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81  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] MOVETO.FUND - MoveTo Growth Fund on: August 19, 2012, 03:02:43 AM
With all the pirate funds gone and ZIP.A and BDT under a cloud I think your fund is going to be one of the top 3 assets on GLBSE shortly  Smiley

Yep Cheesy. Although, there are many much larger funds and banks than mine... Starfish has some 60K I think, and I think Gamma is probably comparable, but these just aren't listed on the GLBSE.

In other news though, I'm almost done refactoring the code - in this case, it was a total rewrite. It's so much cleaner now and elegant, using the linux philosophy of having separate tools each with a separate job: one for getting data, one for constructing price bars, one for doing indicators, and one for overall execution. It's great because with this code base I can very quickly adapt it for other markets just by pointing the data feed to a different place. The ask-code should be much easier to plug in now, and at that point I'll be feeling much better about things. I'm also excited because I got the strongest buy signal I've ever received on any asset this month (I'll discuss this in the next monthly update after we've done some more buying).

The only thing keeping me up at night now is this whole BDT fiasco. I truly think that the problems with the platform as easy to fix, so it all just depends on Alberto's honesty. Right now I'm waiting to update the NAV after we get our coupons, which Meni promises are coming tomorrow along with the late bonus.

I've been thinking about the issue of trust and lack of GLBSE-auditing/ratings, and I think perhaps that avoiding IPOs completely may be the most risk-adverse approach, because the history of an asset is very important (with the exception of high rep issuers of course, such as Goat etc.). I haven't made any decisions yet on this; I don't know what is going to happen yet in the immediate future with BDT, and I don't yet know what my actions will be depending on the situation. Lets just see what happens tomorrow.

In the meantime, I'll ask my shareholders: what is your opinion? I am here to serve you after all, and to get the ulcers so that you don't have to Undecided
82  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] BDT - 3% weekly interest bond, backed by Bitdaytrade on: August 18, 2012, 04:36:06 PM
Under all of this mess is an underlying business that could become quite successful. If only the website security and customer relations could be handled as professionally as Meni handled the IPO!

My thoughts as well.
83  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] BDT - 3% weekly interest bond, backed by Bitdaytrade on: August 18, 2012, 04:15:46 PM
Meni: bitdaytrade has not responded to my PMs.  I would like to know why the coupons have not been paid this week. I'm okay with slight delays (it's in the share contract that coupons may be delayed up to 2 weeks), but investors need communication from the issuer each and every time a coupon is late.
84  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] MOVETO.FUND - MoveTo Growth Fund on: August 18, 2012, 01:38:00 PM
I wouldnt be so sure about Alberto and I would avoid any and all future projects proposed by JRO.

I agree completely. My last post was based on my discussion with DeadTerra, who has a very strong positive opinion about Alberto's honesty. However, based on more recent news and events, I am now in talks with usagi of CPA to insure these bonds ASAP. And yes, I will definitely filter out all future assets associated with JRO by default.

That said, due to the influx of capital from pirate closing down, we'll soon have significantly more holdings, and so this will greatly increase our diversification and dilute the effects of any one asset becoming a problem.

Honestly, I hate this drama shit. All I want to do is run the strategy, but instead I have to run it and investigate every new trade signal to see if it's telling me to buy into a scam or not. It's (almost) making me miss the normal stock market. The GLBSE is awesome and the profit potential is huge, but it's like playing with fire at the same time.

At some point in the near future, I plan on having a little fireside chat with everyone about our goals and solidify a mission statement with the optimal risk/return profile and money management strategy going forward. I'm thinking a good idea right now would be to look for some kind of third party asset auditor (the Starfish perhaps) that could rate things and then have a minimum rating requirement and automatically filter out everything that doesn't meet that standard.
85  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] MOVETO.FUND - MoveTo Growth Fund on: August 17, 2012, 09:30:56 PM
Pirate closed, funds should start be returned by monday, until then markets are on the loose. Time to ride this beast!  Wink

True, true! It's a sad day for sure, but this day was coming for some time. I'm hopeful though that I can raise more capital as a result, yet at the same time I am grateful that I had some time to gain experience with the GLBSE game whilst still small. It will be very interesting to see if many of the "non-pirate" bond offerings wind down as a result as well. It's also possible that bond yields may fall in general... I'm thinking competition for capital was keeping yields high. It could lead to a lot of refinancing/buybacks even for issues that are not directly related to pirate.

