty-seven, you get 0.32.

It might depend on if you are looking at default probability on a daily weekly or monthly cycle.  On the flip side, if you don't think Pirate is going to sail away with your funds, there are other products/options.  PPT.x bonds is just one in a range.
529  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Starfish BCB - Loans and Deposits (deposit rate 1.0%/week from 1 August) on: July 09, 2012, 06:48:50 PM
I have been asked to act as escrow.  I will be using the following address: 1NzcEbEWPMdBqFcuogZGiw4JN77fc9Gr6a

Edit: I understand the deal is off, so nothing further to add.
530  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Pirate Pass Through Bonds! on: July 09, 2012, 09:37:39 AM

But everything else on the chart is right, isn't it?

Code:
Week no | Depositor of 1000 BTC | Insurance Fund | BTC in BS&T | Withdraw from BS&T for 1000 BTC deposited 4 weeks ago
=============================================================================================================================
0       | PPT shareholders      | 0 BTC          | 1000 BTC    | -

I didn't want to comment, but you asked politely.  The first row is incorrect, as the 1000 BTC was not placed in BS&T, but 1280 BTC placed in the fund.

The other item I could correct is the differentiation between the PPT.DIV pay outs (what you have labeled PPT shareholders) and the core PPT holders of the 36 shares that place the capital at risk still have 3860 coins sitting idle in the event of default.

The other distraction here is that the insurance was never free for purchasers, and there was a premium paid, and that is the profit that goes to the PPT.DIV holders.  With the change in interest rates from BS&T a decision was made, on the information available, to change the rate of pass-through.  It is not the worst pass-through rate available on the forum, but the bonds do have some other features that people value including tradability and liquidity (although that is quite low currently).

At the end of the day, if Pirate goes bust, I have a 640 BTC hole in my accounts as do the five other initial funders.  I'm off for some sleep and I hope your day is going well as you hoped.
531  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: [BitcoinMax.com] Paying 6.9% per week... Small accounts welcome. on: July 09, 2012, 05:45:55 AM

seeing as how the initial influx of new lenders has subsided, i've now dropped the minimum to 5 btc.


Updated in the WPW thread.
532  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Why I trust Patrick Harnett on: July 08, 2012, 11:24:21 PM
I was avoiding posting here, but I obviously need to provide (repeat) some information about my business and it is my private business and doesn't need to be disclosed.

Yes, I have a BS&T account, and have had it since 17 December 2011 (no secret, it's announced in the BS&T thread).  For a long time it sat around 4k and at the moment it's sitting at 10k and will probably stay that way until Christmas.  I'll be getting 5%/week on it as I don't expect to be attracting pass-through deposits.  Income derived from this account goes into two main activities:
1: Increasing BTC investments including GLBSE assets, mining equipment and a stake I have in things like a BTC electronics business, and
2: Cashing out funds to pay for various real-life things including various organisations like our local homeless shelter which is costing me a couple hundred dollars/week thanks to the efforts my wife makes.

Outside of the BS&T account, as of today, I have 10,794 BTC outstanding in loans and 10,586 BTC held on deposit (plus 160 in the 7Seas fund).  This is the core business of StarFish BCB and what generates the return for people looking for something other than BS&T exposure.
533  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] CPA on: July 08, 2012, 10:44:40 PM

I trust Patrick to verify you are legit and hope he takes the offer.

One way you can prove you actually have the assets backing your claims is to regularly move coins around after pre announcing the addresses you move it to.

Only just stumbled on this while looking for something else - will pm usagi.
534  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Pirate Pass Through Bonds! on: July 08, 2012, 06:57:52 PM
If the redemption of the bonds was on a five week cycle I would be more inclined to agree, but it's not.  But you are getting closer.  The other piece that appears missing is the payments to PPT.DIV holders, but as have need stated, you're not interested in accurate bookkeeping.

In the table, a default event would also show 0.32 coins per outstanding bond being used to pay bond holders, and from what you have clearly set out, that does come from the week zero funds.

In other news, major insurance companies use customer premiums directly to build reserves, pay claims and enrich shareholders.
535  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Pirate Pass Through Bonds! on: July 08, 2012, 09:42:15 AM
Interesting: in the event of a BS&T default, we pay out 3860 coins to bond holders.  Collectively we can demonstrate the blockchain transactions and the address where these coins sit (Burt had this somewhere).  This is obviously not a penny.
Smiley You have no honor whatsoever.

If BS&T defaults today, you will just use the coins provided to you during the auction 5 weeks ago and recently withdrawn in the amount of 3932 BTC.
Just cut off the crap and stop deluding people with "funds" and "transactions" - I don't give a shit about the details of your bookkeeping.

Obviously you do not care about the bookkeeping and transactions - it makes the story less interesting.

In the event of a default, the coins from the auction invested into BS&T are gone.  I am not sure where you think this magical extra set of coins appears from as any "spare" is paid out in profits.  If we were running a five week cycle that might work, but would still require approximately 4000 coins more than customers have provided.

As for honour, I do not need to attest my own position.
536  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Pirate Pass Through Bonds! on: July 08, 2012, 09:27:48 AM
Interesting: in the event of a BS&T default, we pay out 3860 coins to bond holders.  Collectively we can demonstrate the blockchain transactions and the address where these coins sit (Burt had this somewhere).  This is obviously not a penny (actually around $26,000).

