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521  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Is Dying on: January 14, 2021, 03:18:33 PM
Eventually, the price will level out and it will become a investment that is as boring as gold.

At that point it will be even more useful as a currency.  People will start to spend it, use it, and transact in it, not having to trade out to fiat.  Whether that point will be $500,000 or $5,000,000 is an open question, but it will probably be in that range. (Excluding of course the effects of inflation which will make it higher). The sooner it gets there, the better for everyone who owns it, and most importantly, better for the world.  Bitcoin takes power from those who have used government to seize it and gives it back to the smallest minority in the world, the individual.  

As above, to the OP, bitcoin is freedom.  Every person can use it as they wish, however and for whatever they wish.  Bitcoin isn't about "control" or complaining about someone using it in a way about which you don't approve.  Don't like it?  Too bad.  
522  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2021-01-11 Yahoo - Btc Biggest Plunge Since March Shakes Faith in Crypto Boom on: January 14, 2021, 12:52:55 PM
CNN has also published an article that the bear market has begun hehehe. What is happening to these journalists? They should investigate more important issues in the cryptospace like Tether and have those issues' questions answered.

The only quibble I have is that you called them journalists.  They are not journalists, they are political hacks and operatives who want power and want to support those who would do things like regulate bitcoin instead of letting people be free to live their lives as they see fit without taking directives from Brussels or DC.  In short, they want the ant heap of totalitarianism instead of the freedom that many other people want. 
523  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2021-01-13 Reuters - ECB's Lagarde calls for regulating btc's funny business on: January 14, 2021, 12:49:32 PM
Of course a statist authoritarian like convicted felon Lagarde would want to regulate something that gives people the freedom to live their lives and allows them to protect themselves from criminals like her.

Then again, Europe continues to keep her in power, so what does that say about them.  Kind of like the US electing a corrupt individual like Biden.  The difference is that Biden has a ton of protectors, at least for now, until they are ready to get rid of him for his equally corrupt and power hungry VP.
524  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: China: Bitcoin a hedge against confiscation of wealth? on: January 14, 2021, 03:07:59 AM
Here is a fascinating Forbes article about how the potential for confiscation of wealth by the authoritarian regime in China may be boosting Bitcoin, inspired by the mysterious disappearance of businessman Jack Ma.

"One can almost see Chinese billionaires buying up Bitcoin, just in case Beijing comes for their wealth. Lord knows the dollar is in decline, and they probably already own a ton of stocks."

https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2021/01/10/does-china-have-a-role-in-bitcoins--rise/?sh=6bf595a64965

This also touches on how Argentinians are buying Bitcoin after the government's crackdown on holding dollars.

Ultimately, these are cases that echo some of the original objectives for Bitcoin, rather than as a get rich quick scheme. Although no harm in getting rich in the process Smiley

Hong Kong, etc too. Pretty much anywhere where it could happen people should own some bitcoin.  If the President of the US who has billions can be blocked by Stripe for payments, Facebook, Twitter, YouTube etc, then no one is safe anywhere. The fascists are having corporations do their bidding to cancel anyone who dares object.

Digital Chinese or other state backed cryptos are worthless since they are centralize and can be frozen.
525  Economy / Speculation / Re: The price of Bitcoin has exceeded $34,000. Is it still suitable to buy now on: January 13, 2021, 08:30:42 PM
I am hesitant too because when the bullrun started to hitting new ATH every week i thought that this is the bitcoin chance to grow during this panademic and especialy when whales started investing i thought that the price can hit even 50k but after i was also afraid that when investors got their profits they would sell their BTC and the price would go down again since nothing major happened for bitcoin so i am not sure if its a good idea to buy now.

The odds are that *investors* won't be selling.  The companies you see buying it, GBTC etc are buying for the long term, not trading.  They are buying because of the long term benefits - protection against inflation, appreciation, protection against seizure, capital controls etc.

The traders on the other hand are buying and selling daily, maybe hourly, maybe quicker.  There is place for trading for sure, but there is a big difference between trading and investing.  The traders who are buying on the margin and then getting wiped out when it drops to low before rebounding are just compounding the volatility.

If you are hesitant, don't do it because you might get scared when it goes from $40k to $30k in two days and then sell at 30k, and miss the rebound to $36.2k now.

