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981  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 01, 2018, 11:33:02 AM
A lot of the great Russians are worth a read, Turganev, Pushkin, (some) Dostoevsky, Chekhov, Solzhenitsyn....

But hey - I suspect we are in a very small minority here...


Have read One Day in the Life of Ivan Denisovich. Ha pycckom. Sadly my language skills have rusted in the interim. 

Jeez, in Russian?  Jealous.  When I was a younger man, I wanted to learn it to read Tolstoy without the filter of translation.   

Needless to say, I never got around to it.
982  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 01, 2018, 11:18:08 AM
cont.

although Bulgakov would go to no. 1
Respect.

(Merited)
Gracias.

giving Bill the Bard a mention

More OT: I was obsessed with Shakespeare for years until I discovered Tolstoy. I don't think Shakespeare understood the poor.

Shakespeare understood the great human eternal drives, love, jealousy, the trials of power..... 

Tolstoy could weave a tale in plain speaking which saw a whole country in time of war from the lone soldier in the fog of war right up to the aristocracy playing for estates and bonded serfs with cards.

A lot of the great Russians are worth a read, Turganev, Pushkin, (some) Dostoevsky, Chekhov, Solzhenitsyn....

But hey - I suspect we are in a very small minority here...

Best get back on topic.... I do hope the doom is lifting a little in Rosewater's world with the current upturn.  Do say hello to BMB for me?

983  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: August 31, 2018, 10:47:09 PM
xmr going up?

no more cheap xmr to buy anymore!?  Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked

I should have bought M0ar instead of dropping it on the poker table last night. Smiley


I think that's what you say every time you buy more! Wink

What's up with our rise?  Random?  Related to that PDF?

Nah, it was always coming.  It is about time...

Yes, it looks like we had a (local) double bottom in the past few days around the 0.13 level.

But of course if Bitcoin is mirroring 2014 / 2015 (as it may be) and decides to dip much further - it's tough to predict what all the alts will do.   My sentiment agrees with yours; that is that in XMR/BTC I think we are unlikely to go lower, in fact I think a little upside is now on the cards.

I think a spike up is due from now /late August into Sept.  Mainly because this time of year has 'history' for Monero.

A really big rise in XMR/USD will need Bitcoin to end its bear market.  I hope this will not need to wait until the next halving, but who knows....
984  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 31, 2018, 10:40:56 PM
Here are some obvious must reads, off the top of my head.

Cervantes, The Quixote
Mikhail Bulgakov, The Master and Margarita
Nikolai Gogol, The Nose
Franz Kafka, The Castle
Jorge Luis Borges, Labyrinths
Hemingway, A Clean Well-Lighted Place
Edward Gibbon, The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire
Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations
Bertrand Russell, A Free Man’s Worship

Quite interesting. My obvious must-reads fwiw:

Umberto Eco, The Name of the Rose
Shakespeare, oeuvres
trilema

Nice additions - particularly giving Bill the Bard a mention, but I can't enjoy reading Trilema - and I have really tried... His slut shaming Dom stuff is weirdly dubious and some of the rest is (while no doubt intelligent and incredibly erudite) pretty unintelligible and often deeply cynical to me.  I dip in sometimes still, but I am not sure I ever learn much.

EDIT: Spelling
985  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 31, 2018, 10:34:20 PM
Cervantes, The Quixote
Mikhail Bulgakov, The Master and Margarita
Nikolai Gogol, The Nose
Franz Kafka, The Castle
Jorge Luis Borges, Labyrinths
Hemingway, A Clean Well-Lighted Place
Edward Gibbon, The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire
Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations
Bertrand Russell, A Free Man’s Worship

Just catching up on a week's worth of WO after heading off for a little fly fishing.

Respect for a great reading list, although Bulgakov would go to no. 1, and I might rate a different Hemmingway.

So some people here are well-read after all.  (Both of you) rise even further in my estimations.

(Merited) keep lifting the tone, eh?
986  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: August 21, 2018, 10:27:27 PM
The Monero cryptocurrency is gradually losing weight, as other coins are falling in value every day, in fact, Monero is no different from others.


