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1401  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 13, 2013, 10:55:22 PM
Fasten your seatbelts.
1402  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 13, 2013, 10:46:29 PM


95 touched @Bitstamp.
1403  Economy / Goods / Re: [24/24] Grilled Cat Identity silkscreened t-shirts! $10+S&H on: June 13, 2013, 07:54:53 PM
If anyone can think of a reason why this is not a good idea, please let me know. I'll hold off for a few hours just to make sure I don't start sending BTC into a black hole Smiley

I think there might be a problem, if the person sent the coins directly from an exchange. I'm fine with my change address, though. And thanks again. Smiley
1404  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 13, 2013, 06:50:45 PM
Logic dictates that it is an experiment which has already been done, in house by financial institutions. A public study? google fu to the rescue.

Herd behavior in trading. http://smu.edu.sg/perspectives/2012/06/26/herd-behaviour-financial-markets-do-traders-follow-crowd-or-do-their-own-thing#.UboO1eeBlFs

I'm sure there is information out there. Thanks for the resource.
1405  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 13, 2013, 06:10:30 PM
There were times, where there price diff between Bitstamp and Gox was around 5 $ over a longer timeframe, happened in both directions. And I remember a time, where BTC-E was about 10 $ cheaper. But nevertheless, the price movement was about the same. I think Gox leads, but I've never seen anything crazy where Gox could have followed, but didn't.

What really impresses me are larger sells and buys, where it seems it directs to one single person. For example the huge buy on sunday which happened on Gox, but Bitstamp instantly followed, which either implies the big guy is active on both exchanges or many smaller buyer followed that one buy. I guess, I can only speculate about what really happens. Wink

A nice experiment would be to seperate two or more groups of (many) traders, give them the same data to start and see, if they would behave in the same way, but without knowing how the other group does. Both outcomes (they end up with the same result and or not) would tell much about the markets and trading altogether.
1406  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 13, 2013, 04:23:44 PM
Bitstamp in trouble. Smiley



1407  Economy / Goods / Re: [20/24] Grilled Cat Identity silkscreened t-shirts! $15+S&H on: June 13, 2013, 01:44:10 AM
Nice pictures! Looks like fun. Smiley

dexX7; 1 mens L; 0.212 BTC (int'l); TXID: 22958a028b4ca7c5d613a30a4f18ad7027d2f89b079a44108223c368d709e33f
1408  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: [ANN] Bitcoin Day Trading Tool on: June 12, 2013, 12:01:10 AM
Stoto, great tool. I'm happy to tell people where to look, when they ask where they can see the difference between exchanges. Wink

I have a feature request. Can we please have volume attached to the live chart for all exchanges? And a volume comparision?

Something like volume sum of all exchanges and volume ratio between the exchanges over time would be great. Smiley
1409  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 11, 2013, 11:52:17 PM
A crash from $266 to 50 is nothing (1/5). A crash from $32 to $2 is nothing (1/16). That's volatility.

A 1/10,000 crash... Well, thats something. That's "a ponzi" that hugely rewards the first in and first out and leave holding the bag everyone else. But still, money it's not infinite even if it seems to be, the burning has to stop at some point... BTC market will always be manipulated as all the markets are, including and especially the commodities ones (prominently gold and silver), but the more BTC grows, the more expensive it becomes to effectively control it. So, this may be an obvious attack to BTC (manipulation), but an expensive one that has an uncertain outcome. I'm also convinced that BTC would survive.

I assume crashing would mean dumping a lot of coins. So they'd buy all they can get, which drives the price higher and then they dump. But selling coins needs two parties - a seller and a buyer. The after-crash price is determined by demand. What I want to say: I don't think they could ever bring it down to 1/10000 or something, because people will buy in and I assume the ratio between high and low of the after crash (i.e. 1/5, 1/16 you mentioned above) will shrink proportional to the gain before the crash.

Nevertheless. Market manipulation and such would conflict with Bitcoin as stable currency, so their goal to undermine a Bitcoin mass adaption is met at first, but just imagine what could be done with the free money they gave away due to that process to those who want a new system.

