Bitcoin Forum
May 09, 2024, 09:19:15 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 [135] 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 ... 368 »
2681  Economy / Goods / Re: [WTS] $5 Burger King e-gift card - $3.50 on: May 24, 2012, 02:47:49 PM
I have a $5 Burger King gift card that I'm selling for $3.50
This GC can be used in all 50 states & Guam

$3.50 in BTC, I presume.  Does that include the shipping?
You presume correctly, and shipping isn't necessary as it's an e-gift card

Then how do I use it?
2682  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Very Rich Address? on: May 24, 2012, 05:29:31 AM
That's almost certainly a coin tumbler escrow.  The semi-random automatic transactions that are constantly moving small amounts around and back helps to hide the true volume of in-out transactions.  The collection into a single address also tends to hide who is paying whom, should an observer be able to link an address to a person in some other way, such as standard detective work.  The claim that it's the tumbler for silk road is likely, but irrelevent because no one knows who silk road actually is.  That's akin to saying "I can track MoonShadow's money, because I have his address!", the anominity then rests with "Who the hell is MoonShadow?"


To be clear, the bitcoins residing in the wallet with the address 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM are commissions from sales on/at Silk Road. Correct?


I have no idea, and I question whether that is even knowable to anyone that doesn't deal with silk road, which I don't.

EDIT:  If it is, then the owner of Silk Road hasn't taken much of his profits.  How does he pay to keep it all running without cashing some out?

maybe this is just his "hot wallet" and he has taken millions out already? i be they do a massive amount of business.

As lucrative as it can be to be to be a dealer, that doesn't usually compare to how lucrative it is to be the market maker, so you're probably right.
2683  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: Android Bitcoin Wallet on: May 24, 2012, 03:56:50 AM
I use this wallet a lot.  Sometimes I will go a couple week and then turn it on to get back up to date.  It never takes me more than a few minutes to download two weeks of blockchain over the wifi.  A little longer over the air.  Samsung Galaxy 4S with all the latest firmware, etc.

I can't say that I've ever has such a good experience with it.  I found that it takes many times longer than my Imac wallet.  Perhaps it's a difference in hardware, since my android is several years old now and only has a 800mhz single core.  I've also had it stall for hours on end, and even crash the entire phone resulting in a reboot.  Which all contributed to my decision to move to BitcoinSpinner, which works flawlessly on my phone, so long as I have a 3G connection.
2684  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Very Rich Address? on: May 24, 2012, 03:50:35 AM
That's almost certainly a coin tumbler escrow.  The semi-random automatic transactions that are constantly moving small amounts around and back helps to hide the true volume of in-out transactions.  The collection into a single address also tends to hide who is paying whom, should an observer be able to link an address to a person in some other way, such as standard detective work.  The claim that it's the tumbler for silk road is likely, but irrelevent because no one knows who silk road actually is.  That's akin to saying "I can track MoonShadow's money, because I have his address!", the anominity then rests with "Who the hell is MoonShadow?"


To be clear, the bitcoins residing in the wallet with the address 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM are commissions from sales on/at Silk Road. Correct?


I have no idea, and I question whether that is even knowable to anyone that doesn't deal with silk road, which I don't.

EDIT:  If it is, then the owner of Silk Road hasn't taken much of his profits.  How does he pay to keep it all running without cashing some out?
2685  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Very Rich Address? on: May 24, 2012, 03:37:51 AM
That's almost certainly a coin tumbler escrow.  The semi-random automatic transactions that are constantly moving small amounts around and back helps to hide the true volume of in-out transactions.  The collection into a single address also tends to hide who is paying whom, should an observer be able to link an address to a person in some other way, such as standard detective work.  The claim that it's the tumbler for silk road is likely, but irrelevent because no one knows who silk road actually is.  That's akin to saying "I can track MoonShadow's money, because I have his address!", the anominity then rests with "Who the hell is MoonShadow?"

2686  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BitFury Design, Licensing, Mass production on: May 24, 2012, 01:32:10 AM
I understand that developing such a product requires huge investments and risks, but this community is rabidly pro open source.  You might succeed at this for a time, but someone is going to replicate it and release it to the wild eventually.  I'm sure that you understand that, so the goal is to get as much profit from it as you can before the open source developers catch up.  May I offer an alternative to all this?  If you have an idea of how much revenue you expect to earn, let us know.  You can proceed with your licensing method however you see fit, but if the community can raise the funds, would you accept a collective donation in order to release the bitstream open source?
2687  Economy / Services / Re: Get your Prepaid Wireless Airtime Refill (up to 5% off face value) 20+ carriers on: May 24, 2012, 01:12:23 AM
+1 for this service.  Excellent turn around time and customer support.  I maxed out my Virgin Mobile phone.  Yes, that was me.
2688  Economy / Goods / Re: [WTS] $5 Burger King e-gift card - $3.50 on: May 24, 2012, 01:00:20 AM
Can these be used in Canada?

