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321  Economy / Speculation / Re: 21 millions bitcoiners on: July 30, 2015, 03:27:36 PM
There's a very small amount of people sitting on a great deal of coins. If there were that many people clamouring in quick succession it's quite possible sellers would just go on strike and the price would way overshoot a realistic value.

IMHO those very few people actually control the majority of bitcoins. This is a problem that not many people like to face or address. It is one of the things that keeps us from hitting mainstream.

Top Hoarder: "Hey world, accept this new form of currency. Sure I own and control 8% of all of it, but it is great. DECENTRALIZATION FTW."

World: "No thanks, that would give you singly way too much power. I think we will find a different way to revolutionize money."

Totally agree, whales should sell their amount or they would have too much power.
322  Economy / Speculation / Re: 21 millions bitcoiners on: July 30, 2015, 03:18:31 PM
Remember if bitcoin becomes too expensive to use (eg. a satoshi is worth more than a cent) there can always be alternatives like litecoin for the cheaper transactions and bitcoin to store the wealth.

There's no "too expensive" term.
People will buy what they can.
Much, much probably, 21 millionth Bitcoin adopter won't be able to buy an entire Bitcoin anyway.
323  Economy / Speculation / Re: 21 millions bitcoiners on: July 30, 2015, 03:16:08 PM
Remember if bitcoin becomes too expensive to use (eg. a satoshi is worth more than a cent) there can always be alternatives like litecoin for the cheaper transactions and bitcoin to store the wealth.

The problem is, if Litecoin isn't so rock solid in value like Bitcoin, people will still want Bitcoin to store their assets.
N. of people trusting in the cryptocurrency is EVERYTHING that gives value to that cryptocurrency.
At least, at the moment, and for quite much time still.
324  Economy / Speculation / Re: 21 millions bitcoiners on: July 30, 2015, 03:13:58 PM
What will be the value of one Bitcoin when the number of users (people that will want to use Bitcoin) will hit 21 millions?

At this point, if each user wanted to have 1 Bitcoin, will have to pay a certain number of $ or € or Y, whatever. I'm going with $ just because it's the most used around the world.

How many $ do you think that person, the n. 21 millionth, who wants to buy 1 BTC will have to pay to obtain it?

My wild guess is: 160000 $.

A lot more than we thing probably. Always take into account there are way less coins available than 21 million, a ton of them are lost forever, and a lot more aren't even mined yet, so if that threshold is surpassed the price goes higher. I cant honestly give you an exact number. I like the Xapo's CEO prediction: between 500.000 and 1 MM dollars.

OK but just give your quote!  Wink
325  Economy / Speculation / Re: 21 millions bitcoiners on: July 30, 2015, 03:11:58 PM
What will be the value of one Bitcoin when the number of users (people that will want to use Bitcoin) will hit 21 millions?

At this point, if each user wanted to have 1 Bitcoin, will have to pay a certain number of $ or € or Y, whatever. I'm going with $ just because it's the most used around the world.

How many $ do you think that person, the n. 21 millionth, who wants to buy 1 BTC will have to pay to obtain it?

My wild guess is: 160000 $.

A lot more than we thing probably. Always take into account there are way less coins available than 21 million, a ton of them are lost forever, and a lot more aren't even mined yet, so if that threshold is surpassed the price goes higher. I cant honestly give you an exact number. I like the Xapo's CEO prediction: between 500.000 and 1 MM dollars.

Not to forget Satoshi's coins, which I think will never be used.
21 million users is not too outrageous. It is just 2% of facebook's active users.
I would say $10k will be breached when this happens.

I don't know, I think that when we will be heading towards 21 millions users, there will be so much rising in request already that the price will blow up in unpredictable manner.
It will probably also spike up into a bubble and then fall back down to the real value.
And I think Satoshis will much probably be used before 10 years from now.
326  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Have you used Bitcoin as Real money to buy Real/physical goods? on: July 30, 2015, 03:04:24 PM
I tried to talk to the boss of the shop if I can pay by bitcoin, to my surprise, she said YES and finally I paid the cake by bitcoin.  Grin

WOW this is REALLY GOOD.