Or just buy 10% now and 10% each week.  Sure, you'll miss a run-up if it goes up, but you'll also miss the down if it goes down. 
526  Economy / Speculation / Re: The price of Bitcoin has exceeded $34,000. Is it still suitable to buy now on: January 13, 2021, 08:23:29 PM
the price of bitcoin drop sharply to it low within 24hours on 12th of on janaury , although the price  recover to some few percentages , is the crash over now or more sell position will come in few days time . am thinking of buying at 34k , my question is it good to take a long position now ? what is your bias towards the market today .

34k is too hight and risky to invest. Try to separate, for example 1/3 in BTC, 2/3 ALTS.

The alt coins are almost uniformly just trash.  Little innovation, centralized or both.  At worst, 90% bitcoin, 10% alts.

As far as bitcoin being "too high" at 34k, people said the same thing at $1, $10, $30, $100, $1000, $2000, $10000, $20000.  Really, go back and read the forums.  Look at slashdot when it hit dollar parity and then gold parity and the milestones in between.  People may still be waiting for it to get "back under $1"  (or $100, or $1000).  The correct answer is that NO ONE KNOWS.  

If you believe in the use cases for bitcoin, of which there are numerous, then the price will be higher in the future.  If you don't, then you shouldn't be in any crypto at all.  At worst, dollar cost average into your position.  Of course if you started that in November or March of 2020, you'd have been better off going all in.  No one knows the future though.

Market timing is only luck.

What altcoins you talking about? I mean ETH, XLM, XRP after SEC maybe.
invest in 34k and in 1 dollar - different things, you know.


I'm talking about pretty much all of the alt coins - they are centralized either in mining (or equivalent) or in the developers etc.  Even ethereum is highly centralized although it is one of the better alts.

I know 34k and 1 are different, but you can buy $20 worth of bitcoin as easily as $20 worth of something else.  You do not have to buy a full bitcoin.
527  Economy / Speculation / Re: The price of Bitcoin has exceeded $34,000. Is it still suitable to buy now on: January 13, 2021, 07:49:51 PM
the price of bitcoin drop sharply to it low within 24hours on 12th of on janaury , although the price  recover to some few percentages , is the crash over now or more sell position will come in few days time . am thinking of buying at 34k , my question is it good to take a long position now ? what is your bias towards the market today .

34k is too hight and risky to invest. Try to separate, for example 1/3 in BTC, 2/3 ALTS.

The alt coins are almost uniformly just trash.  Little innovation, centralized or both.  At worst, 90% bitcoin, 10% alts.

As far as bitcoin being "too high" at 34k, people said the same thing at $1, $10, $30, $100, $1000, $2000, $10000, $20000.  Really, go back and read the forums.  Look at slashdot when it hit dollar parity and then gold parity and the milestones in between.  People may still be waiting for it to get "back under $1"  (or $100, or $1000).  The correct answer is that NO ONE KNOWS.  

If you believe in the use cases for bitcoin, of which there are numerous, then the price will be higher in the future.  If you don't, then you shouldn't be in any crypto at all.  At worst, dollar cost average into your position.  Of course if you started that in November or March of 2020, you'd have been better off going all in.  No one knows the future though.

Market timing is only luck.
528  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2021-01-13 Business Insider - Bitcoin falls below $35000 to key technical levels on: January 13, 2021, 06:50:15 PM
Quote
  • The Bitcoin price hovered around $35,000 and technical analysts said this point was a pivotal one on the daily charts.
  • A break above this level could push Bitcoin back towards all-time highs around $41,000, while a marked drop below could trigger a fall towards key support at $30,000, they said.
  • Although the longer-term outlook for both cryptocurrencies remains skewed to the topside, further losses look likely in the coming days," DailyFX strategist Daniel Moss said in a note.

Bitcoin fell on Wednesday, heading for its largest weekly fall since late August, as a combination of a stronger dollar and a bout of profit-taking swept $172 billion in value from the cryptocurrency market since the start of the week, leaving the price at a pivotal point on the charts.

Now, it is all about fancy technical analysis and clairvoyance as these super analysts surely know what we can never understand. And so be it.

Exactly.  Technical analysis is akin to reading tea leaves, you can find something to justify pretty much any position or goal by just tweaking the parameters.
529  Economy / Speculation / Re: The price of Bitcoin has exceeded $34,000. Is it still suitable to buy now on: January 13, 2021, 06:48:09 PM
the price of bitcoin drop sharply to it low within 24hours on 12th of on janaury , although the price  recover to some few percentages , is the crash over now or more sell position will come in few days time . am thinking of buying at 34k , my question is it good to take a long position now ? what is your bias towards the market today .

