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6441  Economy / Economics / Re: inflation (Kondratieff Winter) on: February 10, 2013, 09:32:20 PM
Socialism/communism is .....

A totally undefined term which apparently you are using as a scapegoat for some kind of your own personal difficulties.

You'll know it when you smell it .... as to my personal difficulties, lets just say they have more to do with Euler than what you seem to be trying to smear me with.
6442  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Kim Dotcom Mansion: Press conference 2013-01-19 GMT on: February 10, 2013, 09:20:39 PM

Bitvoucher a Bitcoin Only Mega Reseller, site doesn't even ask you for an email address to purchase a voucher.

https://bitvoucher.co/


Wow ... he waited until after the hoopla had died down to release the torpedos ... this is significant.
6443  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-02-09 On Wikileaks, Bitcoin... on: February 10, 2013, 07:31:09 AM

It may be a criticism of bitcoin, but you gotta admit it is a great text.

The description on how bitcoin works is one of the best I've ever read, for instance.

And the part about money, credit-based money, capital and central-banking is also very good.


In other words, he makes lots of good points.

I disagree. It reads like a lefty rag posing as erudite commentary, of the type that has been effusing from the marble halls of intelligentsia since they developed their crush on Marx and his followers.

Not to mention that some of his assumptions/premises, many actually, are fundamentally incorrect, or at best misguided. Many of the same assumptions that have born rotten fruits and led directly and provably to the parlous state that govt. monies and state-backed financing finds itself in today.

Hint: "Buy cheep, sell dear."
6444  Economy / Economics / Re: The Bitcoin Singularity is Near on: February 09, 2013, 10:42:23 PM
Quote
[...] Then banks will find out that this may one day be the backbone of international money transfers and that it will be essential for them not to miss out. [...]

I have a feeling this won't be embraced by banks. If anything, I think they will be the greatest threat to bitcoin by either lobbying governments to stop it, or a direct attempt to sabotage it.

||bit

Except for the small, upstart, 'renegade' banks that are shooting for the fences and adopt the disruptive superior bitcoin tech. to intentionally out-compete and bring down the big, entrenched, dinosaurs. It's how capitalism is supposed to work.
6445  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Next Thursday I will have 20 minutes to present bitcoin to 150 businessmen/women on: February 09, 2013, 10:28:21 PM
Governments will have to ask permission the next time they want tax money from them Tongue

Oh yeah what a great point for a currency. Helps you avoid paying taxes! Hell why we're at it, we can avoid gambling regulation and buy drugs too!

Sounds like you understand a good monetary technology when you see one.

Attempting to endow monetary information technologies with moralistic, subjective judgement hooks, triggers and data-mining functionality clauses merely serves to compromise them and create inferior products that the market will discount and ultimately reject outright.
6446  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: My 10 Satoshi worth. on: February 09, 2013, 07:21:27 AM
I wish I could trade with them locally in New Zealand. But there
is not a lot going on as far as I can see.

https://bitnz.com/

https://localbitcoins.com/

Both seem relatively active and growing all the time.
6447  Economy / Economics / Re: The Bitcoin Singularity is Near on: February 09, 2013, 03:48:46 AM
Quote
Remember that never before in the history of mankind a new currency came on the market so suddenly and right there for everyone to pick up for a bargain. Once the banks and governments of this world find this out, there will be a race to get in on it as fast as possible. This will be the tipping point, where we can expect to see an exponential increase in value. As long as this point has not been reached, it is incredibly silly to worry over a few dollars in a few weeks.

You may well be right in most of what you say here but your time-scales will probably be well wrong. Mega-banks and govt.s are not going to be hopping on to any "crypto-currency" band-wagon any time soon and the infrastructure does not yet exist inside bitcoin world to support them anyway. That is not to say that they never will however.

The great thing about this experiment is the little people can enter first, and to the fullest they wish to risk, but the big guys have to wait ....  Cheesy ".... it is easier to fit a camel through the eye of a needle".
Just by the logistics involved, the system will grow naturally and the size of entrants to the system will be commensurate to the size of the system at the time.

It will look like an exponential singularity if it all pans out, but you will have to look back from 2035 and scale the chart accordingly.

On the little details, I think we are in a rather powerful wave 3 of 2, heading for a re-test of $32 June 2011 high from first wave up. I'm expecting a blow-off to the $25.88 area and collapse back to re-base around $20.8 region ... fwiw. (Longer term in an unknowable time-frame waves 4 of 2 and 5 of 2 should takes us past the $32 to finally top out around $51.7.)
6448  Economy / Economics / Re: inflation (Kondratieff Winter) on: February 09, 2013, 12:45:42 AM
Socialism/communism is much more corrosive than just the negative effect any single ruling party can have. As a mindset, it imbibes at least half the population, sometimes as many as 90%, with an entitled culture whereby they spend most of their lives looking over the fence jealously envying what someone else has and thinking somehow that their birthright has been stolen from them. The net effect is it tears the fabric of society apart as individuals turn/work against each other, instead for themselves albeit in total in the same direction.
6449  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: February 09, 2013, 12:36:39 AM

cuddlefish was a mouthy little scammer/charlatan ... probably be doing the same thing when he is 40.
6450  Other / Off-topic / Re: Anonymous pwns Fed. Res. and Fedwire? on: February 09, 2013, 12:33:42 AM
Actually, if Fedwire (US fed. res. dollar interbank irrevocable settlement network) was hacked (as according to some of the noises eminating from the rumourmill) then it would be functionally equivalent to the dollar being hacked ... and strange as it may seem it is actually more plausible than the bitcoin network getting compromised.