Where are you from?
327  Economy / Speculation / 21 millions bitcoiners on: July 30, 2015, 03:00:51 PM
What will be the value of one Bitcoin when the number of users (people that will want to use Bitcoin) will hit 21 millions?

At this point, if each user wanted to have 1 Bitcoin, will have to pay a certain number of $ or € or Y, whatever. I'm going with $ just because it's the most used around the world.

How many $ do you think that person, the n. 21 millionth, who wants to buy 1 BTC will have to pay to obtain it?

My wild guess is: 160000 $.
328  Economy / Economics / Re: What the hell happened? on: July 30, 2015, 12:47:50 PM
I cannot find a 60% increase on stellar anywhere.. Do you mean 6% or are you hallucinating? Wink

It was yesterday, dude. Of course now data is different.

But it really seems it was a bug: Stellar is offline in Shapeshift for some reason.

Even if it was yesterday, it should be visible on the charts? Poloniex shows a jump from 940 to 970 or something, that is not 60% in my books?

I'm using this: http://bravenewcoin.com/stellar
329  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 12:41:41 PM
Of course this will not happen in 1 or 2 years. The adoption will grow slowly and we have to be patient with average joes. You can not force a process like this to speed up.

So let me state this clearly: you believe in evangelizing in front of an ATM while a person is mostly probably just in need of getting some money
...

Oh man you have not understood it seems.
Read again what I wrote. Read all of it again.Have a nice day man.

No no, I understand perfectly.
This is your piece:

Quote
The ATMs are one piece of that. And don't underestimate these machines. The more are placed in hotspots of big metrololises the more people will scratch their heads and think what that is cause they see it almost everywhere. And when you as a long user Bitcoin stand in front one of those atms some curious persons might ask you what this is and how it works. And now it's up to you to explain, show and convince them. Wink

Of course this will not happen in 1 or 2 years. The adoption will grow slowly and we have to be patient with average joes. You can not force a process like this to speed up.

You really look slave of cognitive dissonance, dude.
If you don't know what that is, just read on Wikipedia, there's a short article about it.
330  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 12:32:07 PM
1. You simplify the use of Bitcoin to the point that is oversimplified.
2. Continue spreading the word, friends, family etc.
3. You keep innovating and making a rock solid software that will not give up on is.
4. You let the time does its job. Look at Greece, Cyprus etc.

4. Look at Greece?
Nothing happened in Greece, dude, I followed it closely.
40% of greeks NEVER accessed internet.
And THIS is a good place to say: Greece is the WRONG PLACE to advertise Bitcoin, also between your family.
For the simple reason that, with such a bad internet infrastructure or appreciation, there's an additional barrier in its adoption.
Greece will surely NOT be one of the first countries adopting Bitcoin, DESPITE its terrible economic conditions.

2. Ye that happens ANYWAY.

3. Not my task, it's coders and IT task, and this happens ANYWAY as well. Software evolution goes on.

1. What?

1. You didn't get my phrase, we need to make bitcoin use as simple as possible. Software, security, wallets, everything. Look at the Trezor for example, it's very secure, but its still overly complicated. If we don't simplify Bitcoin further, it will never get adopted as we want.

4. Greece helped Bitcoin a lot! And I am not of those who are saying Greeks should adopt bitcoin as a national currency. Let me say you how Greece has helped us:

When Greece started their capital controls, there was no 1 person in the world that had money in the banks that didn't ask themselves, what if I wake up tomorrow and this happens to me. As they asked themselves this question, they probably heard about Bitcoin in news as well so at least they started thinking a bit more that there might be another option out there! This is what we need for adoption to happen, raised awareness.


1. Can you tell me HOW a payment method can be simpler than scanning a code with your mobile phone?
Not because I think it's impossible, but I think that this method is just so simple that if something even simpler will come, it will be after decades.
With actual technology, this is the simplest, fastest solution.
Any other solution asks the shops to build infrastructure, and that costs money, and paying money keeps people away.


