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6721  Economy / Economics / Re: Worrisome news, if the numbers are right.. on: October 28, 2012, 01:13:38 AM
60-78% bitcoins being saved and not spent eh? ...  well I haven't had a close look at the methodology to determine this so don't put any weight in it myself but it sounds like an interesting number.

Bitcoiners in general are miserly, frugal bastards who work hard and save whatever they can get their hands on .... Smiley , so what? I could have guessed that anyway. These are the people who pick up the pieces after the grasshoppers have trashed the economy, yet again, once their extravagant, wasteful ways have run their inevitable course. The ants who get on and fix things and get them working again and saving again in case of the next 'lean patch'.

And frankly it doesn't matter that much anyway since the price is set at the margin where demand and supply is being met, not by the great mass that doesn't move and is essentially "off-the-market" for most rational prices you might dream up ... unless it does move and that I find will be unlikely to change significantly any time soon. Gold is exactly the same, only a small fraction of the total physical gold stocks is ever mobilised in trade .... in fact a good fraction of the annual physical trade is satisfied by newly mined gold, and this is exactly what makes it money par excellence (store of value role).
6722  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Adi Shamir's paper on bitcoin on: October 27, 2012, 07:24:43 PM
It seems to me that best incentive for doing this kind of work is to figure out how much information is currently available from the block-chain, so that better privacy enhancing techniques can be developed to thwart further analysis. Rinse and repeat, so to speak.
6723  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2012-10-21 Warren Mosler about Bitcoin on: October 26, 2012, 07:51:20 PM
Hi bitcoin world community.

Mi name is Giancarlo Algieri, and i'm the man that in the video do the question about bitcoin. I'm an Italian mmt activist from the democraziaMMT italian movement. I think that Warren Mosler is a great man and a big mind. It have made the modern money theory and this economic school is the last way for my country to exit from the economic abyss rappresented from EuroZone. In italy the situation is very bad. No Monetary Sovereignty (rappresented from the euro currency) have made : no work, no right, no hope...and economy is close to collapsing. Argentina in the 2002 was desperated, and mmt have do a miracle. The umkc university have do a great work, and in italy, The Journalist "Paolo Barnard" have write a paper that explain modern money theory to my people, and have organize in italy 2 of the most big economic summit of the world in february and october 2012 (1200 people cad)

So...if Mosler have not study bitcoin and hi's answer is no good, please , remember first that hi is and remain one great economist .

Tnx

Giancarlo Algieri, MMT activist.
Economic Summit -"NON ERAVAMO I PIIGS, TORNEREMO ITALIA" - Rimini -ITALY - 20/21-10-2012

Thanks for asking Mosler that question, his shallow and dismissive answer was enlightening.

Have you considered the concept of free market money for saving Italy? Any small province in Italy could begin with trading with their own currencies for example., irrespective of what the ECB dictates.

The monopolistic nature of the modern money is what creates the massive market distortions, under/over supply, instability and etc.

http://monetaryfreedom.org/ (click on the "Resources" link to read more)

Good luck.


6724  Economy / Speculation / Re: Downward trend imminent on: October 26, 2012, 01:44:00 AM
It seems like the down into rising selling volume is becoming entrenched, with some relatively large sales going through on down slides.

It is indicative of saturation, i.e. the huge rate of inflation of bitcoin, currently ~25%, has finally caught up to what has actually been until now a phenomenal rate of adoption. It seems that the scheduled halving of bitcoin inflation rate in 5,000 blocks can not come a moment too soon, although it too is probably throwing uncertainty over the market.

But in the meantime I can see a powerful selling down, perhaps revisiting the hard floor at cost-of-production (around $4) but may go as low as $2.5 depending on how much pain the new ASIC miners can handle with their cost of capital for shiny new hardware, i.e. will they keep pumping bitcoins at a loss or rather buy at the market?

Anyway, look out below is my advice.
6725  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Bullion Gold, Silver, Platinum In Exchange For Bitcoin (Private Party Trade) on: October 25, 2012, 10:40:43 AM
Escrow, pay btc on bullion delivery ... what would be the terms?

NB: I'm not interested in any deal, just curious how it would work at all.
6726  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Pizza for bitcoins? on: October 25, 2012, 10:34:27 AM
So how much pizza could you get for 10,000 btc today I wonder?

... at $20 per pie about 5500 pizzas?

Edit: so you could have 2 pizzas today or 5500 in 2 years time ....
6727  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2012-10-21 Warren Mosler about Bitcoin on: October 24, 2012, 11:58:58 PM
He's a theorist .... not a practitioner.

So far his theories don't look all that 'famous'. But if people feel like giving him their 'real' money to speak, let him have it.
6728  Bitcoin / Electrum / Re: [ANNOUNCE] Electrum - a new thin client on: October 24, 2012, 11:41:17 PM
what devices can run Electrum?

what is a good solution for a cheep Electrum device?