For me, the Fedwire network, and the IRS represent the gravest weaknesses in the current centralised govt. economic planning and wealth distribution system model. If an external aggressor were to compromise either of these targets in a concerted cypber-attack then utter, complete society-wide chaos would follow along not far behind. And basically all we can only really do is pray it doesn't happen on our watch.
6451  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-02-06 Resilience.org - The Joule Standard on: February 09, 2013, 12:10:39 AM
The rate of energy consumption is a significant fraction of the total marketable energy supply and so the real market price fluctuates significantly. Therefore, to use energy units as a basis for a currency is misguided and is a major problem and source of instability arising from the defacto oil-dollar standard (as they are now discovering).

Maybe a basket of goods that can average out the fluctuations in real prices, although even these can become linked at times. Better to use goods that have low consumption to marketable supply rates, like gold, silver, bitcoin, etc ... i.e. primarily hard monetary commodities, not consumable goods.
6452  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is Ripple a Bitcoin Killer or Complementer? Founder of Mt Gox will launch Ripple on: February 08, 2013, 12:29:02 AM
Right!  I'll just give you 2.3 lawn mows for 1.7 car washes.

The common unit of accounting can be anything such a barter network would agree upon. It can very well be immaterial.

I find scarcity (finiteness) to be an advantage in money, not a disadvantage.  And the same for speculation.

Again, a commodity is just a tool. A tool to store and transport the information of value. It is not money itself. And this tool is slowly becoming anachronistic in this information age.

I hear what you are saying and I think are mostly right, however you also seem to be saying there is some kind of monetary information tool that can function without a common denominator of value (i.e. a unit of account)?
6453  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-02-05 -- Introducing Amazon Coins on: February 06, 2013, 09:17:20 PM
Ugh ... amazon dollars, how original.
6454  Economy / Economics / Re: inflation (Kondratieff Winter) on: February 06, 2013, 11:53:00 AM
from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kondratiev_wave :

Quote
The technological cycles can be labeled as follows:
The Industrial Revolution—1771
The Age of Steam and Railways—1829
The Age of Steel and Heavy Engineering—1875
The Age of Oil, Electricity, the Automobile and Mass Production—1908
The Age of Information and Telecommunications—1971

What the next golden age (~2030) will be all about? Will it be The Age of Honest Money?

It will be the age of decentralization and Bitcoin fits in there perfectly:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Third_Industrial_Revolution

The Digital Revolution  is what we are in the midst of right now ... beginning around, say circa 1970? (unix time 0)

- computing
- automation
- communication
- etc, etc (digital money)
6455  Economy / Economics / Re: inflation (Kondratieff Winter) on: February 06, 2013, 11:26:36 AM
kirchner is such an airhead ... I'm not sure if the people who voted for this conniving person really deserve what's coming to them or not.
6456  Economy / Economics / Re: Time Will Run Back: an economics novel on: February 06, 2013, 11:23:26 AM
a roadmap.
6457  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: [FOSS] P2P Crypt - Encrypted text, voice, & video communications - Turnkey on: February 05, 2013, 11:15:28 AM
http://www.gnutls.org/

Here's a library you might find useful.
6458  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How people will use bitcoins to buy real estate in 2020. on: February 04, 2013, 11:48:10 PM

Interesting ideas Vladimir ... time to start putting on suit?

Besides such fun and financial games I take a small issue with this assumption ....

Quote
Once the above conditions are in place it is likely that Bitcoin's market cap is around 1 billion USD (I use today's dollars i.e. ignoring fiat inflation for simplicity). Let's assume that 1 BTC worth about 1000$, for simplicity again.

Current bitcoin "market cap" (I like to think of it as Monetary Base) is around $200M ... by 2020 there will be approx. 18 M btc in existence, so at valuation of $1K/btc puts monetary base at $18 billion.
6459  Other / Off-topic / Re: Anonymous pwns Fed. Res. and Fedwire? on: February 04, 2013, 09:18:03 PM
And for people outside the US: What is Fedwire?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fedwire

fedwire is the interbank settling system of fed. res. monitored banks in the US ... transfers on fedwire are non-reversible, i.e. final ... think of it like a bitcoin system for the banks, except not as secure  Wink
6460  Other / Off-topic / Anonymous pwns Fed. Res. and Fedwire? on: February 04, 2013, 04:38:04 PM
Just wondering how this might impact on bitcoin?


http://www.zdnet.com/anonymous-posts-over-4000-u-s-bank-executive-credentials-7000010740/

Quote
it could be that Anonymous has released banker information that could be connected to Federal Reserve computers, including contact information and cell phone numbers for U.S. bank Presidents, Vice Presidents, COO's Branch Managers, VP's and more.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-02-04/anonymous-claims-it-hacked-fed-releases-confidential-banker-information

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=217077
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