No one knows.  Just remember that every so-called bubble in the past - $1, $10, $30, $100, $1000, $2000, $10000, $20000 - has had pullbacks.  However, everyone who bought (or mined) at any of those points has done tremendously.  Will that be the case here?  Yes, if all the uses for bitcoin continue.  However, no one knows that for sure.

I never know what to tell people except that everyone who purchased at any time except a few days ago has done well in fiat terms.  I have said the same at $10, $30, $100, $1000, $2000, $10000, $20000.  

I see no reason why big companies wouldn't continue to use bitcoin to add stability and performance. 
530  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will reach 100K! OK and then? on: January 13, 2021, 06:45:17 PM
Many predicts bitcoin will reach 100K, 160K even 200K and more. but no one say what happen then? what happen when reach for example 100K? will be stable, fall to zero, continue with correction or raise more? what is your suggestion  Huh

No one knows what will happen then, but every increase in price means higher demand which should lead to more stability.  At some point the price will likely be pretty stable, in the 500k-5 million range, since people will be using it for asset protection, transactions etc.

Either that or it will be nearly worthless.  To me, every year that bitcoin survives decreases the likelihood of the "zero" scenario.

531  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2021-01-11] Crypto traders could ‘lose all their money,’ UK watchdog warns on: January 13, 2021, 06:39:32 PM
Most importantly don't use margin in general because it is like playing with dynamite.  Margin with bitcoin is like playing with nitroglycerin, riding in a Jeep on a bumpy road while bees are flying in the vehicle.

They are right, you could lose all your money.

you can lose your shirt margin trading anything. forex traders are using 200-250x leverage vs the 3-10x that is typical with bitcoin, and the significant majority of them are consistently losing money. this is the most recent data from oanda:



so i'm perpetually annoyed by the emphasis on cryptocurrency and these canned pronouncements claiming that the lack of nanny state regulations is the problem. like, if we only had the correct consumer protections, it would save total degens from blowing up their trading accounts?! pffff. the FCA isn't capable of shit in that department. they're just blowing hot air to justify their existence.
Heads up for the data! Can you please share the source as I would like to perform some more research on that? Thanks!
If that is the case, however, we can justify the emphasis on cryptocurrency simply because they are afraid of it, otherwise they would have to bark like dogs for what you have exposed likewise.

Check out here, about 3 pages in:
https://www.oanda.com/register/docs/divisions/oc/risk_disclosure_agreement.pdf
532  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2021-01-11] Crypto traders could ‘lose all their money,’ UK watchdog warns on: January 13, 2021, 03:24:00 PM
Most importantly don't use margin in general because it is like playing with dynamite.  Margin with bitcoin is like playing with nitroglycerin, riding in a Jeep on a bumpy road while bees are flying in the vehicle.

They are right, you could lose all your money.

you can lose your shirt margin trading anything. forex traders are using 200-250x leverage vs the 3-10x that is typical with bitcoin, and the significant majority of them are consistently losing money. this is the most recent data from oanda:


so i'm perpetually annoyed by the emphasis on cryptocurrency and these canned pronouncements claiming that the lack of nanny state regulations is the problem. like, if we only had the correct consumer protections, it would save total degens from blowing up their trading accounts?! pffff. the FCA isn't capable of shit in that department. they're just blowing hot air to justify their existence.

Yeah, leverage is usually a very bad idea unless you are Warren Buffett and can withstand a huge drawdown.  You are right, the stupidity of equating it only to crypto is immense.
533  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The antidote to financial censorship: Unbanked Trump needs Bitcoin! on: January 13, 2021, 01:13:48 AM
This is exactly right, I mentioned it to people earlier today, the question i had for them was how could one get the message you have above to him or to people around him.

Anyone who cares about freedom should be concerned that a head of state and billionaire could be cut off by banks, and censored on social media. Hence the need for things like twister, telegram and the like.  If he isn't safe, no one is and everyone should be terrified that they'll be on the receiving end of cancel culture if they step out of line.

Decentralized, censorship resistant apps are the key to protect everyone from totalitarianism or authoritarianism (socialism, fascism, communism etc) of any form.  

Bitcoin being the best example because if the products of your life can be seized at the whim of someone, your life isn't yours.
534  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: He said Bitcoin is a Scam: See What happened to Him on: January 12, 2021, 11:30:44 PM

If you were in my shoe, what would you've told a person that says bitcoin is a ponzi scheme created to scam people?