I think using the media to create an negative image is a better attack vector, as this would decrese the demand of those who listen to it. Also regulation and attacking the interface between fiat and Bitcoin are to name. But the more they manipulate and restrict, the less people will be satisfied with their behavior..

All in all, I'd say Bitcoin will rise and prevail. And that's why we are here, right?* Cheesy

*At least this is my opinion and perception.
1410  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 11, 2013, 10:52:53 PM
Burning people with BTC seems indeed more effective than simply banning it.

There were many burned in the 266 crash, but overall I think a crazy market is an magnet for speculators.

if you want people to run away from BTC you need to really skyrocket it to the moon to then crush it to the closest to 0 as possible. That wont cost hundreds of millions, that will cost billions ATM, and every year that passes this kind of attack gets more and more expensive.

Which would be a lot of free money. And the lower it crashes, the more demand there will be. It's a zero-sum game with the FED loosing all the time.
1411  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 11, 2013, 10:36:59 PM
bids filling in, asks being eaten away.

Are you all in yet?

I'm panic buying at 111 like everyone else....

Why 111? Above would be a new D3 high with next possible major resistance at 120, I guess? I'm asking, because you sound very convinced and I'm not sure if I'm missing something here. Smiley
1412  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 11, 2013, 09:47:10 PM
Welcome back, rpietila! And welcome to the new guys. I'm happy to see more people with a professional background getting in.

Small PSA for Bitstamp'ers: withdrawal protection via e-mail confirmation has been added.
1413  Economy / Exchanges / Re: www.BITSTAMP.net Bitcoin exchange site for USD/BTC on: June 11, 2013, 09:22:49 PM
BITSTAMP ADDS WITHDRAWAL E-MAIL CONFORMATION

As the popularity of crypto currencies increases, so do the chances of unauthorized account logins. Although Bitstamp is constantly pursuing the highest standards of security, we cannot guarantee for security breaches, which result from the actions of our users.

To raise the level of protection, Bitstamp provides email conformations for withdraws. The new safety feature, which offers additional protection of our users’ funds, includes the option to make E-mail Confirmations of bitcoin, ripple and bank withdrawals. This option, along with the highly recommended Two-factor Authentication, forms a solid security standard, which will surely gain wide recognition and use among our users.

To setup this feature go to Account > Security > Withdrawal e-mail conformation and choose the preferred setting. We highly recommend you also setup two factor authentication for accessing your Bitstamp account.

Wow, this is funny. I came to this thread to submit a request for more security options and on the same day, you release the e-mail confirmation feature. Thanks for that!

Also, there are more things I'd like to see:

1. 2FA as withdrawal protection.

Nice to have:

2. The usage of different API keys instead of the full access model.
3. Support of Yubikey.

Thanks again! Smiley
1414  Economy / Speculation / Re: Warning, Sell your bitcoins ASAP before we break the $5.00 wall on: June 11, 2013, 02:42:58 AM
So much epicness! Thanks, Mr. Nekro.  Wink
1415  Economy / Goods / Re: [2/12] Grilled Cat Identity silkscreened t-shirts! $15+S&H on: June 10, 2013, 04:09:11 PM
lol the design is absolute fantastic. Grin

Could you please post the exact size of XL and L?
1416  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: I lost my bitcoin, who can catch that guy. I got his ip address. on: June 10, 2013, 11:46:47 AM
that will be hard - he is not responding to ping

but you can go to Latvia: http://whois.net/ip-address-lookup/91.105.76.111

So ehm.. what would be next, if you would have received a pong to your ping?
1417  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 10, 2013, 06:02:31 AM
It's quite interesting to see so much action and volume at that time.
1418  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 09, 2013, 10:03:31 PM
...

Following the pattern 1:1?



 Wink
1419  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 09, 2013, 06:21:46 AM
... I'm waiting for at least a little bullish reaction.

Bulls? Where are you?

Let's phrase it that way: if you detach yourself from the situation for a moment and compare the current price of 102 to 136 from where it is falling, wouldn't you think, those coins are pretty cheap?
1420  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 07, 2013, 01:14:32 PM
Quote

What's the best plattform to trade altcoins?
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