No, because the Burger King drive-thru's doesn't support dogsleds.

Sure they do.  They are usually made of concrete, and support a great deal more weight than a dogsled.  Wink  I've personally gone through drive throughs on a bicycle, the trick is to find where in the concrete the magnetic sensor is and put the bike wheel directly over it, so I suppose that you would need to have steel rails.
2689  Economy / Goods / Re: [WTS] $5 Burger King e-gift card - $3.50 on: May 24, 2012, 12:57:39 AM
I have a $5 Burger King gift card that I'm selling for $3.50
This GC can be used in all 50 states & Guam

$3.50 in BTC, I presume.  Does that include the shipping?
2690  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BitFury Design, Licensing, Mass production on: May 23, 2012, 09:45:27 PM
I'm interested, but I'm not understanding something.  What is the "bitstream" in this context, and what is it for?
Also known as firmware. It is quite literally a stream of compiled bits that the fpga can execute.

Ah, I see.  I know what firmware is, but I've never heard it called a bitstream before.
2691  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BitFury Design, Licensing, Mass production on: May 23, 2012, 09:27:39 PM
I'm interested, but I'm not understanding something.  What is the "bitstream" in this context, and what is it for?
2692  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Tranasaction uncomfirmed for >24 hours on: May 22, 2012, 08:46:14 PM
Umm... Maybe contact Piuk and ask him to rebroadcast the transaction? With that kind of fee, there's literally no reason this should be rejected. Blockexplorer agrees that no input has already been spent.

Well, if blockexplorer has the transaction, everyone else should as well.  This is quite the mystery
2693  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Tranasaction uncomfirmed for >24 hours on: May 22, 2012, 06:57:16 PM
I looked at it and all the input transactions…I have no explanation either, everything as reported by blockchain.info looks fine.  Bear in mind, blockchain.info could bugs.  I wonder if perhaps the clients consider this to be a "spammy" transaction for some reason. 

If it has a lot of input transactions to create this one output transaction, that would explain the high fee, but as long as the fee was actually paid there shouldn't be any trouble getting it into a block.
2694  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: Android Bitcoin Wallet on: May 22, 2012, 06:54:00 PM
I've had some problems with this wallet recently. Downloading and processing the blockchain seems really slow and I get crashes all the time. I've been using this wallet for a long time and I've not had these problems before.

It connects to nodes just fine but the download seems slower and it stalls way more and I get crashes much more often. My phone otherwise has no problems and there have been no changes to my phone's software.

Yeah, I gave up on mine months ago and moved to BitcoinSpinner.
2695  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation and Bitcoin, the last word on this forum on: May 22, 2012, 06:27:18 PM
Hey MoonShadow, I read Mish and want to see if I'm understanding him.  (And I don't think he says all of this; some of it is me trying to fill in the gaps.) So the Fed is printing money like crazy which has some Austrians convinced that inflation or even hyper-inflation is the real threat and just around the corner.  But what the hyper-inflationists are missing is that all this money printing is the finger in the dam trying to hold back much larger deflationary pressures caused by debt deleveraging.  But my understanding is that the deflation that's trying to occur on the debt side is the natural, opposite-and-equal-type reaction to years of inflationary policies by the Fed which printed too much money and kept interest rates too low for too long.  And my understanding is that the liquidation of all this bad debt (which will be deflationary) needs to occur for the long-term health of the economy.  (It's trying to unravel a lot of "malinvestment" which seems to be the word of the day.) My understanding is also that there are powerful interests that are terrified of this looming deflation because they stand to lose their shirt.  That would include obviously the government, the biggest debtor of all.  But that also includes the banking industry, right? Banks are huge creditors, but they're also huge borrowers, no? And in a deflationary contraction, the banks' borrowers are going to be more likely to default, making it more likely that the banks will default on their own debts.  


Doing great so far, and yes, banking defaults are themselves deflationary.  Any 'money' that they create by fractional reserve lending (it's not the multiple that is often implied, the new money is forced into creation as the loans are repaid with real cash, and the interest on loans without any bank reserves to support them become the new money.  Ultimately, though, the fed is forced to create that money due to the demand that fractional reserve banks have created.) is then destroyed when those loans go bad and teh bank defaluts.

