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581  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 比特币行情走势分析,经二个月验证,目前看是地球上最靠谱的 on: July 04, 2013, 01:53:56 PM
经过今天大跌,本来大势就弱,所以反弹空间会受限。我为什么说75附近可以进,85附近可以出。我就是看有10%以上的空间才可出手,今天最低72,刚才最高84 去掉余量一般都有十个点左右了,就差不多了。后面基本就是需要整理整固下,明天走强或走弱还要继续观察后面盘面整理的形态。
582  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 07:45:03 AM

Hi there,
Thanks for your attention and sorry for my awkward English.
You can buy at around $75 in batches.


Thanks, looks like $75 has held up so far, might join in on the wall later today.

always consider the possibility this could be manipulation for you to set up bids for their selloff. not saying it is, could be bad karma for him to take advantage of people like that so he might choose not to, but always consider the worst. 796 saying he's working for his "boss" is why I'm watching out for the possibility.

Otherwise, 796, I don't mean to be offensive at all. Thank you for offering your input.

these information all comes from Zhurong's blog who is one of the CEO of 796 Exchange(the boss).
he is willing to share his views.
and i'm in charge of putting his forecast here.
thanks.


why would he employ you to share his views? If the forecast turns out to be right, good public relations for his exchange? Of what benefit does he have getting good PR from English-speaking users on an internet forum?
hi there,
796 Exchange was established about 1 month ago and I'm one of the employees.
it was the first Bitcoin futures exchange in China.
so far we have attracted many investors.
at first, Mr. Zhu just released his view in our official QQ Group and those forecast fulfilled perfectly since our operation.
and then he realized he should share his view with more people.
besides, we plan to promote our exchange among foreign investors and we did it from here to let more people know about 796 Exchange.
it is just the initial plan.

have a nice day.

583  Economy / Securities / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 07:20:37 AM
As promised, today's update (GMT+8)
(since we are not native speaker of English, there might be inaccurate words. we will try to be better.)


In two consecutive days, I forecast that the price drops around $15

Do you mean a $!5 price drop or a drop to $15/BTC

a $15 price drop
584  Economy / Securities / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 07:19:17 AM
Bitcoin price outlook: (updated at 13:19pm, GMT+8)

After the whole morning’s sell into correction, short strength consumes itself to some extent and gets temporary support after double dip at 75 dollars. Single short term buying at near $75 may wait to sell at around $85. As for the present low 75.12 $ still needs to be looked into before we say it is the lowest level. The breakout below $75 is preferable for buy in batches. No much risk for short term. We don’t advise to cut positions when it is below $80.

Thanks!
585  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 07:15:57 AM
Bitcoin price outlook: (updated at 13:19pm, GMT+8)

After the whole morning’s sell into correction, short strength consumes itself to some extent and gets temporary support after double dip at 75 dollars. Single short term buying at near $75 may wait to sell at around $85. As for the present low 75.12 $ still needs to be looked into before we say it is the lowest level. The breakout below $75 is preferable for buy in batches. No much risk for short term. We don’t advise to cut positions when it is below $80.

Thanks!
586  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 07:07:34 AM
As promised, today's update (GMT+8)
(since we are not native speaker of English, there might be inaccurate words. we will try to be better.)

Continuous slump recently, I pointed out the price was approaching $100 on June 24th and gave the breakout alert at $100 on June 28th. On July 1st, I reminded of watching out for sudden power of selling short and offered the $80-$85 as the relatively safe buy area.  And I reminded of watching out for sell into correction if correction stays low and weak and also offered a safe buy price of around $75 on July 3rd.

You guys must have found that I’m taking the trend that if there’s no sign of rally at low correction, then there will be price slump risks for selling short as an important indicator. Here comes up with the most useful view “ sell short if it is supposed to rise but doesn’t; buy long if it is supposed to go down but doesn’t do so”. Well, you should earn more experience to know when it’s “ supposed” to go up or down. Besides, you need to grasp the general trend.