Even more interesting is what effect (if any) on the price of bitcoin pirate exiting will have. I'm hopeful that it will steady out for a while now that the pirate bubble is gone, which would be really good for us: the game, as I see it, is to increase the number of coins you have as much as possible before they get too expensive. Of course, that probably depends on what this is.
86  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Jonathan Ryan Owens locked Rebate, Zip.A, Alberto & BDT thread on: August 17, 2012, 05:06:05 PM
You can't collect from someone with no money, and a shitstorm will damage reputation necessary to collect funds for payback.

I suggest everyone just keep calm, and give this a couple months' more time. Investors could be screwed, yes, but collecting at this point won't salvage much. We can be angry, but try to keep it out of mind for a while. These various securities have effectively become loans, and I can speak from experience to say it's a very bad idea to ruin someone in trying to collect money when they need to collect money themselves. Loans need to be symbiotic, and that means you can't immediately turn on the rape switch when someone's in default. To do otherwise would result in tragedy for everyone with their neck out. Partial loan calls can be symbiotic if it forces a business/individual to cut away all the fat, but in this case, we'd be taking all his meat.... okay - bad analogy.


JRO might speak in depth, eventually... hopefully - but at this point, it seems we're better off expecting repayment within a year, and not demanding answers in the meantime. I believe I am most exposed, fwiw. I don't mean to be a bully, and I have no authority to do so, but I would very much unappreciate actions which harm JRO, as it harms everyone with money in him. Especially if you have nothing at stake, please shut up.  Kiss

ETA: Not directed at anyone in particular.

+1000 My thoughts exactly and the reason why I'm not "shit-storming" right now despite the situation. Instead, I am encouraging Alberto to focus on fixing the security holes in BDT. As I've said several times, these security holes are not hard to fix at all, a few weeks max with the source-code and it could all be resolved, and probably just a few days for the most glaring stuff. Then it just needs a long period of testing and hardening.

But yelling, screaming, and fingerpointing does nothing to help anyone at this point; if anything, as you put it, it reduces the odds of investors coming out on top.
87  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] BDT - 3% weekly interest bond, backed by Bitdaytrade on: August 16, 2012, 05:32:50 PM
There is way too much FUD going around (and not just about BDT, but pretty much about all Bitcoin-related investments) and those spreading this FUD should be more responsible IMO.

Did you read both of those threads extensively? "Alberto" ignored the fact that there were security issues being identified. When people confronted him he said there was no issue, and when people confronted him again with proof of exploits, he fixed individual exploits and pretended like the reports were wrong. He also was not using bcrypt as he claimed.

I know you have some financial interest in this being FUD, but facts are not on your side.

I agree, and I don't excuse anything here. My point is merely that the main security holes found are easy things to fix, like two days for the major issues. That's what I expect to be done here: I want a plan of action from Alberto to resolve the situation.
88  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] BDT - 3% weekly interest bond, backed by Bitdaytrade on: August 16, 2012, 04:53:44 PM
I talked with Alberto. He may choose to make his own statement but the bottom line is that contrary to claims, no funds have been stolen from Bitdaytrade; whatever security deficiencies exist, they will be sorted out; and that bondholders shouldn't panic, he is still committed to fulfilling the contract and I will still assist him in doing so.

Excellent news! Thanks for the prompt reply.

There is way too much FUD going around (and not just about BDT, but pretty much about all Bitcoin-related investments) and those spreading this FUD should be more responsible IMO.

