If he owes 100% and only pays back 90% without agreement to investors, -that- is fraud and a failure to pay back. I would obviously lose the bet.
If he owes 100% and only pays back 90% but the investors agreed to it, -that- is the agreement and therefor he has paid it back. I would win the bet.
If he owes 100% and pays back 100%, I would win the bet.
If he owes 100% and does not pay anything anything back, I would lose the bet.

Post in this thread how much you're committing and I will double that amount you commit (maximum of 10,000BTC in bets allowed in this thread total) if Pirate does not pay out in 3 weeks as he described in his thread.

When will I get my coins?
Starting Monday I’ll begin systematically closing and withdrawing accounts as coins are transferred.  I don't expect the entire process to last longer than a week. The moment your account is closed you’ll receive your coins plus any interest accrued up to the hour it was sent.

Anyone could tell how he does it if they only took a few minutes to think about it.

Yokosan and I have both spent some time on the bitcointalk forum and I believe he might be exercising some of the same practices I have, just on a much larger scale.

It is wonderful. All the idiots who gambled on this scheme get to eat their own losses intead of claiming "exigent circumstances" and "systemic risk" and forcing their losses on to me at gunpoint. I get to fully enjoy the benefit of choosing to not participate in a Ponzi scheme.

556j has been saying that BS&T is a ponzi for months. I don't see how he could be a pirate shill now? 

Don't people complain about delays in wiring to Gox? I don't know personally.

I went to the bank one day during lunch break and wired to Bitfloor. Got home after work and the money was there. So less than 5 hours.

This is unacceptable, we are back to where we were a week ago

Took the words right out of my mouth. Anyone who sees a pattern after two cycles should not be posting in "speculation" but in "magic"