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641  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-10.01] Research Reveals Crypto Owners to Be the Riskiest Esports Bettors on: October 08, 2020, 03:37:41 PM
Little surprise there.

One of the enduring mysteries of this arena is the willingness of people to throw their Bitcoin away in a way I'm certain they'd think twice about with dollars. How you can favour retaining the currency that's only going to reduce your spending power and piss away the one that may ensure your future is beyond me.

Fuck 'em.

Agreed.  One might think that perhaps many of these people are truly crypto owners, but gamblers who are buying crypto in order to fund their gambling habit.  People who are using crypto to bypass whatever state controls there might be on gambling online, so only being owners for a very short period of time.  (Some perhaps using their crypto holdings to fund a habit).

Many of the crypto owners I have met since 2010 are (at least the ones I met long ago) have a good understanding of math and realize that lotteries, casinos etc are merely a tax on the innumerate.  

Likewise, without some type of true inside information (e.g. game X will be thrown) it is, as you say, throwing their bitcoin away to be on a sports game.  Yes, you may win, but the house always has an edge through the spread, superior knowledge or something else.  (Barring counting cards at casinos and the like where you could have an advantage over the house).

Gambling isn't a "risk" as it might be to use and risk one's time to start a business (crypto or otherwise) where you have a reasonable chance of reward, gambling is a sure loser when you consider everyone in aggregate.  Thus it isn't a "risk" but a sure way to lose if you persist for long periods of time.


642  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-10-08] Admiral says Bitcoin and crypto threaten democracy in South America on: October 08, 2020, 03:00:04 PM
What definition of democracy was he talking about? The American democracy where every other nation follows their rules? This is similar to their peace process. If you are not with it and its interests, they will bomb you hehehehe.
...

No one but a fool wants true Democracy:  Remember that Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what they are going to have for dinner.  And constitutionally protected liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote. 

A well armed lamb would be a lamb armed with bitcoin to protect their assets from the authoritarian wolves who waiting to vote themselves the right to take your assets.  Either outright or via inflation.  And a gun to protect one's life.

In a true democracy there is no protection for minority rights since the majority can vote at any time to take those rights away. 
643  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-09-28] Grayscale Investments now controls 2.4% of the current BTC supply on: October 02, 2020, 06:45:14 PM
It isn't all that surprising that it is one of the few (only(?) in the US) ways you can purchase bitcoin from your brokerage account.   An ETF or other vehicle with lower costs and less of a spread between the market price and the value of one bitcoin would be more than welcome.
644  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-01] How the FBI tracked down the Twitter hackers on: September 25, 2020, 07:32:15 PM
@Kakmakr. I am skeptical about this official story as the real story. This was a sophisticated hack that appeared to be a warning disguised as a bitcoin donation scam.

I speculate that there might be a suppression of there larger issue. Am I watching too much movies hehhe?

I think you are right.  Particularly with the concept of parallel construction, aka legalized perjury.  The 2013 use of this during the Obama administration was just disgusting.  Even more so when it is based upon NSA spying.
645  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-09-10] Community-Funded Bitcoin Awareness Campaign Unveiled in Hong Kong on: September 25, 2020, 07:28:48 PM
What has Hong Kong done to stop Beijing from implementing the security law?

What can Hong Kong do to stop Beijing in the first place?
And, as you might guess, the answer is almost nothing.

Although they don't like it, they think is not right, they claim otherwise, the real truth for the people of HK is that right now HK is China, and if China decides to forget everything, all the promises, the concept of "one country, two systems", the joint declaration that still guarantees somewhat of HK independence for the next 30 years, and does as Russia has done in Crimea, nobody will do anything. And both China and the people of Hong Kong know this!

The moment the UK decided to honor their treaty in 97 was the moment the fate of HK was sealed.


I agree.  The fate of HK has been a slow motion destruction of freedom and liberty.  The people of HK should be aware now that the time has come to be ready to move assets offshore if not done already. 

