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1821  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 30, 2015, 03:41:00 AM
It can be vastly different if local currency is ok but the only thing affected in the capital control scenario is international trade with hard currency that is prohibited by a government who want to control foreign exchange outflows.

I don't know much about international trade, but I believe that China still has a huge trade surplus -- it still exports more than it imports (including bitcoins).   Google tells me that the surplus dropped some 5-10% this year, but it is still hugely positive for China.  Isn't that so?  Then what controls would their government impose?

I don't think that the Chinese would invest in bitcoin as a way to escape a devaluation of the CNY, either.  What magnitude of devaluation is expected?

I haven't studied the Chinese economy so I can't speculate on it that much. However, if there is any danger on capital controls for China, specifically for foreign exchange and definitely not CNY (as China controls its own currency, unlike Greece), maybe it is because people could be turning their bank deposits into USD or something, if they fear that there will be an even bigger devaluation down the road.

CNY => USD would seem to preserve wealth better than keeping it in CNY (if CNY is going to be devalued, say, 10%).

To some extent this could also be done with BTC, although BTC can be kept at your own digital wallet, instead of a USD bank account that is kind of fictitious, in the sense that plenty of governments around the world allow people to have USD accounts but are using them as their own foreign exchange reserve, and, in effect, practicing a fractional scheme with the USD of the depositors - so these USD are like "claims" rather than actual USD holdings. With a new law, all USD accounts could be turned to CNY accounts, or taxed, or, or, or, for "national interest" purposes.

If I was a Chinese worrying about CNY devaluation, I'd probably have options like these:

- turn my CNY into USD (cash, not bank account), swiss francs, euros etc
- turn my CNY into gold/silver
- turn my CNY into hard assets and investments, like real estate or serious stock
- turn my CNY into cryptocurrency

If we are talking about >1 trn economy, a couple hundred million USD that are turned into crypto, can easily fuel a small or larger rally.
1822  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 30, 2015, 02:45:25 AM
Why do you forget about possible capital controls in China, brg ?

For one thing, bitcoin is not seen by non-bitcoiners as a solution for capital controls.   In Greece, there was zero interest in bitcoin during the crisis. 

It depends on the nature of capital controls. Usually they are implemented to protect a government's supply of foreign exchange. Greece is "unique" in terms of having its own currency as its foreign exchange asset as well (euro), so there was a liquidity problem in the economy as well. When people don't even have cash in local currency, the problem is quite big and definitely you need the local currency to conduct everyday shopping, pay the bills etc.

It can be vastly different if local currency is ok but the only thing affected in the capital control scenario is international trade with hard currency that is prohibited by a government who want to control foreign exchange outflows.

1823  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 30, 2015, 02:19:26 AM
Ok this shit is getting crazy

Because we all "know" that ...crypto is done, right?  Tongue
1824  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 30, 2015, 12:37:04 AM
Yep.

The bottom line is these Monero buffoons CANNOT keep away from this thread as they're just wobbled to pieces by Dash (they're "dashed by Dash" Ha!) and it gets into them and knots them up into a terrible sweaty, worrisome, desperation that forces them to take all manner of stupid actions (that image of dnaleor handing out Dash-attack flyers at Bitcoin Wednesday will go down in history as one of the most extreme examples of a completely and utterly clueless individual openly demonstrating his cluelessness for all and sundry to sit there in gobsmacked awe that someone would stoop to such desperation). Taking every aspect of this project and flipping it into a negative is their standard MO.

I just wish they'd focus on their own project and leave us alone. I'd actually take an interest in Monero if the supposed "devs" (and once again, I'm using that term ever so loosely) actually focused on their work and quit trolling. I simply can't believe that there are people so completely and utterly unaware of how pathetic and deplorable they look coming into this thread and trying to put rubbish on this project and how totally off-putting it is to any outsider. Monero is doomed while ever these people are involved. Even if they all stopped today, it will take years for the reputational damage to be undone and it's probably too late for them.  

I have the tendency to be well diversified in terms of anonymous coins, because I believe in the anonymous market in general, but I cut my position in Monero significantly due to their actions and what they imply in terms of actual potential.