Good question ... what's the smallest device known for running Electrum client? Seems like anything that squeeze a minimal python stack PyQT could do it?
6729  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2012-10-09 Forbes.com - As Inflation Rages In Iran, Bitcoin Software Not Availab on: October 24, 2012, 02:29:04 AM
As a temporary workaround, http://files.btcmirror.is/ now exists.

Please verify if the files are correct or not.

A fine workaround ... from my timewarp ftp was the web, not the workaround Smiley

You could I suppose to be ultra-thorough also post the signed hashes of source and pre-built binaries files put up on github by the other devs (so as not to centralise trust on gavin's sig.) ... e.g.

https://github.com/bitcoin/gitian.sigs

https://github.com/bitcoin/gitian.sigs/blob/master/0.7.1/sipa/bitcoin-build.assert
6730  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Money laundering, is it a term banks invented? on: October 22, 2012, 03:21:30 AM
Bank don't care about money laundering. IRS and government does and they are the one writing AML and KYC laws.

Maybe, but banks aren't above using regulatory efforts to tilt the playing field to their advantage.

The nation state's rush to change the function of money from an economic market-driven choice for medium of exchange, to money the tracking and snooping tool of an over-grown authoritarian state is, imho, a fatal conceit. They are undermining the state's primary cash-cow, the power to control the supply of the premium monetary product, by compromising the usefulness and design (evolved over millenia) of the final product.

AML and KYC sound wonderful and utopian, but the world is dirty, gritty and unpredictable, and doesn't usually take kindly when those 'ideal' marble-corridor theories are tested in the dirt-floor raw marketplace. The digital currency currently being issued by most nation states are undergoing a massive experiment in monetary economics that most have not even thought through, let alone planned for in the event of a "negative externalities" outcome.

Just because the digital money revolution made it possible to track, monitor, data-mine and analyse everybody's private financial dealings does not mean it was a good idea to do so. The economic ramifications of using such compromised currency systems could be with us for decades .... or until suitably private alternatives with maximally fungibile properties are widely adopted, at which point the survival of the nation state itself will be in question since its fate is now inextricably bound up with currency that it issues.
6731  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Reminder: you can and should abort in-person currency trades at any time on: October 22, 2012, 02:57:55 AM
Money is a technological information tool for deferring the exchange of goods ... medium of exchange, store of value, unit of account (all of that). It leads to all kinds of wondrous benefits for humanity, such as efficient market pricing, division of labour and etc, etc too numerous to mention. It was never designed to be a tool for "catching the bad guys". What is so difficult to understand about this simple concept?

Trying to shoehorn into the design of money hooks to turn into a tool of law enforcement will inevitably creating a deficient, inferior, compromised product that sucks at being good money (as defined above).

People on park benches talking about using meager sums to traffic drugs from USA to EU probably shouldn't be taken at all seriously, or no more seriously than some whacked out zombie from needle-park. People on the streets say all kinds of thing that have absolutely zero standing in any decent court of law, or public opinion. Good for a laugh, but really how do you know what anyone says in your presence is factual unless you have some independent knowledge of the proof of their claims??

Dragging KYC 'concerns' into local bitcoin exchanges seems like a stretch. I just trust no-one, money talks, BS walks.
6732  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Ultraprune merged in mainline on: October 22, 2012, 02:05:49 AM
(copy of mailinglist post)

I've just merged my "ultraprune" branch into mainline (including Mike's LevelDB work). This is a very significant change, and all testing is certainly welcome. As a result of this, many pull requests probably don't apply cleanly anymore. If you need help rebasing them on the new structure, ask me.

The idea behind ultraprune is to use an ultra-pruned copy (only unspent transaction outputs in a custom compact format) of the block chain for validation (as opposed to a transaction index into the block chain). It still keeps all blocks around for serving them to other nodes, for rescanning, and for reorganisations. As such, it is still a full node. So, despite the name, it does not implement any actual pruning yet, though pruning would be trivial to implement now. This would have profound effects on the network though, so may still need some discussion first.

A small summary of the changes:
  • Instead of blk000?.dat, we have blocks/blk000??.dat files of max 128 MiB, pre-allocated per 16 MiB
  • Instead of a Berklely DB blkindex.dat, we have a LevelDB directory blktree/. This only contains a block index, no transaction index.
  • A new LevelDB directory coins/, which contains data about the current unspent transaction output set.
  • New files blocks/rev000??.dat contain undo data for blocks (necessary for reorganisation).
  • More information is kept about blocks and block files, to facilitate pruning in the future, and to prepare for a headers-first mode.
  • Two new RPC calls are added: gettxout and gettxoutsetinfo.