Quote

My questions are: (1) won't it be relatively easy for the Fed to "win" the war on deflation (which again, I think is a bad result)?  Won't you at some point overpower the deflationary deleveraging that's trying to occur if you just print enough money? And don't they have every (bad) incentive to do so?


That depends upon what you consider a 'win'.  Yes, the Federal Reserve can literally create as much money as is necessary to contradict price deflation in the near term.  However, they 1) can't dictate into which sector that liquidity primarily goes into, which is why we have a succession of market bubbles.  The inflation has never been even across the entire economy at any point in history; and 2) is they take the printing too far, then they risk the destruction of the public trust in the currency, which results in the hyperinflationary death of the currency.  Since their entire world revolves around that trust, and hyperinfaltion would destroy the banking system that gives the Federal reserve it's reason for existance, the fed governors are not going to risk that unless forced into it by poltical events beyond their control.  This is why, always and everywhere in history, the hyperinfaltionary death of a fiat currency has always been triggered by a political event wuch as a war or a revolution.  Bankers know why their currencies die, and won't permit it without a fight.  That is also why the FedReserve is traditionally a politically independent entity, to insolate it's leadership from political pressures.  It's never really worked that way, but it was a good idea.

Quote
(2) Won't all this money printing become inflationary (in a price sense) at some point?  Even if (or maybe even, especially if) the house of cards topples and all this debt is forced to liquidate thereby causing deflation on the debt side, won't the economy eventually releverage when it starts growing again?  And when it does, won't it be releveraging on a much larger base?  

Yes, it will.  That is, it will if there is still enough trust in the system to prevent a hyperinflationary death.
2696  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation and Bitcoin, the last word on this forum on: May 22, 2012, 06:10:00 PM
Tell that to the Japanese.  Just-in-time manufacturing ate Detroit's lunch in the 1980's.  Print-on-demand & every aspect of the Internet is doing the same thing for the media industries today.

That seems to be a clear case in which the reason is an increase in efficiency. All I'm saying is that it doesn't have to be necessarily the case.
Yes 3d preinters are going to change everything but we're just talking about the effect of different monies in the economy, right?
I thought it was the monetary technology what we were discussing.


It doesn't have to be the case, but wherever the monetary base is ridgid and the credit system is limited (as in full reserve lending) there has never been a case that could be held up as an example of a deflationary period that was predominately caused by anything other than increases in productive efficiency or growth of the economy.  While I'll concede up front that doesn't mean that such events are impossible, they are most certainly possible under fractional reserve lending & fiat monetary systems unattached to a commodity base.  We are living through just such an event right now, namely the contraction of the monetary base due to the rapid fall of credit.  While the majority of the effects have thus far been mitigated by the Fed's massive increases in the monetary base (M1 or M-prime) this only works to keep prices stable while the economy is still contracting.  Once the economy actually starts to recover, there is no practical process for the Fed to recall that liquidity, and thus a future of massive price inflatin is already backed into the cake.  Flexible monetary systems resonate and do so in an unbalanced direction, always favoring inflation of the maonetary base in the long run. 

This was less possible under a gold standard with full reserve lending practices, and is actually impossible under bitcoin.  Bitcoin can 'resonate' but must, by design, do so in a balanced fashion.  There is mathmaticly no other possibility.
2697  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation and Bitcoin, the last word on this forum on: May 22, 2012, 07:27:23 AM
How does it [deflation] hurts merchants?
Easy: their inventories dropping in price make them lose money everyday that passes. They will then try to minimize their inventories. So deflation tells merchants to offer less variety and quantity of things in the market.

The price drop is only nominal.  They receive fewer dollars, but those dollars have more purchasing power.  
Also, their inventories dropping in price mean they want to hold inventory for less time, which forces them to focus on products that customers actually want. For 'niche' products, it encourages them to form more efficient distribution channels so that they can still provide those products without having to hold them in inventory. That is, it encourages efficiency all around.