If you are after your "opponents" with every dirty trick in the book, then it only means you do not *really* believe you can excel with your own means / abilities. Otherwise you wouldn't do this kind of stuff. Flyers against dash? Seriously? This lack in self-trust is a bad recipe for going forward. I would extend this rationale further but I still hold some XMR - and not necessarily by choice, but rather due to the price being quite low to dump. If it ever goes back up, I'll dump it for dash. It's nothing major to move the market btw, so I'm not telling it as a threat or something. I'm just too tired of this situation and I'll also save myself some time reading multiple threads. If people want battle lines drawn and all bridges cut between XMR, DASH etc, so be it. It wasn't my choice. IF they want a toxic environment they'll be left alone to suffocate in this toxicity.

Interestingly, there were much easier and technical ways to attack DASH, even much cheaper than paying trolls, but they didn't even have the brain to do this.
1825  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 30, 2015, 12:07:13 AM
Don't start telling people about your idea (and try to get them to buy/pump your coin) before even releasing a paper.

FUD attack vectors:

If dev speaks of the plans => he is a pumper
If dev doesn't speak of the plans => he is profiting from inside knowledge when there will be the eventual release, that only he knows about, leaving investors in the dark so he can acquire himself and the whales and then dump on the late-arrivals of investors, etc etc.

Likewise

If dev discloses market moves about his coins => he is a pumper/dumper based on what he discloses
If dev doesn't disclose market moves about his coins => he is a pumper/dumper based on inside knowledge

If coin name = darkcoin => "haha what a ridiculous name, who will adopt a coin like DARKcoin"
If coin name = changed from darkcoin=> "it was rebranded to wash the scam"

If code comes first, papers later => "where is the paper? This can't be serious without a paper"
If paper comes first, code later => "a fuckin paper? this is a pump based on vaporware"

No matter what is done, the trolls will always find something problematic Cheesy


1826  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 28, 2015, 12:54:47 PM
Average blocksize is roughly about half a MB already. Do the math. am I being hyperbolic?  

Half a megabyte which is full of dust / spam transactions.

The blockchain is extremely valuable to be used in this way.



Some of those dust xactions are colored coins and timestamps carrying far more than their nominal value.

Some. Most are genuine dust, spam and microgambling txs.
1827  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 28, 2015, 12:44:40 PM
Troll attack put dash down to 0.0070btc.

Decline  trend for a while beacuse of troll's sabotage.

But I'll add a masternode to fuck trolls.

The trolls are here since a long time ago, this is directly related to Cryptsy's issues that spooked whales and this is also evident by the low volume.

If you spook the whales with their buy walls that provide price stability, and they want out of the exchange because their BTCs/DASH etc are unsafe, then others are starting to feel worried about the liquidity of the coin in the exchanges and it goes in a negative cycle until more stability is established in the exchanges. This does present buying opportunities though.
1828  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 28, 2015, 06:13:51 AM
Average blocksize is roughly about half a MB already. Do the math. am I being hyperbolic?  

Half a megabyte which is full of dust / spam transactions.

The blockchain is extremely valuable to be used in this way.

1829  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 28, 2015, 12:15:29 AM
Can anyone update me on what's been happening in the past 6 months?  Still holding Dash (half was stolen if you wanna check my post history... Kinda gave up but I found the guy in France just not much I could do about it)  but haven't been active in the community.  Any big changes, big news or big bugs/issues?  I see the price is dropping and came here to check.

It's mostly due to exchange-related anomalies, especially Cryptsy who is giving whales a hard time.
1830  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 27, 2015, 09:55:32 PM
REMEMBER REMEMBER THE MOON IN NOVEMBER!!

Catchy Cheesy
1831  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 27, 2015, 09:43:18 PM
Just look at these idiots comparing Satoshi Nakamoto with Evan Madoffield, saying that BTC was somehow unfairly mined, even though it took Satoshi 1 year to mine 1 Million coins, while with Dash, Madoffield managed to mine 1.5 million coins in just 8 hours.

It makes me sick to my stomach to read this bullshit, really.