The most noticeable change should be performance: LevelDB deals much better with slow I/O than BDB does, and the working set size for validation is an order of magnitude smaller. In the longer run, I think it is an evolution towards separation between validation nodes
and archive nodes, which is needed in my opinion.


What will be the new dependency(s) for a typical Linux box?

Will BDB still remain a dependency also?
6733  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Writing analysis on Satoshi Nakamoto. on: October 19, 2012, 08:40:14 PM
So while I have a pretty good idea, some tenuous facts, shaky reasoning, I can not unfortunately reveal who I think satoshi is, since they have made it clear they wish to remain anonymous and indeed advocate for net privacy in many other fields also (clue). And I respect these efforts immensely.

I think you started that thread in off-topic too right? If this is all you have, then your guess appears to be no better than the michael clear stuff or the 3 guys that wrote some crypto patents. But IIRC you said in the thread that it was someone who posted here, which I mentioned narrows it down to just a few people who go by their real names or have them public...

Besides, if you found it, someone else will, it's not like it will stay hidden forever.

No, I don't recall starting any threads in Off-Topic or elsewhere regarding satoshi's identity. In fact, I'm pretty sure this is the first post anywhere I have ever stated anything seriously on the matter.
6734  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Writing analysis on Satoshi Nakamoto. on: October 19, 2012, 04:48:47 AM
Have to confess that curiosity got the better of me one day a ways back and I did do a little sleuthing of my own .... after joining some dots here, colouring in between the lines there, tapping the networks, dabbling a little in the digital black arts, ouija boards ... to cut a long story short I think I have pretty good idea who satoshi (the bitcoin coder) was. It is one of those answers that when you are presented with it you will want to slap your forehead, hard, and go "doh! why did I not think of that" ... not obvious but hiding in plain sight in retrospect.

So while I have a pretty good idea, some tenuous facts, shaky reasoning, I can not unfortunately reveal who I think satoshi is, since they have made it clear they wish to remain anonymous and indeed advocate for net privacy in many other fields also (clue). And I respect these efforts immensely.

However, ultimately it is a free market of ideas and if donations/pledges of a suitably large enough BTC amount be made I would probably reveal what I know to be true and let the private chips and data trails fall where they may, so to speak.  Wink
6735  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: legal aspects of decentralized capital markets on: October 19, 2012, 01:42:33 AM
You are raising some interesting questions. Have you pointed you enquiring mind towards similar issues raised by the Open Transactions software?

https://github.com/FellowTraveler/Open-Transactions/wiki

Would be interested on any thoughts specific to that model. A federation of servers acting as notaries for transactions for 'ethereal' issuers and clients.

Here's some schematics to give a broader overview of possibilities (note these may change as rapidly as the technology, e.g. bitcoin mulit-sig, n-of-m voting pool auditing issuers)

Architecture Overview:


Fully Anonymous Cash TX:


Pseudo-Anonymous Accounts TX:
6736  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Legal Research on: October 19, 2012, 01:20:59 AM
Came here looking for the silver spoon-feeding ... got the wooden spoon-paddling instead
6737  Bitcoin / Press / 2012-10-19 Laissez Faire Today : Paper Money = Despotism on: October 19, 2012, 01:13:31 AM
http://lfb.org/today/paper-money-despotism/

Quote
Equally, a currency monopoly allows the government to impose social policies that punish and control categories of people. For example, as long as banks function as an arm of the government, they will refuse to open accounts for people without state-issued identification and Social Security numbers. Thus, the “undocumented” are effectively barred from the monetary transactions that are part of everyday life. By contrast, counterculture financial institutions often require little more than a username and a password to deposit funds. No wonder some politicians are pushing agencies like Bitcoin to open up their data to close government scrutiny.

The currency monopoly is vital to both the rise of a police state and the targeting of individual civil liberties. In arguing for a free market in currencies, it is important to claim the moral high ground by stating and restating what should be obvious: Civil liberties require sound money. And nothing ensures the quality of a commodity as surely as competition.


Bitcoin also gets raised in the comments by the author.
6738  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Adi Shamir's paper on bitcoin on: October 18, 2012, 09:04:33 AM
Can't wait until they do the follow-up study on the Namecoin blockchain. Things must be real slow out there ....
6739  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2012-10-08 hedgeweek.com - The emergence of electronic gold...? on: October 18, 2012, 08:51:00 AM
Quote
We will hold the Bitcoins securely in a Swiss vault

On a USB stick?

A UBS stick?
6740  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Legal Research on: October 18, 2012, 06:19:37 AM
Well there would be all the usual laws surrounding illegal use of a computer, etc, etc anyway if your machine/account was hacked anyway.

That doesn't mean that bitcoins are property ... just that your computer/account was broken into.
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