Interesting reasoning. Empty inventories could be a great thing if merchants are selling all the stuff. A problem for them if it is because they're not buying anything. But, yes, in an ideal super-efficient world they would be empty.
You always looking the bright sight of deflation. Me citing Gesell every time I can:

Quote from: Silvio Gesell
The criterion of good money, of an efficient instrument of exchange, is: -
1) That it shall secure the exchange of goods - which we shall judge by the absence of trade depressions, crises and unemployment.
2) That it shall accelerate exchange - which we shall judge by the lessening stocks of wares, the decreasing number of merchants and shops, and the correspondingly fuller storerooms of the consumers.
3) That it shall cheapen exchange - which we shall judge by the small difference between the price obtained by the producer and the price paid by the consumer. (Among producers we here include all those engaged in the transport of goods).

The problem would be, again, that the empty inventories meant a trade depression rather than an increase in efficiency.


Tell that to the Japanese.  Just-in-time manufacturing ate Detroit's lunch in the 1980's.  Print-on-demand & every aspect of the Internet is doing the same thing for the media industries today.
2698  Other / Off-topic / Re: I wonder if this could work.... on: May 22, 2012, 05:37:52 AM
What, no more hyping up of a culture that you don't really understand, Corned?

EDIT:  Hey corned, if you know any Japanese friends, ask them about the Ainu (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ainu_people) just one time and I can promise you that you will never be bothered by their presence again.  To this day the Japanese are more opposed to inter-racial marriages with the Ainu than a KKK member in 1930's Mississippi, and even they have trouble detecting the racial differences.  The Japanese don't really have a cultural problem with a Japanese woman marrying an American, whatever their race, but they do have a problem with the Ainu.

LOL - No, this is just really boring and I could care less. You haven’t really addressed or debated anything I’ve said.
You can be the ultimate victor by simply starting this hotel and having it succeed. I wish you good luck and lots of money. You’ll need both.

BTW: My wife of 24 years is Japanese and I was stationed in Japan for 8 years. Look at my old posts back about four months and you will see me talking about both of those facts. I like you Moonshadow, you're silly. LOL

You could have been stationed in Japan for an entire career, and never really understand the culture your wife came from.  Just the fact that she was willing to marry you implies that she is one of the exceptions, but I'd wager that if you asked her about the Ainu she would tell you that it's a subject best not discussed in polite company.  Ask her why a six plate dinner set is a bad wedding gift.  Ask her if your black suit is okay for her grandfather's funeral.  The Japanese are a walking contradiction in many subtle ways.  None of this has anything at all to do with whether or not my idea has merit in America, but the implication that Japan is the emotionally mature culture to emulate is both rediculous and insulting because it implies that has been the case for some time.  Both their national education system & national constitution were designed by a US general in occupation, if the Japanese culture is 'emotionally mature' today it's largely due to the fact that the Japanese people regarded defeat as a sign of infierority and proceeded to assimulate the best qualities of the culture of the US while trying to keep the best qualities of the original culture.  Whether or not they were successful is a matter of opinion, and you are welcome to your own, but when you present your opinion as self evident fact using circular support you can trust that I will call you on the bullshit every time I see it.
2699  Other / Off-topic / Re: I wonder if this could work.... on: May 21, 2012, 09:14:13 PM
What, no more hyping up of a culture that you don't really understand, Corned?

EDIT:  Hey corned, if you know any Japanese friends, ask them about the Ainu (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ainu_people) just one time and I can promise you that you will never be bothered by their presence again.  To this day the Japanese are more opposed to inter-racial marriages with the Ainu than a KKK member in 1930's Mississippi, and even they have trouble detecting the racial differences.  The Japanese don't really have a cultural problem with a Japanese woman marrying an American, whatever their race, but they do have a problem with the Ainu.
2700  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation and Bitcoin, the last word on this forum on: May 21, 2012, 08:53:33 PM
I still say that Mish has a better grasp of deflation/inflation than either of them, and a far better predictive record than either as well.  Ironicly, he's not a "trained" (read academic) economist.  He's just naturally talented.  Rich Mayberry, the author of the Whatever happen to ...? series, is another such natural talent.

That said, Schiff's viewpoints are valid from a certain perspective, as are Krugman's.  In both cases, it's difficult to get someone to understand something contradictory to his worldview, particularly when his income is somewhat dependent upon him not understanding.  Both Schiff & Krugman fall into this group, while Mayberry & Mish do not.  In the latter case, both make the majority of their income from their own investments & selling data about said investments and their reasoning.  Technically that would be true for Schiff as well, but not really in practice.  Schiff also might have been influenced by his father, logically, and the long term prison sentence his father received for challenging the legitimacy of the IRS.  (Made worse by actually being correct, the government really comes down hard on that.)
Pages: « 1 ... 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 [135] 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 ... 368 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!