Tell them that Bitcoin is Digital Socialism.

That usually stops 'em in their tracks.


Ha ha ha. Don't do that, Bitcoin is apolitical. Plus the people in the forum are very forgiving about comments/posts like yours. In other places, some people would call that post, it starts with the letter "R", ends with a letter "D".

Agreed.

Bitcoin is the freedom for each person to use it as they see fit, making their own choices and their own decisions.  Bitcoin allows people to protect themselves from the looting socialists, fascists, communists or any other authoritarian collectivist.

535  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2021-01-11] Crypto traders could ‘lose all their money,’ UK watchdog warns on: January 12, 2021, 06:58:37 PM
sorry if the headline comes off as FUD---i've just been seeing it everywhere today (bloomberg, the post, the guardian, etc) and thought the sentiment was too funny to ignore. what a bunch of wankers.

be prepared to lose all your money, guys! Tongue

I suggest that you wake up from your irrational exuberance. There is a good reason why the bitcoiners say, "Don't invest more than you are willing to lose."

What do you say to these people? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5308605.0

So, yes, be prepared to lose all of your money.


What i would say to them is:  with a volatile thing like bitcoin, who would be crazy enough to gamble on the margin?  :-)  But you are right, don't invest more than you can afford to lose.  

Most importantly don't use margin in general because it is like playing with dynamite.  Margin with bitcoin is like playing with nitroglycerin, riding in a Jeep on a bumpy road while bees are flying in the vehicle.

They are right, you could lose all your money.  To me though, every year bitcoin has survived has increased the likelihood that it will be worth more vs zero.
536  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2021-01-11] Crypto traders could ‘lose all their money,’ UK watchdog warns on: January 12, 2021, 01:31:18 AM
Yeah, it is all over today, they said the same thing every time bitcoin had gone up since 2010.

Volatile, yes, but one long upward trend from less than a dollar.
537  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Reason(s) why Bitcoin price dropped on: January 11, 2021, 06:22:15 PM
The snowball effect.  Some selling which liquidated people who were trading using margin, which dropped it more, which liquidated more etc...

People buying using leverage got liquidated (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5308605.0 ).

Then people panic. This is and has been a long term hold, not a short term trade.
538  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2021-01-11 Yahoo - Btc Biggest Plunge Since March Shakes Faith in Crypto Boom on: January 11, 2021, 06:20:33 PM
it's really curious they noticed the price drop of the last two days... missing an entire week of ATH!
btw it's a classic scheme. each time there is a bad news about bitcoin, you can find a lot of news about it.
when the price is pumping you find only "tulip" and "ponzi" comparison, nothing really valuable for a newbie.

The real news should be "bitcoin is up of 80% since last month ... despite a 20% drop today!"

From the article linked above, it seems lots of people were buying on margin and then got liquidated causing more of a drop, liquidating more, until all the leveraged folks got taken out.

And you are exactly right about the real news.  Bitcoin is still above where it was last week.
539  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2021-01-11 FinanceMagnates Bitcoin Crash Liquidates 262,344 Traders on: January 11, 2021, 06:19:06 PM
And this is why drops are intensified, people buying on the margin and then getting liquidated when they don't have sufficient capital to cover their positions.  I am not sure why they think this is/was a smart idea, but I doubt people will learn anything from it.

540  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2021-01-11 Yahoo - Btc Biggest Plunge Since March Shakes Faith in Crypto Boom on: January 11, 2021, 06:15:41 PM
Quote
A steep selloff in Bitcoin is fueling concern that the cryptocurrency bubble may be about to burst.

Bitcoin slid as much as 21% over Sunday and Monday in the biggest two-day slide since March. While the digital token recovered some of the losses during the European session, it was still down for the day.

“It’s to be determined whether this is the start of a larger correction, but we have now seen this parabola break so it might just be,” said Vijay Ayyar, head of business development with crypto exchange Luno in Singapore.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/two-day-bitcoin-plunge-shakes-042414396.html

And here come the dragons. After days of publishing non-sense they finally have something to talk about. Watch out.

Exactly.  Never mind the fact that bitcoin is still higher than it was a week ago.   The same nonsense which makes people panic and them missing the bounce, or panicking and not buying when it is low while waiting for "lower".  

Supply and demand.  Demand will remain high as long as the thesis hasn't changed, and it hasn't.

The kind of leveraged trading here, https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5308605.0 , exacerbates drops.
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