I'ld like to create a community response to the post.
I set up a collaborative editing pad:
http://meetingwords.com/GO5tVHslbzFollowing is my stab at a response. Anyone care to make it better? I'll paste the community response on the Quora post at a later time.
Community response to:
http://www.quora.com/Is-Bitcoin-doomed-to-failIs Bitcoin doomed to fail?
> 1.) Technical
> it would require ~2k CPUs for 1h to steal 5M BTC.
Let's do the math.
- Amazon Quadruple Extra Large Cluster Compute Instance $2.10 per hour.
http://aws.amazon.com/ec2/pricing/ - That instance is 2 NVIDIA M2050s, or about 32 Mhash/s per
https://www.bitcoin.org/smf/index.php?topic=1334.msg26185#msg26185 The currenty network is about 150 Ghash/s. To get 50% of current network hashing, that means you'ld need to match that amount.
That's 4,688 of those XL Cluster instances. Hey ... that's just under $10,000 for the hour.
Whether or not that amount of capacity is available to just spin up is unlikely however. 49.9% of the hashing strength won't be enough.
So if you take over the network, what does that let you do?
Yes, there are over 5 million bitcoins that exist, but they aren't yours to spend. You can try to accumulate bitcoin and then double spend once you have control of the network. Assuming you start sending those to Mt. Gox and other exchanges in hopes of double spending, its quite likely the combination of a ramp in the number of nodes plus an influx of bitcoin funding by the exchanges wouldn't go unnoticed.
Amazon is likely to be the only one likely to profit from such an attempt.
> 2.) Legal
> BTC will represent a deadly threat for a national state, and that they would react accordingly using their full moral, legal, judiciary, police, military, PR, press powers to shut down such a threat.
Governments could make trade using bitcoins difficult, that is true. If they make it a crime to trade with bitcoins only criminals will trade bitcoins, or something to that effect is how the saying goes.
> 3) Competition
> the lock-in power of such network is extremely low, and the entry barrier for competitors is also very low
There already is competition. Testnet Bitcoin is a live, functioning parallel currency. Today you can mine for it, exchange it .. it even trades on Bitcoin-OTC! But you might want to think twice. Because it is not protected by 150 Ghash/s like Bitcoin currency is, it is rather vulnerable at this stage. There will be competition at some point, certainly.
> 4) Community
> infiltrate the community of developers in order to push their own agendas
Bitcoin is open source and runs on open protocols. Let the best fork win.