A year in a world where cryptocurrency is an unknown concept has much less mining competition than a few hours in a world 5 years later, after the BTC, LTC and DOGE-boom, where everyone was over the ann threads to mine the new exciting shitcoin just around the corner, promising huge returns.

Btw, time is not proof-of-fairness. Bytecoin claims it was being mined since 2012 or something. Let's say that's the truth and not delve deeper into whether this is a scam-argument... what difference would it make, since only a few people knew about it (as their "official" story goes)? Isn't that why Monero was launched as the "fair" alternative?
1832  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 27, 2015, 09:40:23 PM
None of the trolls here will ever be convinced, they won't listen.

They are here to destroy DASH and as a part of an organised group, destroy several other coins as well.

The folk behind monero are the ones doing this, accept this or not, it's them full stop.  

Thing is, they can only create noise, they can't "destroy" anything.

When DarkSend was closed source, the trolls were like, ok, it will be opensourced when it is, then a "fair darkcoin" clone will emerge, free of the instamine, and Darkcoin will fail and the clone will emerge triumphant. Oooops, nobody cared about ..."clones" , at most they had a day in the sun (a spike in the exchanges) and then disappeared from the scene, most of the time along with their anonymous cloners/"developers" who implemented anonymity features or masternodes.

Icebreaker said "Evan the instamine innovative scammer" or something to that effect, yeah well, if he wasn't innovative, the free market would have taken care of dash by now, since it is open-source...

Monero guys took the bytecoin code, said "this is a fair bytecoin" and then went forward. They didn't go in the bytecoin thread trolling for years and/or asking a "relaunch". They forked it, "relaunched" it, and now, after all the dust has settled, the marketcap of the innovator is much higher, despite their high premine (>80%) and despite the security issue that this presents for mixing.

So if anyone has a problem with DASH and seeking a relaunch, go on, fork the code, make another "fair" darkcoin / dash clone that will vanish in a few weeks due to lack of genuine development, stick with it and let us follow "Evan the innovative instamine scammer" (who, btw, proposed the airdrop fix and we said no to it). Because, in the end of the day, anybody can make a coin, but it will be a worthless coin. The real issue is how to give it value. And value exists as a consequence of development that addresses issues in how cryptocurrency works. Whether it is privacy, scaling, usability etc.
1833  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 27, 2015, 09:26:57 PM
So 3-4 people who mined BTC in 2009, including Satoshi, hold 2.5m coins, and DASH is a scam? Not to mention coins were being sold left and right in january/feb 2014 for xco/drk, while the same wasn't true for btc (no market shuffle to other players).


1834  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 26, 2015, 12:47:58 PM
It's funny because most of these scam defenders are very vitriolic when it comes to the distribution of bitcoin, which was honest by the way

I'm not attacking bitcoin, I'm just saying do not apply double standards.

The genesis block of BTC was 50 btc. And satoshi probably mined >1mn BTCs.

The entire xcoin instamine was <50 btc, during the instmine and for the next 2-3 weeks and gradually started picking up in value from 0.00002x to 0.00008x to 0.00018 to 0.0005, to 0.002, back down to 0.0008-0.00012 due to ccex hack etc etc.


1835  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 26, 2015, 12:27:07 PM
=> DASH was clearly a planned instamine (and thus a scam)

For you, or anyone other that claims DASH is a scam, please tell us

1) Who got scammed
2) What was the economic value of the scam
3) Who lost money due to the instamine

The answers are

1) nobody, because the instamine coins were worthless at market rates
2) at most 40something btc. But to be a scam someone must have bought the bags and these bags to lose value. The value never dropped below 0.000025 BTC, but multiplied up to 1000x (0.025).
3) nobody, as the marketcap started with a "worthless" valuation and then steadily climbed.

Compare that to actual scams with ICOs/IPOs, devs going MIA, etc etc, where people actually lose their money.
1836  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 26, 2015, 12:05:29 PM
BTC was solomined

BTC was never solomined. There are well known people who mined at or near the very beginning who showed up later with a large amount of coins, plus a number of well known people whose coin holdings are less well known but clearly were also mining. Since there were no exchanges and little to no trading, mining would have been the only way to get them. Those are only the well-known ones, too. There were certainly other unkown people mining who were just more private about it ever since. As you said, satoshi is reported to have mined a million coins, but 2.5 million were mined in the first year, so clearly other people were mining too.