4. I don't know how young you are but Greece banks freeze was not the first time it happened in the world.
Also, governments can take your money in banks, that happened in Cyprus recently, in Italy some years ago.
People KNOW this can happen.
Despite this, people didn't run en masse to buy Bitcoin.
Why?
Because they don't trust Bitcoin, that's why.
And that's why I wrote this thread as a strategy to help Bitcoin penetration in mainstream.

Also, after banks re-opened in Greece, you would have expected at least some shop more on Coinmap.
Nothing happened.
Let me restate this: NOTHING - HAPPENED.
Not a single shop was added on Coinmap.
Bitcoin value didn't kick to the stars, it only got a small bump, and much probably not from greek people buying, but from US OURSELVES believing more in Bitcoin after what we have seen banks can do.
You can understand why this happened, if you only try (JUST TRY) to come out of your own opinion and ACCEPT that Greece people are made in such a way that Bitcoin do not appeal them as much as it happens in Tampa, Florida, that is not even in economical distress.
And THIS is why I opened this thread.



But I really can't understand if everybody is now slave of cognitive dissonance or I'm getting mad, so, before I lose my mental sanity I'm abandoning this topic.
Thank you for your effort anyway.
331  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 12:25:27 PM
Of course this will not happen in 1 or 2 years. The adoption will grow slowly and we have to be patient with average joes. You can not force a process like this to speed up.

So let me state this clearly: you believe in evangelizing in front of an ATM while a person is mostly probably just in need of getting some money and thus will be in a hurry to find a common ATM, but you don't believe in evangelizing a targetized population of people to create a believable system like I wrote in my post.
Another person that doesn't believe in advertising campaigns.

Maybe I am in the wrong forum here.
At this point, I think only somebody with some experience in advertising can understand what I'm trying to filter in here.

And just to complete the story: I NEVER stopped by to ask a person what the hell is that machine, for several reasons, first of all the person could not feel comfortable while exchanging money when a stranger approaches, second, the person has his own business to do, third, much possibly (and this is the worst) I won't be interested in what that machine exchanges, if I didn't need that up to now, I don't need it anyway.
You are just dreaming about ATMs being a good advertising method, even though, as anything else at this point, they surely help a minimum.
We are talking about MAYBE 10 persons per year stopping by a Bitcoin ATM and asking somebody what the hell that is. And then, remaining their same opinion just because they are in a city that is not Tampa or Kansas City (and I hope this comparison will help you understand better)
And again: we have no data about how much those ATMs are used. I couldn't find a company releasing data about it.
332  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin to mainstream adoption tactic on: July 30, 2015, 12:16:28 PM
I don't think there is a specific tactic to follow to increase adoption, it just happens naturally when the time is right. Case in point: In argentina BTC is extremely useful.
In the rest of the world were there arent serious monetary everyday problems we'll have to wait until goverment vanishes cash.

This is very very naive to say... it's like saying that advertising doesn't do anything.
But, you know, each serious advertising campaign examines a TARGET AUDIENCE (just like I did) and elaborates an action plan.

Case in Point, Buenos Aires has got a good number of shops in it, 150... but in relation to population it's a quite low number, as you can see from the spreadsheet I linked.
So you can evince from this that, as I wrote in the first post, the adoption rate of Bitcoin is based not only on the bad economy status of a country, but on other factors. But at this points I suspect you only read some of the lines of my post, as this is explained more extensively in there.
333  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 11:04:04 AM
1. You simplify the use of Bitcoin to the point that is oversimplified.
2. Continue spreading the word, friends, family etc.
3. You keep innovating and making a rock solid software that will not give up on is.
4. You let the time does its job. Look at Greece, Cyprus etc.

4. Look at Greece?
Nothing happened in Greece, dude, I followed it closely.
40% of greeks NEVER accessed internet.
And THIS is a good place to say: Greece is the WRONG PLACE to advertise Bitcoin, also between your family.
For the simple reason that, with such a bad internet infrastructure or appreciation, there's an additional barrier in its adoption.
Greece will surely NOT be one of the first countries adopting Bitcoin, DESPITE its terrible economic conditions.