The UK made a great offer to the citizens of HK with the offer of citizenship.  The US should do something similar.  There are a lot of talented, educated people there who understand the value of liberty and would make great additions to any society.
646  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-01] How the FBI tracked down the Twitter hackers on: September 14, 2020, 05:40:57 PM
While the FBI did "track down" the Twitter hackers, given how stupid they were, it didn't seem to require much work to do the tracking.  Which is good - unless you are the hackers.
647  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-09-10] Community-Funded Bitcoin Awareness Campaign Unveiled in Hong Kong on: September 12, 2020, 04:27:43 PM
The people of Hong Kong need it to protect themselves from the authoritarian collectivists in China.  The time to protect assets is before things get really bad and the last two decades have been a series of progressively larger intrusions and restrictions on the people of HK. They need to preserve assets in Bitcoin so they can move it over the border if (when) needed.  Assets will allow people to start over in a more free country when needed.
648  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-06-04] Bloomberg: “Bitcoin Toward $20,000 in 2020" on: September 06, 2020, 04:13:21 PM
So far, there has been some stagnation, the price has hardly changed recently.

Patience is key. Over the course of months, who knows.  Over the course the the last decade, well, everyone knows what happened.
649  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-09-03] Bitcoin is now the 6th largest world currency on: September 06, 2020, 04:11:30 PM
...

In any case, mining pools are reported to be dumping. It might be falling to 7th and then 8th soon hehehe.

Good catch on the 2017 article.

The positive is that the mining pools only have a limited supply to "dump", (and half as much new supply as a year ago) so at some point, that selling pressure will end.  With demand steady or increasing, there is one logical direction.
650  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-24] Over 97% of All Bitcoin UTXOs Are in Profit on: September 06, 2020, 04:07:32 PM
It would be interesting to see the % of bitcoins that represents - a UTXO with 0.1 BTC shouldn't be weighted the same as one with 50 BTC.

It is also somewhat meaningless if I bought 1 BTC a week ago at $12000 and then moved it to cold storage today, it might show it slightly positive vs reality.
651  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Bitcoin Experiment: A documentary about how real world is on a death spiral on: September 02, 2020, 02:38:52 PM
I realize they like to have lots of views and lots effects, but this could've been a few paragraphs of writing or condensed down into a few minutes.  I'm sure they mean well, but for heaven's sake, get to the point.

They need a TLDW at the start.
652  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-23]"Not your keys; not your coins".....? on: August 27, 2020, 07:25:05 PM
Its just hard to believe on that Coinbase didnt make any announcement or notification about that.If they do then theres no point to argue and forcing to claim those BTG.
Actually they did on twitter, 3 days before the fork , also mentioned to this article and probably to their user's email as well or even in-app notification too.

1. No one should keep coins on an exchange unless one is intending to sell them soon.
2. IIRC I got an email and notice from Coinbase about it prior to that even though I have nothing in the account there.  

People who don't read or pay attention then cry because they didn't take responsibility to read or pay attention.  

Anyone paying attention over the last decade+ should know that if you don't have the keys, all you have is an IOU.
653  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-20] Restaurant Converts Entire Cash Reserve to BTC following Cov19 on: August 27, 2020, 07:22:54 PM
1. How much?  Was it $1000 or $100 or $100,000?  Kind of relevant whether it was something they could earn in a day or a week or a year.
2. "Bitcoin as it offers a much better alternative to saving cash. " - over the long term yes, most likely, but how long until they need it?
3. Who needs a stable coin unless one is trading?  It is like those centralized cryptos that central banks (and others) are creating.  What the !@#$ is the point?  Who needs centralized crypto, just use a database.
654  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-11] MicroStrategy Adopts Bitcoin as Primary Treasury Reserve Asset on: August 14, 2020, 02:49:14 PM
The problem with online gambling pre Tor etc, was the centralized domain name system where domain names could be seized and the owners arrested if used improperly. That is the reason that casino.com and gamble.com were sold in 1997 and to whom they were sold.

this

the story of the internet was always a story of the freedom of expression and the freedom to innovate mutually reinforcing one another (and I may venture to make a similarly bold prediction as this Saylor character), and always will be


Agreed.  Freedom in all walks of life is critical.  The internet was built on it, although it was also built on trust which ended up being problematic for some things - e.g. email spoofing, no initial S on http etc.  In the 1990s (even the late ones) the regulation that smothered projects was oppressive.  It still is.  And the monopolistic power to enforce groupthink from private companies is equally as bad.

(As an aside, unfortunately I think that with the so-called web 3.0 things like Solid, the lack of design level encryption is going to stifle the growth because people will be reluctant to store things on pods in an unencrypted form (not to mention the need for protocol level ability to migrate to a new pod).  )
655  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-11] MicroStrategy Adopts Bitcoin as Primary Treasury Reserve Asset on: August 14, 2020, 12:00:17 PM
Decrypt has found the death of bitcoin prediction tweet from Microsystem CEO Michael Saylor which might have been deleted after the release of this article.