In any event, the security issues with BDT don't sound hard to fix. It's stated as in-beta anyway so bugs and issues are to be expected at this point, and upgrading password storage and fixing the injection attacks shouldn't take long at all. The key I think is just not to have too much BTC at risk until sufficient time and code hardening have occurred. There is certainly demand for this site due to the immense vacuum left by Bitcoinica so I'm still in strongly.
89  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] BDT - 3% weekly interest bond, backed by Bitdaytrade on: August 16, 2012, 02:07:56 PM
I talked with Alberto about many things and I am confident he is committed to making bitdaytrade work, and even if it fails, to pay back every last satoshi of debt, bringing to the table his personal assets if necessary (of which he has enough to cover his obligations). He is also committed not to have the kind of security negligence we have seen in Bitcoinica.

In any case the vast majority of the money is stored offline and withdrawals are inspected manually, so even if something happens it should still be in a level which Alberto can absorb without affecting customers.

I'm holding you to these statements.

He clearly lied about passwords being stored with bcrypt.

...almost every major JSON api function has an SQL injection.

Is this accurate? Even if so, there is still plenty of time to fix all of this. Clearly a lot of work has been put into the site thus far, but perhaps it needs more time spent hardening it. It's pretty quick and simple to fix the SQL injection problem: just use parameterized queries. It shouldn't take more than a couple days to modify all your SQL statements to eliminate all injection potential. And upgrading the password to bcrypt is easy too.

As a investor, I would like more details on two core issues:
(1) What steps will be taken to harden the code? I have already outlined the first two obvious ones here; they're pretty easy and quick to implement.
(2) Have any funds actually been stolen from the site to date, or is this just FUD?

Thanks!
90  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Send to charity. on: August 16, 2012, 02:24:18 AM
what is your exposure to pirate?

 Grin someone had to ask.



LOL

I cant prevent people sending pirate shares to the account but so far the only ones related to pirate are YARR. I dont know about OBSI.HRPT but he hasn't said its pirate related.

OBSI.HRPT is a strange one. I own 1 share just to keep it on my radar, but the guy really needs to give out more information if he wants people to trust him.
91  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] MOVETO.FUND - MoveTo Growth Fund on: August 11, 2012, 04:09:02 PM
NAV per share updated to 1.17268084

Also, an update:

While working on improving the code that examines the asks, I found another bug that needed to be fixed. The code is becoming spaghetti now and I really need to refactor it, so the ask-examining feature is being postponed until I can clean up my act. It's okay really though, because I already do this by hand through examining all the assets each day, but maybe towards the end of the month I can get this feature in and automate the process.

Also, I cancelled the sell of PUREMINING, because at 0.14 the yield on it is now extremely high, and I think ASIC may be delayed. We own so little that we might as well hold it. Regardless, the 400 BTC has been injected as promised, and due to nice rallies on our other assets, you lucky dogs are now way up this week.

As you probably already know, there has been some drama lately surrounding BTD, REBATE, and ZIP.A with the "disappearance" of JRO. We do own a large holding of BTD, but Alberto seems to be a very honest guy (I had a discussion about this with DeadTerra) so I'm OK with this holding due to the high yield. However, it looks like ZIP.A is likely to have some sort of a buyback, although I don't know what we'll get for it. Regardless of the outcome, it's only about 1% of our portfolio anyway since I was cautious getting into it.

So, in closing: we are firmly back on track now and I look forward to finishing out this month with new highs!

-cyto
92  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] BDT - 3% weekly interest bond, backed by Bitdaytrade on: August 11, 2012, 12:50:32 PM
BDT has been unfrozen, bitdaytrade has been very helpful in getting this mess sorted out. He can explain things from here.

Nefario.

Woohoo!

Nefario: At first I was pissed about the freeze, but now after reading your post in the REBATE thread I see there's a good reason here - I didn't realize there was some recoverable capital in the REBATE issuer's account. I won't doubt your decisions again.