I suspect the transactions, which are quite simple, are not clear.  Let me try to explain.

1: PPT raised 3860 BTC to serve as an insurance fund.
2: PPT.x buyers bid for bonds running for four weeks paying 1.28
3: Any surplus (profit) is paid to PPT.DIV holders.

PPT.x buyers do not pay explicitly for insurance.  Any premium they pay, and profit generated is paid to the PPT.DIV holders.
In the event of a BS&T default, irrespective of the progress through a PPT/x cycle, the bonds are guaranteed to pay 0.32 per bond where any other pass through bond pays zero.  The founders of PPT will be out of pocket 3860 coins (USD4300 each).
The change in floor price has been well explained related to the change to BS&T interest rates.  That change was not made with a justification that the bonds carry partial insurance against default.
537  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Who Pays What? on: July 08, 2012, 05:58:13 AM
Thank you for the great reply.

There are a heap of things that could be asked, and that is part of a due diligence any investor should look at.  What I am most (and others should be) interested in is financial ability to repay.  A ponzi operator is unlikely to disclose sufficient information to get a rating (or a good one).  Growth metrics and disclosure are useful (I have some, as do some others) and these do not always indicate scamming behaviour.

Also, there is a nice underlying (implicit) point that lying on credit score information would be noted and would provide a huge red flag for any investor.

How someone makes their income/return is less of an issue if they have reserves, and I would expect someone investing purely on GLBSE capital gains to have a few extra problems over someone that regularly lends funds.

Size of the business doesn't necessarily lower risk, but it does have an impact.  For example, I have 150 addresses in my client list, so it could be based on number of client accounts and/or volume.

BTW for a good read, search for "Corporate credit criteria"  http://www.nafoa.org/pdf/CorprateCriteriaBook-2008.pdf
538  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Who Pays What? on: July 08, 2012, 04:38:04 AM
nice


(fixing a couple of small formatting issues)


How about something like "XYZ would be useful" or "I'd like to know if someone has all my money tied up in an illiquid asset on GLBSE", or "wtf does income have to do with it?"

Maybe more interesting is how people might value or discount rated offerings and if other deposit takers actually want to disclose (even at an aggregated level), this information.
539  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Who Pays What? and Credit Ratings on: July 08, 2012, 04:32:31 AM
It's taken longer than planned to get around to this, but it is a topic I have been asked about three times in the past week, in reference to alternatives and how trustworthy various deposits are.  Assessing Bitcoin-deposit takers and interest providers is quite different to the real world as many of the metrics do not apply very well, especially as there is unlikely to be interest and depreciation, or large operational income.  It is also desirable to keep things simple and brief where possible.  Therefore, I propose to use the  following metrics to form the basis of ratings:

Financial
Liquid Assets: Those able to be redeemed within 48 hours - includes cash held at an exchange.
Assets: Typically investments in fixed term deposits or extended as loans.
Investments: Stocks, bonds and investments in BTC enterprises that are not necessarily liquid.

Nett Income: Average monthly income for the last 3 months.
Bad debts: Total of bad debts to Assets for the last 3 months.  

Current Liabilities: Payable within 1 month.
Term liabilities: Payable later than one month.

Non-Financial
Identity verification (generally accepted people know who you are in real life)
Length of time in "business" (months)
Operation of limits on accounts.
Disaster recovery procedures (Y/N)
Prior late or missed payments.

Non-Financial
Identity verification (generally accepted people know who you are in real life)
Length of time in "business" (months)
Operation of limits on accounts.
Disaster recovery procedures (Y/N)
Prior late or missed payments within the last six months.

Ratios

-------------------------------AAA   AA   A   BBB   BB   B   C   
Liabilities / monthly income less than   3   6   9   12   18   24   -   
Bad debt ratio less than   0   2   4   6   8   10   -   
Current_liabilities_/_Liquid_Assets_less_than1   1.5   2   2.5   3   5   -   
Liabilities_/_Assets_less_than   0.5   0.75   0.9   1   1.1   1.25   -   
Time in "business" months   12   6   5   4   3   2   1   


Modifiers - to move from one category to another takes three points.
ID verified: +1
Account limits: If current limits maintain or improve ratios, +1, otherwise -1.
Disaster recovery: +1
Prior late/missed payments: -3 per event.


Example updated and is posted below.

Also as usual, comments welcome.
540  Economy / Securities / Re: BS&T -- Are you staying or leaving? on: July 07, 2012, 05:04:58 AM
I'm gonna risk patrick slapping me with one of those brain hurting responses again and say what I think he was implying by 'not random'.

I believe he was refering to the payouts for blackjak, not the hands.

edit; which if you could apply the formula of placing a bet n^ your previous bet for each losing hand you would eventually win. Catch is the casinos are too smart for that and limit the maximum bet. ;p

Nah, apparently I've annoyed Vladimir quite effectively https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91643.msg1014104#msg1014104

And discussing complex number theory and statistics is less interesting than my beer and the steak I'm going to be having soon.

Anyway, my personal expectation is that BS&T might run another six months, so I'm set until Christmas, so I'm in the staying camp.  (I also know who Mr P is, and have various other bits of information that provide me confidence that my funds are as safe with him as many other places.  I am not "all in", and happy to be receiving less than the top tier of interest from 1 August because others are keen to run low margin pass-throughs.)
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