It appears that we should also be convinced that we are witnessing the beginning of another bull market hehehe.



He’s not alone in the 180-degree-turn. This year, Mathew McDermott, the head of digital assets at US bank Goldman Sachs, said the bank is entertaining client requests for cryptocurrency transactions after a “resurgence of interest.” This is the same bank that flat out dismissed Bitcoin as an asset class in May 2020 during an investor call.

Source https://decrypt.co/38604/microstrategy-ceo-predicted-the-death-of-bitcoin-years-ago

Re his tweet:
The problem with online gambling pre Tor etc, was the centralized domain name system where domain names could be seized and the owners arrested if used improperly. That is the reason that casino.com and gamble.com were sold in 1997 and to whom they were sold. Dealing with the Clinton administration and the potential illegality of doing anything with them while based in the US or even outside it, was a huge risk that torpedoed the business plans.

Since the "progressives" have tried to exert more control over everything over more than the last century, it inhibits progress. 





656  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-10] Capital Flight Out of Asia Is Taking Bitcoin Express: Max Keiser on: August 10, 2020, 05:49:38 PM
There is definitely no evidence of this. However, smart people all over the world are using bitcoin to protect their assets, both for capital flight and asset protection.  The authoritarian collectivists the world over don’t like people having the freedom to control their own lives, let alone the freedom to use their assets as they wish.

I know a guy who lived in China for more than a decade and he just left about 10 days ago. He had a few thousand dollars with him and was very concerned they’d be confiscated.  Bitcoin helps with that issue.  Even more so if you have 10s or 100s of thousands of dollars/euros to protect, let alone millions.

Smart people in the US should own bitcoin for similar reasons if Biden wins and keeps channeling Bernie and his ilk. His philosophy is anti liberty, and downright evil. People need to protect themselves.  The time to buy insurance is to do so before the house is on Fire.

Has this impacted the price?  Who knows. It is just speculation that it has, of course it depends on the volume of people using it to do so. All the various uses and factors are cumulative.
657  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-07-23] Expert Insights on the Asian Crypto Market amidst pandemic on: August 09, 2020, 06:47:48 PM
The population of the Asian region has always shown great interest in cryptocurrency. After the official launch of the Chinese digitalized yuan, and even more so the Asian regional stablecoin, interest in the decentralized cryptocurrency should grow significantly.
Now, four major banks in China have gradually begun introducing their digitized yuan and we will eagerly await the first feedback on the usability of this stablecoin. This experience can prove invaluable to other states.


The people of Asia, particularly China, would do well to embrace bitcoin.  These so-called stable coins have few of the benefits of a decentralized system like bitcoin and most of the issues with a fiat currency like the yuan.  A digitized yuan adds nothing of benefit for the people of China, but certainly benefits the Chinese authoritarians.  Anyone who puts their trust in authoritarians of any stripe - socialist, communists, fascist, totalitarian etc - is naive or just plain uninformed.
658  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-06-04] Bloomberg: “Bitcoin Toward $20,000 in 2020" on: August 06, 2020, 07:06:24 PM
~

Given the halving of new supply and increased demand, $20k is definitely within reach for 2020.  Perhaps higher.   During the previous halvings, it wasn't instant, but took months to a year.  No complaints here for sure.


I may be wrong, but in my opinion newly mined BTC is not "supply", in the market sense of the word. "Supply" is the amount people are willing to sell. It can exceed the amount of newly mined Bitcoin many times, or, theoretically, it can be less than that, if miners prefer to hold instead of cashing out right away.  Each time the halving may become less significant if the price stays in the same ballpark, but so far it hasn't. 

In other words, even if halving does affects the "supply", it does so to a very limited extent.

That is why I specifically said "new supply" - which you highlighted.  :-)  When you decrease the new supply on the market you certainly decrease the amount that miners are able to sell, whether or not they do so immediately or not.  That decreases the overall "supply" that is available to be sold on the market.  

It is critical to note that prices are set at the margin so a small decrease in overall supply due to a decrease in new supply, can have an outsized impact on price.  Particularly if demand stays constant or increases.  Similarly a small increase in demand can have an outsized impact on price when supply is constant or decreasing.  Now with bitcoin, everyone knows that the eventual total number of bitcoins is fixed (barring any overflow bugs), new supply is decreasing, the only question is at what price, if any, person X is willing to sell.