2. Ye that happens ANYWAY.

3. Not my task, it's coders and IT task, and this happens ANYWAY as well. Software evolution goes on.

1. What?
If the greeks have no idea what internet exactly is how do you expect them to embrace bitcoin? That was not the point of this story.
Greek crisis showed people that even with somewhat strong currency they are not safe. Their bank accounts can be frozen, their money grabbed by government.
This is where bitcoin comes on a scene, some people realized that with bitcoin your money will be safer, that is a first step.

Well, everything goes into the cauldron. Even going around the street with a Bitcoin Tshirt probably helps.



What I can't understand from all the posts that came into this thread is: do you think the tactic I exposed is WRONG or what?

I mean, NOBODY seems to think that what I wrote in the opening thread would be a good tactic to accelerate mainstream Bitcoin adoption.
Everybody posting this and that.
BUT as well NOBODY is discussing my points in the opening post.

To say it better:
1) yes, having ATM around helps
2) yes, talking to your familiars and friends helps
3) yes, going around with a Bitcoin Tshirt helps
4) yes, making even more intuitive software helps

But this thread is a study that tries to find the BEST mid term tactic to help Bitcoin get into mainstream.
Can you say if you find what I wrote in the opening post something... weird? Useless? Maybe working?
Also because, you know, points from 1 to 4 are ANYWAY ALREADY HAPPENING.
And nobody will ANYWAY stop them from happening.
This thread is about WHERE TO POINT MORE EFFORT INTO SPREADING BITCOIN WORD with evangelization, conferences, etc.

Sorry if this seems rude, but I didn't see a SINGLE POST discussing my proposal, and ALL POSTS saying that there's something else going on.
Something else that is NOT a tactic, but just what every single person (me included) is doing probably every day.
I know there's something else going on. I am part of it.
I don't want to gain consensus about the proposal, but at least try to find fallacies in my reasoning, prove it wrong someway, otherwise you are just repeating stuff everybody knows, stuff that will anyway go on, and you are pretty much out of the thread topic.

In other words: can you please tell me what you think about the tactic proposed in the opening post?
Thank you.
334  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 10:51:51 AM
I am slightly disappointed. Such a long post by OP and there is no valid points given in it. Promote bitcoin in Tampa and Kansas City? We want much more than a city to adopt bitcoin. My idea is simple, have more bitcoin ATMs everywhere in the world, and a user friendly app on phones. If people can buy bitcoin easily, more people will buy them for curiosity at first and then discover how easy it is to use bitcoin.

We are on a good way regarding this. Give a bit more time and I'm sure we will see several thousands BTC Atms around the globe.



Bitcoin ATMs are not convincing anybody that the thing works.
They are only helping people that are convinced of it already to acquire Bitcoins.
It's good, but it's not the topic.
I mean, the topic is about how to CONVINCE people in the shortest possible time and throw Bitcoin in the mainstream adoption.

Bitcoin ATMs will help somewhat when people will begin to WANT to use Bitcoins and not bother to go online or trust online services.
But what we must do first, is having people WANT to use Bitcoin.

Also, I wonder (and you should too) how many people are buying Bitcoins from those ATMs.
As NO DATA is released on the matter, I suspect the number to be very, very low.
335  Economy / Economics / Re: What the hell happened? on: July 30, 2015, 10:35:16 AM
I cannot find a 60% increase on stellar anywhere.. Do you mean 6% or are you hallucinating? Wink

It was yesterday, dude. Of course now data is different.

But it really seems it was a bug: Stellar is offline in Shapeshift for some reason.
336  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 10:31:08 AM
The thing you can do is team up with some local bitcoin fanatics and make a plan to visit local stores, bars and restaurants, tell them about Bitcoin and make it easy for them to incorporate it into their venue, make 'Bitcoin accepted' stickers for their windows next to the CC and banckcard,  so every customer will see and start to question in their head what bitcoin is, it will grow, slowly but graduatly.

Take it step by step, most countries have a centrel 'where to spend my coins' website, they probably have connections to other cities in which these kind of groups are active, you could go and have a chat about how to go about it in your own town.