BTW, since REBATE is going to remain frozen and potentially go into liquidation, will you also do the same process for ZIP.A which hasn't paid dividends either?

Alberto: Can we expect dividends today?

Thanks guys for working this out.
93  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] ZipConf bond on: August 10, 2012, 06:59:09 PM
Thanks, I hadn't seen that.
So from what I gather the issuer just left all his BTC-businesses behind?
Zipconf has seemed like a somewhat profitable business based on the dividends - so why would JRO just pack up and leave?

Sounds a little strange and very, very unprofessional. I can understand if a business venture fails and investors suffer a loss, but getting no info whatsoever from the reponsible party is just, wow.

I had some hope for ZipConf, as it was a business I thought could be constructive for the Bitcoin community. Now I'm just happy I didn't put all that much money into it.

Same here, and I also luckily have a very small exposure. There are many places where I thought a default was possible, but ZipConf was not on my radar as a high-risk asset other than the fact that it was a pure equity and not tied to BTC price.

So I'm now hoping we can find JRO and at least get a buy-back on this (and on REBATE for those who own shares).
94  Economy / Securities / Re: Motion Raised! Starting a new FPGA mining farm/contract! Cognitive on [GLBSE] on: August 10, 2012, 12:19:30 AM
I consider Patrick to be the lowest-risk borrower in the Lending subforum. However, Kluge is also low-risk, established, and acceptable.

Agreed - both are a great place to park short-term btc, and are probably the two lowest risk borrowers available.
95  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: https://bitdaytrade.com Bitcoin Gold & Commodities margin trading on: August 09, 2012, 09:44:48 PM
bitdaytrade: Trading on your issue (BDT) has been frozen by the GLBSE.

Could you please explain what is going on? Will dividends still be paid this Friday?

Thanks.
96  Economy / Securities / Re: Weekly loss of N% guaranteed - Enjoy perpetual loss with fixed Mh/s mining turds on: August 08, 2012, 06:15:36 PM

Seriously: Given that, for whom can you still recommend an investment in your fund?Huh
As I said multiple times, an investment being "recommended" is a function of the price. It will be inappropriate for me to discuss whether the investment is recommended at any specific price. I am currently not offering any new bonds so I have no direct interest in people buying them at this point.

I doubt your intention creating a win-win situation
You can doubt it all you want, it was my intention. I wanted to simultaneously make a profitable, honest business venture, offer people a streamlined way to invest in mining, and move us one step closer to a hashrate commodity market.

you bet to find investors stupid enough to finance your one-sided game.
When I created the bond I did not know when would ASICs arrive, did not expect them to be introduced with such an aggressive pricing strategy, and I definitely didn't expect the trade-in program. To suggest that I somehow plotted to cunningly profit from these events is ludicrous.

In the long term issuers don't determine the price of bonds, the market does. I explained very clearly what the asset does, what factors go into valuating it, and that it is every investor's responsibility to evaluate how much they stand to gain from it. It is not my fault if someone decides to pay 0.7 BTC per bond (not to me, in the secondary market) and it ends up a bad investment.

In theory the prospect of profiting from upgrade plans and such would make its way into the price the issuer is willing to offer the bond at. In my case I had not expected such a plan, and so it was not reflected in my initial price.

You must be like many a greedy person.
I am not. If I was I would probably have given up my word and my values and offered an upgrade plan to win the popularity contest. Or try to offer new bonds the moment ASICs arrive to capitalize on the uncertainty with regards to the target equilibrium.

You keep focusing on the "fairness" of issuers sharing the outcome of every positive event with investors but never stop to consider the bad things that can happen, and the risks of being committed to stick to the contract no matter what. I could die and continue to pay coupons from beyond the grave, would many greedy people do that?

I have to jump in here and defend Mr. Rosenfeld. He has been 100% honest here and upheld all of his obligations, and I think many of these attacks are a way of investors not taking personal responsibility for their decisions. If an investor made a bad bet, it's not the fault of an contract issuer that followed his contract to a T.