If Satoshi was being attacked by the same people claiming that Evan insta-solo'ed 2 million DRKs, we'd hear the same for Satoshi, don't worry. But for Satoshi "oh, there were others mining", for Evan there weren't. Oh that sneaky bastard Evan, he soloed DRK for days.

Quote
LTC was instamined, but as I said only about 1% of the current supply. If you are trying to argue that is in any way similar to a 33% instamine you are either being dishonest or are just very confused. I'm not sure which.

You cannot project a percentage over the current supply, when this current supply includes a shuffled around instamine. The 33% is not static. A lot of the instamined coins changed hands. And the "value" of the "scam" had a price tag on it: The price of the coins back then at 0.000020 to 0.000025 btc per coin, some even cheaper for bulk purchases.

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You are incorrect. This bug (described below), increased mining rewards by 5-20x, had nothing to do with LTC, and was indeed put there Evan:

Which was put there because the coin was supposed to have different economic parameters that would incentivize low hash rates. But that wouldn't be a problem if difficulty re-targeting actually worked because it would be impossible to throw 50/100/500 blocks at that rate.

Quote
That was entirely new code (LTC didn't and doesn't have a variable block reward based on difficulty), written by Evan, with the bug put there by Evan.

As I said, different economic parameters.

Quote
With correct block rewards and the LTC algorithm, you would have had a much smaller instamine, more like LTC.

And then you would still scream "Evan the instamine scammer". Just because.
1837  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 26, 2015, 05:33:12 AM
450K coins isn't very many given LTC's supply.

Yes but the point was about fairness. Both BTC and LTC had start issues, in the sense that BTC was solomined and LTC was instamined. And even when a coin doesn't have these issues, it has cpu-botnets when it comes with new algorithms, it has whale miners dominating the hash rate, etc etc. I have yet to see what a "fair distribution coin" looks like. People don't have the same means to access new coins and this underlying problem creates distribution problems anyway, even if it is announced that a new great coin will be launched in a month from now.

And even when people do have the capacity to acquire significant market portions for peanuts, if they don't they then cry about it. People were buying 10k DRK batches for 0.25 btc / 100k DRK for 2.5btc. This went on for more than two weeks after launch.Some were saying, ok why part my 0.25 btc or 2.5 btc to buy a shitcoin - even when Evan had already published his plans for anonymity and intention to rival the top coins? There was general distrust about all those "clone coins" that were appearing.

The launch was problematic, the coin price at the time reflected this problem. Many coins = cheap coins = people could grab them for nothing off the market or through messages. So the market solved the distribution issue by making the plethora of coins have a very low price. The entire instamine was worth less than 50 BTC.

If one goes the scam route, Darkcoin was a 40something btc scam. That was the total marketcap two to three weeks after launch.

Bitcoin original blocks were 50 btc EACH. And satoshi mined a million BTCs. Was he a billion-USD scammer (late-2013 marketcap), or did he make a coin that exploded in value much later? Were the people who were buying 10.000 BTC pizzas idiots, or simply giving value to something that was -at the time- pretty much worthless?

Hypocrisy, in this case, is when one attacks someone else, based on retroactive reasoning and facts that may now be true but weren't at the time something happened. And it's going circles and circles over here for no reason other than competitive trolling. Let's troll our competitor so we can rise to the top. The community decided on the instamine issue that the coins were sufficiently distributed, rejected the airdrop proposal by Evan who wished to fix the issue, and we moved on. And that was in <0.002 prices, even before the market went to post 0.02+ levels which shuffled the market players multiple times.

