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281  Other / Meta / Re: How will increased suicide-posts be handled? on: January 05, 2015, 04:52:04 AM
Talk to them. Someone has to cool out the marks.
282  Economy / Speculation / Re: 300 is broken, to never see again on: January 05, 2015, 04:47:23 AM
People are overreacting to the drop below $300 in the last 24 hours. There's been about ±$50 noise in the price of Bitcoin for months.

However, they've been under-reacting to the year-long slide from $1100 to $300. There's been a huge amount of denial about that.
283  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin crashes through $300 floor on: January 04, 2015, 09:23:22 PM
$300 was he floor for several months. Now that it has breached the $300 level I would say that it will probably end up falling to at least the $250 level if not lower over the short term
Well, the low for today, so far, was $255.  There's been enough of a drop today to expect some rebound, but the long term trend remains downward. It's been steadily downward for a year now. 

There was a claim that Bitcoin had never fallen below the all-time-high of the previous bubble. The Silk Road bubble peaked at $266. That bottom was broken today.
284  Economy / Speculation / Re: Shorted bitcoin on: January 04, 2015, 09:16:28 PM
you should know that historically bitcoin has never dropped below the previous ATH of the last bubble. so in this instance that would be the April 2013 peak of $266. i highly doubt it will act differently this time.
That ended today. Today's low, so far, was $255.
285  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why Bitcoin is dropping and why you should be buying. on: January 04, 2015, 08:53:14 PM
I think bitcoin is dropping because merchants are selling the bitcoins they received during christmas shopping. When those who spent bitcoin replenish their bitcoin holdings, price will rise again.
Most merchants use Coinbase, which means the merchant never owns Bitcoins at all. Coinbase then dumps their incoming Bitcoins on Bitstamp, so they can pay the merchant in fiat. Thus, all the holiday season transactions are over.
286  Economy / Speculation / Re: 2015 is THE year of bitcoin am I right guys? on: January 04, 2015, 08:10:19 AM
The Year of Bitcoin was 2013.
287  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2015-01-03]CA- ESPN Immediately Exchanges Bitpay's Bitcoin Bowl Payment To Fiat on: January 04, 2015, 05:41:10 AM
"ESPN made the smart move there. Since the Bitcoin St. Petersburg bowl ended, the Bitcoin price has fallen by nearly 10%."

Good move by ESPN. They're not suckers.
288  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Has anybody ever successfully double spent? on: January 03, 2015, 06:37:07 AM
There have been attacks on buyers who accepted zero-confirmation transactions. This happened most notoriously with SatoshiDICE. At one time they paid out immediately on wins of zero-conf bets. Someone realized they could undo a losing bet by attempting a double-spend.  This didn't generate extra Bitcoins, but it invalidated the payment to the betting firm, effectively canceling the previous transaction. With everything anonymous, this could be repeated endlessly.

So, nobody does zero-conf transactions with instant return of anything of non-trivial value any more.

A true double-spend would generate new Bitcoins from nothing. So far, nobody has been able to do that. If they had, it would be recorded in the block chain.

289  Economy / Speculation / Re: 2015 is THE year of bitcoin am I right guys? on: January 02, 2015, 08:01:46 PM
Bitcoin has had two bubbles - Silk Road, and China exchange controls. Those were driven by Bitcoin being a way to get around some law. That's what makes Bitcoin go up.

Merchant adoption hasn't made Bitcoin go up. Big investments in mining farms haven't made Bitcoin go up. Getting rid of the flakier exchanges hasn't made Bitcoin go up. Gimmicks for contracts in the block chain haven't made Bitcoin go up.  Short of another bubble, Bitcoin is going to do what it's been doing for most of 2014 - decline slowly.
290  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin made rich just a few but it ruined many on: January 01, 2015, 09:45:33 PM
"Bitcoin made rich just a few but it ruined many"
Look, Bitcoin is zero-sum. For every win, there must be a lose. Somebody has to put in cash and not get it back. Bitcoin needs a lot of suckers losers to keep it going.

They're called HODLrs.
291  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: January 01, 2015, 05:53:22 AM
Yes. Further details on Jan. 3.

Until now, the Tokyo Metropolitan Police Force has said very little about Mt. Gox. That just changed.
292  Bitcoin / Press / [2014-12-31] - Fraud causes disappearance of 99% of Mt. Gox bitcoins on: January 01, 2015, 05:19:25 AM
Yomiuri Shimbun exclusive

"Among about 650,000 bitcoins that went missing from failed Mt. Gox’s exchange system, about 7,000 bitcoins, or only about 1 percent of the total, were lost due to cyber-attacks and it is highly suspected that the remaining 99 percent disappeared after the system was fraudulently operated by an unknown party, according to sources in the Metropolitan Police Department.

The missing amount — about 650,000 bitcoins — is worth about ¥24.7 billion as of Wednesday.

The MPD is currently investigating Mt. Gox, suspecting a person who is familiar with the exchange system may have misappropriated bitcoins of the company’s customers."

To read more, pick up the Jan. 3 print edition of The Japan News.
293  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin 31st December 2014 on: January 01, 2015, 05:13:32 AM
$312.

And that's it for 2014. Thank you for playing.

Further discussion should go in the 2015 thread.
294  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why it all went wrong in 2014 - but why 2015 can be better. on: December 31, 2014, 01:53:15 AM
First of all, the only thing disastrous about 2014 was the price drop.  Good things happened in every other facet of Bitcoin.
Er, Mt. Gox? Forgotten about that disaster already?
oops...for some reason thought it was last year.
Other recent shutdowns:
WhoWhenWhy
____________________________________________________________________________
Falcon Global Capital Bitcoin FundDec. 9, 2014Lack of interest
LocalBitcoins (Germany) Dec. 9, 2014In trouble with regulators
CoinJellyDec. 11, 2014Reason unknown, users refunded.

That's just December. Many Bitcoin businesses shut down in 2014. None of those stole customer assets in a big way, so they didn't get as much press as Mt. Gox.
295  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why it all went wrong in 2014 - but why 2015 can be better. on: December 30, 2014, 09:05:29 PM
First of all, the only thing disastrous about 2014 was the price drop.  Good things happened in every other facet of Bitcoin.
Er, Mt. Gox? Forgotten about that disaster already?
296  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why I doubt we'll ever go mainstream on: December 28, 2014, 11:14:28 PM
Fiat Credit Card System : 5-8% of fee on ALL transaction + cost of "asking agreement" of each transaction + LOAN of credit card POS.
Movie "the rise and rise of bitcoin" explain this very easly in a supermarket.

Bitcoin : 0,0001 BTC for each transaction ( http://bitcoinfees.com/ ) + Wifi (fix cost) + Personal Phone to monitoring transaction (3x less than a POS cost).

Robocoin Bitcoin ATM: 5% fee, 7% spread.
297  Economy / Speculation / Re: Don't think of it as selling on: December 28, 2014, 02:45:32 AM
Think of it as asset reallocation.
298  Economy / Speculation / Re: Russia seems like to adopt bitcoin on: December 28, 2014, 02:43:19 AM
It looks more like somebody caught a drafting problem. The proposed Russian anti-Bitcoin law was so broad it hit business loyalty programs.
299  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Dec 17 to Dec 29th diff thread (-0.32%) to (-0.12%) on: December 28, 2014, 02:40:25 AM
There's been a sudden large increase in hash rate in the last week, after a previous drop.



What happened? Were some substantial hashing assets off doing Peercoin for a while, or what?
300  Economy / Speculation / Re: The bull run has not begun. on: December 26, 2014, 04:20:55 AM
Due to lack of interest, the bull run has been canceled.
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