In two consecutive days, I forecast that the price drops around $15 when sell short and it fulfilled within 24 hours. I believe that I’m the only person who can say like that. And the forecast has been fulfilled perfectly since May 1st. 
PS: hence I think the bounces may have come to an end which began from $80, I shouldn’t just let investors in QQ Group know. Therefore, I created my microblog account which may share my views with more Bitcoin funs.

Most investors in our official Tencent QQ Group( a kind of instant chatting tool in China) have successfully avoided the slump wave and a lot of members on our 796 Exchange have taken much profit from selling short. I’ve kept emphasizing that we should treat Bitcoin investment rationally or it will just cost your money and confidence if you imagine blindly. Also, I think lots of Bitcoiners who believe in bright Bitcoin prospect are now feeling under pressure and beginning to fear to face the Bitcoin price. However, as long as you take it rationally, you can ignore the price.

See you tomorrow.


I was kind of bored and I like your posts, so I translated into native English. I hope you're not offended.



During the recent continuous slump, I pointed out the price for June 24th was approaching $100 and gave a breakout alert at $100 on June 28th. On July 21st, I reminded readers to be cautious of the sudden short momentum and offered $80-85 as a relatively safe buy area. Additionally, I reminded readers to watch out for selling into the correction if the correction stayed low and weak. I offered a safe buy price of around $75 on July 3rd.

You guys must have noticed my assumption that if there is no sign of a rally at the low during a correction, then there will be increased price slump risks for selling short. Thus, we can come up with a useful view - "sell short if it is supposed to rise but doesn’t; buy long if it is supposed to go down but doesn't do so". Of course, you require lots of experience to know when it's "supposed" to go up or down; as well as needing to understand the general trend.

In two consecutive days, I forecast that the price should drop around $15 during period of short selling, and on both occasions that came true within 24 hours. I believe that I'm the only person to predict that move with such accuracy. In addition, that forecast has been fulfilled perfectly since May 1st.
PS: Based on that forecast, I think the bounces which began at $80 may have come to an end. I think that I should share this information with more people, instead of just releasing it to my investors in the QQ Group. For that reason, I've created a microblog account to share my views on the Bitcoin price.

Most investors in our official Tencent QQ Group (a kind of instant chatting tool in China) have successfully avoided taking losses during the recent slump, and a lot of them have taken much profit from selling short. I keep emphasising that we should treat Bitcoin investment rationally, or it will inevitably cost you both your time and your confidence. Also, I think lots of overly optimistic Bitcoiners are now feeling under pressure, and are beginning to fear looking at the bitcoin price. However, as long as you think rationally, you can ignore the price.

See you tomorrow

Thanks logik.
I had just read your translation. Good job!
haha, thanks a lot.
English is really hard for me.
587  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 06:57:47 AM

Hi there,
Thanks for your attention and sorry for my awkward English.
You can buy at around $75 in batches.


Thanks, looks like $75 has held up so far, might join in on the wall later today.

always consider the possibility this could be manipulation for you to set up bids for their selloff. not saying it is, could be bad karma for him to take advantage of people like that so he might choose not to, but always consider the worst. 796 saying he's working for his "boss" is why I'm watching out for the possibility.

Otherwise, 796, I don't mean to be offensive at all. Thank you for offering your input.

these information all comes from Zhurong's blog who is one of the CEO of 796 Exchange(the boss).
he is willing to share his views.
and i'm in charge of putting his forecast here.
thanks.
588  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 06:48:59 AM

Hi there,
Thanks for your attention and sorry for my awkward English.
You can buy at around $75 in batches.


Thanks, looks like $75 has held up so far, might join in on the wall later today.

always consider the possibility this could be manipulation for you to set up bids for their selloff. not saying it is, could be bad karma for him to take advantage of people like that so he might choose not to, but always consider the worst. 796 saying he's working for his "boss" is why I'm watching out for the possibility.