Obviously it is all complex, but miners do often have to sell at least some supply to cover costs.  Going to 900/day from 1800/day becomes significant over time just to pay the bills and they have 900 fewer per day to sell to cover costs -- at current prices 900/per day is around US$10-$11 million per day, or around US$4 billion per year in fewer newly mined coins available.   With demand from GBTC reportedly soaking up a large percentage of newly minted/mined coins back in the spring, cutting that in half seems bound to impact price.  Back in 2012, a decrease from 7200 to 3600/day didn't cost that much if the price was US$5-10, maybe $30000-$40000 per day. 

Nothing is guaranteed, but the past 2 halvings have had a large impact on price.  Increased or constant demand and less "new supply" seem to be a recipe for a higher fiat price. (Speaking of fiat, printing an extra US$5-10 trillion for coronavirus aid should make people aware of the dangers of fiat inflating purchasing power away).

:-)








659  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-08-01] How the FBI tracked down the Twitter hackers on: August 03, 2020, 03:30:23 PM
I am worried that newbies hackers managed to do all of this, leaving tons of mistakes that leads to them.
True. When a careless 17 year old manages to break in to a huge tech company like Twitter, it goes to show just how lax their security practices are. We often see hacks and breaches of crypto companies being made a big deal of on this forum - Ledger's data breach, Binance's data breach, various exchanges and web wallets being hacked for funds, lists of email addresses from ICOs and airdrops being sold, and so on. What a lot of people forget is that such data breaches are commonplace throughout the entire internet, and that even massive tech companies often have terrible security. Google stored passwords in plain text for 14 years. 50 million Facebook accounts were compromised in 2018. Just today an unpatchable exploit to Apple's Secure Enclave has been revealed, meaning an attacker can potentially decrypt and steal all your information and data.

This is why it is so important that people take their privacy and security seriously.

Its all just to monetize their access to twitter, they could have just got away with it if they just continue to sell accounts than aiming for this giveaway scam thru those high profile accounts.
It seems Twitter only picked up on it after they flooded many famous accounts with their bitcoin scam. Given that, it could have been much worse. They could have read or sent private messages to and from world leaders, or tweeted as various CEOs. Remember how much TSLA stock fell when Musk tweeted he thought it was overpriced?

This is a nice point, it goes to show why distributed services like bitcoin (twister etc) should be preferred.  Instead of someone being able to "hack into Bitcoin Inc" they would need to hack into each individual's account.  Without a centralized point like Twitter, this becomes much harder - presuming no one finds P=NP and/or breaks PKE.

Everything should be handled using on-device encryption and not sent off whatever device is being used without being encrypted. 

One thing that concerns me about things like Solid is that they may be making the same error with regard to http and https (and others) again.  I haven't checked in about 6-9 months, but the pods are not encrypted on the device.



660  Economy / Economics / Re: My bank account's got robbed by European Commission. Over 700k is lost. on: August 01, 2020, 10:24:05 AM
That´s a thread from 2013 but a few things need to be cleared and updated.

The Laiki bank was in governmental ownership since 2012 and the 100K guarantee was clear from the start. Yes, that they really enforce that option is crap but it was stated in the fine print.
Going to cyprus is by defintion a questionable move. The CySec is infamous for giving out licenses to the even most shabby fintech companies, most notoriously to the Get-rich-quick Binary Options brokers.
The EU has advantages if you know how to use them, like the passporting rule.

Anyway, in conclusion the story sounds to me of a mix of being careless, being greedy for tax reduction, and bad luck of being at the wrong place at the wrong time.


There is a difference between funds up to 100K being guaranteed and between funds being taken above a certain limit to pay a country's debts.  A huge one - it is the difference between a bank making bad decisions and politicians doing so.  And if I recall from the thread (it has been quite a while since I read it), he stated later they had the account for working capital - e.g. paying salaries for their employees etc.  Nothing shady, just money used for operations.

And the guy you replied to looks to be a link spammer anyway given the look of his 4 posts.

in addition OP did not "go to cyprus" - he lived there.



Good point. He did live there...I think in the thread he said he moved to somewhere in the Caribbean after this.  I'd be interested in hearing an update.
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