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681  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2020, 12:08:21 PM
stocks down, bitcoin up at this moment. man, wouldn´t it be great if btc prices would stop to resonate with stock prices.

3rd halving: the great de-coupling...



https://twitter.com/jimyoung2817/status/1258942167470485514
682  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2020, 11:56:31 AM
Feeling like a little kid waiting for his birthday. Just 48 blocks left or ~8 hours, excited!
683  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2020, 08:49:54 AM
1BTC = 1BTC. We HODLers don't care about $ value!


I care about purchasing power. What it is denominated in I could not care less. Can it buy me a loaf of bread, a house, the moon? That is what matters.
684  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2020, 04:56:16 AM
https://twitter.com/n3ocortex/status/1259584098932318208

Quote
As the halving approaches, let's zoom out and look at how on-chain fundamentals have developed historically, and how they compare to the last halving.
685  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 10, 2020, 06:15:57 PM
I truly feel sorry for those thinking with Bitcoin they hodl a penny stock. Bitcoin's future is so bright you need to wear sunglasses, and still most can't see it. Too bad.
686  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 10, 2020, 07:05:04 AM
Post this 2020 halvening miners will cease to be the biggest sellers of Bitcoin. It'll be the dawn of the crypto exchange as the leading seller.

The biggest sell pressure on Bitcoin will soon be from exchanges selling their BTC fees collected into fiat.

https://twitter.com/woonomic/status/1258966521071599616?s=21


BUT: When the bitcoin price doubles, and trading volume stays the same, the exchange trading fees selling pressure in bitcoin halves.

Second I think over time there will be pressure on trading fees collected by the exchanges, as mentioned in one of my previous posts. 0.5% and higher is insane and not sustainable in a competitive free market environment.

1) Which exchanges extract their fees in BTC? Any?


They don’t, that is the whole point.
687  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 09, 2020, 09:14:55 AM
https://twitter.com/stephanlivera/status/1258923992053805056
Quote
You do have to buy a whole bitcoin.
688  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 09, 2020, 08:59:42 AM
Use maker taker

If you are not the maker, you are doing it wrong


You need to be a day trader to take advantage of that. And even if you generate volume, it can’t be compared to nowadays stock market close to zero trading fees.

https://pro.coinbase.com/fees
Quote
Fee Structure 30-day volume
PRICING TIER

TAKER FEE
MAKER FEE
Up to $10k
0.50%
0.50%

$10k - $50k
0.35%
0.35%
689  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 09, 2020, 07:36:02 AM
Post this 2020 halvening miners will cease to be the biggest sellers of Bitcoin. It'll be the dawn of the crypto exchange as the leading seller.

The biggest sell pressure on Bitcoin will soon be from exchanges selling their BTC fees collected into fiat.

https://twitter.com/woonomic/status/1258966521071599616?s=21


BUT: When the bitcoin price doubles, and trading volume stays the same, the exchange trading fees selling pressure in bitcoin halves.

Second I think over time there will be pressure on trading fees collected by the exchanges, as mentioned in one of my previous posts. 0.5% and higher is insane and not sustainable in a competitive free market environment.
690  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 09, 2020, 06:04:09 AM
Investor Letter, Paul Tudor Jones, May 2020
https://www.scribd.com/document/460382154/May-2020-BVI-Letter-Macro-Outlook

Quote
We have set initial maximum exposure for purchasing Bitcoin futures to a low single digit % of Tudor BVI’s net assets.


https://twitter.com/krugermacro/status/1258780503416733696
Quote
Back of the envelope analysis of Tudor's bitcoin position.

. News of $2T US fiscal package: Mar/21 (Kudlow)
. Fed announces unlimited QE: Mar/23

=> Assume Tudor started buying a few days later: Mar/25

That's exactly when CME open interest started to spike.
691  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2020, 05:55:02 PM
https://twitter.com/lawmaster/status/1258715460725506048

Nowhere close to (retail) fomo yet.
692  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2020, 08:19:20 AM

FTFT:

[...] “the reasons for using cryptocurrencies as an escape from failing fiat will disappear when if gold becomes money again [...]”
693  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2020, 08:00:21 AM
Interesting way of looking at Bitcoin:


https://twitter.com/francispouliot_/status/1258378508860088321
Quote
Bitcoin era #3:
- 100% uptime
- major updates 0.13 -> 0.19
- crushed Chinese mining pool cartel
- crushed "vc-backed" hostile takeover
- segwit, coinjoin, lightning and Liquid
- full node hardware/software kits
- institutional $
- 100x hashrate
- 15x price
- 100x daily tx value
694  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2020, 06:39:51 AM
I was thinking an indicator of how immature the bitcoin (trading) industry still is, are the fees. Maker/Taker fees north of 0.5% are common across the exchanges. Compare that to the stock market, fees are close to zero.

There is little competition yet, but the business models of the current exchanges will be terminated once the big boys get in. Can’t see that taking a long time anymore (in a free market), there simply is too much money to be made.
695  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2020, 05:17:57 AM
A trip down memory lane with Dan Held as the host and guests Erik Voorhees, Tuur DeMeester and Charlie Lee:

https://twitter.com/krakenfx/status/1258215062793142279
696  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2020, 04:10:26 AM
yes, did not know how to conjure it from my keyboard.
It is a perfectly normal letter located right next to the L your keyboard must be missing some keys.

No, on any civilized keyboard Ö is next to L.


LÖL
697  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2020, 06:09:42 PM
https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/
698  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2020, 10:38:41 AM
[...]
so i cant really say "fuck you" to this mess but i can tell it to piss off. for now.


https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/09/billionaire-warren-buffett-shares-indispensable-life-advice-he-learned-more-than-40-years-ago.html
Quote
More than 40 years ago, Warren Buffett wrote, Tom Murphy taught him an “indispensable” lesson about the importance of recognizing and controlling your emotions. “He said, ‘Warren, you can always tell someone to go to hell tomorrow,’” Buffett recalled. “It was one of the best pieces of advice I have ever received.”
699  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2020, 04:36:54 AM
https://blockstream.com/2020/05/04/en-announcing-blockstream-satellite-2/

Quote
Adam Back, Chris Cook
May 04, 2020

We are pleased to announce Blockstream Satellite 2.0 is now live, bringing a standards-based transmission protocol, more bandwidth, additional coverage areas, and the ability to sync a Bitcoin full node all the way from the genesis block up to today.
700  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2020, 03:35:33 AM
You know, something I realized this evening:

If (and this is an if) my company were to order me to go back into the office, because I have bitcoins I can tell them to fuck themselves. Been thinking about this and realized that people may be asked to choose between their job and their life....

I'm glad that choice is a simple one to make. And bitcoin is a part of that. Wealth gives you the freedom to make decisions, and I can't think of a more important decision one can make.


You have ‘f*ck you money’, a powerful weapon that can be used when really needed. They say it is good for your career as well because you can say No and speak your mind. People in debt are dependent and therefore predictable silent worker bees, just as companies and banks like it.
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