So another aspect of the hypocrisy is that it pretends the instamined marketshare is somehow frozen solid in mid-january-2014 status, when the coins have already been shuffled around multiple times. But the truth isn't convenient for trolling.... so trolling is about projecting mid-jan-2014 distribution to the now (which is false), then retroactively applying the new value to what was then worthless (dafaq?), citing intention for a diff-retargeting bug that was already present in the forked LTC-code, claiming scam when Evan proposed to rectify the situation within 2-3 months after the launch, through the airdrop which was voted down / reacted violently against (back when prices were like 0.0012-0.0015) and finding all kind of crap to throw around for a developer that has stuck with his coin longer than Satoshi did for BTC before engaging into more interesting ventures.

Quote
Quote
No wonder dash had the same issue at the start, as it was based on LTC code, but with a spin regarding hash type and diff. adjustment.

No, if the only issue with XCoin was same slow difficulty retargeting as LTC, the instamine would have been far, far smaller. The main issue was the enormous coins per block during the first two days compared to any time after that. LTC kept the same coins per block for about four years, making it's instamine negligible.

The two coins had different economic parameters and thus a different reaction to the LTC-code re-targeting difficulty bug.

In any case, the bug wasn't put there by Evan. It was already there from the LTC code.
1838  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 25, 2015, 02:11:01 AM
(...)
I always thought that the only way to change this is for Evan to quit this project and start another one with a clean distribution and conscience. The current marketcap is at 13.5 million dollars, which should never be a problem considering that Bitcoin is about to fork with a 3.5 billion marketcap. Yes, some people would suffer as a result of this, but not many. 13.5 million dollars in marketcap is nothing. Start another blockchain, use the same code/vision and simply own the altcoin scene, unless you still want to make a lot of profit from those masternodes and you just cannot stop.

If that happens, i will be the first one to invest all my money into it. Probably many more after me...

in my turn i always thought that bitcoin's blockchain should be reset, into a clean and evenly distributed coin. i'd gladly receive my personal stash of free 1000 bitcoins of personal potestative right.

It was called Litecoin. Did you miss that boat too?

Litecoin wasn't that "evenly" distributed, as the first day had its own instamine.

http://www.devtome.com/doku.php?id=a_massive_investigation_of_instamines_and_fastmines_for_the_top_alt_coins#litecoin

"Despite being Bitcoin's supposed silver to it's gold, Litecoin does not escape from this analysis kindly. In the first 96 hours, we see a well defined curve that demonstrates instamining occurred, showing 450,000 LTC being created in less than 6 hours."

No wonder dash had the same issue at the start, as it was based on LTC code, but with a spin regarding hash type and diff. adjustment.
1839  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 25, 2015, 02:05:52 AM
There was a long term chart, I think charted q3 or q4 2014, that was very successful in long-term price prediction for 2015+. Does anyone have the link?
1840  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX on: October 22, 2015, 11:54:06 PM
Wow!  So sad... XMR pays for dirt bags to troll.  Karma is a bitch and she takes no prisoners.

It makes complete sense now.  We have had some odd trolls here and there...  But they disappeared after a couple of posts.  I could never understand why someone would devote so much time and energy and negativity to one cause.

Adam White,  the Dasher,  Icebreaker and couple of others are PAID by another Crypto-Currency, Monero, to troll. Your core devs are Scum bags!   It shows... You are afraid... Your currency will turn out your be a scam... Your behaviour proves it.

Douche bags.....

Oh, Ice doesn't get paid.  

Our icey friend is bound to this coin as he went in at a high price when he laundered hashfast creditor and customer btc and fiat into XMR.

If he dumps then that's it for market cap, then again he can't dump as there is only one exchange with volume. Not forgetting he has creditors and former customers on his tail........

Again, irony is that he didn't know he was dancing with the devil when he and the hashfast team laundered into XMR.

Now you see the story unfold, no?

Monero, such honey pot, such coin.


Icebreaker would change his mind for a masternode though  Cheesy


It's possible to create a donation therapy for iCEBREAKER ?

The volunteer work I do here, helping credulous green noobs escape the clutches of the Darkcoin cult, is my therapy.

If you'd like to donate, PM for an address.

Maybe I'd change my attitude and sig, if I had a Masternode...  Wink

So what are you saying here? That people should pay you a Masternode / 1000 DRKs to stop trolling?

Hmmm...
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