Otherwise, 796, I don't mean to be offensive at all. Thank you for offering your input.

these information all comes from Zhurong's blog who is one of the CEO of 796 Exchange(the boss).
he is willing to share his views.
and i'm in charge of putting his forecast here.
thanks.
589  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 06:39:57 AM
Bitcoin price outlook:
Time:GMT+8

After the whole morning’s sell into correction, short strength consumes itself to some extent and gets temporary support after double dip at 75 dollars. Single short term buying at near $75 may wait to sell at around $85. As for the present low 75.12 $ still needs to be looked into before we say it is the lowest level. The breakout below $75 is preferable for buy in batches. No much risk for short term. We don’t advise to cut positions when it is below $80.
590  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 比特币行情走势分析,经二个月验证,目前看是地球上最靠谱的 on: July 04, 2013, 06:18:58 AM
请问决胜千里:
1,你用多少资金参与交易?
2,你有没有用769网站用户的BTC进行交易?

在796交易所上线前 我们最多时动用了近400万RMB进行交易,在最近我们将大部份的资金撤回了,目前MTGOX上仅有5万多美元。

我们不会动用公司帐户上的BTC进行任何交易,他将会在一个安全的帐户内存在。
可能是我没问清楚,因为你经常做走势预测,所以我想你应该也是796上频繁交易的用户。如果用了自已很大部分资金参与,那么用户就有理由担心你输掉自己的资金后干脆卷款而逃。
所以我才问:你用了多少个人资金参与交易?
我从来不相信什么技术分析,明白人都知道是怎么回事。但你如果为了吸引用户而做这些分析预测我认为问题不大。
作为一名796的用户,我只关心我放在网站上的资金是否安全。希望你多做这方面的说明以消除用户的疑虑。


如果我要做交易我会动用自己目前活动的约400万资金在BTCC或MTGOX进行交易。你说了用户的所有充值进来的BTC都会在一个安全的帐户上保存,我们是香港注册的公司并不是个人网站!谢谢你的关心!
591  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 比特币行情走势分析,经二个月验证,目前看是地球上最靠谱的 on: July 04, 2013, 05:29:02 AM
请问决胜千里:
1,你用多少资金参与交易?
2,你有没有用769网站用户的BTC进行交易?

在796交易所上线前 我们最多时动用了近400万RMB进行交易,在最近我们将大部份的资金撤回了,目前MTGOX上仅有5万多美元。

我们不会动用公司帐户上的BTC进行任何交易,他将会在一个安全的帐户内存在。
592  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 比特币行情走势分析,经二个月验证,目前看是地球上最靠谱的 on: July 04, 2013, 05:27:32 AM
比特币行情展望:经历了一上午的杀跌空方能量有所消耗,在二次探底75美元后暂时受到支撑。在75美元附近做多的单短线可以等待85美元附近卖出,至于目前低点75.12价格是否是近几天的最低点还有待观察,如跌破75美元可继续向下分批挂单买入,短线风险不大,80美元以下不建议割肉卖出。
593  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 04:03:02 AM
Thank you, following closely your posts

thanks.  Smiley
594  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 03:52:53 AM
Interesting.  Any projections beyond July? 

thanks.
will update daily.
but no more yet beyond July.
595  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 03:49:39 AM
As promised, today's update (GMT+8)
(since we are not native speaker of English, there might be inaccurate words. we will try to be better.)

Continuous slump recently, I pointed out the price was approaching $100 on June 24th and gave the breakout alert at $100 on June 28th. On July 1st, I reminded of watching out for sudden power of selling short and offered the $80-$85 as the relatively safe buy area.  And I reminded of watching out for sell into correction if correction stays low and weak and also offered a safe buy price of around $75 on July 3rd.

You guys must have found that I’m taking the trend that if there’s no sign of rally at low correction, then there will be price slump risks for selling short as an important indicator. Here comes up with the most useful view “ sell short if it is supposed to rise but doesn’t; buy long if it is supposed to go down but doesn’t do so”. Well, you should earn more experience to know when it’s “ supposed” to go up or down. Besides, you need to grasp the general trend.

In two consecutive days, I forecast that the price drops around $15 when sell short and it fulfilled within 24 hours. I believe that I’m the only person who can say like that. And the forecast has been fulfilled perfectly since May 1st. 
PS: hence I think the bounces may have come to an end which began from $80, I shouldn’t just let investors in QQ Group know. Therefore, I created my microblog account which may share my views with more Bitcoin funs.