Yup - been on a pre-beach holiday diet.

It's just that time of year.. Does look better with it, though.
987  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 21, 2018, 08:43:48 PM
https://economics.yale.edu/sites/default/files/files/Faculty/Tsyvinski/cryptoreturns%208-7-2018.pdf
Risks and Returns of Cryptocurrency
Quote
if the investor believes Bitcoin will continue to do as well as the past seven years, she should hold about 6.1 percent share of Bitcoin in her portfolio. Even if the investor believes Bitcoin will only have half of its historical performance going forward, she should still hold about 3.1 percent share of Bitcoin in her portfolio.
+ moar good stuff + some dodgy stuff

I had a friend who was a hedge fund manager, a 'macro' trader.  She was fascinated with crypto as it was an 'uncorrelated asset class' which in the investment world is a good things to find.   You don't want all a portfolio in asset classes that all respond to economic factors in the same way.  Everyone needs something in their portfolio that doesn't do what the old school investments do.

This seems to reach a similar conclusion:  Crypto is different to the old shit.  Best buy at least 'some' - it makes sense.

(Well found, Sir)
988  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: August 21, 2018, 08:21:34 PM
guys, i need some advice. i went full in on xmr with fiat in the early days. Should i diversify my xmr in some bitcoin? it does not look a good time to do that cause the xmr/btc ratio keeps dropping... but it looks that btc is falling a bit less hard in fiat value then xmr. Its just hard to believe at this moment we will see a new ATH in monero again in USD...


I am positive we will see it.   To bad you had not decide this only few 3 months ago when price was 0.032.  I would not want to give you advice's, but still I am not sure it is the best moment for this. But I suggest you to eventually do it. even if your bitcoins goes to zero you will still have your Monero.   

i am following u and some other guys for quite a while now, always interested in what u guys are saying. U are right , i should have sold some int he 0.03 area just to have some bitcoin, or A bitcoin ... but i did not. I am a believer of monero for 3 years now but its my first big bear market i am really following closely. Because 18 months ago it was peanuts ( in usd value ) ... i am amazed of how sure u are and how much u believe in a new bull market. I cant help thinking that maybe we seen the top already ... even with this amazing comunity , the superiour tech ( that nobody seems to care about ) , the ledger support, the comming bulletproofs, kovri , and so much more , it looks like nobody is carring and if we would enter a bull market , maybe people will just buy more shitcoins Sad

In summer, the crypto market generally can be a little boring. 

The Wall Street money in on holiday as are people in many fields of life; it's not tax season... and with a bear market too, it can be grindingly dull.   However, many of those here have seen it all before and they know that BECAUSE they held from 2014 to 2016, they were there in 2017 for when it picked up again.

So in crypto you just have to sit tight.  Both Monero and Bitcoin have gone up thousands of % in a few years.   Yes,  you are right, Monero and most alts have gone down more than Bitcoin, but when the alts which are still around recover, they will appreciate fast, too.

Febo is right, we ALL should have sold some at 0.32, parked it in BTC and bought back at 0.0129.   But we have no crystal ball and the vast majority of us didn't.  Be assured, though - getting it wrong is always more expensive than hodling in the long run.  That's why the old guard here are not panicking.

It might go on for longer, but you will not have to stress about when to buy back in if you just HODL.  If most of your cash is in Monero you are not alone, I can assure you.  It hurts, yep.  But when it rises again (and personally I think it will) Monero tends to move up fast.  And you will be glad you didn't flip if it does.

Do your own research, of course - I am a fanboy.

TLDR:  Probably missed the best time to flip, likely best policy now? Just HODL
989  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 21, 2018, 12:00:30 AM

Yeah - pretty SERIOUS cash involved:

"According to AUSA Ciaffa, Burrell’s activities “blew a giant hole” through the legal framework of U.S. anti-money laundering laws by soliciting and introducing into the U.S. banking system close to $1 million in unregulated cash."

'A million dollars'?  I think there's a meme for this somewhere.... 

Jeez, he could have made up to fifty thousand bucks.