And of course, while the market is currently signalling that the arrival of ASICs will be disruptive (based on current pricing and the relatively much higher interest rates of non-ASIC upgradable mining assets), there is no guarantee that this will occur, which would subsequently send prices for these assets higher and prices for ASIC-based ventures lower.

I generally like to bet that the market is right (except at extremes), but it's not always the case.
97  Economy / Securities / Re: 1% GLBSE Bond TYGRR-BOND.D on: August 08, 2012, 03:59:18 PM
I noticed that 2000 bonds were actually created, so I'm assuming you plan to sell the other 1500 in the future? If so, when do you plan to do this? Thanks!
98  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] MOVETO.FUND - MoveTo Growth Fund on: August 07, 2012, 04:53:32 PM
In truth, I hoped you had noticed already that "extremely low liquidity" means something.

Definitely. The position was taken on very, very early on (the very first month of operation), and a lot of things have changed since then both in terms of the markets and in terms of adapting our strategy to the GLBSE.

However, you've been doing well nevertheless, hopefully you'll be doing even better now that you've adjusted the algorithm, and personally compensating for losses really does show you care about us -so I'm still strongly in  Smiley

Thanks! I certainly believe strongly in our approach. Many others have been burned by being too incautious with the GLBSE. In the recent past, it was very easy to make money because you could buy just about anything and make a profit (especially with the BTC/USD price level at $5 for so long), but those days are gone.

In a way, this is good for me because I think after solidifying our strategy we will shine more relative to other banks and funds as it becomes increasingly more difficult to make profits consistently.
99  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] MOVETO.FUND - MoveTo Growth Fund on: August 07, 2012, 01:15:40 AM
Ok, so here's how it's going to go down.

I am very happy with all of the assets that we currently own - all of them have a very high positive expectation. We have done a great job of filtering out the "crap" from the GLBSE and picking up the winners. Additionally, I have verified that all of the mining assets we own have ASIC upgrade paths or include the purchase of ASIC equipment as part of their growth plan. So I am not worried about anything that we own, with one exception: PUREMINING*

PUREMINING has a negative long-term expectation, yet was originally purchased because it has hit a strongly oversold level, which often causes a price bounce and thus a mean-reversion trade is possible to perform. On the S&P500, I am used to doing this all the time (it's a key part of how my system operates), yet on the GLBSE there just isn't sufficient liquidity to do this type of trading activity.

I believe it was an operator error on my part to attempt a mean-reversion trade on the GLBSE and thus I am chalking it up to a learning experience, and so I will inject 400 BTC into the fund to compensate for expected further losses from this particular asset for fund investors. Eating losses like this is only something I will do if the error is on my part; if we do the right thing and the investment doesn't work out, then that's a completely different scenario. So I don't expect to eat losses ever again for the fund since I now understand how the GLBSE operates much more clearly, and we will not attempt to perform any short-term trades in the future (unless liquidity vastly improves, but that is likely years away).

I'll get this done this week.

Thanks,
-cyto

*Also FPGA.CONTRACT, but I already liquidated that and we barely owned any shares of it anyway.
100  Economy / Securities / Re: Weekly loss of N% guaranteed - Enjoy perpetual loss with fixed Mh/s mining turds on: August 06, 2012, 06:51:05 PM
You're entitled to a different opinion but please stop the trash-talk saying deterministic assets should be "filtered out".

In the end, the market is always the judge, not my opinion, nor yours. There are good mining-related investments, and bad ones, and I know which is which because I have the hard numbers on all mining assets from my research. When I filter something out, I always do it because it has a negative expectation, not because I have a certain "gut feeling" about it. From what I can see, at the present time most (but not all) non-upgradable fixed-rate mining bonds have a negative expectation relative to holding bitcoins directly, although there are some notable exceptions to this guideline.

It's not personal, so don't take it that way. It's business.
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