Most investors in our official Tencent QQ Group( a kind of instant chatting tool in China) have successfully avoided the slump wave and a lot of members on our 796 Exchange have taken much profit from selling short. I’ve kept emphasizing that we should treat Bitcoin investment rationally or it will just cost your money and confidence if you imagine blindly. Also, I think lots of Bitcoiners who believe in bright Bitcoin prospect are now feeling under pressure and beginning to fear to face the Bitcoin price. However, as long as you take it rationally, you can ignore the price.

See you tomorrow.


I'm unfortunately having difficulty reading this. Are you writing that this is a good bottom and time to purchase?

Thanks for your updates, quality content is lacking here.

Hi there,
Thanks for your attention and sorry for my awkward English.
You can buy at around $75 in batches.
596  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 比特币行情走势分析,经二个月验证,目前看是地球上最靠谱的 on: July 04, 2013, 03:44:12 AM
《投资有道》杂志二本已收到了,在此感谢该杂志记者李启超,没想到一个多月前一个简单的网络采访时我顺便介绍了一下我们将要上线的796交易所结果在此文中有较多的介绍,不过需要里面说的那个交易量实际上是我们内测时的模拟交易量,并不是真实的,今天有可能会突破10000BTC。


597  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 03:27:04 AM
As promised, today's update (GMT+8)
(since we are not native speaker of English, there might be inaccurate words. we will try to be better.)

Continuous slump recently, I pointed out the price was approaching $100 on June 24th and gave the breakout alert at $100 on June 28th. On July 1st, I reminded of watching out for sudden power of selling short and offered the $80-$85 as the relatively safe buy area.  And I reminded of watching out for sell into correction if correction stays low and weak and also offered a safe buy price of around $75 on July 3rd.

You guys must have found that I’m taking the trend that if there’s no sign of rally at low correction, then there will be price slump risks for selling short as an important indicator. Here comes up with the most useful view “ sell short if it is supposed to rise but doesn’t; buy long if it is supposed to go down but doesn’t do so”. Well, you should earn more experience to know when it’s “ supposed” to go up or down. Besides, you need to grasp the general trend.

In two consecutive days, I forecast that the price drops around $15 when sell short and it fulfilled within 24 hours. I believe that I’m the only person who can say like that. And the forecast has been fulfilled perfectly since May 1st. 
PS: hence I think the bounces may have come to an end which began from $80, I shouldn’t just let investors in QQ Group know. Therefore, I created my microblog account which may share my views with more Bitcoin funs.

Most investors in our official Tencent QQ Group( a kind of instant chatting tool in China) have successfully avoided the slump wave and a lot of members on our 796 Exchange have taken much profit from selling short. I’ve kept emphasizing that we should treat Bitcoin investment rationally or it will just cost your money and confidence if you imagine blindly. Also, I think lots of Bitcoiners who believe in bright Bitcoin prospect are now feeling under pressure and beginning to fear to face the Bitcoin price. However, as long as you take it rationally, you can ignore the price.

See you tomorrow.
598  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 03:26:17 AM
As promised, today's update (GMT+8)
(since we are not native speaker of English, there might be inaccurate words. we will try to be better.)

Continuous slump recently, I pointed out the price was approaching $100 on June 24th and gave the breakout alert at $100 on June 28th. On July 1st, I reminded of watching out for sudden power of selling short and offered the $80-$85 as the relatively safe buy area.  And I reminded of watching out for sell into correction if correction stays low and weak and also offered a safe buy price of around $75 on July 3rd.

You guys must have found that I’m taking the trend that if there’s no sign of rally at low correction, then there will be price slump risks for selling short as an important indicator. Here comes up with the most useful view “ sell short if it is supposed to rise but doesn’t; buy long if it is supposed to go down but doesn’t do so”. Well, you should earn more experience to know when it’s “ supposed” to go up or down. Besides, you need to grasp the general trend.