990  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 20, 2018, 11:32:38 PM
Kelly Loeffler, CEO Bakkt:
Quote
A critical element to price discovery is physical delivery. Specifically, with our solution, the buying and selling of Bitcoin is fully collateralized or pre-funded. As such, our new daily Bitcoin contract will not be traded on margin, use leverage, or serve to create a paper claim on a real asset. This supports market integrity and differentiates our effort from existing futures and crypto exchanges which allow for margin, leverage and cash settlement. Coupled with a secure, regulated warehouse solution, you can begin to see how this market infrastructure can help more institutions and consumers participate in the asset class.

https://medium.com/bakkt-blog/https-medium-com-kellyloeffler-price-discovery-f9c77885383

still need to know if they are going to use leverage within their own company
https://twitter.com/CaitlinLong_/status/1031565897167765505

Can't get on Twitter right now, but will check once I can.  It seems they are trying to dodge claims of paper Bitcoin being created by rehypothecation, - and saying 'we will do Bitcoin differently'.  I am still sceptical.  Leopard.. Spots...  

EDIT: I read Caitlin Long's points, she is asking the questions and has been a long term advocate of shares on the Blockchain to prevent things like the Dole Foods shares problem:

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/21/business/dealbook/dole-case-illustrates-problems-in-shareholder-system.html
991  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: August 17, 2018, 10:32:16 AM
The fear in this thread is beautiful. How are you taking advantage of the great crypto crash of 2018?

Not sure how much upside is left shorting, not much I would think.

I'm long.

Yes, it looks like we had a (local) double bottom in the past few days around the 0.13 level.

But of course if Bitcoin is mirroring 2014 / 2015 (as it may be) and decides to dip much further - it's tough to predict what all the alts will do.   My sentiment agrees with yours; that is that in XMR/BTC I think we are unlikely to go lower, in fact I think a little upside is now on the cards.

I think a spike up is due from now /late August into Sept.  Mainly because this time of year has 'history' for Monero.

A really big rise in XMR/USD will need Bitcoin to end its bear market.  I hope this will not need to wait until the next halving, but who knows....
992  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 15, 2018, 09:43:55 AM
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7215388/ https://youtu.be/oQGpdgV_ifI
An unsettling and eye-opening Wall Street horror story about Chinese companies, the American stock market, and the opportunistic greed behind the biggest heist you've never heard of.
Lots of parallels to crypto shenanigans

A good doco (well spotted) but you can't help the feeling of deja vu: 

Massive corporate fraud to rip off ordinary people and the ones who make the money don't give a shit and don't even think it's doing anything wrong.

It's just 'normal', nothing changes. Business as usual. No one goes to jail.
Yes depressing stuff, but I think bitcoin will eventually bring about an honest business climate again. Reputation will be everything, and con-men and idiots will have nowhere to go, except prison or the woodchipper.

The system lapped up the ICOs (and why not - free money) but they don't like Bicoin yet.  They will when they can fractionally reserve it.  Look further into ICE / Bakkt, they want to find a way. 

You do good research, V8.  When you get a moment, check this podcast on what ICE 'may' mean - it's worth a listen:

https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/why-ice-bakkt-news-makes-some-crypto-investors-nervous/id1347049808?i=1000417570519&mt=2

ICE wont be stopped by the SEC, they own the fucking NYSE (and 22 other exchanges). It might not all be good news they are looking to get into Bitcoin. 

And before you say 'Bitcoin can't be in a fractional reserve situation' think again.  Because it actually could. 

Um... Like I'll be accepting an IOU piece of paper to represent bitcoin. It was done on metals but I'm not so sure the people are that gullible for the same trick.  Its interesting to see how ICE wants a piece of the pie. They sure as hell wont send my money to anything crypto related as I found out a couple weeks ago while trying. Ha Bullish!

It already happens, though - when you short (as I am sure people here do on occasion), as you 'borrow' Bitcoin to sell.   The Exchange credits or debits accordingly - but the numbers are in a database, no coins are in your personal wallet under your private key.   It's not a big step for an institution to 'lend' coins it has custody over, or lend them twice and for these coins to have more than one owner.  Some exchanges have done this before and some probably still do.  Not all the people want all their bitcoins back at once, so there are always some spare in the cold wallet.