Exactly!
What I want to say is that the best place on Earth where you can do that is Tampa, Florida.
And I wouldn't repeat it yet again, but showing an entire small city running on Bitcoin would be the best advertising ever.
I think that when this will happen, the big boom into mainstream will really begin.
337  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 10:27:15 AM
1. You simplify the use of Bitcoin to the point that is oversimplified.
2. Continue spreading the word, friends, family etc.
3. You keep innovating and making a rock solid software that will not give up on is.
4. You let the time does its job. Look at Greece, Cyprus etc.

4. Look at Greece?
Nothing happened in Greece, dude, I followed it closely.
40% of greeks NEVER accessed internet.
And THIS is a good place to say: Greece is the WRONG PLACE to advertise Bitcoin, also between your family.
For the simple reason that, with such a bad internet infrastructure or appreciation, there's an additional barrier in its adoption.
Greece will surely NOT be one of the first countries adopting Bitcoin, DESPITE its terrible economic conditions.

2. Ye that happens ANYWAY.

3. Not my task, it's coders and IT task, and this happens ANYWAY as well. Software evolution goes on.

1. What?
338  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 10:25:15 AM
Every aspect of bitcoin should be easy and intuitive to use. That will speed up things most. Currently it feels overwhelming to get started with it..

Maybe you can compare it to MSDOS (bitcoin currently) and windows 7/iOS (bitcoin how it has to become)

This is a good objection, and I agree with it in part: it's surely more difficult to pay with your smartphone wallet than with paper banknotes.
But try to watch it from another point of view.
Download and install COINOMI on your smartphone (it's the easiest/fastest wallet I know at the moment).
Do you really think that's more difficult to use than any credit card or payment method, apart paper banknotes?
I don't think so.

It's just DIFFERENT: you have to snapshot a picture of the code and... well that's all.

You don't need to know the word blockchain or backup or cold storage or anything else.
Those things can come later.
And with the same wallet from your smartphone you can store your Bitcoin capital onto some well protected webwallet and only keep some Bitcoins for daily use on your portable wallet.

So, yes, using Bitcoin is different from the other forms of payment, of course, but I don't think it's much more complex than most cards.
Coincidence, today I helped a neighbour of mine to buy something with Paypal (he's on his 70s and with all effort he can't really get into how computers and websites work, so he asks me for help quite often). Using Paypal took verification of his email, phone number, connection of his web account with his Paypal card...
With Bitcoin, you don't really need any of this crap.
You could pay at the shop, and you could pay online, and nobody would ask you screens and screens of ID verification that most over 50 can't deal with.



Now for a small thought experiment: imagine that on your smartphone wallet you have no Bitcoins.
It only shows $ or €. Bitcoin doesn't exist.
Now, imagine you go to a shop and buy something, then you bring out your smartphone and pay in $ or € with it.
Have you... felt anything?
Didn't that already... FEEL BETTER?
That's ONLY because you are USED to $ and €.
This proves that the only problem with Bitcoin is that it's a new currency not backed by anybody, it's something people perceive like scam or "not serious", and the only way to overcome this feeling is to prove them that a system RUNS on it.
And the fastest way to build up a small system running on Bitcoin is the one I described in the opening post.
339  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts about how to spread Bitcoin adoption on: July 30, 2015, 09:49:50 AM
Where is the tl;dr version of this?

I am slightly disappointed. Such a long post by OP and there is no valid points given in it.
I'd rather not waste my time, unless OP can either fix his initial post or add a short version.

He simply couldn't catch what I wrote.
Anyway, there's a "short version" in the following post.
340  Economy / Economics / Re: What the hell happened? on: July 30, 2015, 09:01:02 AM
Stellar gone up 60%, Bitcoin, Dash, Litecoin, Dogecoin, dropping down, together with most of other altcoins.

Any info about this?
Litecoin
Best coin of the year Smiley

Little doubt about it, but it's not the topic here  Angry Grin

Anyway, seems that things got back up... I would just like to know what happened yesterday...
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