In two consecutive days, I forecast that the price drops around $15 when sell short and it fulfilled within 24 hours. I believe that I’m the only person who can say like that. And the forecast has been fulfilled perfectly since May 1st. 
PS: hence I think the bounces may have come to an end which began from $80, I shouldn’t just let investors in QQ Group know. Therefore, I created my microblog account which may share my views with more Bitcoin funs.

Most investors in our official Tencent QQ Group( a kind of instant chatting tool in China) have successfully avoided the slump wave and a lot of members on our 796 Exchange have taken much profit from selling short. I’ve kept emphasizing that we should treat Bitcoin investment rationally or it will just cost your money and confidence if you imagine blindly. Also, I think lots of Bitcoiners who believe in bright Bitcoin prospect are now feeling under pressure and beginning to fear to face the Bitcoin price. However, as long as you take it rationally, you can ignore the price.

See you tomorrow.
599  Economy / Securities / Re: Bitcoin market trend analysis- so far the most reliable through 2-month test on: July 04, 2013, 03:22:49 AM
As promised, today's update (GMT+8)
(since we are not native speaker of English, there might be inaccurate words. we will try to be better.)

Continuous slump recently, I pointed out the price was approaching $100 on June 24th and gave the breakout alert at $100 on June 28th. On July 1st, I reminded of watching out for sudden power of selling short and offered the $80-$85 as the relatively safe buy area.  And I reminded of watching out for sell into correction if correction stays low and weak and also offered a safe buy price of around $75 on July 3rd.

You guys must have found that I’m taking the trend that if there’s no sign of rally at low correction, then there will be price slump risks for selling short as an important indicator. Here comes up with the most useful view “ sell short if it is supposed to rise but doesn’t; buy long if it is supposed to go down but doesn’t do so”. Well, you should earn more experience to know when it’s “ supposed” to go up or down. Besides, you need to grasp the general trend.

In two consecutive days, I forecast that the price drops around $15 when sell short and it fulfilled within 24 hours. I believe that I’m the only person who can say like that. And the forecast has been fulfilled perfectly since May 1st. 
PS: hence I think the bounces may have come to an end which began from $80, I shouldn’t just let investors in QQ Group know. Therefore, I created my microblog account which may share my views with more Bitcoin funs.

Most investors in our official Tencent QQ Group( a kind of instant chatting tool in China) have successfully avoided the slump wave and a lot of members on our 796 Exchange have taken much profit from selling short. I’ve kept emphasizing that we should treat Bitcoin investment rationally or it will just cost your money and confidence if you imagine blindly. Also, I think lots of Bitcoiners who believe in bright Bitcoin prospect are now feeling under pressure and beginning to fear to face the Bitcoin price. However, as long as you take it rationally, you can ignore the price.

See you tomorrow.
600  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 比特币行情走势分析,经二个月验证,目前看是地球上最靠谱的 on: July 03, 2013, 11:46:34 PM
近期连续大跌,本人在6月24日指出价格正向100美元靠近,6月28日提醒100美元位的破位风险,在7月1日指出需提防空头突然发力,并给出80-85是当天相对安全买入位,7月3日提醒如继续在低位弱势整理需提防杀跌的可能,并给出安全买入位在75美元附近。

大家应该发现我用到的一个重要参照就是从图形上看如果仅能在低位整理无法上涨则看空价格会有急跌风险,这里就用到一个短线操作最有用的一句话“该涨不涨看跌,该跌不跌看涨”当然什么时候是“应该”涨或跌就需要你的经验了,另外重要的就是大趋势的把握。

最近连续二天在价格整理的时候我看空价格向下接近15美元并且在24小时内实现,我相信在这个星球上可能只有我敢于公开这么说,并且从5月1日开始成功存活二个月以上,:)(因看到从80美元开始的反弹或已结束觉得不应该局限于QQ群内发贴,才在新浪开了微博)

一直在QQ群里的大多数朋友基本成功避开了这波大跌,并且有不少在796交易所上做空获利的。近期来我一直在微博上强调,对待比特币应该理性,否则盲目地去想像只会消费你的金钱与自信,我相信已经有不少长期看好的朋友感受到压力了,开始不敢再面对币值了,当然了只要你是理性投资比特币大可忽视价格。
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