Yes, you or I will always want to have our coins under our own key.  It has always been essential for us to do so.

But other investors would probably rather not.  Institutions can just 'credit your account' with Bitcoin they do not actually have, as banks do with fiat all the time - thus increasing the supply of Bitcoin out there (on paper).  ICE and Bakkt will be custodians of people's coins (how nice of them) and the ability of them to 'use' the coins to make money by rehypothecating them will be part of their business model.

You may not be gullible, but if others accept paper custodianship, then Bitcoins can be rehypothecated and (more) Bitcoins will be bought and sold that do not exist.  ICE are big enough to do this in a much bigger way and the market for Bitcoin may well become just like all the other markets.

And there will be far, far more bitcoins being traded out there than actually exist.
993  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 15, 2018, 12:49:08 AM
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7215388/ https://youtu.be/oQGpdgV_ifI
An unsettling and eye-opening Wall Street horror story about Chinese companies, the American stock market, and the opportunistic greed behind the biggest heist you've never heard of.
Lots of parallels to crypto shenanigans

A good doco (well spotted) but you can't help the feeling of deja vu: 

Massive corporate fraud to rip off ordinary people and the ones who make the money don't give a shit and don't even think it's doing anything wrong.

It's just 'normal', nothing changes. Business as usual. No one goes to jail.
Yes depressing stuff, but I think bitcoin will eventually bring about an honest business climate again. Reputation will be everything, and con-men and idiots will have nowhere to go, except prison or the woodchipper.

The system lapped up the ICOs (and why not - free money) but they don't like Bicoin yet.  They will when they can fractionally reserve it.  Look further into ICE / Bakkt, they want to find a way. 

You do good research, V8.  When you get a moment, check this podcast on what ICE 'may' mean - it's worth a listen:

https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/why-ice-bakkt-news-makes-some-crypto-investors-nervous/id1347049808?i=1000417570519&mt=2

ICE wont be stopped by the SEC, they own the fucking NYSE (and 22 other exchanges). It might not all be good news they are looking to get into Bitcoin. 

And before you say 'Bitcoin can't be in a fractional reserve situation' think again.  Because it actually could. 
994  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 14, 2018, 11:45:38 PM
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7215388/ https://youtu.be/oQGpdgV_ifI
An unsettling and eye-opening Wall Street horror story about Chinese companies, the American stock market, and the opportunistic greed behind the biggest heist you've never heard of.
Lots of parallels to crypto shenanigans

A good doco (well spotted) but you can't help the feeling of deja vu: 

Massive corporate fraud to rip off ordinary people and the ones who make the money don't give a shit and don't even think it's doing anything wrong.

It's just 'normal', nothing changes. Business as usual. No one goes to jail.
995  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: August 14, 2018, 10:45:58 AM
In the recent IPO report of Bitmain, it seems Bitmain does not have mined any Monero.

How would we know if that was true? 

Hang on... I suppose we could look it up in the Monero rich list... Wink

996  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 09, 2018, 10:51:37 PM
Where is V8 when you need him?

sorry busy studying bitcoin. it's quite the rabbit hole



Sounds suspiciously off topic... Are you feeling ok? What's bitcoin anyway?
997  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 09, 2018, 10:49:02 PM
OK, I was not hoping for less of a Walmart version, more of a... Harrod's version

Apologies to our homo brothers... I see no point in apologising to the ladies here - we probably scared them off years ago.

998  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 09, 2018, 10:39:59 PM
Well, I guess in a bear market like this it's about all I could expect.

Blah blah... this thread isn't what it used to be... a double bottom used to be a thing... blah blah...

I think I will get my coat.

 Wink
999  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 09, 2018, 10:15:56 PM
double bottom pics please

well... we're waiting.

Where is V8 when you need him?
1000  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 07, 2018, 09:53:26 AM
Been watching this quite a long time - it's been bouncing off the long term MA and now it's dropped to bounce off the other.

I guess it will break one or the other at some point but so far... it looks like it doesn't want to.

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